US increasingly serious about the Chinese army and navy

American experts from the RAND Research Center prepared a report that modeled the results of possible military conflicts between the United States and China. The result was that if the 90 victory in any case remained for the United States, now the outcome of the military confrontation in a number of parameters will not be so obvious, the Defense news publication notes. Article leads newspaper Look.




Analysts considered two options for the development of conflicts: "in the zone closest to China, that is, the conflict over Taiwan, and the far zone - over the strategically important Spratly Islands, claimed by six states, including the PRC."

In the end, they recognized that in two decades, the PLA had evolved from a large but poorly armed mass into a capable modern army. The ten parameters analyzed were as follows:

«The ability of the Chinese to attack the US Air Force base. Analysts say that China is able to hit the nearest American airbases with short-range ballistic missiles, which they have about 1,4 thousand. Even a small part of this arsenal is enough to disable the base for several weeks, so the American aviation will have to fly long distances from bases in Alaska, Hawaii and Guam. According to this parameter, analysts note a slight superiority of China in the conflict in the near zone and parity when it comes to the far zone.

Air superiority. Currently, half of China's fighter aircraft are equipped with fourth-generation aircraft. This in itself has reduced the gap between the capabilities of the two countries. However, if prior to 2010, US superiority was overwhelming, now, according to the report, there is parity in the near zone and a slight superiority in the US in the far zone.

The ability to penetrate Chinese airspace. The development of the Chinese air defense system has made it much more difficult to operate in China’s airspace or near its borders. In 1996, Chinese ground-to-air missiles were mostly replicas of old Soviet-made systems. By 2010, China put into service about 200 installations with a more complex target search system with a range of up to 200 km. The capabilities of the US Air Force, equipped with stealth technology, still allow them to penetrate the airspace of China. However, while in 90 it was possible to talk about the superiority of the United States, now there is parity in the near zone and a slight superiority of the United States in the far.

The capabilities of the United States to attack the base of the Chinese Air Force. High precision development weapons gave the US a number of advantages and opportunities that can be used during a possible conflict over the island of Taiwan. As a result, according to this parameter, Americans have an advantage in the near zone and a significant advantage in the far.
China's ability to fight US surface ships. Analysts state that the armed forces of the PRC have reached such a degree of combat capabilities that they could threaten US aircraft carriers with anti-ship ballistic missiles. Despite the fact that these missiles are vulnerable to missile defense systems, American generals now have to realize that the Chinese have opportunities to attack aircraft carriers, and these opportunities will only increase. In addition, the Chinese have a better situation with intelligence, including satellite. In addition to ballistic anti-ship missiles, the American command should also take into account the improvement of Chinese submarines with cruise missiles and torpedoes, the report concludes. So here, analysts have come to the conclusion that China has a slight advantage in the near zone and parity in the far zone.

China's ability to fight US surface ships. Analysts state that the armed forces of the PRC have reached such a degree of combat capabilities that they could threaten US aircraft carriers with anti-ship ballistic missiles. Despite the fact that these missiles are vulnerable to missile defense systems, American generals now have to realize that the Chinese have opportunities to attack aircraft carriers, and these opportunities will only increase. In addition, the Chinese have a better situation with intelligence, including satellite. In addition to ballistic anti-ship missiles, the American command should also take into account the improvement of Chinese submarines with cruise missiles and torpedoes, the report concludes. So here, analysts have come to the conclusion that China has a slight advantage in the near zone and parity in the far zone.

US capabilities to attack Chinese warships. The US military is making great efforts to prevent the landing of a Chinese landing force on Taiwan. According to the report, US submarines, airplanes and ground forces would have destroyed up to 40% of the Chinese landing ships, after such losses the landing group would not be able to preserve integrity and unified management. However, China is improving anti-submarine helicopters and ships, and continues to build up the grouping of amphibious ships. China’s amphibious capabilities have doubled since 1996. However, in the event of a conflict over Taiwan, the United States will have superiority here, and in the far-field zone this superiority will be even greater.

US capabilities to counteract Chinese space systems. While China is increasingly dependent on satellites, and in addition, information is being received on the development of weapons capable of destroying spacecraft, the United States began to fund the development of anti-satellite weapons from 2002. In addition, it is reported that the US is developing high-energy laser systems to disable the optical sensors of Chinese satellites, and ballistic missiles to shoot them down.

China's ability to counter US space systems. China conducted several tests of kinetic anti-satellite missiles. In addition, China is developing laser systems that can damage satellite equipment. According to the report, the threat to American satellites is estimated as significant. In both of the last parameters, the authors of the report consider the forces of the parties approximately equal.

Cyberwar. Despite the fact that the US government has repeatedly been subjected to serious attacks by hackers supported by the PRC, the report shows that there are no particular problems with the US computer networks in the event of a conflict. As, however, and China, despite a certain advantage among the Americans.

Nuclear stability. This parameter evaluates the state of the country's nuclear forces in the event of a nuclear strike on it and, accordingly, the ability to strike back. China is constantly developing its nuclear forces and is putting into service new ICBMs, in particular DF-31 / 31A and modernized DF-5. The Chinese Navy received a sea-based ballistic missile JL-2. Despite this, the number of US warheads refers to the Chinese as 13 to 1, so China has no way of delivering an unanswered blow. ”

Commenting on the report by US researchers, Vasily Kashin, a Russian military analyst and editor of the Moscow Defense Brief magazine, noted that the PLA’s military capabilities have indeed grown, and to such an extent that they are superior to those of the United States.

“Even in the area of ​​the Spratly Islands, the Chinese already have an advantage due to the fact that they are constantly present in the region, and the Americans must be forced there by forces from around the world. In addition, the Chinese have asymmetric capabilities associated with their large fleet of modern and high-precision ground-based missiles. In this region, the Chinese are indeed an extremely dangerous adversary for the United States. A collision will have unpredictable results. Already at greater distances the Americans will have an advantage on a global scale. But near its borders, China can challenge anyone. ”- concluded Kashin.
Photos used:
STRINGER / Reuters
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  1. Dr. Bormental 19 September 2015 11: 00 New
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    Americans become paranoid. Quite a cover has moved out on the fetish of militarism. The whole world was discredited, now they are afraid of answers. Calculations are carried out, who can insert a pin deeper into them ..
    It is necessary to conduct Russian-Chinese exercises more often. Let the mattress have what’s called “it has darkened in my eyes, it has warmed in my pants”
    1. MIKHAN 19 September 2015 11: 07 New
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      Quote: Dr. Bormental
      Americans become paranoid. Quite a cover has moved out on the fetish of militarism. The whole world was discredited, now they are afraid of answers.

      Something I don’t like when the United States begins to "stoop" ...
      Yes, the alignment in the world has changed .. But the United States is insidious and cunning! They have a place to throw a "lit match" ... They are waiting for the right moment! China is strong, but they have no experience ... They will stir them up, if not figs to do (if without Russia)! I think so ... hi
      1. oleg-gr 19 September 2015 11: 14 New
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        Report to squeeze money out of the budget. Undoubtedly, the Chinese army has progress in development. Here are the "experts" link one to the other. Previously, the Soviet Union tried to confront the world in the military field and overtaxed. Now the US is on this path.
        1. yuriy55 19 September 2015 12: 25 New
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          Previously, the Soviet Union tried to confront the world in the military field and overtaxed.

          The USSR has never sought to oppose peace in the military field. To have superiority in the quality of weapons - YES! And the USSR “overcame” for a number of reasons and circumstances where the US-sponsored arms race (YES! It’s imposed, we were catching up, barely recovering from all the shocks of the Great Patriotic War) played a role in weakening the economy.
          The US is on a different path. Developing instability in the regions, escalating tensions through various means (religious contradictions, economic claims, economic and political blockade, support of opposition forces, etc.) sell their, notably, not very high-quality weapons. After all, the arms trade is one of the most profitable ... yes
        2. varov14 19 September 2015 17: 23 New
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          The USSR was opposed by the Americans to whom it was so, the rest of the world was somehow on its side, we were not going to fight, except that we could slightly support the “brothers” in ideology.
      2. Baikonur 19 September 2015 11: 17 New
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        But the USA is insidious and cunning!
        The kittens are not sewn too! + more Reason and Wisdom, a calm assessment of the situation.
        They will be mixed up, if not figs to do (if without Russia)! I think so ...

        And it seems to me that they (the Chinese) are much stronger in spirit, and if the batch starts (of course it will be very powerful), then anyway, in the end, China will win. Moreover, they have worked out a program for mobilizing as many as 400 people at a time (!), And already having an idea of ​​a particular weapon, ready to lie with their bones for their homeland!
        Russia, of course, will also have to harness it.
        And the US Army is a rabble of gays, like mercenaries from other poor countries, employees who would get a green card, and not risk their lives for a mattress on a flag stock!
        1. sherp2015 19 September 2015 15: 24 New
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          Quote: Baikonur
          And it seems to me that they (the Chinese) are much stronger in spirit, and if the batch starts (of course it will be very powerful), then anyway, in the end, China will win. Moreover, they have worked out a program for mobilizing as many as 400 people at a time (!), And already having an idea of ​​a particular weapon, ready to lie with their bones for their homeland!


          the Chinese have a huge number of extra people. therefore, it’s not worth anything for their government to slander hundreds of millions of people in some sort of conflict ...
      3. Dr. Bormental 19 September 2015 11: 21 New
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        the Americans, in my opinion, the “masons” —drink around the corner and into the bushes, but China —that's where the trick is eastern. One must be careful with these than with fire.
      4. The comment was deleted.
      5. Tusv 19 September 2015 11: 23 New
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        Quote: MIKHAN
        They will be mixed up, if not figs to do (if without Russia)! I think so

        Correctly consider. The war in Korea was stopped by the direct intervention of the PLA, we were there too, but as Li Xi Qing
      6. Dryuya2 19 September 2015 11: 39 New
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        The United States takes the Chinese army and navy more seriously The United States takes the Chinese army and navy more seriously

        But what about the US Army ???
        Quote: MIKHAN
        The USA is insidious and cunning!

        laughing hitryyyy - here are the "bastards"
        WP: an open pederast may for the first time become Secretary of the US Army
        The US President emphasized the exceptional leadership qualities of Eric Fanning, whose candidacy still needs to be approved by the Senate, reports The Washington Post.
        MOSCOW, Sep 19 - RIA News. For the first time in the history of the American department, US President Barack Obama may appoint a homosexual minister for the army, reports The Washington Post. This post, according to the publication, may take Eric Fanning, who does not hide his gay sexual orientation.
        more details:
        http://ria.ru/world/20150919/1262332482.html
        1. Dryuya2 19 September 2015 11: 44 New
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          Quote: Dryuya2
          open pederast for the first time ...

          from there laughing
          "Eric has many years of successful experience and exceptional leadership skills, making him the ideal candidate for this position," Barack Obama said.

          good
          1. Basarev 19 September 2015 12: 19 New
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            Only the salt is that the United States is far away, and China is here at hand. And he didn’t hide the cards with yellow Siberia. According to the mind, we should stop the senseless butting with the West, take root with the United States and work together China, once and for all eliminating the greatest threat at our borders and returning our rightful property.
            1. Karlovar 19 September 2015 14: 01 New
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              After such a legalization, a little later, the United States will clear out the greatest threat to their world hegemony-Russia !!! There have already been many times in the history of Anglo-Saxons: in World War II they were an ally of the USSR ... then they declared the Cold War (and won, by the way, in 2-1991); at the beginning of the 1993th century they were allies in the anti-Napoleonic coalition, then they became opponents in the Crimean War; they were allies on the Entente in World War I, they also financed the February coup of 19, they also intervened in Soviet Russia ...
            2. Amurets 19 September 2015 14: 49 New
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              The answer for Bosarev! Think about what you write. If you want to know about the cards? Learn the story and not get the hell out of it. The yellow cards indicate the territory that China owned until 1858 under the Nerchinsk Treaty. The Aigunsky 1858 and Beijing 1860 treaties set the final preliminary demarcation between Russia and China. demarcation of the border dragged on until 1995, and at that time, corrupt officials could draw the border where they wanted. Finally, all territorial disputes were resolved in 2004.
      7. sir_obs 19 September 2015 12: 44 New
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        If all the Chinese run out of China at once, the Earth will tilt. So, mixing is not so easy. As they joked before, they have one anti-tank platoon -800 people. With wrenches and screwdrivers, I don’t even have time to shoot the tank, as the Chinese will take it apart.
      8. mmk
        mmk 19 September 2015 16: 01 New
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        Only their camouflage under our forest, and not under the US megacities and even more so their desert in the west.
  2. AdekvatNICK 19 September 2015 11: 02 New
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    America nikakayuschy in land operations. Only able to fly to bomb some small country with dead air defense.
    1. Amurets 19 September 2015 15: 02 New
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      China is the same! Remember the conflicts in Daman, Vietnam-China and Sino-Indian wars. But China is invincible in economic wars!
      1. Karlovar 19 September 2015 21: 10 New
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        Poguglite Imdzinskaja vojna ... Eto, pravda, korejsko-japonskaja vojna 16-17 vekov, no Kitaj tam aktivno ucastvoval.
  3. Vladimirets 19 September 2015 11: 04 New
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    Despite the fact that US government bodies have repeatedly been subjected to serious attacks by hackers supported by the PRC, the report shows that special problems with US computer networks should not be expected in the event of a conflict.

    And they think that the Chinese have used all their capabilities ?! This is probing the soil.
    1. Tor5
      Tor5 19 September 2015 12: 55 New
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      And in pants already imposed!
    2. The comment was deleted.
  4. gelezo47 19 September 2015 11: 05 New
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    Something too late mattresses drew attention to the combat effectiveness of the Chinese army. China has something to fight. And the one-sided superiority of America goes down in history ... soldier
    1. fif21 19 September 2015 12: 18 New
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      Quote: gelezo47
      Something too late mattresses drew attention to the combat effectiveness of the Chinese army. China has something to fight. And the one-sided superiority of America goes down in history ... soldier

      Yes! Moreover, the mattresses pushing Russia away, dug a hole for themselves. Only they will pickle and not remain from them
      even wet places.
    2. The comment was deleted.
  5. Same lech 19 September 2015 11: 10 New
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    US increasingly serious about the Chinese army and navy


    Yeah ... the Chinese are also serious about the United States and understand that on their way to dominance in the Pacific, only one serious opponent is the United States.


    China will not tolerate US dominance in the Asia-Pacific region .... such are the goals of CHINA and RUSSIA, the Chinese should be helped in this noble work of building a multipolar world.
  6. Tusv 19 September 2015 11: 13 New
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    The capabilities of the US Air Force, equipped with invisibility technology, still allow them to penetrate the airspace of China

    This paragraph is for all channels. Invisibles walk over your heads.
    And so the report is comparable to "don't let that gopher choke"
    Or the wife wanted a diamond necklace
  7. AdekvatNICK 19 September 2015 11: 18 New
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    each solves its own problems, for comparison:
    Putin ordered the creation of an air base in Belarus !!
    Obama nominated a gay man for the post of head of one of the units of the US Army
    1. Svyatogor 19 September 2015 11: 34 New
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      Regarding pido..rov from mattresses
  8. Name 19 September 2015 11: 19 New
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    Anglo-Saxons are poor, torn soon between Russia and China. Concerned.
  9. Mountain shooter 19 September 2015 11: 27 New
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    Mattresses “inflate” the Chinese dragon to look more terrible. Anti-Chinese hysteria in the states will soon be steeper than anti-Russian. Well, no other way, the Pentagon does not open the wallet to Congress. The military-industrial complex - according to the band-eared - will launch the locomotive of their economy. Will they be able to, if against this background, the tendency of crowding out the dollar is growing in the world? The Fed did not dare to start "blowing off" the dollar bubble in its economy, and did not raise the rate. For 8 years, it has been "rampant" of free money in the territory of mattress. So what? While only one public debt is growing. The economy is growing "not very."
    And the Pentagon threshes its heap. He needs cash flow growth.
  10. Dr. Bormental 19 September 2015 11: 34 New
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    But I wonder .. in the US people are generally not interested in politics? Why the negro from Brooklyn, whose dream is a burger and a stake, to pay taxes on wars around the world, if his world is an eatery, pizza and video games? Or am I biased towards U.S. residents ?.
  11. guznorodov 19 September 2015 11: 34 New
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    they (the Americans) themselves will bring to hysteria
    1. Lyton 19 September 2015 11: 51 New
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      No, with all disrespect for mattresses, they really look at things and are far from fools. Let me remind Churchill of the amers, “I always liked the Americans, they always find the right solution, after they try everything else” is a very accurate description.
    2. The comment was deleted.
  12. onix757 19 September 2015 11: 37 New
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    Damn, and yet some 30 years ago they were carrying basins from the Union.
    1. yuriy55 19 September 2015 12: 29 New
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      Damn, and yet some 30 years ago they were carrying basins from the Union.


      Let's say, not basins, but irons, household electrical appliances and appliances, light bulbs ... laughing
  13. emba-5 19 September 2015 11: 38 New
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    The article is stupid. They consider the question and insert the answer exactly from the previous one. I didn’t even finish reading.
  14. Vladimir 1964 19 September 2015 11: 43 New
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    Honestly, I did not see any serious analysis in the article. Yes, the author’s idea is interesting, but alas, the execution is superficial, and does not take into account many objective parameters, such as at least motivation and the moral and psychological component, in this matter, using the terminology of the author "in the near zone" the Yankees have no advantage .
    And the topic itself is very multifaceted, I would love to get acquainted with serious information on this topic on our website.

    Well, such a subjective opinion, Dear colleagues.
  15. Dima Čalevo 19 September 2015 11: 44 New
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    yes they lifted up their war) why for that?
    1. yuriy55 19 September 2015 12: 31 New
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      yes they lifted up their war) why for that?


      That's why the pike in the lake, so that the crucian would not doze off! wink
  16. Kupez4 19 September 2015 11: 46 New
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    It's like a joke. Let's get a guy sickened? Let's go. -Well, what if he unleashes us? -And us, then for what?
  17. alone 19 September 2015 11: 56 New
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    You would also want to look more seriously at the Chinese army
  18. The comment was deleted.
  19. atamankko 19 September 2015 12: 33 New
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    NATO and the United States have long had to reflect on their fate.
  20. yuriy55 19 September 2015 12: 45 New
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    Quote: lonely
    You would also want to look more seriously at the Chinese army


    I said: "It would also not hurt us to take a closer look at the Chinese army. yes

    In the late seventies - early eighties, when there was a joke about two million infantry on the left flank, two million on the right and "both (tanks) in the center", there was a certain euphoria from superiority. Only then, a Chinese intelligence officer in sneakers, having a little rice from food, could walk up to 100 km per day ...
    And for 35 years to prepare such a technically armed army is a clear success. yes
  21. Olegmog 19 September 2015 13: 22 New
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    I can’t believe that you can spank a steward in a day!
    But if this is so, then after such a distance,
    the scout will stop being the next day.
  22. roskot 19 September 2015 15: 32 New
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    Americans become paranoid. Quite a cover has moved out on the fetish of militarism.


    As you Americans do not fuss, and you have to move.
  23. afrikanez 19 September 2015 16: 13 New
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    I wonder how you can simulate a conflict or hostilities? Though kill, I do not understand. what
  24. cat hippopotamus 19 September 2015 19: 13 New
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    You US troops are not able to withstand even Afghan militants, although they are still warriors, albeit slightly armed. You are morally descended, a cowardly crowd with good weapons and a rotten gut, still think something of yourself that would confront the Chinese. You are an incapable army of pompous turkeys which in combat contact cost nothing like soldiers.
  25. Ze Kot 22 September 2015 11: 50 New
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    Quote: sherp2015
    the Chinese have a huge number of extra people. therefore, it’s not worth anything for their government to slander hundreds of millions of people in some sort of conflict ...



    They are the main thing for the United States to get. And there they will trample.

    And in the presence of a huge number of Chinatowns, they will also receive a mass partisan movement.