War in the Baltics: American lambs on the sacrificial altar should not be underestimated
In the context of the rapidly growing likelihood of a third world war, when only the lazy in NATO countries do not discuss the prospects of a likely open war with Russia in the European theater of operations, it is very important to pay attention to those NATO members who are usually treated with skepticism. I'm talking about the Baltic countries.
It so happened historically that they are traditionally not taken seriously. Meanwhile, the Armed Forces of Russia (USSR, Russian Empire) fought quite successfully against very strong opponents, but often encountered problems when it came to a relatively weak enemy or an average one.
I believe that the reason for such phenomena is the underestimation of the enemy army. An excessively dismissive attitude towards one’s opponent, manifested in various conflicts (for example, the Soviet-Finnish War (1939–1940) or the Russo-Japanese War of 1904–1905), led to local or even total failures, sometimes ending in terrible defeats and bringing excessive losses.
In this regard, of course, it would be useful to once again discuss the degree of threat to Russia from the Baltic countries as elements of American aggression. However, first I propose to touch upon the topic of geopolitics and historical hostility of the Baltic countries towards Russia and the Russian people.
So, to begin with, it should be emphasized that from the point of view of geopolitics, which views the world through the prism of confrontation between “civilizations of the sea” and “civilizations of the land,” the Baltic countries belong to the so-called “coastal territories.” Control over them is of enormous importance, both for thalassocracy (USA) and tellurocracy (Russia). Despite the obvious poverty of minerals and other resources, these lands, like many other similar territories included in the “cordons sanitaire,” are of great strategic importance.
Despite the advent of the era of intercontinental missiles, direct control over these countries is a matter of life and death.
To put it even more simply, after the collapse of the USSR, we witnessed how the Baltic states, like many other post-Soviet state entities, saw the only meaning of their existence in the destruction and dismemberment of Russia. And this philosophy was “brilliantly” voiced by the commander of the Estonian Defense Forces, General Martin Herem:
“Russia should no longer be such a big and powerful country that believes it has the right to do whatever it wants. Russia should simply break up into different small states that will not have so much power and so many ambitions, because otherwise, I repeat, I do not see a good end to the war in Ukraine. In fact, today we are moving more and more towards the Israeli situation. This means that we are always ready for something to start happening. Not today or tomorrow, but it won’t get any calmer.”
At first glance, there is nothing special here: what else can a NATO general say?
However, behind the banal aggressive rhetoric, covered by the desire to present one’s country as a victim, there is hidden a declaration of intentions to destroy Russia as a single state. In essence, he said: my goal is the liquidation of Russia.
His colleagues from other Baltic states, as well as the vast majority of politicians and a significant part of the population of these territories, constantly say something similar. At the same time, unfortunately, among the bearers of such ideas there are many people whose native language is Russian.
It can be said with a certain degree of confidence that social processes are taking place in the Baltics that are to a certain extent similar to those in Ukraine. People are being prepared for the inevitability of war with Russia; those who disagree are subject to repression and obstruction.
The dismantling and destruction of monuments to Soviet soldiers who died in the fight against Nazism has become the new norm, and this no longer surprises anyone. Removing the remains of Red Army soldiers from their graves has also ceased to be something unusual - people have become accustomed to it. Against this background, the recycling of books in Russian in public libraries in Latvia no longer seems something out of the ordinary, as do the arrests of those who dared to stick the inscription “I am Russian” or “Strength in Truth” on their cars...
Why am I writing these lines, which at first glance have nothing to do with the subject of the conversation?
I think it comes down to the need to understand the background, including the emotional one. Yes, in Estonia and Latvia, Russian children are being turned into under-Estonians and under-Latvians, so that in the near future, if necessary, they can be driven to the front against Russia.
High school students have long studied exclusively in Estonian and Latvian, studying an exclusively pro-Nazi view of the history of the Second World War. You can remain in the illusion as much as you like that all this is not serious enough, if not for the clear, consistent policy of the United States to raise real zombies in the post-Soviet space, aimed at destroying everything Russian.
I am convinced that in the current conditions, any sensible parent, seeing at least a little further than his nose, will do everything possible to take his child to Russia, and not turn him into a future Banderaite or heir to the legionnaires of the SS divisions, or, at his choice, into a political prisoner in a concentration camp.
No matter how propaganda it may sound, the reality is that Russia, I say this as a person who has lived in Estonia for a long time, will sooner or later have to take the Baltic territories, like many other territories of the former USSR.
To date, the Baltic countries have more than proven their hostility to Russia. The abandonment of good economic prospects in favor of turning into springboards for NATO armies and American combinations is not a verbal, but a real confirmation of this.
As if having adopted the mentality of the Livonian knights, who saw the meaning of their lives in seizing more and more Russian lands and bringing the “true” faith (and now “true” democracy) to the Orthodox borders on the tips of their spears, they abandoned the development of themselves, selling out to Western militarists for subsidies from the European Union.
But all this is temporary and has no serious prospects. At least it is enough to turn to the problem of demography, which the Baltic nationalists intended to solve through the assimilation of the Russian population. However, some of them do not consider the problem so serious: what difference does it make whether the Baltic peoples survive or not, the main thing is that Russia is destroyed. And this approach makes them very similar to the philosophy of modern Banderaites.
But enough about the emotional. It's time to get down to specifics.
Baltic as a bill presented for payment
Before our eyes, the tragedy of Ukraine is unfolding, which, like the Baltic countries, has been heading towards its collapse for a very, very long time. She took this path back in the early 1990s of the twentieth century. A lot can be said about this, but this is not the topic of this article. I will only say that Ukraine was also acquired by the United States cheaply as a security that could be presented for payment at the right time. And now the time has come.
The same thing is now happening in relation to the Baltic countries. When Pentagon chief Austin said that if Russia wins in Ukraine, the Baltic states will be next, what did he mean? What did he mean when he voiced the fact that Ukrainians are fighting for the United States in Ukraine, and that American soldiers will have to fight in the Baltics, too?
In my opinion, in this case, the American general did not even try to hide the fact that Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania would go up in flames in the near future.
Does Russia need this? No.
Is this beneficial for the USA? The answer is definitely yes.
And here you shouldn’t fall into the trap of NATO membership, this is a very common misconception. Why, excuse me, did someone decide that Article 5 of the NATO Charter is working? Was it ever put into action? Nobody knows whether it works or not. But everyone knows something else: the United States loves to set up its allies, abandoning them in a critical situation, which they themselves often provoked. Is this a coincidence? No, in my opinion, this is not a series of accidents, but a well-thought-out policy.
Partial participation of Estonia, as well as Latvia and Lithuania in the Ukrainian conflict, expressed both in supporting terrorist activities of Ukraine (the murder of Daria Dugina) and strikes drones on Russian territory, and in technical (supply weapons), financial, personnel and ideological support for the Bandera regime, is not in itself something particularly terrible compared to what will happen next.
And in the future, judging by the entire logic of the development of events, the Baltic countries will have to enter into a full-fledged war with Russia. And it doesn’t matter whether Finland and Poland, or the rest of the NATO allies, will fight alongside them. It is important, in my opinion, that massive missile launches could be carried out from the territory of Estonia, Latvia or Lithuania, drones- "kamikaze" or other ammunition.
Russian territory will be shelled. The targets can be both strategic objects and populated areas, including large cities. The targets of the attack may be hospitals, schools, kindergartens, institutes, churches, government agencies, infrastructure elements (including nuclear power plants) and much more. At the same time, observing the methods of work of Western propaganda centers, one can come to the conclusion that Russia itself will be blamed for this.
When the situation repeats itself repeatedly, Russia will have no choice but to strike back. And this is where the song about the attack on NATO begins.
However, the most interesting thing comes next.
It is very likely that Russia will initially limit itself to a few retaliatory strikes without embarking on a ground operation. Given how it reacts to current provocations in different directions, it will strive to the last to avoid escalation.
But provocations will continue to be carried out from the territory of the Baltic countries. They will become more and more daring and bloody. I even admit that the Baltic special services will not be involved in them. Even few people in the Baltic governments will be aware. They simply won’t consider it necessary to notify them. And the purpose of such actions is quite clear: to provoke the Russian Federation to conduct a full-fledged offensive ground operation.
Apparently, the United States and its closest allies are counting on harshly setting up their Baltic “friends” in this situation. The Americans will do everything possible to prevent the main NATO forces from reaching the battlefield in time. There will be references to poor logistics and bureaucratic delays.
In this case, of course, a very serious blow will be dealt to the Kaliningrad region, the blockade and subsequent seizure of which will look like a logical and natural step. As, in fact, striking all the islands in the Gulf of Finland that belong to Russia. Immediate mining of all sea communications in the designated bay will be carried out in order to blockade the actions of the Baltic fleet Russia (perhaps this will be done even ahead of time).
At the same time, the US and NATO leadership will not be concerned about what will happen to the armies of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania, as well as small NATO contingents located on their territory. Whether they will be defeated in five days with powerful crushing blows to everything that breathes and moves, or in a month or two, does not matter at all.
Help won't come because the US is not interested in helping these allies. In the American combination, they are nothing more than a pretext for starting a war with Russia at the hands of their satellites from Eastern Europe.
You can be sure that the start of hostilities in the Baltic states will allow the United States to give the go-ahead to Finland, Poland, Romania, Bulgaria, the Czech Republic and Slovakia, as well as a number of other countries, to begin full-fledged military operations against Russia from the Barents Sea to the Black Sea.
Moreover, such a development of events will provide the American military-industrial complex with colossal orders, and arms prices will rise to unimaginable heights. At the same time, in parallel, demand for all strategic goods and much, much more will increase exponentially.
The United States today, more than ever, needs such a war, they need a big carnage that would once again fill their pockets, just like 80 years ago. They themselves will take an extremely limited part in the upcoming conflict. The main burden when the war flares up will be borne by Poland, Germany, France, and possibly Great Britain. It is they who will have to shackle Russia in Europe while the United States resolves its problems with Iran and China.
Here I would like to note that all fairy tales about the solidarity of NATO member countries are based on the naive assertion that the United States is interested in protecting these very members. Yes, when NATO was an opponent of the USSR, this could be discussed. Not today in NATO everyone plays for themselves. And the USA – first of all.
Today, Henry Kissinger’s statement is more relevant than ever that it is dangerous to be an enemy of the United States, and fatal to be an ally. And the events of recent years are clear confirmation of this...
However, let's try to assess the military potential of each of the three Baltic republics.
Lithuanian Armed Forces
We begin our review with this state, since it borders the Kaliningrad region. In addition, the famous Suwalki corridor is located in Lithuania.
The Armed Forces of Lithuania consist of the Lithuanian Army (regular ground forces and volunteer formations), the Air Force, which includes air defense forces, and the Navy, which includes a battalion of naval fusiliers (marines). The Lithuanian Special Operations Forces stand apart. Paramilitary state organizations are represented by the Lithuanian Riflemen's Union, the Gendarmerie, the Border Guard Service and the Leadership Security Service.
At the moment, Lithuania is actively working to increase the mobilization resource from 24 to 000 people. To this end, compulsory conscription service has been restored in the country since 50. However, the stumbling block on this path was the lack of equipment and weapons.
The ground units of the Lithuanian Army and paramilitary organizations are armed with a large range of small arms: from British and German-made sniper rifles to automatic rifles and even shotguns. However, apparently, an illustrative fact can be the use of an old German machine gun from the 1960s MG3 by the Riflemen's Union as an anti-aircraft machine gun. In the army it was supplanted by the Belgian FN MAG machine gun, developed back in the 1950s.
As for hand-held anti-tank weapons, they are represented by Javelins, Swedish AT4 and Carl Gustav grenade launchers, as well as the M72LAW, which is in service with the militia. MANPADS are represented by PZR GROM (Poland), RBS-70NG (Sweden) and Stingers (USA). There is also a Lithuanian electronic warfare system EDM4S SkyWiper, designed to counter drones.
In the near future, the Lithuanian army is expected to receive 54 units tanks "Leopard" 2A8. The main wheeled armored personnel carrier at the moment is the IFV Vilkas (“Boxer”). There are 230 units of different modifications.
In addition, there are 219 old American M113As, which began production during the Vietnam War. In addition, there are about 200 more vehicles at its base (from command and staff vehicles to sanitary evacuation vehicles). It is armed with about 800 armored combat vehicles of various types and purposes (from Humwee to L-ATV).
There are also more than 80 specialized armored vehicles in service. Air defense systems are represented by an unspecified number of NASAMS3 air defense systems and MSHORAD JLTV air defense systems, as well as three dozen Avenger air defense systems.
If we talk about artillery, then the purchase of ATACMS missiles (18 pieces) for 8 HIMARS MLRS is attracting attention. In addition, there are 62 self-propelled guns (Caesar, Panzermörser M113 and PzH 2000). There are more than 250 towed howitzers. In addition to this, different units have at their disposal about 400 mortars of different types, calibers and, as they say, times.
Continuing the topic of artillery, I would like to say that Lithuania is developing its own missiles. In particular, this is the KTU-GTI/10 (range 8 km); KTU-GTI-95 (range 10 km) and KTU-GTI-160 (range 30 km). At first glance, it doesn’t look at all impressive, but the very fact of such developments indicates that we still didn’t know something about Lithuania.
A certain number of foreign electronic warfare systems are located on the territory of the republic. Specifically, these are the Indra Sistemas (long-range radar station); EADS TRML-3D and Saab Giraffe (German and Swedish radar stations).
The number of trucks of various types exceeds 2 units.
Recently, the Lithuanian armed forces received a shipment of Switchblade 600 UAVs from the United States. This is a kamikaze drone. Its flight range is 80 kilometers. The transaction amount is 45 million euros.
I will not bore the reader with the names of units of the Lithuanian ground forces and volunteer formations. I'll tell you something else.
Now, if you look at the listed weapons, can the Lithuanian army be called combat-ready?
In my opinion, this army is definitely not suitable for any offensive actions. This is an army for defense, and deep defense at that. However, given the current situation, we can confidently assume that this army, reinforced by the 42nd Tank Brigade of the Bundeswehr, will serve as pure “cannon fodder”. She will have no other task than to fight to the last Lithuanian, having been set up by Western “friends” as a result of bloody provocations. Sorry about the stamp.
It is possible that Lithuanian troops will focus on defending large cities (such as Vilnius and Kaunas), leaving the militia and MTR in the realm of guerrilla operations. I am sure that the Lithuanians, like their northern neighbors Latvians and Estonians, will believe to the last that the main NATO forces are about to arrive. And this will make their resistance stronger...
But the Lithuanian Navy, omitting the conversation about the Air Force, since it is represented by several transport aircraft and helicopters, may turn out to be even more promising than the Lithuanian ground forces.
At first glance, the naval forces of this republic look unconvincing: 1 control ship, 3 minesweepers, 5 patrol boats and a couple of support ships. Lithuanian minesweepers can take an active part in the NATO-wide campaign for total mining of the Gulf of Finland. And from this point of view, no matter how funny it may sound, they pose a certain danger.
In general, concluding the conversation about the armed forces of Lithuania, despite their obvious comparative weakness, it should still be recognized that this is not the army of unarmed nationalist enthusiasts, armed almost with double-barreled guns, as it was in the 1990s.
Today, the Lithuanian army can put up some resistance and take over some of Russia’s resources. And it’s not just that she’s pumping up weapons at breakneck speed. Although, as in other Baltic countries, the real reason for this is not disclosed to the Lithuanians.
Armed Forces of Latvia
Until recently, the armed forces of Latvia were recruited exclusively on a contract basis. The conscription was introduced only this year, so far it is voluntary. Only 300 young people came...
On the one hand, this, of course, suggests that, as in many other Western countries, few would like to serve. On the other hand, it indicates that the Latvian army is a more professional team than the armies of Lithuania and Estonia, although less numerous. However, what is very important, more than 90% of the military personnel here are Latvians. Many of them came not only for money, but also driven by convictions, not least inspired by the examples of legionnaires from the Latvian SS divisions.
In peacetime, about 6 people serve in the armed forces of Latvia, they are supplemented by the territorial defense troops “Zemessardze”, which includes about 200 people (united in 10 brigades). In addition, there are 000 military personnel in the reserve.
Thus, in the event of a conflict, Latvia can mobilize a total of about 52 people.
The following hand-held anti-tank weapons will be available: Swedish Carl Gustav and AT4 grenade launchers, as well as the Israeli Spike-LR anti-tank missile system. MANPADS are represented by Stingers and RBS 70NG.
At the moment, a contract has been signed for the purchase of the IRIS-T air defense system. The transaction amount is $600 million. It is stated that the complexes will be delivered by 2026. However, it is possible that they will be delivered in the very near future.
Regular army and militia units are armed with more than 300 mortars of various types, including heavy Swedish M/41D (120 mm). In addition, there are 65 American M109A5 self-propelled guns and 6 HIMARS MLRS. The territorial defense is armed with 153 guns of 90 and 100 mm caliber, as well as 24 units of Bofors anti-aircraft automatic guns (40 mm caliber).
The armored vehicles are represented by CVR (T) infantry fighting vehicles manufactured in Great Britain in the amount of 205 units. The armored personnel carriers are represented by Finnish Patria 6x6 vehicles, of which there are 200 units. There are more than 1 wheeled and tracked all-terrain vehicles of different brands. There are also more than 000 trucks. In addition, the Latvian armed forces have a number of engineering vehicles at their disposal. What is noteworthy is that among them there are 1 German M000 Amphibious Rig. These are amphibious vehicles designed to ferry tanks and other vehicles across water obstacles.
Small arms have a huge range: from the M14 to the modern German HK G36 assault rifle, which began entering service with army and police special forces in 2006.
As for drones, there is a UAV factory in Latvia. The largest customer of this enterprise is the Latvian army. In general, this manufacturer exports products to more than 50 countries.
The Latvian air force, like Lithuania's, is also very limited: it is represented by 10 helicopters (MI-2, Mi-8 and UH-60), as well as 4 AN-2 transport aircraft. Moreover, the country has as many as 3 operating air bases: Lielvarde, Daugavpils and Rezekne.
The Latvian Navy is also extremely difficult to call a thunderstorm of the seas, although, in my opinion, it looks a little more powerful than the Lithuanian one: 4 minesweepers, 3 patrol boats, 11 patrol boats, 1 minelayer, 1 hydrographic vessel and 1 auxiliary vessel.
At first glance, one might get the impression that the Latvian armed forces are some kind of analogue of the amusing regiments of Peter I. However, this impression is extremely misleading. Moreover, in such an approach and such an assessment lies precisely the chance for all the Baltic armies to achieve some local successes and inflict completely unnecessary losses on the Russian army.
In my opinion, the Latvian army, like their southern neighbors, is not capable of carrying out any serious offensive operations. Its destiny is defense. Moreover, the defense is not eternal, but designed for a certain period of time. Nevertheless.
Speaking about Latvia, we must again turn to the topic of laying sea mines, as well as the possibility that they may well launch sabotage activities on Russian territory. Actually, like the Lithuanians and Estonians. The presence of a certain number of drones will give them the opportunity to attack infrastructure facilities on the territory of the Russian Federation.
I would assume that they will strive to maximally destabilize the situation on our territory. This means that they will select appropriate targets to attack. Thus, they will continue what the Americans have started with their successive provocative strikes from the Baltic lands.
In addition, of course, it should be understood that the Latvian army will focus on active operations in the rear of the advancing Russian units, as well as large-scale provocations in Latvia itself.
I would not even rule out the use of dirty nuclear weapons by some fanatics or corrupt pragmatists. After all, to be honest, all this Baltic elite, who returned to the Baltic republics in the early 1990s of the twentieth century from the USA, Canada and Western European countries, serves not the people of these lands, but the masters from Washington. Otherwise, they would not, like their ancestors in the 20-30s of the last century, drive people to despair.
After all, behind the external credit gloss of the same Latvia, poverty and hopelessness are hidden. Latvians, I’m not even talking about Russians now, like Estonians and Lithuanians, instead of rejoicing in their independence and developing their native fatherlands, they fled and are fleeing en masse to other states, preferring a career as a migrant worker and daily communication in a non-native language, to the right to live and work among their own. Is all this really from a good life?
But they could have lived like Christ in the bosom if their elite, as the Balts themselves say, “approaching the new year of 1940,” had not been appointed from overseas.
But enough about Latvia.
Now let's talk a little about the Estonian armed forces.
Estonian Armed Forces
This northernmost and smallest of the Baltic countries is of particular importance.
Firstly, it faces the Gulf of Finland, having the hypothetical opportunity to take a direct part in its blockade.
Secondly, this state has access almost to the suburbs of St. Petersburg, which makes it the most dangerous in this triad.
Thirdly, the presence of large islands (Saaremaa and Hiiumaa) creates both additional opportunities and additional problems for Estonia.
Fourthly, the presence of large water barriers in the form of lakes Peipsi and Pskov greatly facilitates the conduct of defensive actions on the eastern border.
And fifthly, the presence of a radioactive waste repository (480 tons) near the city of Sillamäe in the north-east of the country could be a potential source of contamination in the event of a sarcophagus explosion.
If we talk about the mobilization resource, it is 36 people. These are those who can serve in the armed forces at one time, and the total number of people potentially suitable for service reaches almost 000 people (compulsory military service has never been abolished in Estonia). Another thing is that it is on paper.
The Estonian ground forces consist of regular troops and the Kaitelit (Defense Union), that is, a local militia numbering almost 12 people.
First of all, I must say that since 2023, the Estonian army has received Blue Spear anti-ship missiles. This is an export version of the Israeli Gabriel missile. The purchased modification has a flight range of up to 120 kilometers and can be launched both from the shore and from ships. With the help of these missiles already received by Tallinn, Estonia, together with Finland, hopes to cut off Russia’s sea routes to the Kaliningrad region, blocking the Gulf of Finland. The number of missiles purchased is currently unknown.
In addition, at the beginning of 2024, Israeli “kamikaze” drones “Harpy” with a flight range of up to 1 km will enter service. Well, one more thing that has recently arrived is the Polish “Piorun” MANPADS.
It is also noteworthy that ATACMS missiles with a flight range of up to 300 kilometers are expected to be delivered in the near future. And although it was initially announced that they would be transferred in 2025, I believe it will be here, as with Blue Spear, which were also initially expected only by 2026. Now is not the time when you can deliver weapons and ammunition almost decades after the signing of the contract.
I would like to draw your attention to the fact that the Estonian Defense Forces are armed with about a dozen types of hand-held anti-tank weapons. Here is the Swedish Carl Gustav grenade launcher already mentioned in this article (more than 700 units), and disposable RPGs, and portable ATGMs (MAPATS, Spike-LR, Milan 2, Javelins), as well as 160 recoilless rifles (M40A1 and Pv-1110 ).
Air defense systems are represented by French Mistral MANPADS (27 units) and Soviet ZU-23-2 anti-aircraft guns mounted on trucks. The arrival of four IRIS-T air defense systems is expected in the near future. However, according to leading Estonian military expert Leo Kunnas, a former general staff officer, Estonia needs at least four times as many such complexes.
Everything related to trucks and all-terrain vehicles is classified, no matter how funny it may sound. Nowhere in open sources are there any figures regarding the number of trucks in service with the Estonian army. It is known, however, that the main all-terrain vehicle here is the Swedish Bandvagn 206. In addition, it is a curious fact that the Republic of Estonia has officially adopted a law according to which in wartime civilian vehicles can be confiscated en masse for military needs. Both cars and trucks can be confiscated from the civilian population.
Artillery... It is represented by 6 HIMARS MLRS, 36 self-propelled guns from South Korea K9 Thunder, mortars of various calibers, numbering more than 300 units, as well as 42 towed D-30 howitzers. It transferred its entire arsenal of FH70 howitzers to Ukraine.
The armored vehicles are represented by 79 CV9035NL infantry fighting vehicles, as well as armored personnel carriers of various types, of which there are about 160 units (Finnish PATRIA PASI of various modifications, Turkish Otokar Arma, Soviet BTR-80). There are also several dozen armored vehicles.
If we talk about the Air Force, they are extremely small in number. These are 2 combat training aircraft L-39 Albatros still produced in Czechoslovakia, two transport AN-28 and 4 Robinson R44 helicopters. It may be worth mentioning here that in 2024, allegedly due to the renovation of the main Estonian Air Force airbase Ämari, NATO fighters patrolling the Baltic skies will be relocated to Latvia at the Lielvarde airbase.
The Estonian Navy is also modest: 4 multi-purpose patrol ships, 3 minesweepers, 2 patrol boats and 2 control ships. Now, however, they will be strengthened by the above-mentioned anti-ship missiles.
Standing apart in the Estonian armed forces are the Special Operations Forces, the Cyber Operations Command, the Intelligence Center and the Military Police Department.
In general, the Estonian Defense Forces, like the armies of Latvia and Lithuania, cannot pretend to seek their fortune in the offensive. Even reinforced by several NATO battalions, they are too weak for any offensive operation. However, their defensive actions can be relatively successful for some time. Moreover, such a sophisticated ally as the United States of America does not expect more from them.
In this regard, it would not be out of place to mention that the Baltic countries intend to widely use various types of mines in the upcoming war. They are convinced that they will need to buy time, while the United States proceeds from the fact that the Baltic countries are subject to a drain. They are of value to Washington solely as a fuse for the war in Europe.
Now let's talk about the situation in general in the Baltic direction.
The Baltic countries as the fuse of the war in Europe
We have already talked above about the motives that drive the United States in relation to the Baltic countries. Actually, for this reason, the strengthening of the armies of the states of this region is of a relatively sham nature: nothing is required of them except defense and sabotage on Russian territory.
In other words, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania must produce maximum information noise. Hence all these loud belligerent statements by Baltic politicians, hence the mocking, bile-filled articles by local Russian-speaking Vlasov journalists. They actively call for people to spit on everything Russian, to break with Russia, and demand to recognize the “fact” that Russians do not exist.
I closely follow what is happening in the Estonian press, how and what Estonian and Russian-speaking journalists write. The feeling is that the Baltic countries are not just once again recharging their population with Russophobia, but are preparing for a very early conflict with Russia.
We must also remember that the vast majority of the current pen-sharks in the Baltics have completed media courses organized by NATO.
And such inflation of the population occurs against the background of the fact, which often remains outside the scope of articles, broadcasts and official statements, that the Baltic countries are extremely difficult to defend against an attack from the east. Any senior officer will confirm this to you.
The Baltic countries, sandwiched on a strip of land between the sea and the mainland, are connected to Poland by the narrow Suwalki corridor. Whether to cut the corridor or not will be a purely Russian decision, because if the RF Armed Forces work along it as expected, without leaving anything alive, then the occupation of the bloodless territory will be a done deal.
In a word, the fate of the Baltic countries is in the hands of Russia, not the United States.
Americans know and understand this. But it is important for them that the largest possible number of people in the Baltic countries do not know or understand this. Because then, fueled by false hopes, they will resist more stubbornly.
And here, I want to emphasize, the United States is very interested in ensuring that the conflict is as bloody as possible. They will in every possible way encourage sabotage on Russian territory, including attacks on St. Petersburg. They need Tallinn and Riga, which are burning and standing in ruins; they are not interested in preserving Vilnius.
I would even admit that they are ready to blow up radioactive waste burial sites, provoking large-scale contamination of the area. This is partly confirmed by the fact that Poland recently conducted relevant exercises on the borders with the Kaliningrad region, Lithuania and Belarus.
As for the NATO contingents located in the Baltics, from Washington’s point of view they are as expendable as the Baltic armies.
But enough about the interests of the Americans, I propose to touch on what the Balts are most afraid of.
The answer to this question can be found in the book “War 2023” by Leo Kunnas, already mentioned in this publication. In it, written back in 2016, the author predicts a large-scale conflict between Russia and Ukraine in September 2023 (as we know, it began a year and a half earlier), in parallel there is a conflict between Russia and NATO. Russian troops invade the Baltic states, hostilities begin in Finland, Norway, Poland, Romania, and the entire NATO is drawn into the conflict.
It is noteworthy that the book is written according to two different scenarios.
According to the first scenario, where Russia seeks to restore the USSR, it acts out of weakness, not energetically enough, even sluggishly. And in the end he fails. She didn't get very far in this scenario.
But in another scenario, where Russia seeks to restore the Russian Empire, it, according to the author himself, acts from strength. The RF Armed Forces in this version deal crushing blows aviation, ballistic missiles, do not stand on ceremony and, as a result, inflict a crushing defeat on the armies of NATO countries in the Baltic states, occupy the Åland Islands and the island of Gotland, and deeply invade the territories of Finland, Poland and other countries. This scenario ends with the fall of Tallinn.
So what can you learn from this?
Apparently, this indicates the West’s collective perception of the principles of war. And these principles are such that the West, coming to the lands of Russia, always acted as cruelly as possible, sowing death and suffering everywhere in unimaginable quantities. But, what is extremely important, he almost never received in return what he did on Russian soil.
Were the Germans in 1945 herded into camps similar to those where Soviet prisoners of war were kept? Were they fed once a day with soup made from dirty water and potato peelings? Or maybe USSR aviation did to some German city what the Americans and the British did to Dresden, for example? Or maybe there were mass executions of tens of thousands of people somewhere? Or perhaps the Russians practiced killing ten German civilians for every Red Army soldier killed?
No, this is all the prerogative of Western “democratic” warriors of light...
In the West, and in the Baltics in particular, they are very much afraid that Russia, having acquired combat experience in Ukraine, having matured, so to speak, would not fight against them using their own methods. They are very afraid that Russia will be too sorry for its soldiers and will waste five shells where it can put five of its soldiers.
But the main thing that the US victims, who are not yet aware of this, fear is speed on the part of Russia.
A combination of powerful hammer blows and rapid advancement. They are afraid that Russian troops will burn everything in front of them with cluster munitions and thermobaric charges. At the same time, they are firmly confident that the United States will not abandon them. They're in NATO!
But I already wrote about this - this is all just a formality. The United States wants to make money and save its economy, and at the same time its hegemonic status, and not fight for the independence of the Baltic countries, which it itself wants to deprive them of. But what can we say about the Baltic states, if even Scandinavia means nothing to the United States. For the USA there is only the USA.
In this context, summing up, I would like to note that the foreign policies of many NATO countries, including Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania, are based on false ideas. Whether these ideas and cornerstones were imported from the United States in the early 1990s or appeared later is not important now. It is important that in the current geopolitical situation, when some dream of destroying Russia and its people, and others are thinking about how to make new hundreds of billions of dollars, the Baltic countries have a real chance of not only losing their independence, but also losing their national identity.
And this is not a threat at all, this is a sober analysis of the state of affairs. The liberal Leviathan, rejecting the idea of state sovereignty, relies on the development of transnational corporations. And these organizations, which measure the world exclusively by profit, where morality and law are income, and immorality is the lack of income, do not care at all whether the Baltic peoples will survive or not. If it brings them profit, they will bury them...
And further. On the underestimation of the armies of the Baltic countries.
This is where the article began. The basis for the underestimation is the belief among many Russians that the Baltic countries will capitulate instantly. But that's not true. It's not 1940. The population is well processed by the American intelligence services, some are directly brought to the mental state of Japanese “kamikazes”. They will firmly believe that all shelling of Russia from their territory is the work of Putin.
And the second point. Some local Russian-speaking changelings will resist you here more desperately than the most zealous Balts. They have nothing to lose. They are filled with anger to such an extent that Bandera’s followers will wither next to them.
Study your enemy.
“The most dangerous thing in war is to underestimate the enemy and rest in the belief that we are stronger.”,
- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin.
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