What will the Russian army get in 2018-2020 years. Costs and supplies
As it has been repeatedly noted over the past few months, the development of a new state program has been going on since the end of last year. This process should be completed soon. According to the latest data, the program will be approved in the autumn. Thus, no later than November, it will become clear exactly how the military and political leadership intends to modernize the armed forces in the next few years.
The new state program has not yet been approved and not published. However, individual reports received in the recent past, as well as certain well-known data, allow us to imagine how the further modernization of the army will take place. In addition, there is already some information about the cost of the necessary work. All these data can be used to compile an approximate picture. In the future, as new information becomes available, it will be updated and corrected.
The new state program will be implemented until the middle of the next decade. At the same time, in the first years of its operation it is planned to solve one of the main tasks of the current rearmament. At the beginning of the tenth year, it was announced that by 2020 the share of new weapons and equipment in the army should be 70%. To date, this task has been partially solved, and for the remaining few years it is required to bring the share of new products to the required level.
Implementation of such plans is expected to be associated with fairly large expenditures. After analyzing the needs and plans, the Ministry of Defense initially demanded trillions of rubles for the new 30 State Program. Subsequently, the government announced its intention to cut military spending, and the rearmament estimate was reduced to 22 trillions. At the moment, even smaller numbers are relevant - 17 trillion rubles. As follows from the available data, the new State program is drawn up precisely in the light of such funding.
The main costs under the State Program will be related to the financing of the development of promising projects and the purchase of new weapons, equipment and other military products. The Ministry of Defense has previously managed to announce plans for certain projects, which makes it possible to form a rough idea of future purchases of one kind or another.
For obvious reasons, a special place in the new program should be occupied by updating the armament of strategic nuclear forces. Purchases of new equipment for all their components are already underway within the current program, and will not stop even after its completion. Strategic missile forces, the naval component of the strategic nuclear forces and the long-range missile forces will have to receive new material parts by 2025 aviation.
According to reports, at the very end of the current decade, the intercontinental ballistic missiles R-36М of mine-based will begin to be replaced by new products PC-28 "Sarmat". With the implementation of all existing plans, such missiles by the mid-twenties will be built in a rather large series and will become an important element of the containment system. At the beginning of the twenties, the process of decommissioning the RT-2PM2 Topol-M complexes, which will be replaced using PC-24 Yars systems, can start. According to various estimates, by 2025, the first samples of the Barguzin railway complex can be built.
During the execution of the current state program for 2011-2020 years, several strategic cruise submarines of the 955 and 955 "Borey" projects were laid. Currently, five such ships are at different stages of construction. All of them will be completed and handed over to the customer in the period of the new State program. However, according to available data, all funding for this construction will be carried out under the current program. Serial production of P-30 missiles "Bulava" for these submarines has already begun and, apparently, will continue in the period from 2018 to 2025 years.
The air component of the strategic nuclear forces will be replenished, primarily through the construction of new Tu-160 aircraft. At the moment, construction of fifty such machines is planned, and the first representatives of the new series will be assembled during the future State Program. New types of weapons have already been created for strategic aviation, which should be produced at least by the end of the current decade. In addition, it cannot be ruled out that in the twenties, new missiles of one class or another will come into service.
Not so long ago it became known how the modernization of the ground forces equipment fleet will be carried out. So, until the beginning of the next decade, the Ministry of Defense plans to continue the modernization of existing tanks on current projects. At the same time, by 2020, the army will receive hundreds of promising T-14 Armata tanks. Already after the start of the new State program, the start of serial production of armored combat vehicles on the new Kurganets-25 and Boomerang platforms is expected. According to some reports, in the course of the future program, the entire ground forces will receive the “Warrior” equipment.
The next program will have to provide for the purchase of a large number of existing and future types of aircraft. Strategic aviation will receive upgraded and new aircraft of several types. The tactical echelon will be replenished with Su-30CM, Su-35С, MiG-29 fighters of the latest modifications, etc. It can be expected that in the 2018-2025 year, the Aerospace Forces will receive a noticeable amount of the newest Su-57 (T-50 / PAK FA). It should also be assumed that during this period deliveries of various helicopters, transport aircraft, UAVs, etc. will be carried out. It cannot be ruled out that fundamentally new complexes will appear in the field of unmanned aircraft.
Similarly, should be the case when upgrading parts of the air defense of the composition of the ground forces and videoconferencing. In parallel with the production of the already existing C-400 “Triumph” or “Pantsir-C1” complexes, the new systems will have to go into series. The most anticipated novelty in this area is the promising C-500 air defense system.
Of great interest is the update fleetplanned for implementation in 2018-2025. Currently, several expensive and ambitious programs of particular importance to the Navy are being implemented in this area. According to available schedules, by 2020 the fleet will receive several multi-purpose and strategic nuclear submarines. It can be assumed that the completion of the current construction of new Ashenes and Boreevs will allow the armed forces to place new orders for equipment of this kind.
We should expect a serious update of the surface fleet. The shipbuilding industry has already reached a serious pace and regularly delivers new ships of different classes to the customer. In the period under review, these trends will be maintained. At the same time it is possible to build ships of new projects. So, by the mid-twenties, the construction of a universal landing ship of the new project "Avalanche" or "Surf", the leading destroyer of the type "Leader", could start. Also, according to some statements of responsible persons, in the foreseeable future, the launch of the construction of a new aircraft carrier is not precluded.
Obviously, the new State Program will also affect the issue of naval armaments. It was during this period that the advanced Zircon anti-ship missile, capable of significantly increasing the combat potential of ships and submarines, would have to go into service. In parallel with similar products, the industry will be able to produce existing types of rockets.
From a certain point of view, the new State Armaments Program, designed for 2018-2025 years, will be similar to the current state program, which is planned to be completed by 2020. For some time, the industry will have to continue to produce older types of products, but at some point it will be supplemented with completely new products and samples. By the end of the program, the share of new designs will naturally increase and lead to understandable consequences for the state of the armed forces.
One of the main objectives of the current state program, which ends in 2020, is to bring the share of modern weapons and equipment to 70%. Part of the work in this direction will also be transferred to the new program, starting as early as next year. Due to the partial overlap of the two programs, the modernization process will continue and will eventually yield the desired results.
According to known data, during the formation of the program, the required funding for the state program was significantly reduced. Instead of the trillion rubles originally required by the 30 Ministry of Defense, the treasury will be able to allocate only 17 trillions. Nevertheless, such expenditures will significantly improve the material part, although some projects are likely to undergo some kind of reduction. However, despite the limitations, the military department may find opportunities to implement the most ambitious projects, such as the construction of a new aircraft carrier.
According to known data, at present, specialists from several structures are engaged in the formation of the final version of the new State program. These works should be completed as soon as possible. Until the end of autumn the program will be approved and accepted for execution. The first works in accordance with this document will start at the beginning of the next 2018 of the year. It cannot be ruled out that by this time the Ministry of Defense will publish certain details of its new plans. Subsequent messages in the context of the state program will also be of great interest.
On the materials of the sites:
http://tass.ru/
http://ria.ru/
http://rg.ru/
http://lenta.ru/
https://russian.rt.com/
http://bmpd.livejournal.com/
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