21 April edition published an article by Dmitry Orlov, "Russian Missile Tech has Made America's Trillion Dollar Navy Obsolete" - "Russian rocket technology made obsolete the US fleet worth a trillion dollars." The subtitle stated that times change, and America can no longer project its military power as it did in Iraq. These days are irretrievably gone.
The author begins his material with an excursion into history naval fleets. In the past 500 years, European states such as Portugal, the Netherlands, the UK, Spain and, to a lesser extent, Germany have been able to plunder the rest of the planet, for which they used powerful fleets. A significant part of the world's population lives along the coast, and trade is conducted mainly using waterways. Thanks to this, the ships that arrived from nowhere could impose their will.
Armada past could rob, impose tribute and punish the recalcitrant. Then the funds received were used to build new ships that were needed to expand empires. All this allowed a small region with limited natural resources and some initial advantages to dominate the world over half a millennium.
The current heir to such a naval imperial policy, the author of Russia Insider, calls the United States. With a huge network of military bases around the world and with floating airfields, aircraft carriers with numerous aircraft, this country can impose Pax Americana ideas on the entire planet. Rather, she could do it - for a short period between the collapse of the Soviet Union and the emergence of new global powers in the form of Russia and China. New superpowers have modern developments in the field of anti-aircraft and anti-ship weapons. As a result, the “US imperial project” is coming to an end.
The author recalls that in the past, the United States did not risk directly threatening the allied countries of the USSR. Nevertheless, the available naval power allowed them to control the sea freight, primarily oil and petroleum products. America managed to initiate the sale of oil only for dollars. She was able to issue debt in her own currency and force other countries to invest in them. It became possible to import everything desired, paying with borrowed money and “exporting” inflation. In addition, the actual expropriation of savings of people around the world was carried out.
These processes led to the formation of a staggeringly large public debt. The US debt has never been so great, neither absolute nor relative. D. Orlov reminds that undermining such a “debt bomb” will lead to a financial catastrophe that will affect not only the United States, but also other countries. Such catastrophic processes will begin after the US naval and air superiority can no longer provide a steady flow of “petrodollars.”
Further, the author proceeds to consider the main threats to American naval power. He points out that the new missile technology significantly reduced the cost of the battle against naval armada. Used to fight powerful fleet required ships superior to the enemy in speed and firepower. That is how the Spanish armada was defeated by the British Royal Navy. In the recent past, this meant that only a country with comparable industrial potential could fight the United States. Therefore, most states could only dream about it.
Now the situation has changed. Russia has at its disposal new missiles capable of flying a thousand kilometers and breaking through the enemy defenses. Only one such rocket will be able to sink a destroyer, and two will cope with an aircraft carrier. With such weapons, the American fleet can be sunk without its own powerful naval grouping. The relative size of the military budgets of the United States and Russia are now irrelevant. Russian industry will be able to produce hypersonic rockets much faster than the American - aircraft carriers.
The author also calls the progress significant in the field of air defense systems, expressed in the form of S-300 and S-400 complexes. Where these systems are deployed, for example in Syria, combat aviation The US is forced to refrain from active action.
As superiority at sea and in the air is rapidly declining, the United States may be forced to use large expeditionary forces. This option is unpleasant politically, and also was not justified during the operations of recent years in Afghanistan and Iraq. There is also a solution with the use of nuclear weapons, which so far cannot be neutralized. However, nuclear weapons are only useful as a deterrent. Its special value lies in the ability to prevent the development of conflict with the transition of a certain point. However, these events are associated with the complete destruction of advantages in the military-air and naval sphere. The author also recalls that in some situations, nuclear weapons are not just useless, but also dangerous. Aggressive behavior against a country with its own nuclear potential may be a real suicide.
Currently, according to D. Orlov, the United States is in a difficult situation, which, in fact, is one big financial problem. The country is facing outstanding debt and insufficient income. In this situation, a very unpleasant discovery is the fact that no nuclear explosions in various parts of the world can solve the problems of a collapsing empire.
The author recalls that the events testifying to the most serious changes in the world themselves look insignificant. Thus, the transition of Julius Caesar through the Rubicon was just a crossing over the river, and the meeting of the Red Army and the American soldiers on the Elbe was, conventionally speaking, a secondary event, in its scale inferior to the blockade of Leningrad, the Battle of Berlin or the fall. However, all these small events were signals of a “tectonic shift” in the historical landscape.
In the light of such arguments, the author considers the latest events. Not long ago, something similar could be observed during the “ridiculously tiny Battle of Eastern Guta” in Syria. Under the pretext of an alleged chemical attack by government troops, the United States and its allies launched a full-scale missile attack on several airfields and other facilities. American politicians responsible for actions in the international arena tried to demonstrate that they still play a leading role in the world and are able to make decisions. However, in practice, the air and naval forces showed themselves not in the best way.
All this, according to Russia Insider, is terrible news for the military and political leadership of the United States. In addition, congressmen will not be happy with such results of combat work, in their constituencies there are defense industry enterprises or army facilities. Also, the latest news may strike at defense enterprises, military base personnel, etc. Finally, all this is terrible in terms of economics. At the moment, defense spending is the only effective means of stimulating the economy available to Washington.
If you recall the events of the recent past, the administration of Barack Obama tried to stimulate the economy with the help of the so-called. Shovel-ready jobs. It was assumed that such projects would prevent a sharp decline in the level of participation in the workforce (a kind of euphemism for denoting a decrease in unemployment). There is also another plan for solving the same tasks, which is to invest big money in the company SpaceX Ilona Mask. At the same time, purchases of vital rocket engines from Russia continue, which in the meantime plans to stop such deliveries in response to sanctions from the United States.
If, however, to remove the incentive protecting it from the economy of the United States, the consequences, according to Russia Insider, will be the saddest. The American economy will first make a roar, followed by a hushed whistle.
The author indicates that all interested persons and structures will now do everything possible to hide current problems as long as possible. No one should understand that American foreign policy and the military are now virtually neutralized. However, he believes that the sea and air forces of the United States will not suffer any crushing defeat from the enemy. In addition, they will not be disbanded after the current problems of a military-technical nature become apparent.
According to D. Orlov, the collapse of the United States Air Force and Navy will look different. Due to the lack of sufficient funding, they will have to drastically reduce their operational activities. Before they finally “surrender”, several new loud strikes are possible. But in the future they will have to listen mainly to complaints. So, as the author recalls, the Soviet Union was leaving, and such a fate was prepared for the United States.
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The controversy over the upcoming economic collapse of the United States has been going on for years, but the most radical forecasts are not yet justified. At the same time, very interesting trends were clearly manifested in the field of armaments and military equipment. They cannot be a direct confirmation of an emergency catastrophe for the United States, but they significantly change the situation and affect the balance of power. In addition, new types of weapons and equipment can influence the policies of certain states towards each other.
The article of Russia Insider rightly notes that modern anti-ship missiles are a convenient and cost-effective means of protection against armadas of a potential enemy. Just a few missiles that have broken through the warrant's defenses can sink any ship and prevent the enemy from accomplishing the tasks assigned. At the same time, in accordance with current views on defense, Russian anti-ship missiles are based on land, water, under water and in the air.
The situation is similar in the field of air defense systems. In this area, our country occupies a leading position, and produces the most modern means of protection of different classes. The range of products allows Russia or any foreign country to create a layered air defense system that can cope with all relevant threats. At the same time, the development of anti-aircraft complexes continues, and in the near future several new products of different classes should be put into service.
If economic or political processes can be a subject of controversy, then in the field of armaments the situation is clear. Russia can respond to a potential threat from the United States by a number of its new developments, which have already been adopted or are close to it. New Russian armaments are capable of leveling the characteristic advantages of the American armed forces. And this may have a negative impact on the further development of the army and the US economy. Whether Russian missiles will be able to launch the processes predicted by Russia Insider, time will tell.
The article “Russian Missile Tech Naked Obsolete”: https://russia-insider.com/en/russian-missile-tech-has-made-americas-trillion-dollar-navy-obsolete/ri23242.