The Fiscal Times about the new arms race

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Increasingly, there are statements about the new arms race. The situation in the international arena is constantly deteriorating and countries are forced to pay great attention to their armed forces. The old confrontations of countries are sharpening, and also new players appear, defending their interests. The attention of most analysts focused on the armed forces of the United States, Russia and China. It is these states that are believed to fight with each other in the future for the title of world leader. One of the tools of such a struggle will be the armed forces.

The Fiscal Times about the new arms race


The United States, Russia and China pay great attention to the development of their armies and are trying to provide them with everything they need. With a certain reservation, these processes can be considered a new arms race. Nevertheless, the development programs of the armed forces have several specific features that allow some specialists to doubt the outcome of the current race. 16 September The American edition of The Fiscal Times published an article by David Francis Here's the Proof We're Losing the Arms Race to Russia and China (“Evidence of our lagging behind Russia and China in the arms race”). In this article, the journalist examined the features of the military programs of the three countries. As is clear from the title, D. Francis came to a disappointing conclusion for the United States.

His article D. Francis began with a reminder of the military budgets of countries. So, the United States continues to spend more on defense in the world. The US military budget is about three times the Chinese and 500 billion dollars more than the Russian. This or a similar ratio of budgets will remain in the future. Nevertheless, each country has its own peculiarities in the development of finances allocated for defense. The result of this specificity is a certain advantage of Russia and China over the United States in the beginning of the arms race.

The United States, starting a war against international terrorism, increased its defense budget. In the future, if no significant changes in strategy occur, defense spending will be gradually reduced to 600 billion dollars a year. At the same time, D. Francis recalls, over the next six years, Russia will increase its military budget to almost $ 700 billion. China does not lag behind Russia and gradually increases defense spending. Thus, the United States is reducing the military budget, and their main competitors are increasing.

The author of the publication Here's Proof We're Losing the Losing the Arms Race to Russia and China confirms his words with several tables illustrating the change in the military budgets of the three countries over the past few years. They clearly show the fluctuations of US defense spending and the constant growth of the budgets of Russia and China.

Referring to Robert Haddick, an employee of the US Special Operations Command and author of the book Fire on the Water: China, America, and the Future of the Pacific, D. Francis writes that in the past ten years, Chinese defense spending, adjusted for inflation, is increasing annually on 10-12%. Every 7-8 years, China’s military budget doubles. Thus, China is a serious danger to the United States, even in terms of the defense budget.

Naturally, one budget increase is insufficient. In favor of the United States, an argument can be made regarding absolute numbers: the US military budget is still larger than the Russian and Chinese. However, D. Francis notes that not only expenditure is important, but also their structure. It is necessary to consider not only how much money is spent on the armed forces, but also how it is done.

The Russian and Chinese military are investing in the most modern weapons and military equipment. As an example of such practice, the American journalist cited Russian multi-purpose nuclear submarines of Project 885 Ash, the first of which was accepted into the Navy in July, as well as Russian Tankswhich, with equal combat capabilities, are much lighter than American ones. China in recent years has been successful in unmanned and rocket technology. In addition, there is reason to believe that China and Russia have an advantage over the United States in the field of cybersecurity.

Meanwhile, the US military continues to implement several new projects and are upgrading existing systems. In this case, as noted by D. Francis, some American projects can be considered unsuccessful, for example, the development program of the F-35 Lightning II fighter. Existing expenses forced the Pentagon to take appropriate measures. The US Department of Defense is interested in creating new technologies aimed at increasing the profitability of new projects.

In early September, US Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel spoke about the current situation and prospects. According to him, at present, the US military power has a decisive military and technological advantage over all likely adversaries. However, this advantage is not guaranteed in the future. China and Russia are actively trying to reduce the existing backlog by implementing long-term comprehensive programs for the development of the armed forces.

Potential opponents of the United States are currently developing advanced weapons of various classes, including those intended for the destruction of ships, aircraft, rockets and spacecraft. In addition, work is underway in the field of cybersecurity, electronic systems, etc. All of these weapons and other systems can be used to level the existing advantages of the American army.

According to R. Haddick, the Pentagon should take into account such threats and make further plans, considering them. Otherwise, the American strategy may become outdated, which will lead to a radical change in forces in some regions, for example in Southeast Asia.

The article Here's Proof We're Losing the Arms Race to Russia and China ends with a sad conclusion for the US military. D. Francis believes that the only thing that China and Russia cannot do in the current situation is a meaningless waste of money. The Pentagon, in turn, is one of the main embezzlers of public money in the United States.

The article by D. Francis is of great interest because it is a peculiar view from the other side: the situation with the armed forces of several states is considered by an American journalist. In addition, a number of statements are supported by references to other publications and summary tables. Thus, the conclusions of the article “Evidence of our lagging behind Russia and China in the arms race,” with a certain reservation, can be considered objective.

Indeed, China and Russia are still losing the US in the amount of their military budget. Nevertheless, even in conditions of relatively less funding, the Russian and Chinese military continue to implement a number of important projects, the purpose of which is the construction of new equipment, as well as the creation and development of military infrastructure. Recent events and news of the three countries directly say that the increase in defense spending has a positive effect on the state of the armed forces. At the same time, however, the amount of money allocated does not always translate into quality.

It is precisely on this problem that D. Francis concentrates. So, the F-35 fighter project used by him as an example is slowly moving towards completion, but its cost passed 50 billions of dollars a few years ago. This feature of the project causes claims from specialists, politicians and the public, however, work continues.

Thus, if in the near future a new arms race begins, in which three large and powerful states will take part, the United States must take a number of measures aimed at preserving the existing advantages. Otherwise, the likely opponents of the United States, taking into account the strategy of the Pentagon, will be able to develop their tactical techniques and create systems that will reduce or completely eliminate the existing gap in forces and capabilities.

It is not yet clear when exactly Russia and China will be able to compete on equal terms with the United States militarily. Nevertheless, it is already clear that promising defense projects should be started as soon as possible, and this applies to all participants in a possible arms race. Only a timely start of the development of new systems and strategies, full funding and control over the work will allow the three countries to maintain the status quo or change it in their favor.


Based on:
http://thefiscaltimes.com/Articles/2014/09/16/Here-s-Proof-We-re-Losing-Arms-Race-Russia-and-China
17 comments
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  1. +6
    23 September 2014 08: 43
    well, even nuclear weapons equalize the chances of life at all times !! and in time gives an incentive to cool hot heads! and the army must always be strengthened !! for respect!
    1. +2
      23 September 2014 10: 51
      And another thing: who will not feed his army, will feed someone else’s soldier
  2. +2
    23 September 2014 08: 58
    I think the states have already passed the peak of their development. The time has come for Russia and China.
    1. +3
      23 September 2014 09: 08
      Well, I’m not sure about the account, we still have to catch up and catch up with the amers.
      There are many things in Russia that are "unparalleled in the world," the question is how much of this is in the troops.
      1. 0
        23 September 2014 15: 52
        Quote: Alexey M
        Well, I’m not sure about the account, we still have to catch up and catch up with the amers.
        There are many things in Russia that have no analogues in the world,the question is how much of this is in the troops.

        units (really new, not modernization already available), and in the conditions of the announced unification it becomes scary ...
  3. vvdmitriyvv
    +6
    23 September 2014 09: 34
    do not flatter yourself! the usa has a powerful economy and industry! what we need for decades they can do in a matter of years! We have a lot of work in this area, but industry growth, training is not yet visible ... only we intensively export gas for that and we live ... the picture is not so rosy so far ... maybe the Chinese will help with technology ... then it will be possible catch up with the USA! Of course, even now they can grab 3.14-inches, but it is better to increase the momentum of industry and improve the quality of education so that less blood is shed! But it seems to me - we won’t have time ... Today we are closer to war than ever! WWII started with less ...
  4. +2
    23 September 2014 09: 45
    At the same time, D. Francis recalls, over the next six years, Russia will increase its military budget to almost 700 billion dollars.

    - This is something incredible! Inflammation of the brain.
    1. ksandr45
      +3
      23 September 2014 09: 50
      I think his article is a hint not to cut spending on defense within the United States, but to increase turnover. Type of lobbying so to speak. I think someone was paid to write this science fiction. Up to 700 billion in six years. Well, yes, if only people switch to pasture
  5. +1
    23 September 2014 09: 53
    Well, you saw yesterday what long-term weapons programs we have. I then felt that the article was not a report from the Ministry of Defense, but an example of black humor
  6. 0
    23 September 2014 10: 12
    Of course, Pentalgon has the largest military budget, but if there are hundreds of military bases around the world, is it any wonder that money for new weapons comes much less? And the cost of similar models of military equipment in the United States, China and Russia is very different and not in favor of the first.
    1. +1
      23 September 2014 10: 27
      I’ve heard many times about hundreds of military bases (because there are fewer on the continental part), but I’m not going to sit down and count, as well as Russian objects scattered throughout the vast country. The base in my understanding is a place of deployment of units and formations, and not a helipad with a fence and a hangar.
    2. The comment was deleted.
  7. 0
    23 September 2014 10: 36
    the article is clearly custom-made and is designed to increase the defense budget.
  8. +1
    23 September 2014 10: 58
    I would not pay much attention to this article. It should be noted that in the states there is a large arms lobby, therefore, paid articles in the form - The Guard! The Russians are coming, and the Chinese are covering them! Unfortunately, we are catastrophically lagging behind in electronics, especially in the element base, as we have seen now, after the sanctions. It is necessary to determine the vector of development and, having bit a bit, work in this direction. I would like to sweeten the pill, the Americans will never get from their soldiers the spirit and dedication that our Russian soldier has. In this we were and will be a nation of winners!
  9. 0
    23 September 2014 18: 02
    Indeed, China and Russia so far lose the United States in the amount of their military budget.

    This line is repeated in the article several times (with a similar meaning). It is necessary to take into account not only ridiculous weapons programs like F-35, but also more than 1000 (!!!!!!) bases all over the planet, which also require funding. The Russian Federation has no more than a dozen of them abroad.
    The army of syshya is huge and technologically advanced, but it is also scattered throughout the entire planet. In order to attack Iraq, they pulled all their weapons for half a year. At present, such activity, in principle, cannot be ignored. I am sure that in reality not one of even the most dumb politicians in Syshua (such as McCain) thought to "solve the issue" of the Russian Federation with the military might of Syshya. This is unreal and utopian. At least half the population died in a nuclear flame. And a war with conventional weapons (assuming that it starts and will not involve nuclear weapons) will last an extremely indecently long. About NATO countries, I generally keep quiet. Misfits in one word. The operation in Libya showed it.
    In general, there is one sadness. Humanity is already in the 21st century, but in fact we have not progressed anywhere in all time. They just started to kill themselves more skillfully. How much potential is in our race and the whole devil is directed to know where. We need evolution ... a lot, a lot of evolution !! fellow
  10. 0
    23 September 2014 21: 13
    At the same time, D. Francis recalls, over the next six years, Russia will increase its military budget to almost 700 billion dollars.

    So what does this expert use? According to SIPRI, in 2011 in the Russian Federation the military budget amounted to $ 72 billion; in 2013 - $ 88 billion; and by 2020 will be $ 700 billion ???
    Either Mr. Francis is sitting on something heavy, or we are waiting for a sharp drop in the dollar.
  11. Denis fj
    +1
    23 September 2014 21: 20
    A bunch of Putin-Shoigu, raises the Army! And while they are working, I personally am confident for the Army! We can talk about these or those
    airplanes or tanks, but for sure our designers do not sleep and prepare weapons for the next generation! We just don’t know much, but seeing how the Army has changed in a couple of years, we can imagine what will happen next.
  12. aba
    0
    24 September 2014 00: 40
    On the other hand, this article pretty well shows that cutting the budget is not a Russian invention.
  13. +1
    24 September 2014 01: 25
    "... the project of the F-35 fighter is slowly moving towards completion, but its cost exceeded $ 50 billion a few years ago. project feature causes complaints from experts, politicians and the public, but the work continues. "(c)
    ___________________________________
    Judging by the amount of money withdrawn from the pockets of American taxpayers, we can assume that this is our project to inflict significant damage on the US economy. laughing
  14. 0
    26 September 2014 12: 50
    A more advantageous electromagnetic weapon is bam, and in the Middle Ages they themselves will be destroyed in half a year, come to take apart ..))