Israel is just the beginning
Let's talk today about what is happening in Israel from a rather unique point of view.
Let's start with “who are the heroes?” Israel - how is it related to us? No way. It so happened that although there are many former compatriots there, the relations are below average. But: they didn’t sell or donate the “Iron Dome” to Ukraine – and that’s the point. Although the songs of the “ladies” in the IDF uniform about “Chervona Kalina” were strange. The anthem of the UPA, the executioners from which slaughtered Jews in Volyn in 1943, performed by seemingly Israeli women (albeit with Ukrainian roots) - well, this is a so-so show.
In general, I would like our readers from there, Voyaka, Aaron and others to live in accordance with the canons until they are 120 years old and die differently than some of their fellow citizens have recently. I really want that.
As for these “poor oppressed Palestinians”... I’ve listened to this eternal fairy tale since school, yes. You know, when I saw a video shot by one animal about how other animals kept their feet on Shani Luk, whom they had killed, and other animals spat on what used to be a girl, I somehow had no other thoughts. Animals.
The ugliest thing here is that 30-year-old German citizen Luk actively participated in the work of a Canadian organization that... was engaged in “the integration and adaptation of foreign specialists in Canada.” I don’t know how she managed it there, but the religious brothers of these specialists grabbed her in a music festival camp, broke her legs, killed her and then drove her around Gaza so that everyone (all on video) could spit on her corpse.
The “Roads of Death” that I saw in the footage from there immediately reminded me of that same “Road of Death” from Lugansk to Novosvetlovka towards Izvarino. Almost ten years have passed, but you know, human memory is a complicated thing.
In general, it depends on everyone, but personally, I’m definitely not on the same path with such “allies.” But the point here is not about parodies of people, it’s about the shepherds who tend this herd. It's not about those who shoot civilians and mock women. These parodies of people are only capable of demonstrating their “achievements” to the whole world on camera.
So, I can safely say that in this situation I am an almost impartial observer, drawing certain conclusions. And the fact that not everyone will like these conclusions is expectedly normal.
Today many are really surprised by what is happening in Israel. And they come to the conclusion that the IDF is not as good as they said, and MOSSAD has forgotten how to work as a special service, and the Merkava is generally a disappointment of the year.
I would take the liberty of pointing out the fact that everything is being done on the basis of a rather incomplete picture coming from there. Much of what is hidden behind the scenes is inaccessible and does not allow us to draw full conclusions about what is happening.
What I would like to voice first of all is that the real units of the Palestinian army are not the organisms that run around with AKs and flip-flops on their bare feet in the video frames. Let's not repeat fairy tales that bandits can defeat a regular army. Are these in sweatpants and flip-flops, in colored T-shirts in the video the ones who killed the Israeli soldiers before this? Don't tell me, that's not the case. The Israeli soldiers were not killed by those who then mocked the corpses on camera.
Behind the real fighters of the Palestinian army is a whole array of well-trained specialists from Iran who work on the Palestinian fighters, preparing them for somewhat greater achievements than shooting with a machine gun and RPG.
And in general, Iran is behind the Palestinians. And this is a force that cannot be ignored. I am sure that Iranian specialists spent more than one month working on all the aspects of this operation. The way it went in the initial phase shows that a lot of work was done in terms of collecting and analyzing intelligence information, preparing and implementing plans, and much more, as a result of which the plans became a reality.
And you and I see only that part of the picture that we are allowed to see.
By the way, as proof: not a single video frame of the capture of Israeli General Aloni, who was taken in bed.
Only photos, beautifully edited and with not only faces painted over, but also weapons. Which, by the way, indirectly indicates that the general was not taken by these, with Chinese AKs and in sandals, but by quite a special force, the only question is where, the army or the IRGC.
These are all “Palestinian militias”, they are nothing more than lubricant for Israeli bayonets. Their value is low; all these organisms can do is kill unarmed populations and cause panic. But they can arrange this very effectively. And then they will simply die, abandoned as unnecessary.
But behind their backs, real fighters will take bases as if they were not guarded at all. Can you even imagine that the Israeli army on the border with Gaza suddenly went on a spree and abandoned duty? Sorry, I don't believe it. But the fact that the Israelis were outplayed by more prepared guys is easy.
We look at them as Israelis Tanks drones they are dropping grenades, but it would be worth looking at the very synchronized launch of hundreds of missiles, which really strained Israel’s air defense. And it would be worth thinking about the fact that Iranian electronic intelligence could very clearly monitor the missiles and drones, ensuring proper target designation.
I apologize, but I am not delighted with the Palestinian side; they have never been able to show anything sensible except guerrilla warfare and terror. Here the game is at a very high level, perhaps even higher than that of the Israeli side.
The raid that the Palestinians staged across Israeli territory, with the seizure of military bases and cities, the panic that inevitably arose as a result of this, and the competently carried out information pressure - this is worthy of respect.
The only mistake is the mass execution of civilians. But here, alas, there were no other performers, and the Iranians, known for their “love” for Israel, were unlikely to behave differently.
When you understand why all this was planned, and understanding does not come immediately, then you begin to understand why everything turns out this way.
After all, the point, you see, is not about terror, it’s just that the performers cannot offer anything else. Well, yes, several years of throwing explosives into residential areas of Israel using various carriers is a so-so achievement. And here the opportunity presented itself - to shoot at Jews with almost impunity...
That's what the organisms from the PLO did. But serious people took up completely different matters.
What does this attack mean for Iran?
This is receiving a huge amount of information about Israel's capabilities. Command response speed, situation response protocols, mobilization speed, army readiness, intelligence capabilities.
Possession of this information could cost several hundred Palestinians; the game is clearly worth the candle.
And yes: do not be mistaken in thinking that Hamas has a real chance of success. However, events have shown that even if Hamas is provided with proper leadership and information support, the militants can become a very serious weapon. However, this is the case in the world stories has already happened more than once.
And more than once in world history, what Netanyahu promised terrorists has happened, namely hell on earth. And Israel's promises to turn Gaza into one big pile of rubble should be taken more than seriously. But Gaza is one of the most densely populated places on Earth and any missile strike will reap a very bloody harvest, which is expected to be followed by a completely logical jihad. In general, you understand what I mean.
Today, many quote the late Zhirinovsky, who once spoke very beautifully about how that region could go up in flames. From the heart and half the planet.
Let's look at Israel's power bloc?
Indeed, the fact that intelligence, which is considered one of the best in the world, screwed up, to put it mildly, is more than strange. Why did MOSSAD miss the preparation of such a strike, and who is to blame is a logical question.
MOSSAD no matter how guilty, it looks strange, but it’s true. Many today are bending this institution in every way, reproaching many unpleasant things. But MOSSAD is a state intelligence service of a military-political nature, and Gaza is under the jurisdiction of military intelligence and counterintelligence of the operational departments of the headquarters of those formations stationed along the border. They must bear responsibility for the fact that Hamas passed through Israeli cordons like a knife through butter.
But in general, MOSSAD should have been aware of what was being planned against the country. Otherwise, what kind of special service is this? Having its own agents everywhere? Perhaps MOSSAD was simply confused by good disinformation with the help of agents in other countries. For example, by arranging a bombardment of information similar to the truth or half-truth, without giving the opportunity to understand it. Which, in fact, indicates that at least specialists of no lower level worked against MOSSAD specialists.
IDF. The Israeli army surprised everyone, and I'm afraid it surprised itself. To lose twice as many soldiers in one day than during the last war with Lebanon, to lose several settlements, military bases and facilities... Some 22.06.1941/XNUMX/XNUMX by the Israeli military, many of whom were clearly taken by surprise. It’s surprising, of course, but if the aforementioned Iranian special forces acted, the questions really go away. It is not as difficult for specialists to remove guards in peacetime, even in a tense sector, as for ordinary military personnel, to oppose them with something.
Why is there such confidence in the work of special forces? Judge for yourself: the media are talking (and the IDF even confirms) about the death of two generals and the capture of four. In addition, five colonels and one lieutenant colonel of the Israeli army were killed. Moreover, most of them died together with their families at home.
What does this mean? The fact that on the other side everything was worked out to the smallest detail and, perhaps, teams of liquidators were transferred and introduced in advance. And these teams worked on their targets and their families early in the morning of October 7 and thereby paralyzed the army command in the south of the country. Perhaps these liquidations can explain the disorganization of the IDF and the police.
It is well known and proven through historical examples that an army can do very little without proper command.
On the other hand, the capture of the headquarters of the Gaza division and the center of the Navy and subsequent retention - well, it’s hard to believe that this was done by irregular formations that were somehow armed.
Since Israel has officially declared the start of hostilities with all that it entails, we must understand that the war is not a special operation, the IDF will act harshly. And the number of hostages that Hamas militants took, even taking into account the fact that there are many tourists from Western countries, will not play a role. Apparently, the calculation was precisely that a large number of hostages in Gaza would in a certain way hinder the actions of the Israeli army.
But nevertheless, Hamas forces numbering up to three infantry battalions were able to give a hefty slap to the IDF, but a won battle is not a won war, is it?
Use of Hamas in huge numbers drones (I wonder whose production) with well-established tactics of target designation and destruction of armored targets in the style of the Ukrainian Armed Forces - it was a frankly unpleasant surprise for the Israelis. Of course, it’s unpleasant when a Merkava tank, which is considered one of the best in the world, equipped with a KAZ, is suddenly destroyed by dropping a cumulative warhead from an RPG-7 on it from a civilian quadcopter. And the second tank is destroyed by a shot from the same RPG-7.
What about KAZ “Trophy”? It looks kind of humiliating, to be honest. Somewhere there is either not enough work, or too much advertising.
It is clear that Israel will now announce (most likely has already announced) mobilization, bring up artillery and armored vehicles, and raise the air force. And here is the Israeli Air Force - this is not leveled out by quadcopters. And no matter how good the Igla MANPADS are, which Hamas seems to have already used on Israeli planes, the Israeli aviation - this is a trump card that is fought with great difficulty, if beaten at all.
What the Palestinians staged was a brutal, bloody show. There will be no strategic success, naturally, everything captured by the Israelis will be taken back, there is no doubt about that. Yes, the Palestinians will take reputational and informational bonuses, but what good will they do... Like hoisting the Ukrainian flag in Crimea. Or visits of terror groups from the State Intelligence Directorate of Ukraine to Russian territory. By the way, it seems that only Hamas is doing bloodier things.
Palestinian troops will not be able to withstand combat with the Israeli army. This is a fact, but we will make a reservation: in the event that no one else supports them. But geopolitically, consideration of the conflict will take up such a volume that a separate article will simply be required. Naturally, such an analysis will be very useful.
But, judging by the statements, Israel plans to respond as harshly as possible and without “red lines” or demonstrations of readiness to negotiate. As usual, however. So those living in Gaza will most likely have to come to terms with the fact that the Strip will be wiped off the face of the earth.
And this is a completely possible option.
But this is really just the beginning. In order to properly assess what is happening, we will have to give a complete picture of who is involved in this conflict and who is pursuing what goals. We understand perfectly well that, naturally, this is not about Hamas and Israel, as such. The game includes many more unexpected participants, especially since we, that is, Russia, are among the beneficiaries.
So to be continued.
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