What could be 22 Jun 2.0

The fact that the top Soviet leadership experienced 22 in June 1941 of the year experienced a strong shock and lost its ability to act meaningfully for several days is a fact. The debate on this issue today is actually only about the details of what happened in the last week of June in Moscow. Of course, this situation greatly contributed to the success of the Wehrmacht in the early days of the war. However, then the Soviet leaders still came to their senses and began to act. The strongest of these actions was the evacuation of industry to the east. That was the first step to the collapse of the German campaign. It was possible to form the Red Army "second convocation", and then the "third convocation." And in the end, to win what at first was so hopelessly lost.

Today, however, something else is more interesting: how would the present Russian leadership behave in a similar situation? After all, it does not follow from anything that such cannot take shape. Moreover, in what is happening today, there is much in common with the events of 1939 – 41, when the enemy was quite openly preparing for aggression against us, and we were fraternizing with us, confident that they were protected by pieces of contracts.
So how can 22 Jun 2.0 be?

* * *

20 has just arrived ... year. Russia is in the traditional New Year anabiosis. It is late evening 2 in Moscow in January, in the Far East the next morning, in Siberia - deep night.

At 4 in the morning hours of January 3 local time, two dozen Mi-17 helicopters with Chinese special forces on board at extremely low altitudes, not detected by anyone, cover the distance from the border in Fuyuan to Khabarovsk in a few minutes and land at the them. Lenin, where there is a lot of empty open space. By a surprising coincidence, it is in this very place in a very unpresentable building that the PRC consulate in Khabarovsk is located. It also acts as a point for assault landing, at the same time providing illumination of the landing site using spotlights on the roof of the consulate itself and from the football arena (the electrical substation is surprisingly located in the visa department of the consulate). At the landing site, commandos immediately receive transport — minibuses standing in numerous garages near the back wall of the consulate, and also openly in its yard. On these minibuses along the empty Amur Boulevard, they reach the train station in 5 minutes and immediately seize it, thus immediately cutting Transsib. The other part of the assault forces turns from Amursky Boulevard to Serysheva Street, capturing the VBO headquarters located there. After that, the city begins shooting of the leadership of the SBI and the Far Eastern Federal District (a tip to the right addresses is provided by the consulate workers and representatives of the local Chinese diaspora).

After receiving at the headquarters of the People's Liberation Army of China (PLA) a message about the success of the operation in Pain (this will now be the name of Khabarovsk), WS-2D MLRS begin to work from the depths of Chinese territory, the fire of which is adjusted drones. After working for about half an hour, they completely “plow into the ground” all the objects of the RF Armed Forces (about three dozen brigades of ground forces, air bases and regiments of the Air Force and Air Defense) in the Amur and Jewish Autonomous Regions, Zabaikalsky, Primorsky and Khabarovsk Territories. All ships and submarines of the Pacific Fleet based in Vladivostok are also sent to the bottom. The firing range of the Chinese MLRS is quite enough for this (up to 400 km), especially since most of the objects being destroyed are located in close proximity to the border.

At the same time, the Chinese “Second Artillery” (analogue of the Strategic Missile Forces) and the Air Force deliver a massive strike using airplanes, ballistic and cruise missiles, as well as combat drones to the missile divisions of the Strategic Missile Forces in Irkutsk, Uzhur, Barnaul and Novosibirsk, at the same air defense targets and ground forces regions and in Buryatia. At the same time, the PLA Navy aircraft carrier compound inflicts a massive air and missile attack on Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky and Vilyuchinsk, after which the landing of the naval assault begins.

Two or three hours after the start of the operation (deep night at night in Moscow), the reserve divisions of the PLA, concentrated in advance along the border under the pretext of the exercises, cross the ice of Amur and Ussuri at hundreds of sites simultaneously. These parts and connections are equipped with old equipment and are staffed by poorly trained personnel, but there is no one to resist them. The command and command of the Supreme Soviet of the Russian Federation and its main forces were destroyed by a sudden blow, rare centers of resistance were quickly suppressed by the mass of Chinese troops. The main opponents of the PLA are the weather and distances, but this is not a problem for the Chinese command. The old and “cannon fodder” that broke down on the Russian roads is not a pity, the main thing is that the troops successfully occupy the territory, at the same time capturing the security bases of the armed forces of the Russian Federation conveniently located in full safety.

The PLA Air Force, meanwhile, is beginning to strike at the facilities of the Air Defense Forces of Kazakhstan, and regular units of the Lanzhou Military PLA cross the border with this country and several wedges are beginning to advance into Kazakhstan. By the evening of January 3, the 15 th airborne corps of the PLA is brought into battle, one division captures Yakutsk, Astana and Ulan Bator.

In Moscow, with great difficulty, they come out of hibernation, trying to understand what is happening and what to do. However, the Chinese ambassador to Moscow is himself at the Foreign Ministry of the Russian Federation and officially reports that Chinese radio and TV have been transmitting for several hours: the two-hundred-year period of humiliation of the great Chinese nation by the imperialist powers has finally been completed. The nation has revived its former greatness and rejects all the unjust and unequal treaties imposed by the imperialists, primarily Russia. The ambassador does not consider it necessary to listen to babble about the “strategic partnership”.

Part of the Russian leadership is on vacation in Europe, and some of the vacationers for some reason cease to get in touch with the Kremlin and the White House. Those remaining in Moscow are aware of the monstrous reality: east of the Urals, the Russian Armed Forces in relatively combat-ready condition have one tank brigade (in the Chelyabinsk region), three motorized rifle brigades (in the Sverdlovsk and Kemerovo regions and on Sakhalin), as well as one MiG-31 interceptor air base in the Krasnoyarsk Territory. It seems that something has survived from the group in Buryatia, but the connection with the troops is extremely unstable. At the same time, there are reports of train crashes at once in several sections of the Trans-Siberian Railway along its entire length east of the Urals due to the deliberate destruction of the railway track. Thus, there is nothing to defend the eastern part of the country, there is no possibility to transfer reinforcements. In addition, the Chinese invasion of Kazakhstan poses a real threat to their exit in a few days already in the European part, in the Western Urals and in the Lower Volga. The armed forces of Kazakhstan are too small to provide real resistance, moreover, they are beheaded after the capture of Astana by the Chinese landing. Moscow is asking for help in Brussels and Washington.

Brussels promised to convene an emergency session of the NATO Council during the week. However, statements from Warsaw, Vilnius, Riga and Tallinn immediately follow that China in the 19th – 20th centuries became the same victim of Russian imperialism as Poland and the Baltic countries, therefore its actions are completely legitimate. And it’s absolutely certain that these countries will never provide military assistance to Russia in any form and the whole of NATO (where decisions are made by consensus) will not be given. In Brussels, as well as in Paris, Berlin, London, Rome, they sigh with relief: there, too, no one was going to fight for the Russians, and, in fact, nothing, but it is important that now there is someone to blame the refusal.

Nobody ever hoped for impotent European allies in Washington, they frantically try to understand whether it is necessary to help Russians alone, and if so, in what form, in what volumes and under what conditions.

Meanwhile, the Chinese "cannon fodder" is successfully advancing deep into Russia, suppressing minor centers of resistance and continuing not to pay attention to broken equipment and frostbitten soldiers. They encounter the first serious resistance in Buryatia, where part of the Russian Armed Forces grouping really survived after an air strike, moreover, through local efforts they managed to carry out at least some mobilization. The first real Russian-Buryat strike turns the Chinese reservists to flight. Alas, the happiness is short-lived, since the grouping of 16, 38, 39 and 54 army PLA ground forces, with strong air support, enters unhindered on the already captured Russian territory. These are no longer reservists, but perfectly prepared regular units, armed with the latest technology. Having quickly crushed the Russian grouping, they come to Baikal, overcome it on ice and seize Irkutsk. The road to the west is completely free for them, and in the east almost all of the inhabited Russian territory is already under the control of the PLA. Moreover, in this territory there are far more cases of collaborationism than attempts to organize resistance.

Moscow is trying to start a general mobilization, but the mobilization system has long been collapsed, many Russians, vacationing abroad, refuse to return, moreover, those who stayed in Russia are beginning to flee. Begins seriously considering the use of nuclear weapons, and not only and not so much by the advancing Chinese troops, who advanced to the outskirts of Krasnoyarsk and entered Astana already by land, as well as through enemy territory.

Here, however, events occur that decide the outcome of the war. Russian (as well as, of course, American) reconnaissance satellites suddenly discover in the central part of China more than 800 mobile launchers of ICBMs and MRBDs. Some of them have already been installed in the combat position, some are in the stowed position. After a few hours of rockets, there are already more than a thousand, and the location of many of them has changed. After a few more hours, the missiles become over one and a half thousand. After that, the Chinese media officially declares that the leadership of China no longer considers it necessary to hide the size of its nuclear missile arsenal: these are 745 MBR and 1256 MRBD, while the total number of nuclear charges of various classes is 8,5 thousand units.
Although some analysts in Moscow and Washington say that a significant part of the launched missiles may actually be layouts, others object that layouts are unlikely to be so mobile and that conversations about the system of caves and tunnels, where Chinese missiles are hiding, turned out to be true . Most importantly, no one has the slightest desire to check the version of the layouts in practice.

Washington finally washes its hands, officially declaring non-intervention in the war. Moscow understands that now even mutual guaranteed destruction will not work. Destruction will indeed be guaranteed, but, alas, not mutual. China will survive the deaths of several tens of millions of people, he in his stories and not so worried. Russia, on the other hand, has no chance of survival. Moscow agrees to negotiations with Beijing and, consequently, to its terms.

The peace treaty is signed on February 23 in Boli, in a building where VBO headquarters were located just two months earlier. The official border between the PRC and the Russian Federation is restored in accordance with the Nerchinsky Treaty of 1689 of the year and the Kyakhta Treaty of 1727 of the year. Most of the Trans-Baikal and Khabarovsk Territories, the Amur Region, the Primorsky Territory and the island of Kuedao (now known as Sakhalin), as well as the Republic of Tyva, go to China. The South Kuriles return to Japan (Beijing has always fully supported Tokyo on the Kuril problem). The rest of the territory of the Russian Federation east of the Yenisei is transferred to China for an indefinite lease for 10 billion dollars a year. At the same time, in the closed part of the contract it is stipulated that a similar amount is annually transferred to the personal accounts of several top managers of the Russian Federation. The territory between the Urals and the Yenisei remains under the jurisdiction of the Russian Federation, but is declared completely demilitarized, neither Russian, nor Chinese troops, nor, even more so, third-country troops can be deployed here. In this territory, citizens of the People's Republic of China receive the same rights as citizens of the Russian Federation, including in terms of residence and employment. Similar rights are obtained by the Chinese in Kazakhstan. This country refuses the presence of armed forces and gives permission to host the “limited contingent” of the PLA. CSTO, Customs and Eurasian unions are declared dissolved. Mongolia finally and permanently returns to China.

NATO and the UN officially declare that they are satisfied with such a quick and peaceful resolution of the conflict. At the Pentagon, the generals and admirals are in frank delight: now the money will flow to them, because it is necessary to restrain the colossally strengthened China.