Romania as a possible threat to the PMR
In general, after the Great Patriotic War, Romania is perceived as a military force somewhat anecdotally in Russia, their military “successes” on the battlefields affected. Nevertheless, like the whole world, Romania moved forward, and now it is not an army of peasants on an antediluvian technique, but quite a force on the scale of the region. And the force is relatively combat-ready.
Navy
I confess, I love the sea and ships, I'll start with them. From Romanian fleet, or more precisely – Forţele Navale Române, if in Romanian. Its main strength is the British-built frigates (two units) of the 22 type (second series). The ships are not new, from the first half of the 80s, and are practically disarmed (anti-ship missiles and air defense systems have been dismantled, a 76-mm gun has been installed). And one frigate is Romanian, built as a cruiser under Ceausescu. The ship turned out to be unique, carrying P-20 anti-ship missiles, but weak Defense.
There is also a submarine, project 877E, but it is not running and is unlikely to be resurrected (it has been in storage since 1997). These forces are supplemented by four corvettes 1048/1048M, essentially a frigate without rocket weapons. The newest of them is 26 years old. There are also three 1241 missile boats. Other small stuff can be ignored, except for a fairly strong river flotilla and the 307th Marine Battalion. Plus their own combat swimmers. Frankly speaking, it's junk, but it's quite suitable against Moldova and Ukraine or as a cover for NATO's flank. The Romanians don't need more, except to update their composition, but these are not the times of Ceausescu, when the Romanians built ships for themselves, now is different.
Air Force and Air Defense
It is difficult for Romanians with air defense - 40 Cubes and 29 Osa-AKM. The Germans handed over ZSU "Gepard" in the amount of 36 pieces, in stock (2 x 35 mm) 72 pieces. All hope is for US missile defense and air defense.
It is also difficult with aircraft: 36 - MiG-21 LanceR; 12 - F-16; 6 - C-27J Spartan and 68 helicopters produced under French license.
MiGs are old, radically modernized by Israel from hopelessness, and in principle unable to reach the level of modern ones, one of them was shot down by Ukrainian air defense, the rest are still decommissioned, there were rumors about their transfer to Ukraine. They went, but died out, for junk. There are also 20 IAR-99 Shoim training aircraft capable of acting as attack aircraft with a combat load of up to a ton.
But in general, for a secondary country, the Air Force is quite decent, especially in the field of supporting the ground forces.
Ground troops
Here... it's different.
...the main headquarters, two infantry divisions and the headquarters of one multinational division, separate brigades, including the 6th special forces, an anti-aircraft missile regiment, a security regiment, training and rear formations, other units and subdivisions. Infantry divisions include 3-4 brigades (motorized infantry, mechanized or mountain infantry), artillery and anti-aircraft missile regiments, as well as separate combat and rear support battalions... The ground forces are armed with about a thousand tanks, 1 armored combat vehicles (AFVs), more than 500 artillery systems and up to 1 multiple rocket launchers (MLRS).
The problem is that tanks are T-55s and their Romanian modifications, AFVs are represented by Soviet armored personnel carriers and their Romanian clones (including even the BTR-60).
In general, a typical Warsaw Pact country - a bunch of used equipment in an incomprehensible condition, slightly diluted used, but from NATO, a contract army for 70 thousand people and limited combat experience - Angola, Afghanistan, Iraq, where the functions of the Romanians were more like police .
Tasks
If the task is to go to the current battered Armed Forces of Ukraine, this is very unlikely, they can enter Odessa only with the consent of Kyiv, otherwise even what is there will be enough for the Romanians entirely. If you fight with the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation... Without NATO intervention, this is a Romanian suicide, with it, it is also a suicide, but worldwide. If the operation against the PMR is in alliance with Moldova (about 5 people) ... in theory, enough for the PMR. Still, 000 thousand regular soldiers are quite capable of defeating, having superiority in air, artillery and armored vehicles, an equal number of reservists. But the losses will skyrocket.
Therefore and history with Romanian imperialism, widely circulated in the media, should be seen as an element of political pressure on Moscow. Even in alliance with Kyiv, all this, with the advance mobilization of the PMR, will look like a gamble, and multiplied by Kyiv's weakening of its Southern Front, which is fraught with a breakthrough of the RF Armed Forces to Odessa.
The only option is that the leadership of Transnistria will not conduct training and mobilization itself, but this is extremely unlikely. Otherwise, the Romanian army is nothing more than an element of NATO, and the element is secondary and not so important in the overall balance of power. And hardly anyone will dare to ruin its personnel for the sake of a dubious adventure.
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