Royal Navy. Generation gap
The Royal Navy is going through some tough times in its long history stories, and the gap is not yet visible.
Well-known facts: out of 11 frigates of type 23, 7 are actually combat-ready, the remaining 4 are a big question mark. The first type 26 will enter service in 2028, unless another force majeure event occurs. The first type 31 – in 2027.
In addition to the well-known problems with the number of ships, shipbuilding and ship repair are no less important. If the ships of the previous generation (type 42 destroyers, MAPL Trafalgar) took an average of two to three years to build, now the period has increased to 6–10 years. "Glasgow" company "BAE Systems" promises to commission it in 2028, i.e. 11 years. On production ships they promise to reduce this period, but this is still written with a pitchfork.
Similarly, the problems of ship repair, if in the 23s a major overhaul with the modernization of a Type 3,5 frigate took an average of one and a half years, now it takes about 4–100 years, although it can sometimes be longer. Almost the entire period of service life extension, the ship is under repair, after which it is written off. About XNUMX million ft. Art. flying down the drain of the ship's cat.
This is currently the situation with four Type 23 frigates located at the Frigate Maintenance Center in Portsmouth. If they are repaired for four years, they will come out of repair in time for the Glasgow to enter service. Therefore, most likely, they will be written off and used for spare parts.
The Vengard SSBN was undergoing major repairs for 7 years instead of the required two. And apparently, the repairs were not of very high quality, since the boat has been off the east coast of the United States for three months to test launch the Trident SLBM. Usually this happened much faster.
Now about what will replace the current ships. The MAPL Estute and the destroyer Dontless will expire in 2035. All Type 2038 destroyers must be decommissioned by 45.
And while destroyers, with proper repairs and modernization, can have their service life extended, the situation with submarines is much more complicated. If there are some shortcomings, you can get a parliamentary commission to investigate the circumstances of the death of His Majesty's ship. And the lawyers will not miss the opportunity to remove the last trousers from the Admiralty.
Type 83 destroyers and promising MAPLs exist only in sketches. If their construction begins now, which is unlikely, then they will en masse not have time to go into operation within the specified time frame.
Both Albion-class UDCs are still in the “operational unavailable” status. The Anglo-Saxons have such a cunning formulation that ranges from “tomorrow we’ll put it in capital” to “we’ll soon write it off and forget.” More likely the second option.
This leads to the next problem. If there is no UDC, then the fleet there is no need for a marine brigade, since three Bay-class ships can only accommodate two battalions with reinforcement units. How this problem will be solved is still unknown.
The same problem occurs with the Fort Victoria universal supply transport. For now it is waiting for repairs, but it’s hard to say how this wait will end. And without it, the deployment of British AUGs is a big question, since naval tankers of the Tide type can take on board and transfer to the sea while moving a certain amount of solid cargo. However, the problem is that this number is small. The situation is also unclear.
It is still unclear what forces and means the Royal Navy is going to go on the “Great Eastern Expedition” in 2025.
Well, last on the list, but by no means least important, is the personnel.
Since 2000, Royal Navy personnel have fallen by 24% (as of 1 January 2024) to 32, which includes 590 Marines who are now also in doubt.
In terms of rank and file (as of January 24, 2024) - 19 sailors, 470% of the fleet's regular needs. Although, if you subtract vacationers, sick people, etc., the percentage will decrease accordingly. Moreover, the trend does not inspire optimism. Every year, fleet personnel are reduced by approximately 86%.
This is, in brief, the situation in the Royal Navy at the beginning of 2024.
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