For several days now, there has been a discussion on various platforms about what happened in Israel? Today only the lazy do not talk about the failure of the defense system of the Jewish state. As well as the destruction of many myths about this country. Myths so widespread that even many of our fellow citizens believed in them, and some continue to believe.
I even think that no matter what happens next, such as the severe destruction of Palestinian cities in the Gaza Strip and the complete destruction or displacement of Palestinians from the region, the Arab victory has already occurred. The myth about the inaccessibility of borders, the strength of the army and the belligerence of the Israelis has been destroyed.
Now even those who simply did not believe in the possibility of defeating Israel and creating a Palestinian state by military means will go over to the radical camp. Not all, but many. Soon enough we will see the emergence of new alliances and associations in the Arab world. We are witnessing a real change in the balance of political and military forces in the region.
This war will shed much more blood than all previous ones. And not only the blood of Arabs and Israelis, but also of representatives of other states. This is already clear if you carefully read the statements of American and Western leaders. Many people have probably noticed a change in the rhetoric of such statements. If you compare it with what they said about the SVO, it’s the complete opposite.
I can’t help but notice the huge spit in our direction that the Israelis made involuntarily. The spitting is quite offensive for us. Israel called up 300 reservists in two (!) days. But most importantly, they all received new military equipment, modern weapon and heavy weapons. I can’t help but remember our partial mobilization...
Failure of Israeli intelligence services
Let's try to figure out what really happened and why MOSSAD and Shin Bet (Shin Bet) did not fulfill the tasks assigned to them?
Why are intelligence and counterintelligence in a puddle? I would say that most of the deaths of Israelis in the first couple of days of the war were on the conscience of the leaders of these very organizations.
I'll start with the missile attack, which practically demoralized the country. The 50 years that have passed since the start of the Yom Kippur War have accustomed us to the idea that the Israeli aviation, and sometimes special forces, periodically carry out operations to destroy the production and storage sites of rockets belonging to Hamas. The world has long come to terms with the fact that Israelis can do things that others cannot. I mean that the strikes were carried out on the territory of other states.
Naturally, the Israelis closely monitored not only the sites of missile production and storage, but also controlled any supplies of raw materials. Missile materials have also been targeted by Israeli Air Force fighters.
The question arises: where did the several thousand missiles that were launched by the Arabs come from? Not tens, not hundreds, but thousands of missiles!
No less interesting are other facts that are already known.
For example, operators drones. And the drones themselves. After all, it was the drones that practically destroyed the guard towers of the oporniks and thereby destroyed the automatic machine guns located there. One grenade and the firing point is disabled. We saw what happened next in numerous videos. The soldiers were simply slaughtered like sheep...
What, Israeli specialists didn’t study the war in Ukraine? Didn’t know that such weapons are quite effective? If you didn’t know, then you need to drive away such specialists with a filthy broom. And if they knew and did not attach any importance to this, did not track the operator training centers and drone delivery routes, then according to the laws of war...
There are quite a lot of such jambs. The same paragliders, for example. Back in the now distant 70s of the last century, this method of landing was considered quite seriously. But for some reasons, which will be discussed later, this method of delivering troops behind enemy lines was used only by a fairly small circle of specialists.
It is quite simple to prepare a skydiver with some jumping experience to work with a paraglider. And it won't take much time. A couple of weeks of intensive training. And if the task at hand requires mass participation, then even less. True, the injury rate will increase sharply. Well?..
Again, video... Soldiers beautifully flying from the sky, pouring fire from small arms on the ground... Show me that civilian, and military man too, who will adequately react to such a spectacle. And even in urban areas. Could the Israeli police, and it was the police there, effectively resist such a landing? No!
But the army units, upon receiving the relevant information from intelligence, would have cut this landing force into carcasses while still in the air... But, judging by the development of events, the special services did not provide such information. They didn't know or didn't care...
I repeat, there are many such jambs. A lot for such rich and high-tech intelligence services.
It is clear that we will soon hear versions of why Israel was not ready for the attack. Including versions from employees of MOSSAD and Shin Bet. I won’t comment on what I haven’t heard yet. I'll just ask a few questions that will be interesting to get answers to.
So, why did the intelligence network of both intelligence services not notice the preparation of the attack?
Even a schoolchild understands that the larger the operation, the more people are involved in its preparation. Hence, the probability of information leakage increases exponentially. There will definitely be a “long tongue” that somewhere, in front of someone, will blurt out some information...
Further. What did other specialists do? For example, radio intelligence?
During the preparation of the operation, it is still possible to somehow ensure radio silence. But after it started, the broadcast should have simply burst with the number of messages.
What about cell phones? Didn't the concentration of telephones in one place alarm employees? Didn't the appearance of new code words on air alert you?
Well, for a snack.
Is there no electronic warfare in Israel? How were the attackers' actions coordinated? Flags or whistles? Or did they still have means of communication that could be suppressed?
No offense to the Israelis, we know very well that Israeli intelligence works very closely with American and European intelligence. There is a good exchange of information there. So, we can say with confidence that Israeli intelligence officers and counterintelligence officers are sitting in the shit together with the Americans, British, Germans, French and others... They are sitting with their ears and eyes covered with the appropriate substance...
The army overslept many of its soldiers
In addition to specialists, there are also questions for the Israeli army.
It is known that in the border areas, where clashes occurred quite regularly, trained professionals served. Conscripts serve in the interior of the country. And the Arabs passed through these elite fighters like a hot knife through butter. I’m wondering, if this is the elite, then who serves there, in these deepest regions?
Any serviceman understands perfectly well that regulations are written in blood. But what did we see in reality? We saw the practical implementation of a saying that Soviet boys knew from childhood. There is no trick against scrap! The border was simply destroyed with tractors and other improvised means. No electronics can resist scrap.
Army reaction? Zero!
Next is the first line of defense.
There was nothing new here either, except for the aforementioned paragliders. “Shaitan arba”, a modern cart, a jeep with a machine gun... After breaking the border, the road is clear. There are simply no soldiers there! Up to ten kilometers of free space. Do what you want. Israeli soldiers sit at posts and military bases.
Everyone knows where they are located. And about the fact that they are practically not guarded, that is, there is no guard there, either. The warriors are actually on the LBS without any external security! The Israelis are saved by automation. I wrote above what happens to it after regular grenades are dropped. Just like what happened to the soldiers...
The “carts” are moving on... There are large military bases there! For example, Kerem Shalom. The situation is almost the same as at the posts. There is no security. Complete pioneer camp. They threw grenades at the outer guards and... The soldiers were destroyed in the same way as at the posts. Plus trophies. Tanks, armored personnel carriers...
So how should we treat the Israeli generals after this? Knowing that Israel will flood the land with the blood of civilians?
Very briefly about the future
I'll start with one question that was asked to me right while writing this material.
The question sounded like this. Ukrainian intelligence, through the mouth of its leader, put forward the version that Ukrainian weapons, previously supplied to Kiev by the West, ended up in the hands of the Arabs after they were captured by the Russian Army as trophies, is this possible?
The answer is no.
This could not happen in principle due to completely objective reasons. This has nothing to do with our desires and our wants. I’ll answer briefly why. For those interested, checking the information is quite simple.
Since 2016, Turkey has been carrying out convoys to the Gaza Strip in agreement with the Israeli government! Erdogan was very proud that all the conditions that Ankara put forward were met. Everything that was supplied to Gaza went only through Turkey!
The question arises about Qatar. So there is only money and nothing more.
Thus, the ruling party of Turkey and Hamas, members of the Muslim Brotherhood group, interacted. Knowing the “wisdom” of Erdogan and his close contacts with Kiev, we can guess where the arms supplies for Hamas came from.
The Turkish president does not have such relations with Russia. Whether it's good or bad doesn't matter at all.
Now about the future.
Above all, this will be the bloodiest war this region has experienced. Israel now needs to prove its power. It is necessary to intimidate the neighbors...
It is likely that the war will soon turn into a regional one. The West really needs Iran to disarm a little. There is no other state in the region that can challenge Iran.
I will say more: what is happening there now is much more serious than what is happening in Ukraine. Ukraine ceases to be the center of confrontation between East and West...