Military Review

"Triumphs" and "Favorites" in the "big game": the collapse of Ankara's ambitious rocket program and the containment of Riyadh

25



Leap 2016 year already from the very first days of January confirmed the title of the most difficult period of existence of our "fragile" and imperfect world, which in just a few years of the twenty-first century, the forces of Western hegemony and its numerous accomplices have changed beyond recognition.

This is most clearly reflected in the region, which has an 1400-year internal problem, where the centuries-old and bloody religious dispute between representatives of the two leading interpretations of Islam, Sunni and Shiite interpretations, has become an excellent ideological tool for total manipulation and control from Western Europe and the United States, which over the years have "pumped "The states of the Middle East and Front Asia are the most powerful lethal weapons that sooner or later should have been used.

The general background of tension in the region was organized due to the emergence of the DAISH (IG) terrorist group, fueled by financial and technical revenues from the United States, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates with the support of dwarf allies: Bahrain, Kuwait and Sudan. Then aggravation followed. Regional superpowers, Turkey and Saudi Arabia, began to dictate their rules. The first one dealt a despicable "stab in the back" to our videoconferencing system, which "crossed the road" to the very profitable oil business of the Erdogan family with terrorists from ISIS; the second went on a more cunning way. Continuing reasonable military-technical cooperation with Russian defense companies, Saudi Arabia at an accelerated pace formed the so-called "Arabian coalition" from the states of the Arabian Peninsula, which under the pretext of fighting the Ansar Allah national liberation organization (represented by Iran-friendly Shiite Zeidites) into the most powerful Western Asian military-political bloc, aimed at open confrontation with Russia's largest ally in Front Asia, the Islamic Republic of Iran, what we are seeing today.

But an explosive escalation of tension between Shiite Iran and the Sunni Arabian Peninsula required an even stronger “spark” than the aggression of the “Arabian coalition” against the Shiite “Ansar Allah” (the so-called Houthis or Hutis) in Yemen. And such a “spark” was kindled by the Arabian Ministry of Interior 2 January 2016. Representatives of the Arabian security forces reported on the execution of 47 people who were suspected, from the Arabian point of view, of subversive and terrorist activities in the kingdom. Nevertheless, there was not a single intelligible argument in support of these accusations, and among this solid list of people such famous Shiite figures as Nimr al-Nimr and Faris az-Zahrani were executed, which pointed to the expressed religious and geopolitical motive of Er- Riyadh.

The adequate response of the Iranian people and leadership followed immediately. The Saudi Arabian embassy in Tehran was completely defeated by Iranian Shiite protesters on January 3, and representatives of the leadership and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran spoke in favor of completely overthrowing the anti-Islamic Saudi regime, and punished the current Arabian regime for the massacre of Shiite representatives. Saudi Arabia responded with a complete rupture of diplomatic relations, accompanied by a blow by the Saudi air force against the Iranian embassy in Yemen. Then, their other ambassadors from Iran were gradually withdrawn by other participants and accomplices of the Arabian coalition: Kuwait, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates; diplomatic relations were also severed from Bahrain, Somalia, Sudan and the Comoros, which joined the “Arabian coalition” in order to receive “dividends” from supporting the military operation against the Hussites in Yemen.

The predictability of such a "herd reaction" among the dwarf countries-henchmen of Saudi Arabia in Western Asia is explained not only by the prevailing Sunni population, but also by the most serious geopolitical link with the American imperial plans in the region. For example, Sunni Egypt refrained from attacking Iran in response to statements by Iranian top officials, and we know that Cairo is one of the main strategic partners of the Arabian Coalition, including in the confrontation with the Ansar Allah in Yemen . In addition, according to the statements of the press secretary of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Egypt, Ahmed Abu Zeid, the Middle Eastern state did not even consider the possibility of rupture of diplomatic relations with Iran. This is not surprising, because after the appearance of General Al Sisi at the helm of the state, Egypt radically changed its geopolitical vector. The sphere of military-technical cooperation returned to the usual times of the second half of the twentieth century, when practically all types of modern weapons for the Egyptian armed forces were purchased in the USSR, and the support of the Egyptian air forces from the Soviet reconnaissance MiG-25 practically had no borders.

We see the same thing today: all of Egypt’s modern air defense / missile defense system is based on the Antey-300 S-2500BM, and the country's defense ministry, in addition to purchasing French “Rafale”, may soon become the first foreign customer of the XG-4 multi-purpose fighter series of the “35 ++” generation , the appearance of which will dramatically change the balance of power in the Middle East for a decade ahead. Of particular importance in Egyptian-Russian cooperation is the close interaction of the foreign intelligence services of the states, concerning antiterrorist activities and the provision of military-tactical information on the situation in the Middle East. Such a high level of information exchange has not been established by Russia with any state in the region, except Iraq. This fact also confirms that almost all the states of the “Arab coalition” (led by Saudi Arabia and Qatar, with Turkish support) are direct sponsors of terrorism, which is really opposed only by Russia, Syria, Egypt and Iraq.

This turn of the Cold War between Iran and the “Arabian Coalition”, which at any time can turn into a major regional conflict, fits perfectly into the American anti-Iranian strategy in Asia Minor, where Washington continues to strive for a military overthrow of the Iranian leadership, because Washington understands that signing The “nuclear deal” absolutely does not change the situation. The entire scientific and technical infrastructure and element base for the Iranian nuclear program are fully preserved and temporarily frozen, and the restoration of the previous rates of uranium enrichment can be implemented in a matter of months. Without the development of a nuclear program, with the help of even conventional tactical weapons and medium-range ballistic missiles such as “Sajil-2” with powerful HF warheads, Iran is able to deliver a “decapitating” missile strike to any flagship of the “pro-Western club” of Front Asia and the Middle East (Saudi Arabia, Israel). And the strengthening of Iranian air defense by the Russian “Favorit” air defense missile systems will allow the MRAU to withstand the action of the Arabian coalition airborne forces in the region of the strategically important Persian Gulf.

So we are witnessing the active provocation of Iran by the Saudis to the confrontation at the very moment when the 4 of the modernized Russian C-300PMU-2 Favorit had not been received by the Iranian Air Force. Indeed, without these Iranian air defense complexes, it will not last long under 450 modern Western European and American tactical fighter jets used by the Saudi Arabian Air Force, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, etc. missile-bombing strikes. This conflict is beneficial not only with the US, but also with the Saudi bell tower , as any military confrontation in the region of the oil-bearing Persian Gulf automatically significantly throws up the cost of a barrel of oil, which will sharply increase the incomes of Saudi Arabia as the second country on the planet in terms of reserves FTI (268 billion. barrels).

The deterioration of the geopolitical situation in Western Asia takes place against the background of the results of the meeting of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) meeting, which became known in the morning of January 10. Its participants fully supported Saudi Arabia, accusing Iran of “interfering” in the affairs of the states of the Arabian Peninsula, and Riyadh threatened Iran with “additional measures”. Such courage of the “Arabian coalition” can be explained by the geography of the port infrastructure of Saudi Arabia and Iran.

If you look at the map, you can clearly see that all the oil ports of Iran and the oil refining capacities assigned to them are located on the coast of the Persian Gulf, where they can be quickly damaged or destroyed even with the help of short-range tactical missile weapons available to Saudi Arabia or rocket artillery pushed into Kuwaiti territory. The large oil refining and oil-loading Iranian port city of Abadan is located just 45 km from the Kuwaiti Bubiyan island, which is part of the enemy Arabian camp.

For the Saudis, in this regard, everything is more advantageous. In addition to the oil and processing port infrastructure on the eastern coast of the country, Saudi Arabia also has a “strategic asset” in the form of the port city of Yanbu al-Bahr. The city is located on the west coast of Saudi Arabia in the Red Sea (1250 km from Iran). A lot of thousand-kilometer oil pipelines from fields located off the coast of the Persian Gulf have been made to the city’s oil refineries. In the event of a major military confrontation with Iran, the port of Yanbu al-Bahr can be covered by dozens of Patriot PAC-3 anti-aircraft missile divisions, as well as the latest THAAD upper-missile defense systems, including Aegis Ships of the 6th fleet US Navy in the Red Sea. Such a defense could well contain the blow of the existing Iranian BR.

Today, the Iranian Air Force has no tactical aviationcapable of conducting an equal battle with aviation and air defense of the “Arabian coalition”. The Iranian Air Force in its current composition significantly lose even the UAE Air Force, which has more than 70 multi-purpose F-16E / F Block 60 fighters and more than 60 highly maneuverable Mirage 2000-9D / EAD aircraft. The upgraded Falcons are equipped with a multi-channel airborne radar with AFAR AN / APG-80 with a detection range of a fighter with an EPR of 3m2 of the order of 160 km, so even 1 F-16E Block 60 in the DVB surpasses all existing versions of Iranian fighters (F-4E, MiG-29A )


The UAE Mirage 2000-9 multipurpose fighter aircraft belongs to the 4 + generation tactical aircraft. The machine has an increased angular speed of turn in the plane of pitch (the main indicator of the maneuverable qualities of a fighter), which exceeds the indicator of the F-16 family of machines. "Mirage 2000-9" is designed to perform the full range of air operations (from winning air supremacy to suppressing air defense and targeted strikes against ground targets)


The position of the Iranian Air Force before the “Arabian Coalition” can only be corrected by purchasing a large number (4 — 5 IAP) of multi-purpose Su-30MK or J-10A fighter jets with further modernization, information about which has repeatedly come out from behind the scenes of Iranian media .

CANCELLATION OF THE EMBARGO ON THE DELIVERIES OF THE C-300PMU-2 IRI AND THE EXPANDING OF THE “FOURSHEETS” AT THE TURKISH BORDERS ARE STRONGLY LIMITED THE WESTERN STRATEGY IN THE NEAR EAST AND IN THE FRONT AFRICA. THE ANKARA ROCKET SOFTWARE LOST STRATEGIC WEIGHT.

The American concept of winning military-political domination in Front Asia and the Middle East due to the removal from the geopolitical map of the Islamic Republic of Iran by the powerful armies of the Arabian Coalition, Israel and Turkey relies not only on the powerful and technologically advanced aircraft fleet of these countries, but also on short-range and medium-range ground-based missile systems, developed by Turkey and owned by the Saudi Arabian army.

It is well known about the existence of royal Saudi strategic missile forces, armed with which can be located around 50 — 100 Chinese medium range ballistic missiles (MRSD) DF-3 (“Dongfeng-3”), delivered to the kingdom in an export version with a powerful RF AMF 2,15 tonnes . The rockets were sold to the Saudis at the end of the 80s, and the exact number and condition of their avionics is now virtually unknown. We only know that the signing of the contract and the control of the delivery of products from the Middle Kingdom to Western Asia were carried out under the close supervision of the American special services.

All arsenals are located deep in the territory of the kingdom (in the southwestern and central parts of the Arabian Peninsula). TPK missiles are stored in well-protected underground repositories, invulnerable to the well-known non-nuclear warheads of Iranian BRs, and therefore the SSR will be able to use the entire effective missile potential against the industrial and transport infrastructure of the IRI. And today, the Iranian Air Force does not have a decent response to this threat.

But after the start of operation of the upgraded version of the C-300PMU-2 "Favorite" such an answer will undoubtedly appear. The complex is capable of hitting ballistic targets at speeds up to 10000 km / h at altitudes above 30000 meters. If you consider the possible use of Saudi "Dunfans" against Iran, then just over the Persian Gulf missiles will move to a descending part of the trajectory, and therefore fall into the high altitudes of the Iranian C-XNUMPPMU-300, and even a couple of divisions of the complex will be able to destroy flying DF-2 long before entering the battlefield.

Even more interesting is the situation with the ambitious missile program of the Turkish research institute TUBITAK. In a short period of time, the Institute managed to develop and build several prototypes of operational-tactical ballistic missiles and MRBD, which were to satisfy the ambitions of the Turkish Defense Ministry in the possibility of operational strikes on enemy targets within 300 - 1500 km from the Turkish border. OTBR “Yıldırım 1 / 2” has already passed flight tests over Turkey, successfully tested and more advanced MRSD (range 1500 km). But Turkey itself "dug a hole" of its own missile program. Having committed the barbaric destruction of the Russian Su-24M, Turkey forced the Russian Armed Forces to give an asymmetrical response, which completely eliminated all future uses of Turkish BRs.

The fact is that the main strategic directions of the use of Turkish rocket armament belong to the eastern and southeastern air directions, where Armenia, Syria, Iran are located (the main opponents of the West in the region). And in all sectors of the Turkish border (also in the Armenian direction), the C-400 “Triumph” positional areas have been deployed, which create an irresistible aerospace “shield” for Turkish ballistic missiles. Even MRBM with a relatively large radius of action will not be able to “jump over” the high-altitude borders of the “Triumph” defeat, and therefore this program can be considered unpromising for a very long period of time.

From now on, the glorious family of the “Three Hundreds” began to take part in the most dangerous and significant for our allies episodes of the “big game”, where delay and “diplomatic decision” will increasingly go to second place.
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  1. aszzz888
    aszzz888 12 January 2016 06: 47
    +6
    So we are witnessing the active provocation of Iran by the Saudis to confront precisely at the moment when 4 modernized Russian S-300PMU-2 “Favorite” air defense systems were not yet received by the Iranian Air Force


    However, the Iranians have already recalled their lawsuit against Russia, on the S-300.
    And the Saudis snatch their own from Kuwait, and not bad!
    1. -Traveller-
      -Traveller- 12 January 2016 09: 44
      +1
      what about sa and kuwait? I somehow do not know.
    2. The comment was deleted.
  2. Amurets
    Amurets 12 January 2016 07: 12
    +2
    In the Rossiyskaya Gazeta, in the special project "Russian Weapon", there is a message dated 23.11.2015/300/300 that Russia began deliveries of S-XNUMXs, but it is not clear what option exactly.
  3. inkass_98
    inkass_98 12 January 2016 07: 23
    +2
    Now it remains to beat the pots with Iran, as happened with Turkey. One hope for a more adequate leadership of the Persians and their sound foreign policy.
  4. qwert
    qwert 12 January 2016 08: 49
    +1
    Intercepting Saudi DF-3 missiles (Dongfeng-3) launched over Iran ... This is the right approach. There is nothing for the Saudis to climb into Iran. It would be nice for them to click on the nose harder. At the same time, oil would climb up, you look, and the ruble would strengthen. They got it already with Qatar and Bahrain.
  5. v.yegorov
    v.yegorov 12 January 2016 08: 50
    +1
    This conflict is beneficial not only with the American, but also with the Saudi “bell tower”, since any military confrontation in the region of the Persian Gulf will automatically significantly increase the cost of a barrel of oil, which will sharply increase the income of Saudi Arabia as the second country on the planet in terms of oil reserves (268 billion barrels).

    And from the Moscow bell towers what a joyful ringing will spread! Iran urgently needs to sell not only the S-300, but also the export version of the Caliber. And in general, excellent prospects will open up for the trade in weapons capable of resisting modern Western weapons. So let's observe from the outside, which is more effective - "Su" or "Mirage" and "Phantom"?
  6. Belousov
    Belousov 12 January 2016 09: 06
    +1
    Wait and see, of course, but there is not a tangle of contradictions in the first millennium and is unlikely to end peacefully at the same time. The most difficult questions concern religion. If you can somehow solve everything with economic interests, then religious ones usually end in the most bloody way.
  7. 31rus
    31rus 12 January 2016 09: 14
    +2
    Dear, everything seems to be right, but what do you really think that the SA itself is capable of war with Iran? And the fact that Israel is still only going to strike at Iran and doesn’t bother you doesn’t bother you, but in Iran it wasn’t S-300, there were sanctions, there was isolation of Iran, and technically and according to intelligence by Israel, I’m on the head of equipment and more knowledgeable than the SA, I am silent about motivation, so the SA is capable of the maximum, these are provocations and accusations of Iran, and with the delivery of new air defense systems (I’m sure not only), the ghostly chances of the SA in general are not selling, the important factor is Russia with a base in Syria, better than an air defense system, so that Iran is self-confident
    1. padded jacket
      padded jacket 12 January 2016 13: 10
      +1
      Quote: 31rus
      Dear, everything seems to be right, but what do you really think that the SA itself is capable of war with Iran? And the fact that Israel is still only going to strike at Iran and doesn’t bother you doesn’t bother you, but in Iran it wasn’t S-300, there were sanctions, there was isolation

      Neither the regimes of Saudi Arabia nor Israel can cope with Iran on their own, but by uniting these two rather aggressive and unpredictable states, they can at least try to do this.
      Therefore, in order to stop terrorism, which Iran is a fighter against and to protect it from the aggression of the SA and Israel, we need to supply it not only with additional S-300 but also "Torah" and "Armor" (by the way, it is in line to receive them) and in general help create air defense for the entire country.
      Again, at the expense of delivering military aircraft to Iran from Russia or China or some other country - the sanctions for the supply of offensive weapons to Iran (and the aircraft belong to them) have not been lifted and will continue for about five more years. But there is one thing - BUT - the supplies may be allowed by the UN Security Council by a special resolution.
      1. Lord blacwood
        Lord blacwood 12 January 2016 15: 36
        0
        "Torah" is already in service with Iran.
  8. arsenks
    arsenks 12 January 2016 09: 26
    +6
    It is a pity the Turks stopped flying over Syria, the S-400 complex would not hurt to try out on the new F-16s ...
    1. -Traveller-
      -Traveller- 12 January 2016 09: 47
      0
      according to Syrian Kurds, Turkish helicopters supposedly as before calmly fly back and forth, carry "humanitarian aid"
      1. Whatabout
        Whatabout 12 January 2016 11: 56
        0
        Do you offer to hit helicopters from S-400?) It will be greasy. But seriously, helicopters most likely fly below the radio horizon, in other words, in the mountains, and not a single ground-based radar sees them there.
      2. The comment was deleted.
  9. Butchcassidy
    Butchcassidy 12 January 2016 09: 28
    +1
    Quote: aszzz888
    So we are witnessing the active provocation of Iran by the Saudis to confront precisely at the moment when 4 modernized Russian S-300PMU-2 “Favorite” air defense systems were not yet received by the Iranian Air Force


    However, the Iranians have already recalled their lawsuit against Russia, on the S-300.
    And the Saudis snatch their own from Kuwait, and not bad!


    Maybe it meant Yemen, not Kuwait?
    1. -Traveller-
      -Traveller- 12 January 2016 09: 49
      0
      maybe the local marshal can not bother with such subtleties laughing
  10. Gray 43
    Gray 43 12 January 2016 10: 09
    0
    Iran alone cannot be covered by S-300, it is necessary to strengthen short-range air defense, electronic warfare systems, update the air fleet, then jackals will not dare to attack, but there is no time for such steps, oil is cheaper, and the Saudis have a budget like a torn bag
  11. Support
    Support 12 January 2016 11: 53
    0
    All these dodges in whom the borzometer rolls over are afraid of military losses .... so our 300, etc. good deterrent ....
  12. voyaka uh
    voyaka uh 12 January 2016 12: 09
    0
    Patriot PAC-3 Saudi have not yet received. They are covered by Patriot PAC-2 -
    and also very successful.
    With a dozen downed Scuds.
    Patriot is the only missile in the world that can boast shot down
    real BR (not targets) in real, not polygon conditions.
    1. Butchcassidy
      Butchcassidy 18 January 2016 09: 05
      +1
      Quote: voyaka uh
      Patriot is the only missile in the world that can boast shot down
      real BR (not targets) in real, not polygon conditions.


      Maybe because there are still no people who want to shoot towards those who have the S-300?

      Apart from the United States, no one else has experience in using nuclear weapons. But this does not bother anyone - neither China nor Israel.
    2. Butchcassidy
      Butchcassidy 18 January 2016 09: 09
      0
      Quote: silver_roman
      It would be just super to arrange the supply of su-30SM (MKI). The main thing is to interrupt the proposal of the Chinese in the form of a clone - j-10A.

      Quote: mvg
      j-10A is not a clone. This is an independent development. It is based on the Jewish "lavi". Much cheaper than the Su-30MK. SM - version only for Russia. J-11B is a clone of the 30-ke.


      Su-30 and J-10A are cars of different classes. It is not constructive to compare them both in price and in other parameters.
  13. dvvv
    dvvv 12 January 2016 14: 18
    +8
    Quote: voyaka uh
    Patriot is the only missile in the world that can boast shot down
    real BR (not targets) in real, not polygon conditions.

    - and how does the flight of the dense SCADA be covered in any way and used in a single variant under ideal conditions for shooting down differs from the target which is shot down at the training ground? Someone jammed, distracted, scattered false targets, or did SCUDES change the flight path? These were ideal targets that sometimes hit the target.
    1. Lord blacwood
      Lord blacwood 12 January 2016 15: 46
      +2
      Iran does not have electronic warfare equipment capable of "jamming" Patriot, but BR is much more modern than SCUD
    2. aksakal
      aksakal 12 January 2016 21: 22
      0
      Quote: dvvv
      and how is the flight of the dense SCADA uncovered and used in a single embodiment in ideal conditions for shooting down differs from the target which is shot down at the training ground?

      - Well, the warrior Uh is pleased with the very fact of this "combat" use of amerskih air defense systems. The fact that these ancient "Scuds" as targets will be easier than modern Russian target missiles - well, after all, it's still not combat use))))
      1. voyaka uh
        voyaka uh 13 January 2016 12: 22
        0
        "real" combat "use of amerskih air defense systems" ///

        Why combat quotation marks? The adversary does not warn
        as at the training ground, when-from-to-where-there will be a blow.

        For example, Russian Su-30, Su-34, Tu aircraft bomb ISIS positions. This is a real combat use, sharply increasing the rating
        these aircraft and proving their high combat efficiency.
        Although ISIS has neither air defense nor electronic warfare equipment.
  14. Lord blacwood
    Lord blacwood 12 January 2016 15: 43
    0
    Iran has mountainous terrain that interferes with aviation. But the BR SA is not a precision weapon, they can only be hit against large targets. If there were cruise missiles, then the SA would be completely superior. And so she has little experience.
  15. 123321
    123321 12 January 2016 15: 45
    +5
    S-400 through the eyes of Syrian journalists.
    1. Mikhail Krapivin
      Mikhail Krapivin 12 January 2016 16: 07
      +1
      Cool cartoon :)
      1. Erg
        Erg 12 January 2016 22: 04
        +1
        The girl is also wow. I like it. Their language, however, is funny.
  16. silver_roman
    silver_roman 12 January 2016 16: 28
    0
    the second went a trickier path.

    Saudis also at a loss to themselves, very heavily brought down oil prices, which hit our budget.

    Iran is an extremely promising market. It would be just super to arrange the supply of su-30SM (MKI). The main thing is to interrupt the proposal of the Chinese in the form of a clone - j-10A.
    Su-30SM is well mastered and is available in sufficient quantities. I think for 3 years pieces of 50-60 can be easily delivered.
    The main thing is to pay, and not as usual - on our loan, which we then write off.
  17. mvg
    mvg 12 January 2016 18: 58
    0
    Quote: silver_roman
    j-10A

    j-10A is not a clone. This is an independent development. It is based on the Jewish "lavi". Much cheaper than the Su-30MK. SM - version only for Russia. J-11B is a clone of the 30-ke.
    The fact is that you will have to sell on "debt", and the return is in question, suddenly the regime will change again, and Russia, like the USSR, will remain on "beans" before. It's easier to offer them a Su-27 from the Russian Air Force in real money. They also need planes right away, and not 5 units a year ..
    MKI - India