The beginning of a big war with NATO: the second half of summer - autumn 2024. Washington's motives

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The beginning of a big war with NATO: the second half of summer - autumn 2024. Washington's motives

The US and European press constantly writes that Russia's attack on NATO countries will take place in three, five, eight or even ten years - choose any period. At the same time, systematic references are made to certain intelligence data of a particular country, made public allegedly as a result of leaks.

Meanwhile, such falsehoods, designed not so much to sow panic as to spread fog, hide behind them the truly hellish plans of the behind-the-scenes leaders of the United States.



I believe that in assessing the likelihood of a major war breaking out in Europe at the end of summer - early or mid-autumn of this year (2024), one should take into account the factor of the presidential elections in the United States, which will take place on November 5. It is they, in my opinion, that will become one of the reasons for the unleashing of a bloodbath along our entire western border from the Arctic Ocean to the Black Sea.

In an effort to sit in the presidential chair and retain power, those who promote the Democrats and Biden, given his serious rating problems and the fate of the moment, will do anything to achieve their goals. They need not only to win the elections, but also to ensure the preservation of the United States as a single state, as well as its hegemonic status, and resolve colossal economic contradictions.

And I don’t want to talk here about the banal “distraction of attention from internal problems” or something similar. In this series of articles, I propose to consider the military potential of NATO states, which, in my opinion, will be sent in the first echelon against Russia in the summer-autumn of this year.

We are talking about Finland, Sweden, Norway, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, the Czech Republic and Romania.

The potential assessment will take place in blocks, of which there are four. The first block is Finland, Sweden and Norway. The second is Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania. The third block is Poland, Czech Republic. And the fourth is Romania.

Of course, the review will be of a general nature with a rough assessment of additional contingents of other NATO countries that will take part in the conflict. We will leave out the very likely deployment of NATO troops in Ukraine, since its participation will be relatively limited.

But before moving on to the merits, I would like to thoroughly explain why summer is autumn 2024.

first


Still the same Western press.

It is filled with references to the outbreak of war (at the initiative of Russia, of course) a few years later. Journalists write about this, “experts” talk about this, this or that public figure declares this, citing certain secret documents (so secret that the whole world now knows about them).

However, this seemingly “stupidity” makes it possible to convince the average person that there will be a war, but not so much tomorrow. We need to prepare for it, come to terms with military expenses, accept rising prices and unemployment, send money to Ukraine even more actively, and much, much more.

These songs about the Russian attack, which “will happen within the next 20 years,” allow you to rob the population while there is such an opportunity. The European elites are profiting from this robbery, especially from those countries that are on the “to be slaughtered” list...

However, in addition to intimidating its population with uncertainty, these conversations are designed to confuse the Russian population. It is very important for American puppeteers that everyone is in suspense, but no one really knows anything.

Let the Estonians sit in Tallinn and Pärnu, and not run somewhere far away, before it’s too late - there will be more victims. Let the Finn think that the war will happen in five, or even ten years, let him sit at home in Turku, drink beer, when the day “H” comes, and a team from the military registration and enlistment office will come for him.

Second


Signs on the ground.

Few people know that recently the Finnish airline Finnair opened a Tartu – Los Angeles line. For some reason, suddenly flights from California will regularly land at a godforsaken airport in a small Estonian town.

Are flights to the USA really so popular in Estonia?

And why did they choose not Tallinn airport for this, but the most ordinary local airfield?

In my opinion, the remoteness of this transport hub, so to speak, allows the Estonian elite, away from prying eyes, to safely board a plane and fly straight to America.

Well, as for flights from Los Angeles to Tartu, this way you can deliver a lot of interesting things to Estonia: both people and weapons or some special cargo. And this is not paranoia at all.

The fact is that immediately after Vladimir Putin’s victory in the presidential elections, all tickets on the Tallinn-Helsinki and Tallinn-Stockholm ferry lines were sold out until mid-April. At the same time, as the Estonian press reported, Tallinn Airport experienced an unprecedented influx of passengers, greater than during any holiday when families go on vacation.

A similar situation has developed in Riga, almost all seats on the ferries there have also been booked, and the number of passengers at the airport has increased sharply.

At the same time, there is a strange series of reservations from Estonian Prime Minister Kai Kallas. Thus, she has repeatedly mentioned the word “suicide” in public speeches over the past weeks. This began after her visit to the United States, where she met with Joe Biden.

It is also of interest that the defense budget of Estonia for 2025 will amount to 5–6 billion euros. This is despite the fact that the country's budget is barely 15 billion euros, and expenses exceed income. Considering the fact that almost half of the defense budget is going to be spent on the purchase of ammunition, equipment and weapons, one gets the feeling that we are not just talking about big expenses, but about gigantic schemes to embezzle funds.

The fact is that the purchased weapons will not arrive immediately, but in a year, or even several years. The fantastic cuts in spending on medicine and social security, coupled with the complete undermining of the economy, indicate that the Estonian leadership considers Estonia, excuse me, “dead.”

This also includes story with bunkers along the border due to be built by 2026. Experts noted that the amount of 60 million euros allocated for their construction, given the number of fortifications and the marshy area where they are going to be built, is, to put it mildly, not enough, this is barely enough for a third of the declared volume...

Is it really just another banal “cut” of funds?

In my opinion, all this quite eloquently indicates that the Estonian elite, like the elite of Latvia, and with an extremely high degree of probability also of Lithuania, is preparing for a very early emergency evacuation to the West. It is also noteworthy that since the beginning of this year, wealthy residents of Estonia and Latvia began to massively buy residential real estate in Spain and other warm countries (as, by the way, residents of Poland and Finland).

It is also very symbolic that if we continue to study the situation using the example of Estonia, it was not possible to find anyone willing to take the post of new commander of the armed forces of this country for a very long time.

General Herem, who currently holds this post, unexpectedly for many, wrote a letter of resignation and will retire to the reserve in the very near future. Following him, Major General Palm, who served as commander of the 1st Estonian Division as part of NATO troops, intended to retire. Several generals refused the offer to fill the vacant position.

As a result, Colonel Merilo had to be appointed future commander, who was urgently awarded the rank of brigadier general exactly on February 23. One of his first statements in his new rank was a declaration to wage war with Russia on its territory...

All this, of course, can be mistaken for mass psychosis. I do not argue. However, I believe that this could be considered mass insanity only in the absence of other arguments.


US President Joe Biden

The third


We turn again to the topic of elections in the United States.

The start of a war between NATO countries and Russia outside the framework of the conflict in Ukraine will allow the Democrats not only to destroy Trump, branding him once again a “Kremlin agent,” but also to tear the Republican Party as a whole to shreds.

And most importantly: the question of who is the boss in the United States will not be raised for a very long time, and anyone who disagrees will look like an absolute villain. In addition, by using provocations in the conflict with Russia a number of non-nuclear NATO powers, the United States of America will achieve an unprecedented consolidation of the Western world around itself, will be able to dictate its terms even more harshly to the countries of Europe, and also suppress any thought of separatism within its country beyond any framework and legal norms.

Yes, both financially and economically, if you like, such a development of events will allow American gunsmiths and bankers not only to increase their incomes unimaginably by accepting new orders from European countries and reselling the weapons of those states that have already paid for them and no longer exist, but also to earn additional money by supplying certain goods of strategic importance.

Needless to say, this course of events will accelerate the outflow of capital and production from Europe to the United States.

In addition to this, there is undoubtedly another big plus for America: bound by the war in Europe, and not only in Ukraine, Russia will in no way be able to support China in its confrontation with the world hegemon. But now Washington has the last chance to drag China into a war in Taiwan and into a conflict with Japan, and possibly into a much broader confrontation in the East.

Fourth


NATO air bases in the Baltic states, as well as in Finland, receive alliance military transport aircraft with unprecedented frequency.

Planes with weapons regularly land at the air bases of Lielvarde (Latvia), Siauliai (Lithuania), and at night military cargo arrives at the port of Paldiski on transport ships...

Activity has increased aviation NATO in the Baltic Sea region, which, of course, is partly due to the numerous exercises taking place on the border with Russia, nevertheless...


Lielvarde Air Base (Latvia)

It is also worth mentioning that entire border areas of Finland have become deserted, becoming deserted municipalities with uninhabited buildings. And if this could only be explained by the economic decline caused by the closure of the border with our country, the fact is that similar phenomena are observed in the eastern regions of Latvia, Lithuania, Poland...

Fifth


The Great War from the Arctic Ocean to the Black Sea is an event of much greater significance than just the war in Ukraine.

Presented under the familiar sauce of “Russian aggression,” it will consolidate American society, quickly erase all of Joe Biden’s mistakes from the voters’ memories, and make him a real “savior of the nation.” At a time when only the lazy are not talking in the United States about the prospects of a Civil War and the possible collapse of the state, the unification of the majority of citizens, achieved even at the cost of the death of tens of millions of people in Europe, does not seem to be such a great price from the American point of view.

Actually, it is precisely the timing of the elections, supplemented by other arguments, that allows us to assume with sufficient confidence that the beginning of a major European war, or rather the beginning of its first phase, is planned for the second half of summer - mid-autumn 2024.

Somewhere in this interval it should explode.

Sixth


The control of the American deep state over European politicians has reached such a level that it can force them to do literally anything. Not only the elites of European states are under surveillance, but also, as they say, ordinary citizens.

Absolute control of the economy, media, propaganda, politics makes it possible to turn the vast majority of residents of countries that will be sent into the crucible of war into zombies.

That is why it will not be a big problem for the United States to force the countries of Eastern Europe and Scandinavia to get involved in the war. Moreover, everything will be arranged as if Russia had attacked again. The lack of sovereignty in the current situation will manifest itself in all its glory.

In addition, the poor economic situation and social problems, as sometimes happens, will make it easier for the war propagandists, who promise rich booty and a happy life after the defeat of Russia.

Seventh


The entry of new participants into the war will greatly extend the front. Considering that many experts talk about the possibility of Russia conducting strategic offensive operations in the summer and autumn, expanding the geography of the conflict will remove part of the load from the Armed Forces of Ukraine and stabilize the situation.

Taking into account that the United States has not only political but also economic interests in Ukraine, the defense capability of the Ukrainian army is not the least important. We should not forget that 28% of the territory of Ukraine was bought up by American corporations.

In the next article we will talk about the likely US plan.
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  1. +15
    April 2 2024 04: 07
    In the next article we will talk about the likely US plan.

    What can we say about them? We see everything in real time.
    The United States has taken on the role of sponsors of any military conflicts. Just as they supplied weapons to the Ukrainian junta, they are supplying them to Israel...
    It's time to think about the doctrine of a preventive nuclear strike, so as not to be satisfied with the thought that when we go to the gates of Heaven, they will simply die... Somewhere, someday...
    1. +25
      April 2 2024 06: 07
      The NATO countries are not at all idiots to attack Russia and burn in the fire of war, they act much more subtly, now there is simply banal intimidation of our country so that we get scared and throw out the white flag. Now we just need to start fighting on the outskirts for real, and not in our own regime, and I think by the end of the year we will force it to capitulate in this case. The States are now determined to take care of themselves and China, so they will not take part in a conflict with us, but the Europeans are nothing militarily, they do not have large trained ground forces equipped with a sufficient amount of equipment, without them there will be no victory over us will. Well, don’t forget about tactical nuclear weapons in extreme cases - they will stop any NATO. So let’s fight and work together and Victory will be ours! We are fighting for a just cause and the memory of our victims!
      1. +13
        April 2 2024 07: 48
        I agree with you. Intimidation occurs as an element of Western policy.

        Now, during the satellites, the fog of war has disappeared.

        Any preparation for a major offensive operation will be detected very quickly.
        And without a large group on the border with Russia, a NATO offensive is impossible.

        What, the Baltic states will attack with two tens of thousands of troops? That's funny.

        But the fact that the Baltic states and Finland have turned into a giant jump airfield is dangerous.
        1. +5
          April 2 2024 11: 07
          The EU is weak compared to the 3rd Reich, but we are not the USSR.
          1. +4
            April 3 2024 06: 18
            Quote: Civil
            The EU is weak compared to the 3rd Reich, but we are not the USSR.

            This means that everything will very quickly develop into an unlimited nuclear conflict.
            And the complete destruction of Western civilization.
            1. -4
              April 3 2024 07: 23
              Quote: bayard
              Quote: Civil
              The EU is weak compared to the 3rd Reich, but we are not the USSR.

              This means that everything will very quickly develop into an unlimited nuclear conflict.
              And the complete destruction of Western civilization.

              The whole world actually. This is not a unilateral action. Here you have to think with your head whether the end justifies the means.
              1. +3
                April 3 2024 07: 48
                Quote: Civil
                The whole world actually.

                Neither the number of warheads nor their power is enough for the whole world. There was talk about "Nuclear Winter" in the 70s - 80s, when nuclear warheads with a capacity of 5, 10, 20, 25, 30+ and 50 Mt were in service. Nowadays it is rare to have a nuclear warhead with a capacity of 1 Mt. and their number has decreased significantly.
                In addition, if the war is in the Northern Hemisphere, then it will not carry radiation into the Southern Hemisphere - winds from the Northern Hemisphere will not blow there. So Humanity will not perish. But civilization will suffer. And Western civilization will simply disappear.
                Quote: Civil
                Here you have to think with your head whether the end justifies the means.

                Who is stopping them from thinking?
                Tidal waves will wash away the North American continent, the British Isles, and the European Peninsula. They know about it. So if they decide to commit suicide, it is their choice.
                Our choice is also small - either we destroy our enemy with one preemptive strike, or we die along with him. From our side, the choice is just as obvious.
                1. 0
                  April 3 2024 09: 05
                  Which hemisphere will you be from? No one has removed multiple megaton warheads from service. If you personally want to burn in a nuclear frenzy, go ahead, but don’t drag the rest of the millions of Russians with you. You are apparently a very old and aggressive grandpa, since you suggest that everyone commit suicide, just because you really want it. You can do this without us. Nobody is holding.
                  1. +5
                    April 3 2024 10: 56
                    Quote: Civil
                    Which hemisphere will you be from?

                    From Donbass, Donetsk.
                    Quote: Civil
                    No one has removed multiple megaton warheads from service.

                    Young man, if you are illiterate, do not know the statistics of the Cold War, do not know how to use reference data and do not follow events, this is your personal problem. Not to mention the fact that you do not have a military education and are in principle unable to assess the emerging military-political situation.
                    To understand WHAT was in service with the USSR and the USA at the peak of the Cold War, I will give you personally some numbers of the strategic nuclear forces of the Soviet Union and the USA.
                    THE USSR :
                    - silo-based and mobile-based ICBMs - 1 pcs. (about half of them are heavy - “Stiletto”, “Scalpel”, “Voevoda”),
                    - SLBMs based on SSBNs/SSBNs - 950 pcs.
                    - strategic bombers - 150 pcs.
                    USA:
                    - silo-based ICBMs - 1050 pcs. (of which 50 are heavy),
                    - SLBMs on SSBNs - 600 pcs.
                    - strategic bombers - 700 pcs. (of which 100 pcs. B-1B).

                    And now my homework is to find, at least on Wikipedia, the number and power of nuclear warheads on all these carriers, and compare these figures with the number of strategic nuclear forces of the United States and the Russian Federation today and the power of warheads on them.
                    Pay also attention to the current state of all US Minuteman-3 ICBMs and whether at least 10-15% of them are capable of taking off, reaching (and hitting) the target and... operating normally at the moment of impact.
                    Quote: Civil
                    If you personally want to burn in a nuclear frenzy, go ahead, but don’t drag the rest of the millions of Russians with you.

                    You have already been brought to this state. And if you personally and people like you don’t want to see this, then that’s your problem. The ostrich pose will not save you and certainly will not prepare you mentally.
                    Russia is already at war. This is the third year in its hot phase. And the “Third World War” was declared by the Pope to be underway in 2012. So you slept through everything.
                    Quote: Civil
                    You are apparently a very old and aggressive grandpa

                    Of course, I’m already a “grandfather,” but I’m not as old as you would like, I’m not even 60 yet. I am a Soviet reserve officer who received a very good education and has good life experience. And despite the fact that I have been in this war since the spring of 2014, I am a big person (in the past I fought in the heavyweight division) and kind. I certainly don’t wish death on anyone in vain.
                    You have the psychology of a rabbit in an enclosure from the joke: “The rabbits thought they were loved, but in fact they were... bred.”

                    "Graze peaceful peoples
                    Honor's cry will not wake you up
                    Let us call to the Slaves the fruits of Freedom
                    They should be cut or stripped
                    Your destiny from year to year -
                    A yoke with rattles and a whip."
                    A.S. Pushkin "Prophet".
                2. -2
                  April 5 2024 08: 29
                  Actually, the American Minuteman has warheads of 29 megatons, but the Yars seems to have 5.
                  1. +3
                    April 5 2024 09: 10
                    On Minuteman 2 there was one at 1 Mt.
                    There were 3 pieces on Minuteman 3. with a capacity of 325 kt.
                    Since the 90s, according to the START Treaty, they can only carry one warhead, and the chosen warhead from decommissioned MX ICBMs with a yield of about 600 Kt.
                    The Yars can carry from 3 to 10 nuclear submarines. In the latter case - 10 nuclear warheads with a capacity of 50 kt each. every .
                    And the ammunition has a capacity of 10 Mt. stood only on the Titan-2 ICBM. But they were withdrawn from service back in the 80s.
        2. +6
          April 2 2024 14: 04
          Quote: Ilya-spb
          Now, during the satellites, the fog of war has disappeared. Any preparation for a major offensive operation will be detected very quickly.

          And no one in the West is going to prepare for the war that has developed in the understanding of the majority of Russians. Remember how, without preparing, but simply using the situation and influencing the country’s leadership, the West destroyed the statehood of the USSR?
          What enemy is worse than the current head of the Central Bank, recommended by the “irreplaceable” GDP itself, do we need to bring down a failed economy and plunge finance into hyperinflation? Or do you think that by mobilizing all the forces and resources for the development of the defense industry, the country is able to achieve breakthroughs in other areas and sectors of the economy? Maybe you think that unprecedented grain harvests will save Russia from inflation and high refinancing rates? What has been done as promised?
          We are convinced that at such lending rates the development of production and the normal life of citizens is impossible. And the rate remained at 16%...
          We have made sure that all countries have a progressive personal income tax scale. And in our country, personal income tax on the rich is a mockery of the poor...
          We know that withdrawing money through offshore companies and creating economically unjustified zones for preferential lending and priority development is a vicious practice. But this continues...
          I’ll tell you only one thing: today it’s enough to tear Moscow away, where the entire budget of the country is concentrated and 95% of the “pumps” pumping funds from the provinces are located, and everything will shrink... It will only be enough that the Chechen Republic does not receive its legal (according to the law on budget for 2024) - our hard-earned 100 billion rubles of gratuitous receipts...
          * * *
          We talk about everything, offers concrete solutions to problems, but the impression is that around us there are ill-wishers, enemies of Russia, who have set themselves the goal of destroying our world - the Russian world.
          Yes, I would be burned with shame to receive 60 rubles a month in a country where the cost of living is set at 000-odd thousand rubles... Do you understand? Just as we lived under the EBN, we continue to bask in the rays of its “glory” and legacy...
          1. -3
            April 2 2024 16: 54
            And you correctly noted that there is a war going on and the stakes are not the same, yes, and a lot of other things. But why are you causing panic? Nobody canceled the 5th column in the context of military operations, as you can see, fighting the 5th column directly is not possible, as you can see. Don't panic if it's just a mistake, but not intentional
            1. +6
              April 2 2024 17: 08
              Quote: Geo73
              And you correctly noted that there is a war going on and the stakes are not the same, yes, and a lot of other things. But why are you causing panic?

              How did the panic I induced manifest itself? The fact that I called a spade a spade? Or do you have examples of how our “ugly ducklings” will become beautiful swans? Examples please!!!
              So far, the “ugly ducklings” are growing into fat, essentially disgusting ducks, cynical in their content, who place excessive personal well-being at the basis of any business...
              Maybe you see Sahibzadovna in rags with her hand outstretched? This is such happiness when there are 326 banks in the country, the refinancing rate is 16%, and the ruble exchange rate has depreciated three times during its reform...
          2. +1
            April 4 2024 17: 42
            Well, let's start with the fact that having received sanctions, from which, I am sure, the hegemon was breathing heavily, Russia nevertheless remained afloat economically. Yes, there is inflation, but by no means, not with the prefix hyper, as those who imposed these sanctions expected. Moreover, the “introducers” of the sanctions themselves received this same inflation from 10 percent in Great Britain to 24 percent in the Baltic limitrophes. Central Bank? What about the Central Bank? Within the framework of Bretton Woods, where we were dragged by the unforgettable EBN in 1990, the Central Bank is one of the branches of the Federal Reserve System, which controls emissions in the Russian Federation for compliance with dollar revenues and, until recently, kept the economy on a starvation ration of underfinancing. But we haven’t completely left Bretton Wood yet? Still at the IMF. But in fact, Cetrobank has been placed under the control of the leadership of the Russian Federation, given that despite the sanctions, GDP has grown (as economists say, due to the fact that our economy was underfinanced, and after the start of the SVO, Bretton Woods blinders turned a blind eye and the money supply flowed to where and necessary).
            I don’t agree with the fact that we only have agriculture and the military-industrial complex afloat. What about nuclear energy? What about the space industry? What about shipbuilding, which launches icebreakers one after another? And mechanical engineering produces everything from combines and tractors to auruses, which we are not ashamed to give to Comrade Kim. And who in the era of globalism sits only in his own chair? Apple uses artificial sapphire from Stavropol Monocrystal in its camera. And nothing...it seems like it should be so.. A rate of 16 percent is of course a lot. But again, I note, Bretton Wood, after the sanctions, we no longer have a decree, we can determine the money supply ourselves and regulate flows, too, and not always according to rate of 16 percent, it is quite possible to create “special conditions” in the necessary sectors. But I'm interested in something else? What are you calling for, my dear? In order to take to the streets with posters saying, “Down with the Nabiulin 16 percent”?
            1. 0
              April 4 2024 18: 32
              Popular wisdom says:
              A wise man learns from his own mistakes, a wise man learns from the mistakes of others, but a fool never learns.
              Many mistakes made in the construction of the Russian economy and finance are not taken into account and are repeated periodically. Why on earth, for example, did the National Welfare Fund need to invest in Western banks? What kind of practice is this of moving officials from place to place? How long can you keep old people (over 70-75, finally) in government? How many times must it be repeated that the bowels of the country and its natural resources should work for the benefit of all the people?
              You've written everything here...In the Russian Federation there is a shortage of warships, there is no civil aircraft industry, the automotive industry, robotics, and electronics industry have been pushed to the curb...75% of the country's territory has been gasified, there are areas with imported water, diesel electric units, and there are no well-equipped toilets in schools , and you are icebreakers...

              Quote: Leontrotsky
              But I'm interested in something else? What are you calling for, my dear? In order to take to the streets with posters saying, “Down with the Nabiulin 16 percent”?

              I am stating the facts so that service workers do not squeal in euphoria from pseudo-successes and do not lick the causal areas, showing their devotion to the body...
              Try to tell the truth...
        3. +3
          April 3 2024 01: 24
          Quote: Ilya-spb
          Any preparation for a major offensive operation will be detected very quickly.
          And without a large group on the border with Russia, a NATO offensive is impossible.

          Why the attack of a large group?
          It is much more profitable and safer to play the game “one grain - a heap? Two grains...”.
          5 drones to Belgrade per day? 6 drones?... One attack per week? Two attacks a week?...
          Stopping our offensive capabilities with blows. Slowly raising the temperature of the conflict - so that it does not boil, so that everyone gets used to it.
          Are we used to the supply of tanks and ammunition? How unusual were you at the beginning of 2022? They were just seething and threatening! But nothing - tanks and the rest are no longer very interesting to discuss, planes - we’re just waiting for when.
          Keep the conflict open. As they will write here - “we are grinding NATO troops and equipment.”
        4. +2
          April 3 2024 10: 47
          Quote: Ilya-spb
          I agree with you. Intimidation occurs as an element of Western policy.

          What should we be afraid of? Let them be afraid. To fight, to fight like that, is to climb into the world of capitalists, so you need to position yourself not as victors, but as winners. The louder Bandera's pig squeals, the more the head of the hegemon with NATO shakes.
          Quote: Ilya-spb
          Any preparation for a major offensive operation will be detected very quickly.
          And without a large group on the border with Russia, a NATO offensive is impossible.

          NATO is conducting large-scale exercises near the borders of the Russian Federation, combat coordination, so we’ll see. hi
      2. +10
        April 2 2024 17: 29
        At one time, the United States gave birth to the so-called strategy of limited nuclear war. Currently, all their attempts come down to war in limited territories that do not include the territory of the United States itself.
        You can remember how the USA and the World Bank pushed Hitler to attack the USSR and then, finding themselves “allies” with the USSR, delayed opening a second front - they waited for the USSR to suffer as much as possible and weaken in the war.
        So now the United States is spinning the flywheel of a false information war, using European puppets to incite gayropa against Russia. I am absolutely sure that the United States will be faithful to its proven practice of raking in the heat with the wrong hands. And they have in mind to pit our neighbors against Russia, but in such a way that Article 5 on mutual assistance of the entire NATO structure to one or more members of this organization involved in a war with Russia is not invoked. Then the United States will have hope, and perhaps even confidence, that they will sit overseas, actively helping the Geyropa wear down Russia.
        And our guarantor, who expresses the interests of the money bags and has many times drawn “red lines” that disappear like sympathetic ink, will not risk using tactical nuclear weapons at his side, on the geyropa, and even more so will not give the command to strike with strategic weapons on US territory. In addition, the entire Russian elite, who have real estate, accounts, and relatives in the West, have a huge, simply pathological desire to make peace with foreign capitalists, because they are of the same blood! Well, our nouveau riche just can’t understand that beyond the hill they won’t be accepted as their own - they’ll simply be dispossessed! And the United States, naturally, expects that by weakening Russia in a conventional war with geyropa, it will force Russia to accept a humiliating agreement that actually destroys both the state and the multinational Russian people.
        I think to prevent this from happening, we need to have time to deal with the outskirts by the beginning of winter, incorporating its regions into Russia.
        1. The comment was deleted.
    2. +5
      April 2 2024 13: 32
      I think that before an escalation, it would be more correct to first put pressure on them for money: block trade, disrupt supplies. (The West keeps its reason and logic in its wallet.) And all this is not clear by whose hands. Block Suez with some kind of accident, so that the ship sits tightly. There was a precedent, we saw the result. Organize a state of emergency in the Panama Canal with a similar result. There are vulnerable points in Rotterdam, Antwerp, and London. Chemicals spill, fertilizers detonate, ships lose power and bridges are demolished. And the captains do not immediately notice that the anchor is plowing along the bottom. Anything can happen... It happens, and the brains of those who don’t understand begin to work. I hope it happens.
      1. The comment was deleted.
    3. +1
      April 4 2024 08: 17
      Quote: ROSS 42
      It's time to think about the doctrine of a preventive nuclear strike, so as not to be content with the thought that when we go to the gates of Heaven, they will simply die...

      But this is the correct answer. Everything is like in disgusting films - the main thing is to kill the “mothers of war” in their lair. It can be targeted, but it is inevitable. First of all, the “Adams family” of the Main Bourgeoisie.
      Because there are no initiators of arson - there is no fire.
  2. +8
    April 2 2024 04: 17
    Sometimes I like to watch the air traffic over the "eastern flank". The most interesting are the regular flights of Kalita Air; the company's aircraft are rented out as air taxis transporting military equipment. There are flights from South Korea or Japan, probably ammunition. I also found an interesting graphic, it says that they constantly have 30 reconnaissance and fighter planes in the air, but this is probably impossible, although it is difficult to judge, because they never fly with transponders turned on. This is an interesting fact about the “unprecedented frequency of flights.”
  3. +8
    April 2 2024 04: 35
    The Finns are eager to fight with the Russian people specifically... proposing to send NATO troops to Ukraine.
    The beat of the drums of war can already be heard clearly... and it no longer matters that Russia does not want a war with NATO... it will still be drawn into this conflict... the contradictions have reached the threshold of conflict.
    I hope the Kremlin leadership is ready for this scenario... although what can I say, our country has never been ready for war with Western conquistadors... it has always been necessary, at the cost of great blood of our people, to correct this unpreparedness.
    1. -5
      April 2 2024 07: 03
      The Finns are eager to fight with the Russian people specifically.
      I think we can remind them that Finland was part of the Russian Empire... And that we can start a Northern Military District with them too...
    2. -4
      April 2 2024 14: 11
      Quote: Lech from Android.
      The beat of the drums of war can already be heard clearly... and it no longer matters that Russia does not want a war with NATO... it will still be drawn into this conflict... the contradictions have reached the threshold of conflict...

      ...in which there is an indoctrination in the West that Russia (Putin) is afraid to fight, that it is enough to simply push this old, sick Bear, and the song “Do the Russians want war” has long ago lost its original meaning:

      Yes, we know how to fight,
      but do not want to again
      soldiers fell in battle
      to his sad land.
      You will ask your mother,
      ask my wife
      and then you must understand
      Do the Russians want war.
  4. +15
    April 2 2024 04: 45
    To be honest, I don’t quite understand what we should prepare for? We are not the Soviet Union, we cannot handle a large-scale conflict, to put it mildly, neither economically, nor industrially, nor morally and politically. Yes, and NATO itself can, at best, create the first wave, but then the skates won’t go off-road either (and now the asphalt is leaving the roads)... So listen to all sides, no one really wants to fight, there won’t be any easy walks for neither side, but everyone stubbornly insists that we need to fight and create a major conflict, but no one can explain why? and for what? It turns out without benefit for all immediate possible parties. It turns out that instead of solving the real problems of states, and there are many of them, both here and in our neighbors, we are being promoted as an alternative to playing toy soldiers, with high stakes for ordinary people, and without the possibility of winning, you have to admit it. You have to be a complete fool to get involved in such adventures, can we get involved in this? Yes Easy......
    1. +5
      April 2 2024 05: 03
      You have to be a complete fool to get involved in such adventures, can we get involved in this? Yes Easy......

      You have to be complete fools to think that NATO will give flowers and swear their love for us.
      NATO stands at our gates, having advanced from the borders of Germany and having actually occupied Ukraine, preparing a springboard for an attack... now it’s our country’s turn.
      A fight with NATO is inevitable... this beast wants to eat and we are tasty prey for it.
      1. +6
        April 2 2024 09: 42
        NATO is at our gates
        since 2004, when the Baltic states were admitted to NATO. Moreover, Russia then did not draw red lines with a red marker.
        1. +3
          April 2 2024 18: 05
          NATO is at our gates

          Not true!!! This vile Russia now borders NATO from north to south!!!
          Sarcasm, if that.
    2. +3
      April 2 2024 06: 11
      Hmm... I agree with you. But here it is. Let's look at not so long ago - the beginning of the last century... Judging by the statements of historians, no one wanted a world war. But everyone stubbornly strived for it. And it broke out.
      1. +2
        April 2 2024 18: 06
        “Nobody wanted war, war was inevitable” - this is exactly about those times.
    3. 0
      April 3 2024 12: 20
      It turns out without benefit for all immediate possible parties. It turns out that instead of solving the real problems of states, and there are many of them, both here and in our neighbors, we are being promoted as an alternative to playing toy soldiers, with high stakes for ordinary people, and without the possibility of winning, you have to admit it.
      The beneficiary is located overseas. All debts must be written off (in the USA it has almost reached its GDP), the permanent economic crisis must be resolved, in order for there to be profit, everyone else must be promoted. They have not come up with a better way to solve these problems of capitalism than war. To resolve this peacefully, the capitalist will have to say goodbye to part of the profit, which is unacceptable for TNCs. They expect to buy control over the Russian Federation’s nuclear briefcase, and then they will need supervisors and policemen during the collapse of the Russian Federation. And they are in “hungry and cold” Europe. After all, Arab refugees have the same psychology as the punitive forces: they are not afraid only of unarmed people or when they are 10 to 1.
    4. -1
      April 3 2024 21: 16
      About 25 khimars practically refracted the course of the NWO, but what if there were 200 of them? NATO is not as weak as you think.
      1. 0
        April 8 2024 15: 22
        What nonsense? 25 units of the most super-duper can’t change anything, except maybe a single battle.......
  5. +10
    April 2 2024 05: 20
    Perhaps the United States is going to put pressure on the “obstinate” elite of the Russian Federation?.. The wealth of resources of the Russian Federation is perhaps the most realistic way to pay off the state debt. The US allies also unanimously savor the sweet word “reparations”.
    I will never believe that the Western “democracies” would have started throwing away billions like that if they had not seen the “big jackpot”.
    1. +7
      April 2 2024 06: 14
      They see a lot. Moreover, we ourselves demonstrate this “many thing that is negative for us.” And most importantly, the fear of war with a state possessing nuclear weapons is lost. Maybe they know something that we don’t know?
      1. +7
        April 2 2024 07: 09
        And most importantly, the fear of war with a state possessing nuclear weapons is lost.

        There was fear of the Soviet Union, the West knew for sure that nuclear weapons would be used as a response, or if some state would go too far in setting its own conditions. And the current Kremlin has swallowed and licked its lips all over the Western crap that the West has thrown out over and over again to test the reaction of the Kremlin inmates.
      2. +7
        April 2 2024 07: 15
        Maybe they know something we don't know?


        Dear Dmitry.

        I think your phrase is close to the truth.
        We (the majority of the Russian population, uninitiated into the secrets of the “Madrid court”) do not know much.
        Marine Le Pen let slip that negotiations are underway to resolve the military conflict in Ukraine.
        I assume that the feigned rhetoric in the Western media regarding the military preparations of NATO countries for a big war with Russia is part of the scenario for putting pressure on Russia during the ongoing separate negotiations.
        This is, of course, my personal opinion.
        1. 0
          April 3 2024 21: 21
          Le Pen let slip that negotiations are underway to resolve the military conflict in Ukraine.

          The West created the conflict out of the blue, why should they stop it?
      3. +2
        April 2 2024 14: 21
        Quote from: dmi.pris1
        And most importantly, the fear of war with a state possessing nuclear weapons is lost. Maybe they know something we don't know?

        Yes, Dmitry, they know that:
        “An army of rams led by a lion will always prevail over an army of lions led by a ram.”
        And what else:
        “You can deceive a few for a long time, you can deceive many for a short time, but you cannot deceive everyone forever.”
        hi
        1. +2
          April 2 2024 15: 04
          In general, I believe that in six months we will end military operations. They are blowing it into our ears about the achievement of all goals and our victory. Looking at what is happening around hi
          1. +1
            April 2 2024 15: 07
            Quote from: dmi.pris1
            They are blowing into our ears about achieving all goals and our victory. Looking at what is happening around

            While drones are flying around Russia, it is useless to “blow” something into your ears, because everyone knows:
  6. +10
    April 2 2024 05: 30
    The entry of new participants into the war will greatly extend the front.
    And now the front line runs through the entire territory of Ukraine? To stretch it from the Arctic Ocean to the Black Sea... And then in his forecast the author forgot to indicate Norway, Norway is also a NATO country. How are they doing with the construction of bunkers and tickets for ferries?
    1. +3
      April 2 2024 05: 53
      How are they doing with the construction of bunkers and ferry tickets?

      Unlike Napoleon and Hitler, NATO assumes a decisive offensive operation in the main direction. The goal is the defeat of Russian ground forces, the establishment of a naval blockade and the creation of social tension in Russian society (the lower classes do not want it, the upper classes do not want to and cannot). They are not going to go deeper into the endless Russian expanses, wasting divisions and overexerting logistics. So all their promotion is Belarus and the Kola Peninsula.
      They see our defeat in the loss of control of territories and national republics remote from Moscow, which will allow for a post-war division to be carried out with minimal costs.
      1. +5
        April 2 2024 06: 16
        But didn’t the Nazis carry out a blitzkrieg on the main direction? And Bonaparte too..
        1. +8
          April 2 2024 06: 41
          But didn’t the Nazis carry out a blitzkrieg on the main direction? And Bonaparte too..

          About Bonaparte: he did not need territorial acquisitions in Russia, but he needed to destroy the Russian army, which led to the attack on Moscow. And this is extremely far on the scale of Europe. Well, there was no strength for a full-fledged (by European standards) occupation. The main thing was to force Alexander I to support the Continental blockade.
          This is not at all the case with Hitler: here the seizure of territories (Lebensraum) is the main priority. Hence the scale of operations and incredible losses. At the same time, much less attention was paid to the capture of key positions - the Kola Peninsula, the Caucasus, the Baltic states and Leningrad than to the capture of Moscow.
          I believe that the creation of logistics centers and the accumulation of weapons clearly indicate NATO’s desire to stop the Russian offensive in Ukraine, carry out an operation to capture Belarus and include it in NATO (in any form), and liquidate the bases of the Northern Fleet by occupying the Kola Peninsula and Novaya Earth. A possible attempt by Finland to annex Karelia.
          The main thing is to evoke protest sentiments under the impression of military failures and develop a radical Islamic movement in the republics of Central Asia, the Urals and the Volga region. We were all able to see the grin of this ethno-religious movement on 22.03.2024/07.10.2023/XNUMX (it’s a pity that my calls to learn from the events of XNUMX/XNUMX/XNUMX caused a negative reaction from Russians brought up in the false values ​​of proletarian internationalism).
      2. +5
        April 2 2024 06: 40
        Well, let’s say they split it up, what next? Will African and Mexican migrants begin to develop Siberia? Will they take away the assets of our Russian oligarchs and appropriate them for themselves, or will they leave a little bit for them? Or will they form a colonial administration from them?
        1. 0
          April 2 2024 06: 49
          Well, let’s say they split it up, what next?

          The hegemon, following the recommendations of experts, will begin to optimize the population and adjust its racial composition. Well, no one has canceled the triumph of green energy, and therefore the rational (in their opinion) use of our natural resources for the benefit of civilization.
          And don't worry about migrants. Our leadership strictly implements all international programs to populate Russia with migrants.
          1. +10
            April 2 2024 07: 49
            The hegemon, following the recommendations of experts, will begin to optimize the population and adjust its racial composition.

            Forgive me, of course, but isn’t this exactly what has been happening in Russia for 30 years now, and without any, at least visible, participation of the hegemon? what
          2. +2
            April 2 2024 17: 42
            What about migrants?
            And what about Russian oligarchs? You somehow avoided answering this question.
        2. 0
          April 2 2024 15: 44
          Well, let’s say they split it up, what next? Will African and Mexican migrants begin to develop Siberia? Will they take away the assets of our Russian oligarchs and appropriate them for themselves, or will they leave a little bit for them? Or will they form a colonial administration from them?

          How do you like the idea of ​​wiping out the Slavic race? Sounds funny, ridiculous and wild?
          this is exactly what Hitler wanted to do, he was a European, by the way
          1. +2
            April 2 2024 17: 48
            Excuse me, but the Slavic race that lives in Russia has been experiencing a deep demographic crisis for several decades, it is being replaced by migrants, despite the fact that the country is not under occupation. In Belarus, there is no growth whatsoever.
        3. +1
          April 2 2024 18: 09
          Or will they form a colonial administration?

          Is it not formed yet? She works hard, and for a long time(((((((((((((((((((
          1. +1
            April 2 2024 19: 11
            At least someone knows how to read between the lines. hi
      3. -6
        April 2 2024 07: 10
        They are not going to delve deeper into the endless Russian expanses, wasting divisions and overstraining logistics.
        They won't have to. After NATO’s attack on our territory, I am sure that a threat to Russia’s existence will be announced, with all that it entails. If anything, this involves nuclear strikes on the enemy. And even if these are tactical nuclear weapons, not in the largest quantities, then NATO soldiers, in theory, should immediately ask for peace. I'll explain why. NATO equipment, for the most part, does not have anti-radiation protection. The same as that found in tanks and other combat vehicles produced in the USSR and the Russian Federation. They won’t want to die under nuclear attacks, well, they’re not idiots, after all! Unlike some Western politicians, of course.
        In general, I don’t think that NATO will decide to commit aggression.
      4. 0
        April 3 2024 01: 28
        Quote: Victor Leningradets
        Unlike Napoleon and Hitler, NATO assumes a decisive offensive operation in the main direction.

        Very doubtful.
        Rather deplete. Still, the golden billion with our golden people joining us significantly economically outweighs our capabilities in the long term.
        And don’t remember the old joke that China will lay down its lives for us.
  7. +3
    April 2 2024 05: 40
    In addition to this, there is undoubtedly another big plus for America: bound by the war in Europe, and not only in Ukraine, Russia will in no way be able to support China in its confrontation with the world hegemon. But now Washington has the last chance to drag China into a war in Taiwan and into a conflict with Japan, and possibly into a much broader confrontation in the East.

    This is the main task of the United States.
    Using NATO for the war in Europe, they leave China without its main and extremely dangerous ally for America - Russia in the Pacific theater. It is he, and not the European one, who is the main one in the coming confrontation. And the center of power is the AUKUS countries and their allies in the region. After the victory over China, the Anglo-Saxons hope to easily finish off Russia, which is bogged down in the European conflict. Smashing the enemy piece by piece is the basics of military science.
    Unfortunately, with our toothless foreign policy and incompetent military strategy, we are extremely contributing to the development of events in the manner set by the Americans.
    1. ada
      +3
      April 2 2024 08: 25
      Quote: Victor Leningradets
      ... After the victory over China, the Anglo-Saxons hope to easily finish off Russia, which is bogged down in the European conflict. ...

      I share your concern about the situation, although I don’t have any starting points for predicting its development in A-TR and China in particular, but I don’t believe in the simplicity of the structure, I’ve never seen it, I believe that there’s no point in simplifying it now. In my opinion, it is obvious that the United States and NATO have still not used any of the ready-made elements of military planning that have been sufficiently worked out and mastered by the troops to counter us in Belarus and Ukraine, either privately or in a coalition manner, only some "stubs" and pacifist "Ramsteins". The likely conclusion here is: a sufficient degree of confusion from our actions or their timing, perhaps earlier than expected. It is impossible not to take into account the unequal balance of forces in the nuclear exchange with the United States in the first strategic operations, taking into account the fact that this period will be expected to be longer or have a long break (breaks) in the stages of operations or even between them, since it seems impossible to predict even the very nature of their course difficult or even impossible until the necessary information about the situation and, in particular, about the results of the MNA has been accumulated. I’m almost sure that the enemy’s VPR does not have a common understanding of the situation and its development, but also does not have a unified approach to this, then the VPR cannot act without relying on the work and opinion of narrow specialists in different areas, and there is expectedly more confusion there. The initial setting of the conceptual approach to the formation of the conflict in the East. SN has always assumed the provision of conditions for a limited nuclear war in a macroregion with the warring parties in the middle in the GG, and this has not changed since the 90s and this is how it was done - the war is on the territory of the middle countries of Europe and for now it remains there.
      Considering the above, I am inclined that the really effective forces in the West are collectively looking for an approach to understanding the process and they are not ready to put into effect ready-made plans for the use of their troops; direct contradictions are also possible, and the main direction of concentration of efforts has not been chosen, which may indirectly be due to the likelihood our preemptive global strike in response to the limited use of tactical nuclear weapons by the enemy, which was absolutely precisely worked out and prepared by him, that is, it is precisely the balance in the nuclear exchange with mattresses that is largely not in their favor, which will cross out their fate cross to cross forever.
      Conclusion: The mattresses will comprehensively evaluate the situation and play for time until they develop exclusively their sovereign correct decision, and against the backdrop of this process, the troops and others will stupidly carry out not very significant elements of larger plans.
      Yes, I forgot, according to the “primer book” we are definitely the first to go. If we accept that this has not changed, then dancing around the Celestial Empire is in some way a distracting and disorienting moment.
      Here. So far I don't see anything else.
      Yes - and regarding the US presidential elections, it must be said that even earlier the United States was faced with the task of expansion into the Arctic zone and consolidation directly in the Arctic (resources, advantageous positions). This is greatly facilitated by the “game of two presidents of two parties.” Need a change of course? No problem - here you have elections and another president with different aspirations, and while part of EuroNAT will resentfully stoke the fire of war, you can safely go with the northern peoples to build up the Arctic and create an additional vector of military threat for us there, resolve a number of other issues, add firewood to the BV and in A-TR. Yes, a lot of things can be done while an insidious plan is brewing...

      And quite lastly, I almost forgot - mattresses, according to the plan of the big bar-boom, and in EuroNAT too, according to the “primer book”, there is one more decisive event on which the entire development of the situation depends - colossal social reforms of a socialist orientation, in fact the formation of societies “military socialism” to bring Western countries to the level of full readiness for war in military-political and economic terms, or something similar, for which they studied the experience of the USSR and other socialist countries, as well as fascist Germany, for a long time. The first signs of an approach to their implementation in the United States were about a year ago, owls. US Vice-Principal for National Security J. Sullivan has already determined this direction of movement, and the other day Pr. USA J. Biden seems to have confirmed it, showing that those who disagree “divide” and “those who do not understand the party’s policy” will remain in the minority, or something like that. In short, everything is complicated there... winked
      1. +1
        April 2 2024 19: 29
        Thank you, Dmitry!
        As always, everything is to the point and everything is in order.
        In my opinion, it is obvious that the United States and NATO have still not used any of the ready-made elements of military planning that have been sufficiently worked out and mastered by the troops to counter us in Belarus and Ukraine, either privately or in a coalition manner, only some "stubs" and pacifist "Ramsteins". The likely conclusion here is: a sufficient degree of confusion from our actions or their timing, perhaps earlier than expected.

        Well, we started by using the factor of surprise, with a general unpreparedness to conduct military operations on the level of several fronts. This mixed the cards for our opponents and forced them to play defensively. Well, they went through this back in the First World War, and they went through it until COMPLETE VICTORY. But we have practically no such experience, so we are dancing on the rake of Falkenhain.
        Yes, I forgot, according to the “primer book” we are definitely the first to go. If we accept that this has not changed, then dancing around the Celestial Empire is in some way a distracting and disorienting moment.

        Here I would argue that it is China that is moving away and threatening to create some kind of “Great Sphere of Co-Prosperity” and the development of “reverse globalism.” We are sitting on the sidelines, quietly rotting and do not pose an expansionist threat to the “golden billion”. We can be completely left alone for a while, during which time we will simply degrade even more as a power and will represent a completely accessible target from the point of view of the United States and NATO.
        And quite lastly, I almost forgot - mattresses, according to the plan of the big bar-boom, and in EuroNAT too, according to the “primer book”, there is one more decisive event on which the entire development of the situation depends - colossal social reforms of a socialist orientation, in fact the formation of societies “military socialism” to bring Western countries to the level of full readiness for war in military-political and economic terms, or something similar, for which they studied the experience of the USSR and other socialist countries, as well as fascist Germany, for a long time. The first signs of an approach to their implementation in the United States were about a year ago, owls. US Vice-Principal for National Security J. Sullivan has already determined this direction of movement, and the other day Pr. USA J. Biden seems to have confirmed it, showing that those who disagree “divide” and “those who do not understand the party’s policy” will remain in the minority, or something like that.

        That's all true, but Americans are very inventive and cherish and nurture their creative ones. You can only prepare well for the last war. Well, how will they act our way and prefer surprise to preparedness? On June 22.06.1941, XNUMX, this was exactly the decision. And then, neither we nor China pose a real threat of invasion of the Continent. But the United States and its allies can completely defeat China, radically reducing its population and territories, and practically destroying its industrial power. However, the window of opportunity for the United States is rapidly closing, and apparently they have decided to start in the coming years.
        1. ada
          0
          April 3 2024 06: 09
          Greetings Victor, mutually!
          Well, I’m not a strategist, my level is military, it was a long time ago and everything that was above can be safely called my personal assumption or reaction to the “box” from old memory. “ABC book” is different here, it seems to be closer to the truth according to its purpose, but he is already over 30 laughing
          The only thing I have no doubt about is to radically change the structure, direction and most importantly - the order of strategic level planning in our NATE direction, for the specified period - “too tough”, a painfully tight mechanism, the most likely adjustment (except for the current and on private issues) action plans related to:
          with RB and “But Father’s picking”, including due to failure;
          with the commissioning of new “clients”;
          with the perspective of the situation in Ukraine.
          And then only if they were in time for the next summit.
          But how, specifically NATO, develops military planning for the use and application of the bloc’s combined forces in the confrontation with China is not clear to me, and I also don’t know what the US+WB is preparing in the A-TR. Using the “box” as a source of information, I cannot put everything together into a single picture of a convincing nature, therefore only based on the general “feelings of the war.” Your comments are interesting to me, I need to watch the course of events.
          Are you really sure about the "closing window" for the US? Couldn't they slip some "unnecessary thing" under the flap for a while? What do you think?
          1. +2
            April 3 2024 07: 13
            Good morning, Dmitriy!
            I’m writing before work, there’s no phone there, so it’s quick:
            1. NATO (in my opinion, and maybe in the opinion of the leadership of the Globalists) fulfilled its mission - it eliminated the threat from the USSR. Now the countries included in it (except for Great Britain) can be sacrificed to block Russia in the western direction.
            2. Therefore, the Anglo-Saxon AUKUS (Australia, Great Britain, USA) rules in the A-TR, attracting consanguines (Canada, New Zealand, Oceania), young grown-up predators (Vietnam, Philippines, Indonesia, South Korea), and, of course, they will resurrect the dinosaur - Japan.
            3. The window of opportunity will close for the United States if the Chinese solve the forward deployment problem in their own way. In terms of production and mobilization potential, they still surpass all of these above, but in terms of their ability to protect the main areas of residence/production, the situation is deplorable. So if the Chinese manage to create an ocean defense belt, like Japan did in 1942, then the American train will leave forever.
            3. We, despite being “busy in Europe,” could well become an ally of China in the upcoming confrontation, and our SSBNs and Strategic Aviation, as well as the possibility of deploying bases in the North Pacific Ocean, could be a decisive factor.
            4. Considering the unpredictability of AUKUS actions, you need to start first. And the best start, in my opinion, is not the annexation of Taiwan, but the operation to reunify Korea with the help of China and Russia.
            Best wishes!
            1. ada
              0
              April 3 2024 13: 31
              Thanks a lot for your answer!
              Yes, this is a fairly clear construction. It would be very interesting to look at some of their private plans, or even better, at a practical example of a database.
              Well, I imagined the PRC’s position as a wait-and-see one, so what happens, is this our situation? For us, another theater of operations in the Far East is undesirable, of course. Yes, I agree, it is not easy for us and it is dangerous to make the wrong decision.
  8. +5
    April 2 2024 06: 17
    . Moreover, everything will be furnished as if it were Russia attacked again.

    This has never happened before!! And here we go again?

    On this topic. If they talk about war all the time and intensively prepare for it, then it becomes possible. Most likely, NATO is working on the issue of sending troops to Ukraine and the prospects for a possible development of the situation from this.
    1. +1
      April 2 2024 06: 26
      is considering the issue of sending troops to Ukraine
      As detachments?
      1. +3
        April 2 2024 06: 29
        Quote: parusnik
        As detachments?

        And in this capacity too. Moreover, if NATO enters Ukraine, then at first it will be only one European country, and not all together.
  9. +9
    April 2 2024 06: 27
    Quote from: dmi.pris1
    And most importantly, the fear of war with a state possessing nuclear weapons is lost. Maybe they know something we don’t know?

    good I strongly agree! There are many unexpected, inexplicable decisions from the Russian Federation. The fear of Russia is gone. ...Probably someone “at the top” became a “victim” of their own propaganda: parades, films about special forces, aging weapons concepts...
    1. +1
      April 2 2024 08: 26
      Actually, the world now resembles the “crow settlement” from a well-known work. Which burned down, set on fire by the residents themselves from all sides at the same time
      1. +1
        April 2 2024 09: 48
        the world resembles a "crow's settlement"
        And so it is. “Eh, let’s thunder to the fanfare” (c)
  10. +6
    April 2 2024 06: 48
    Every time I read comments like this, I wonder what country I live in. Everyone is discussing NATO countries with such enthusiasm. Maybe let's remember Russia. Will Russian officials, oligarchs, civil servants go to war with NATO?
    Now nothing is being done for independence, parallel imports are everywhere..
    1. +1
      April 2 2024 18: 14
      From
      Russian officials, oligarchs, civil servants
      sober-minded people have not been waiting for anything for a long time.
  11. +4
    April 2 2024 06: 50
    The control of the American deep state over European politicians has reached such a level that it can force them to do literally anything.
    In this part I completely agree with the author. The United States will not hesitate to throw Europe into the furnace of a new war, and it will run to this furnace with masochistic pleasure without even thinking about the consequences. At the same time, the Americans are confident that if they themselves do not get involved directly, they will quietly sit out overseas. And Europe? So do you really feel sorry for her?
  12. +3
    April 2 2024 07: 34
    Well, it’s unlikely that it will come to a direct war with NATO. After all, a nuclear war is the end of humanity. But I think they will shake up the internal political situation. The national map has not yet been completed. I think that Crocus City has shown well how the problem with migrants can destabilize Russian society.
    1. +3
      April 2 2024 11: 07
      After all, a nuclear war is the end of humanity.

      our elites have already declared their commitment to the principles of non-use, and non-proliferation, and so on and so forth... even if Belgorod, or Kursk, or Moscow is turned into Hiroshima, our puppets will not flinch and will not respond!
  13. +7
    April 2 2024 08: 24
    “And I don’t want to talk here about the banal “distraction of attention from internal problems” or something like that.”

    This article is just an example of a “banal distraction from internal problems.”
  14. +7
    April 2 2024 09: 10
    Probably GDP regularly reads articles, analyses, etc. of such a type, that’s why you’re in the world of pink ponies. We must come down to earth. RF not USSR she can’t compete with NATO. Russia is a trailer car of the world economy. Just now in the armaments section they complained about the lack of a carrier aircraft for 3-ton bombs, and they are immediately going to fight with NATO. After the collapse of the USSR. Population losses - 26 million economic losses - 40% loss of production - 66% loss of agriculture - 44% what to fight with? This is the Union could afford compete with the whole world militarily and economically too, all you need did it ourselves.
    We turn again to the topic of elections in the United States.
    No need to touch her at all US policy external never does not change, no matter which president is there, he is not the main one there, he will argue, he will be easily removed, like Kennedy or Nixon, bury your hopes and expectations.
    Few people know that recently the Finnish airline Finnair opened a Tartu – Los Angeles line. For some reason, suddenly flights from California will regularly land at a godforsaken airport in a small Estonian town.
    Yes, it was based in Tartu strategic aviation USSR, the regiment was commanded by the well-known Dudayev. Such runways have been cleared out there, bombers can be accepted. Alliance troops were stationed at all former SA military bases in the Baltics. In Adazi, there was training, I came there to my brother to take the oath, Dobele, Siauliai, in the Gaiziunai area the largest 242 training center of the Airborne Forces was located. Everything created they gave it away themselves NATO members Betrayal interests of the state and its defense capability, this is the only way to characterize what has been done. Hence the simplest conclusion - none from the current leadership of the Russian Federation, does not intend to fight with the United States and NATO.
    1. +2
      April 2 2024 09: 22
      That's all the summary for the article. And you don't need to add anything. Great. good hi
    2. +1
      April 2 2024 09: 59
      RF is not the USSR and cannot compete with NATO.
      But what about: Thundering with fire, sparkling with the brilliance of steel, the “Armatians” will go on a furious campaign when he sends us into battle ..... and the first marshal will lead us into battle! (c)
      1. +1
        April 2 2024 18: 17
        There are no marshals left, don’t get your hopes up))))))))
        1. +1
          April 3 2024 08: 13
          There are no marshals left
          But what about Shoigu, the marshal of the future Victory?
          1. 0
            April 4 2024 11: 29
            Why are you doing this to him?..
            The text of your comment is too short and in the opinion of the site administration does not carry useful information.
    3. +3
      April 2 2024 15: 49
      None of the current leadership of the Russian Federation intends to fight with the USA and NATO.

      So the majority of ordinary people do not intend to fight with anyone! Don't believe me? Look how many people rushed in 22nd year after mobilization was announced.
  15. +3
    April 2 2024 09: 54
    "If there is war tomorrow, if the enemy attacks,
    If the dark force comes
    As one person, the whole Russian people
    Will stand up for a free Motherland
    On earth in heaven and sea
    Our refrain is both powerful and severe:
    If tomorrow is war
    If the hike is tomorrow,
    Be ready for the trip today!
    If war tomorrow, the country will stir
    From Kronstadt to Vladivostok,
    The country will be stirred up, great and strong,
    And we will cruelly break the enemy!
    On earth in heaven and sea
    Our refrain is both powerful and severe:
    If tomorrow is war
    If the hike is tomorrow,
    Be ready for the trip today!
    A plane will fly, a machine gun will be sharpened,
    Mighty tanks rumble
    And the battleships will go, and the infantry will go,
    And dashing tachanka rush
    On earth in heaven and sea
    Our refrain is both powerful and severe:
    If tomorrow is war
    If the hike is tomorrow,
    Be ready for the trip today!
    We don’t want war, but we will protect ourselves-
    We mount defense for a reason.
    And in enemy land, we will crush the enemy
    Little blood, a mighty blow!
    On earth in heaven and sea
    Our refrain is both powerful and severe:
    If tomorrow is war
    If the hike is tomorrow,
    Be ready for the trip today!
    Rise up the people, pack your camping trip
    Drums Drums Stronger!
    Musicians, go ahead! Singers, go ahead!
    Sound our victory song!" (c)
  16. -1
    April 2 2024 11: 04
    At a moment when only the lazy do not talk in the USA about the prospects of the Civil War and the possible collapse of the state

    only the lazy one in Solovyov’s show doesn’t sing these fairy tales
    1. +1
      April 2 2024 18: 19
      And this is what I think to myself: if Trump is shot before the election, and the tracks lead to BLM, and from there to the White House... Well, purely theoretically? winked
  17. 0
    April 2 2024 11: 29
    Classic! Although the text is not very long...
    1. +3
      April 2 2024 12: 42
      So everything is correct. Let’s say taxes and prices rise, migrants burn even more threads, and then bam! And the explanation, the war is in July, maybe in October... Enemies are all around... Both inside and outside, why did you want cheap products? Wait, dear brothers, let's take Washington, it will be easier for everyone." - You know Are you, stupid woman, that today they took one cow from you, and tomorrow, tomorrow they will return ten! - Be patient, sister. We will return. We will return everything! Free woman "(c)
  18. +3
    April 2 2024 12: 59
    At a moment when only the lazy do not talk in the USA about the prospects of the Civil War and the possible collapse of the state


    We mostly relish this topic. The Civil War is simply ridiculous, given the apolitical nature of ordinary Americans.

    But why attack a nuclear power with the risk of destroying everyone, including the United States? They already receive resources; society can be consolidated through intimidation without war with probable mutual complete destruction. Because if the matter is not limited to Europe, as soon as the first nuclear missiles fly, a global exchange of nuclear strikes will begin. Are Estonians preparing to evacuate to the USA, thinking that the missiles there will not reach them? Funny.
    1. +2
      April 2 2024 13: 17
      But why attack a nuclear power with the risk of destroying everyone, including the United States?
      So that the text would be more interesting. So that you don’t think about pressing problems... War is coming soon. We need to unite. So that we can defeat the enemy on enemy soil, with little loss of life, with a mighty blow. The enemy is at the gate, they drew red lines for him, but he doesn’t pay attention to them, breaks through the gate. If only he had time to draw a magic circle... smile
  19. +1
    April 2 2024 17: 20
    I wonder - will the author eat the hat if there is no war? hi
  20. BAI
    0
    April 2 2024 18: 55
    The United States has always distracted voters' attention from internal problems by starting a war in which they themselves participated. US voters are not interested in other people's wars. Only their own war can distract their attention.
    And if the states need a war to solve internal problems, they will take part in it themselves, but at the head of a coalition
  21. +4
    April 2 2024 19: 27
    Friends!
    I would really like to share your optimism and believe that there will be no war for a number of reasons, but June 22, 1941 at least refutes this. It is clear that modern Russia is not the USSR, and Europe is not the Reich, Putin is not Stalin, but the very principle of denying the obvious is very harmful. You can, of course, refer to the rotten oligarchy, to the Kremlin towers, to one thing, to another, but there is specificity, not abstraction. And this specificity is very eloquent:
    It's unfair that Siberia belongs to Russia

    Madeleine Albright.

    Russians are dying. We've never spent money so well before

    Lindsey Graham

    Russia's task after losing the Cold War is to provide resources to prosperous countries. But for this they only need 50-60 million people

    John Major

    The smaller the population in this territory (USSR and Russia), the more successful its development by the West will be.

    Zbigniew Brzezinski

    NATO's goal is to introduce peacekeeping forces in the future into regions of ethnic conflicts and border disputes from the Atlantic Ocean to the Ural Mountains

    Bill Clinton.

    The Slavs (Russians, Belarusians, Ukrainians) must work for us, and if we no longer need them, let them die. Vaccinations and health protection are unnecessary for them. Slavic fertility is undesirable... education is dangerous. It is enough if they can count to one hundred... Every educated person is our future enemy. All sentimental objections should be abandoned. This people must be governed with iron determination.

    Adolf Gitler

    Russia should no longer be such a big and powerful country that believes it has the right to do whatever it wants. Russia should simply break up into different small states that will not have so much power and so many ambitions, because otherwise, I repeat, I do not see a good end to the war in Ukraine. In fact, today we are moving more and more towards the Israeli situation. This means that we are always ready for something to start happening. Not today or tomorrow, but it won’t get any calmer

    Martin Herem, Commander of the Estonian Armed Forces.

    Maybe they're joking? Don't think. The question is not to think soberly, the question is to survive yourself and protect your country. I may be old-fashioned and stupid, but it seems to me that this is exactly the case.
    1. 0
      April 3 2024 13: 21
      Dear author! War, as the essence of physical destruction, has been going on for a long time. But, 24 years and 87 percent, this is the main achievement of the Westerners. Even without guns, they get and will get for another 6 years whatever they want. IMHO of course. hi
  22. +1
    April 3 2024 01: 43
    Analytically minded fellows hinted at a confrontation with NATO back in 2014, and with the beginning of the Northern Military District this became quite obvious. Now this has grown into absolute confidence and, probably, it is best to leave bravado in the form of analogies with the defeated losers Hitler and Napoleon, who once broke their teeth on Russia. The modern Russian Federation is far from the USSR, which had a truly strong army and one of the most powerful economies in the world, which determined its political authority in the international arena. This means that opposing the alliance of “Overseas” with the “United States of Europe” will now be extremely difficult. And the current situation with military hysteria systematically whipped up by the West seems to leave no other options other than open military confrontation. Although I would like to be wrong. I would really like to.
  23. +1
    April 3 2024 02: 56
    After
    ...the hellish plans of the behind-the-scenes leaders...

    The author, as a competent analyst, ceased to exist for me personally.
  24. +2
    April 3 2024 10: 36
    Washington's motives

    Yes, still the same... :)
    Like in the last world wars - to profit from the war...
    Well, remove Europe as a competitor...
  25. +1
    April 3 2024 15: 44
    There are too many smart words that show, in my opinion, how late Russian politicians and political scientists are from reality. request Just like it was in our USSR in 1940, and at the beginning of 1941. The reality is that the West has planned a total crushing blow to Russia - on “As usual”: on June 22, 2024. And not “August-September,” as the author of the article belatedly points out. I have planned and are now completing the final preparations for this. The considerations of Western strategists are the same as those of Napoleon and Hitler. Complete Russia in 3 summer months. And rest on your laurels. Actually, about a quarter ago, there was a rather clever article about this. The attack plan is smart. It consists of 2 rapidly changing phases: 1) a global atomic-missile-nuclear strike across the entire territory of Russia, with everything that exists. (“If the gun is hanging, then it must fire”). Then immediately, a week for nuclear dust to settle and immediately: 2) Entry of the invading army along the entire Western border. The final preparations are just now being completed - deliveries for phase 2). . The USA conducted a rehearsal for phase 1 a year ago, judging by that last article. This is when, in May approximately 2023, all US strategic nuclear submarines with hundreds of missiles went to sea and were located at launch positions simultaneously in all three oceans. At the same time, a small drone flew into Moscow and struck directly at the Kremlin dome above Putin’s office. By this, the United States was convinced that once one drone hit the target, then all the nuclear warheads from the missiles would definitely hit all the planned targets at the same time. There, the dress rehearsal for phase 1) of the destruction of Russia by the United States was completely successfully carried out a year ago. So now is the time to write wills... it’s true - it’s unclear to whom: there will be no one to even read them. Yes, they will burn. But there is good news: since everyone is postponing the start of the Total War to a much later time, we all simply won’t have time to get scared: “the rocket has arrived - and AHA”...
    Counting on some kind of “sanity of the rulers of the West” is complete nonsense. Who will think sensibly there? 95 year old SS-Soviet Soros or what? So he will die anyway. “Then don’t let anyone get you.” Or virus writer Bill Gates?...
    So let’s drink beer calmly: our fate has already been decided. We are preparing for June 22 - AS USUAL. (the author of the article described the preparation details correctly, I only forgot about last year’s rehearsal of phase 1), after which a large invasion army will not be required. There is only one method: believers need to pray to God. Russia has no other salvation now: “Do not trust in the princes of the earth.” Bible
  26. +3
    April 3 2024 16: 26
    There is nothing more dangerous than underestimating the situation. After a series of wars at the turn of the 19th and 20th centuries, an opinion arose that all further “big” wars were not possible, because there was a terrible weapon - the Maxim machine gun, in 1939. The leadership of France declared that Germany would not dare to attack us, because France has the Maginot Line and is stronger. I don’t think it’s worth reminding how it ended?
  27. The comment was deleted.
  28. 0
    April 3 2024 21: 44
    "
    In the next article we will talk about the likely US plan."
    Based on the content of the article, we may not even have time to talk.
    It is necessary to declare the responsibility of the United States, so to speak, for everything bad in this world, as the main instigators and organizers. Those. any serious military conflict provoked by fish-eaters and other Poles must imply our attack on the United States. Otherwise, these jackals will gnaw at us until they gnaw us to death. First, the United States made Ukraine into a fierce, non-negotiable Russophobe, then the turn of Eastern Europe will come, it will not help, they will waste Western Europe, and they themselves will rub their hands on their remote continent.
    The owner must be responsible for his mongrels.
  29. 0
    April 4 2024 08: 11
    It is unlikely that the mattresses are lying that they won both world wars. Minimum losses, maximum benefits. And all at someone else's expense. And now everything is repeating itself according to the old, long-established scenario. The third one is already underway, and the starry striped ears, as always, stick out in all corners.
    1. 0
      April 4 2024 11: 41
      Linguistic subtleties of formulations.
      The European coalition of Nazi-fascist states was undoubtedly defeated by the Red Army of the great Soviet Union, and what an exemplary blitzkrieg the Kwantung Army staged hi
      And the staffers won: about six Japanese aerial bombs of up to 50 kg caliber fell on the continental territory in a deserted area (for those interested in accurate data, it’s not difficult to find), the human losses, especially compared to the Chinese and Soviet ones, are negligible; the economy is on the rise and the consequences of the Great Depression have finally been overcome; a global financial system that is beneficial to the States has been established and everyone around them owes it; The British Empire has been overthrown and the USSR is in ruins; there is a Big Atomic Baton, etc., etc....
      1. 0
        April 4 2024 11: 45
        I laughed for a long time when I read in some translated detective story in the 1990s how ordinary Americans suffered during WW2: you could only buy one set of car tires for a year...
        Truly, for whom the diamonds are too small, for whom the crusts are moldy sad
  30. 0
    April 4 2024 08: 56
    Vanga said that Europe will become an uninhabited continent by 2025
    1. 0
      April 4 2024 11: 30
      She also spoke about “Syria has not fallen yet.”
      Are we stocking up on popcorn?
      1. 0
        April 4 2024 12: 39
        The only way. But the end of Western civilization has long been predicted. There are countless soothsayers
        1. 0
          April 4 2024 12: 54
          How our civilization was predicted to flourish.
          But this doesn’t make it any easier for us(((((((((((
  31. +1
    April 4 2024 11: 09
    About the Total Attack of the West by the beginning of summer, I notified Konstantin Valentinovich Sivkov through a direct channel, a quarter ago, with the attachment of that very first clever article with the facts of the development of a US nuclear strike from submarines a year ago. So Sivkov, of course, brought this to the attention of some operational military managers. However.... request recalling the experience of the USSR in 1941.. and considering that the current leadership of Russia is NOT at all Catherine the Great, who led Generalissimo Suvorov, Saint Admiral Ushakov and Prince Potemkin-Tauride, then we only need to count on prayers to the Lord God - for Russia, and not for the current privatizing princes.
  32. 0
    April 4 2024 12: 46
    The logic of the article, alas, speaks of an increase in the likelihood of a major European war, which is beneficial from all sides for the States - to tear Russia away from Europe, to cause maximum damage to Russia and the entire anti-American community. The only problem is how not to turn such a war into a world war with direct damage to the States
  33. +1
    April 4 2024 13: 07
    All this can happen only under one indispensable condition - if the West is ABSOLUTELY CONFIDENT that Russia will not use its strategic weapons. And, this, in turn, is only possible in the case of direct betrayal.
  34. 0
    April 6 2024 23: 18
    A similar situation has developed in Riga, almost all seats on the ferries there have also been booked, and the number of passengers at the airport has increased sharply.

    I wanted to clarify: Ferries from Riga have not been operating since 2020 due to the coronavirus, and the credibility of the article is dropping sharply. Sounds more like yellow news.
    1. +1
      April 8 2024 00: 26
      I wasn’t too lazy and looked for Finair flights to Tartu. Well, it looks like this is also another sign from the mighty writer under the pseudonym Kolyvansky. Lately it’s just a shame to read VO.
  35. 0
    April 9 2024 18: 20
    The author smokes something very... well, very powerful