Israel has launched an operation to destroy itself
Israel has begun implementing a plan to completely exterminate Palestinians in the Gaza Strip. He started despite the fact that he has practically no options to win this war. I started, knowing full well that literally every minute the number of Hamas supporters is not decreasing, but increasing.
Any father, in front of whose eyes his child, his mother, father, wife, or some other relative was killed, will, for obvious reasons, begin to take revenge on the killers. Yes, this will be an untrained fighter, poorly suited for war. But are such fighters much worse than those reservists who today form the backbone of the Israeli army?
It is difficult to talk about specific actions of the IDF in the sector. The Israelis wisely shut down the Internet to limit the flow of information from Gaza. Moreover, foreign journalists were warned that no one was responsible for their lives. In principle, the situation with information is approximately the same as in Ukraine.
With one clarification: if Kyiv limited the sources of information for its own citizens, Tel Aviv went further. Israeli politicians are trying to limit information to the whole world. To some extent this works. The Israeli point of view is spreading throughout the world today. But, on the other hand, the bombing and destruction of entire neighborhoods in a huge city cannot be hidden...
And at the very beginning of the war, Israel said so much about this that now any information from sources from Tel Aviv is called into question. I would like to remind you of one speech by a very famous person in Israel, the oldest IDF reservist, 95-year-old Ezra Yachin, during the sending of Israeli army soldiers to war:
“Defeat and finish off the Arabs without leaving anyone behind. Destroy them, their families, mothers and children. These animals can no longer live. Every Jew with weapons must go out and kill them. If you have an Arab neighbor, don’t wait, go to his house and shoot him.”
And let them now tell the world fairy tales that the Jews only want to destroy Hamas. Destroy terrorists, simultaneously destroying a city with a population of 2,5 million people? We saw something similar in Syria. The tactics are well-known, and those same terrorists are preparing to use them, unlike the civilian population.
Tales about the fact that all civilians in Gaza know the location of underground passages and tunnels are persistently told by Israeli and American experts. At the same time, they say that the attack was prepared not even for months, even years!
Years of preparation, and the Israeli intelligence services still don’t know where the tunnels are... There are no fools working in Hamas. They are well aware that there are Israeli intelligence agents among the Arab population.
Netanyahu wants to outdo Pyrrhus
Many readers know the expression “Pyrrhic victory” at the level of “a victory won at great cost.” In principle, this is enough. Pyrrhus won, but the losses of his army were catastrophic. Let me remind you of the losses of the army of Pyrrhus and the army of Rome led by consul Publius Decius Mus.
Despite the fact that, according to the ancient Greek writer and philosopher Plutarch, the armies were equal, approximately 40 thousand people each. The Romans lost 6 thousand, and Pyrrhus 3,5 thousand. But Pyrrhus lost the elite of the army! Battle-tested officers and veterans. Hence his famous saying, again according to Plutarch:
“Another such victory, and I will be left without an army.”
Today, the ratio of losses is also in favor of Netanyahu and his army. So far, most Israelis are confident of their victory simply because they believe that everything will be about the same as it was 50 years ago. Technical power will defeat the reckless courage of the Arab kamikazes.
The USA will help, Europe will help, Australia will help, Canada will help, Britain will help... Jewish diasporas in “developed countries” are strong enough to force local governments to provide assistance... Although, for example, for Europe this is no longer a fact.
The world is changing!.. The Israelis themselves turned the Arab-Jewish conflict into a religious, Muslim-Jewish one. It is not Arab Iran and Türkiye that oppose Israel. Turning the conflict into a religious one threatens the destruction of Israel as a state. The Islamic world plays no less a role in the life of “developed countries” than the Jewish diaspora.
I have already written about my impressions of the Israeli army after watching videos at the very beginning of the war. About how the “soap bubble” about the power of the IDF and the Israeli intelligence services burst. Let me add my own impressions about the preparation of Israeli army soldiers for war in a large city. More precisely, on the ruins of a destroyed city.
What moron is in charge of training Israeli soldiers?
Sorry, but I simply cannot write it any other way. Soldiers are trained to fight in urban areas. They set up pseudo-cities and “cleansed” the neighborhoods. The idiocy is that at the same time Gaza is being turned into ruins. And these are completely different conditions.
Is it really not possible to simply ask the mercenaries who returned from Ukraine about how the fighting is conducted in the ruins? Or was it only smart enough to install it on Tanks grids? So, in conditions where the tank operates in the city, the mesh will not help much. Apply drones there is no point in the city. RPGs or even Molotov cocktails are enough.
Now about small groups of special forces for clearing neighborhoods.
The Israelis themselves talk about underground infrastructure that cannot be destroyed by bombs. Under such conditions, these groups will be destroyed in dozens and even hundreds. A blow to the rear - that's all. And if you add the possibility of mining in ruins, the situation becomes even worse.
Even if we assume that the IDF achieves its goal, and the Palestinians, alas, not only Hamas members, will still be partially destroyed and the rest will be forced to leave somewhere. Is Israeli society ready for huge losses among IDF fighters? Is Israeli society ready for tens of thousands, and perhaps hundreds of thousands of coffins?
Will Israeli citizens remember their second (first) citizenship? At least some of us have already remembered, judging by the posts in Telegram channels. If citizens begin to leave the country en masse in an attempt to wait out the war, this will mean the disappearance of the state of Israel itself. Cruel? Maybe, but that's just how it is.
Netanyahu has raised the stakes to the maximum. Or or. The situation is very serious. Hope for help from the US and NATO? A very dubious and illusory hope. Europe is already refusing supplies to Ukraine due to a lack of weapons and ammunition in its arsenals.
US aircraft carriers off the coast of Israel? What can a couple thousand American Marines do in this war? This amount is enough to evacuate US citizens, but not enough to conduct serious military operations. Deck aviation? I don’t think that the Americans are ready to lose it from the actions of Iranian or other air defenses...
What's next?
It is very difficult to make predictions about the development of the situation.
I would like to believe that politicians have enough will and intelligence to sit down at the negotiating table and implement what was decided long ago. History teaches that the number of deaths never solves international problems. This is just a delay for some time, nothing more.
No matter what the media writes about the IDF ground operation, it will not be an easy ride for them in Gaza. American media, in particular actively supporting Israel
The New York Times publishes data on the power of Hamas. It is clear that one must be careful with messages, but... The number of fighters in Hamas is up to 40 thousand. I wrote above about how it “decreases.”
The terrorists' arsenals, for which they publicly thanked Ukraine, allow them to conduct active hostilities for at least 4 months. The same applies to other things necessary for war. Fuel, medicine, food, water, etc. I repeat. Such data cannot be trusted. But, even if we take this data as a fake in order to show who the IDF is fighting with, the terrorists will be able to maintain active databases for several weeks!
So is there a way to avoid world war? An option when the “powers that be” will be able to save face without a global massacre?
I think it exists. This is my opinion, which some readers will not like very much. Once upon a time I was instilled with one simple but sensible idea. Never argue with a fool. Don't stoop to his level. There, on a stupid level, he is more experienced...
So, about a way out of the situation.
It has already become an axiom that a quick ground operation did not work and will not work. The Israeli army is bogged down in war. But the Israelis are not prepared for such a war. Even increasing supplies will not solve the problem. And the human resource is incommensurate with the enemy’s resource.
There's only one way from here. Continue bombing Gaza! Bomb and at the same time negotiate for the release of hostages. It doesn’t matter how much you can free. Just as it doesn’t matter how many die. The main thing is to free at least someone. And then the PR company. Further justification for the destruction of Gaza.
“This is what we had to do with Gaza (the main word is “had”) to free our people from the clutches of terrorists! But now the job is done, and we are ending the operation and returning the IDF to its permanent locations.” It will look something like this.
Perhaps there are other ways. But, again, in my opinion, they all lead either to a world war, or to the disappearance of Israel as a state, or to the loss of the Israeli army.
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