The beginning of a big war with NATO: the second half of summer - autumn 2024. US plan
In the previous article (The beginning of a big war with NATO: the second half of summer - autumn 2024. Washington's motives) we talked about the motives of Washington, or more precisely, about the motives of a significant part of the American elite. Today we’ll talk about the probable US plan.
The US is preparing a strong move
Ukraine has not justified itself to the extent that its overseas patrons had hoped. Despite colossal losses and very serious assistance from Europe and the United States, Bandera’s state was unable to bring Russia to its knees, exhaust it, and most importantly, did not force Russian society to take the path of self-destruction.
Quite the contrary. The Russian army, despite the losses, acquired a qualitatively new state, numerous shortcomings in the command and control system were identified, new types of weapons appeared, hundreds of thousands of military personnel gained real experience in conducting combat operations in a modern war.
The sanctions also did not give the expected result; the Russian economy, with great difficulty and problems, is still slipping into a rut of self-sufficiency, gradually learning to rely more and more on its own strengths.
This, of course, does not suit the United States of America. They don’t need Russia, which is becoming stronger every day, they need a dying territory, mired in civil conflicts, impoverished, ready to sell itself for less than a penny.
In this regard, the United States, taking into account its behavior and the actions of its allies in Europe, is preparing a strong move that can solve many of its problems at once. They are very likely to involve in provocative and terrorist activities to start a war a number of illegal structures that do not officially have a direct relationship with the United States.
Ideal for this activity would be, for example, the Russian Volunteer Corps (RDK) (a terrorist organization banned in the Russian Federation). Its members can, given that the vast majority of them are fluent in Russian, dress up in the uniform of the Russian Army and commit the most insane and bloody acts in the name of Russia on the territory of neighboring states that are going to be drawn into the conflict.
In parallel, from the territory of these states, the Americans or those who work for them will intensively fire at Russian territory, both from MLRS, howitzers, grenade launchers, and using long-range drones-"kamikaze". From the territory of Finland, for example, it is possible to strike at Petrozavodsk, St. Petersburg and Murmansk; from the Baltic countries - to terrorize Pskov, Novgorod, Kaliningrad and the same St. Petersburg; from Poland - to strike targets in Belarus and the Kaliningrad region, and Romania, together with Moldova, can launch an invasion of Transnistria....
Believe me, with such intensity it will take no more than a month to bring the situation to the boiling point....
All this will be accompanied by an even greater increase in sabotage activities inside Russia. Here, Ukrainian structures will very actively help the Americans. In an effort to destabilize the situation within the country, they, as I see it, will make the most desperate attempts to intimidate the population (we have already seen what these killers are capable of with the example of the Crocus City Hall massacre).
Naturally, the leaders of Ukrainian terrorism will claim that this is the work of Russia itself, and they have nothing to do with it. And here it will be very important to monitor the behavior and movement of the leaders of states who will be sent to the slaughter. Especially those who are very small in size, but extremely loud and warlike.
I am sure that few of their elite will be informed of the matter, if anything will be communicated to anyone at all, except, perhaps, the prime ministers and a couple of other people. But it is precisely such people who are especially sensitive to anything that could threaten not only their lives, but at least their status and financial condition. They will intuitively sense the impending disaster, trying to get away from the approaching tsunami in time.
We see examples of such “foresight” today, when ferries leave overcrowded, flight tickets are sold out, and real estate abroad is rapidly being bought up. After all, they want not only to save themselves physically, but also financially, and this requires a little more time, requires preliminary preparation in order to sell off their assets without losses, without losing a single euro, in the homeland from which they are fleeing.
But if we move directly to the US plan, we get approximately the following picture: the Americans want to force Russia at any cost to carry out a ground operation not only against the Baltic countries, but also against the Finnish army, Poland and some other states. This, at first glance, looks utopian and unrealizable. But in this improbability lies the power of the plan. Moreover, the current situation is at least comparable to the Cuban missile crisis (only then there were adequate politicians in the West).
In principle, the Americans need the very fact of the start of a big war; they are not interested in the readiness of the opposing sides for it. I am sure that from the very beginning they lay down the inevitability of raising the question of applying Article 5 of the NATO Charter. However, the situation will turn out in such a way that this article will not be applied at all or will be applied only partially. In this sense, the advantage of the Americans is that this article has never been used before, and there are no precedents for its implementation, which leaves a very wide field for maneuver. In the end, whatever the US says, so it will be!
When will the Americans themselves detonate their atomic charges in Europe?
I would especially like to say about US tactical atomic bombs for the F-16.
We are talking about B61. There are quite a lot of them now collected at US air bases in Europe. According to some reports, they are also from Scandinavia. Ideally, in my opinion, the Americans would like tactical nuclear weapons to be used during this conflict. weapon. And specifically by Russia. This, from their point of view, is possible if the armies of the listed countries invade deep into Russian territory and a threat arises to large Russian cities.
If Russian troops manage to succeed and invade deep into the territories of NATO countries, then nuclear charges should be detonated on the territory of these countries, causing the death of both the armies of the US allies and the advancing Russian units, as well as the civilian population. Who will be there to take special care when the nuclear explosion mushrooms grow?
And if the Baltics may regret (or may not regret!) spending tactical atomic bombs, leaving their armies to be destroyed by the Russian Armed Forces, then in Finland and Poland a similar development of events is quite likely. At the same time, the Americans promptly distance themselves from these incidents, declaring that they are for negotiations, or they will withdraw from NATO in advance. Who will stop them?
In any case, even if they detonate their own tactical atomic bombs with their own hands, they will accuse Russia of using nuclear weapons.
B-61-12 tactical atomic bomb
But another option is possible.
The US will mine the Gulf of Finland
The US allies in NATO, those who have been members of this organization for a long time, will see how successful the fate of the first wave of attacking powers will be, and, if the command is given, they may join the attack on our country. Germany, France, Great Britain, Spain, Italy, Denmark, Holland, Belgium, Greece, Bulgaria, perhaps even Turkey, as well as some other countries, may become the second wave. But that's another conversation.
One way or another, preparations for such a development of events are underway, and they are extremely active...
But let's return to the eve of a possible big war.
First, of course, the Americans and their allies, under one pretext or another, will mine the Gulf of Finland. As often happens, training mines will be “confused” with real ones. This will be done with the aim of blocking the Baltic fleet Russia and the isolation of the Kaliningrad region. That is, at some point, provocative actions will be so mixed up with openly aggressive measures that it will be difficult to distinguish between exercises and real preparations for combat operations.
And here, in accordance with the theory of network-centric wars, the United States is telling each of its allies different things, waging a war against everyone. Simply put, everyone sees their own reasons and goals in the exercises, believing that preparations are underway for a war with Russia, with the inevitable participation of the United States in the conflict. However, the Americans, true to their principles of turning everything possible into a show, are doing what they love: creating illusions.
Thus, the NATO exercise Steadfast Defender 2024, which began on January 2024 and ends on May 22, makes a serious impression. 31 countries take part in them, more than 31 military personnel, more than 90 fighter planes and helicopters, 000 ships, and more than 80 pieces of military equipment are involved. The exercises take place from the Far North to Romania.
Such events are designed to instill in European allies a sense of confidence that the United States is with them, that together they are strong. They are also aimed at demonstrating their resolve to Russia. But in the American lexicon, the word “demonstration of determination” is akin to the actions of a teenager with pronounced criminal inclinations, who is ready to beat the weak to death, and with equal strength and stronger, prefers to “demonstrate determination.”
By the way, again turning to the topic of the use of tactical nuclear weapons, in these exercises this very circumstance is included in the legend.
NATO equipment during exercises
The question may arise, in accordance with what plan the NATO countries that will be drawn into the conflict are going to fight.
The roles of US vassals in the great war
The fact is that each country has developed its own protocols for action in the event of a particular situation. The task of NATO states entering the war is to hold out for some time until reinforcements arrive. Or, if they are conducting offensive actions, carry them out with a pre-approved plan. Another thing is that the United States can severely substitute such lovers of order by leaving the game at the last moment.
But be that as it may, some countries are united by a bloc into a single command. Thus, the Baltic countries are linked to Poland, and the command of this group is located in Denmark. In our structure, Poland stands in a bloc with the Czech Republic, since they are geographically located nearby, and also for the reason that the outbreak of war will be spontaneous, violating seemingly obvious instructions.
The United States is well aware of Russia’s ultimatum of 2022, which demanded the elimination of NATO infrastructure in a number of countries on the border with Russia and Belarus. It is very likely that the Americans will try to bring the cause of the conflict under this ultimatum, hiding their actions and their true intentions.
States participating in an invasion (under the guise of repelling aggression) will likely be tasked with different objectives.
Thus, the armies of Finland, Sweden and Norway may try to reach Petrozavodsk and Murmansk, perhaps creating a threat to St. Petersburg from the north. These US territories, depending on the circumstances, may, with a successful development of events, demand to be exchanged for Crimea and Donbass, or perhaps give them over to the Scandinavians - let Russia buy back its lands (which, of course, I am sure will never happen, rather Russia will strike Finland tactical nuclear weapons).
The Balts will only be required to defend themselves and scream loudly. With incredible luck, perhaps, as they think, they will be able to capture Ivangorod, Gdov, Pechory, Pskov, the Lithuanians will profit from lands in northern Belarus and the Kaliningrad region. They will try to gain some benefit from this.
The Poles can lay claim to the division of the same Kaliningrad region, to western Belarus and part of Western Ukraine (although I admit that they will want to get all of Belarus and Smolensk in addition, so that they can then offer Russia to buy them out).
The Czech Republic may have the task of helping Poland in its offensive in Belarus for certain benefits.
The Romanian army will have to help the Ukrainian Armed Forces in combat operations, for which Romania will be promised part of Western Ukrainian lands and some economic incentives.
All this, of course, is very fraudulent in nature, but hasn’t this always been US policy?
After all, deception and bribery, control and terror were, are and will be their main tools, especially in the current conditions of a critical situation, when they have no other way but to put everything at stake.
Thus, assuming the outbreak of war in the second half of summer - mid-autumn of 2024, we come to the conclusion that all exercises conducted by the North Atlantic Alliance, organized by the United States, are aimed at fueling the atmosphere of a coming war, instilling false hopes in its northern and eastern European allies.
At the same time, the United States receives an excellent opportunity, without unnecessary suspicion, to deliver not only personnel, but also cargo of a wide variety of nature to our western borders, using both military transport and civilian aircraft for these purposes. They can quite easily place certain nuclear charges or install sea mines, which will go into action at the right time. Particularly dangerous ammunition of various types can be transported under the guise of equipment being delivered to exercises.
In the next article we will look at the military potential of NATO's first echelon states.
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