The emergence of Turkish instructors in the ranks of the militants could lead to a big war
The situation in Syrian Idlib has escalated to the limit. Today we can already say openly that the Turkish army is fighting along with the armed opposition against the government troops. And ... is suffering losses. Moreover, even the Russian military admits that it is the Turkish military who are trying to shoot down our planes using Turkish-made air defense systems.
Yesterday, February 27, the opposition with the direct support of the Turkish army were able to recapture the city of Sarakib. Thus, having cut at once two major highways. Motorway M4 Latakia-Aleppo and M5 Damascus-Aleppo. At the same time, an attack by opponents of government forces began exactly where the Turkish observation posts were located.
How is the appearance of foreign instructors and the change in the position of the parties at the front
Any theater or film director will quite simply explain to you the ways to artificially increase tension in the viewer. These techniques are used constantly and constantly achieve the desired effect. Remember the disturbing music that sounds before some important episode. Remember the close-ups of the eyes, military epaulettes, caterpillars tanks etc.
When the media reports that foreign instructors have appeared on a side of the conflict, readers realize that some third party has decided to get involved in the conflict. Someone decided to use the conflict for their own purposes. This is also a “director’s technique” designed to create certain associations with the “viewer”.
At the same time, most readers do not even think about where these instructors come from and where they then disappear. They simply are or not. And the second question. What do these instructors teach fighters who have been in war for years or months. The instructor, who often did not participate in hostilities himself, teaches the soldier to fight.
If the question about instructors is put in this way, the answer becomes obvious. The appearance of instructors in the army of either side is associated with the emergence of new equipment or weapons supplied from the country from which the instructors came. Modern weapons, and especially high-tech weapons, require good user training. Weapon cannot shoot by itself. They need to be able to use.
Today, no one is hiding the fact that a huge number of instructors are in the ranks of the armed opposition in Syria. By the way, exactly the same situation in Libya. Here is what Dmitry Peskov said last week in an interview with Russia 1:
The terrorists in Idlib are well armed, they are constantly fed with ammunition, ammunition, military equipment. " Very dangerous samples of military equipment fall into their hands.
Do not confuse instructors and advisers
The appearance of instructors during the period of active hostilities almost always leads to the emergence of the next category of assistant commanders of subunits, units and even formations. These are military advisers. People who are actually in the units and help plan specific military operations.
There are a lot of reports in the media that there are a lot of such advisers in the ranks of the Syrian opposition in Idlib. True, unlike instructors, advisers disguise themselves as "local commanders." But this practice is known. Remember the many anecdotes of the Vietnam War about “Li Si Tzyn” or “Ku Ri Tsyn”.
Turkish advisers in Idlib today not only plan military operations, but also coordinate these operations with their own Turkish command. How does this happen? The answer was given by Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov literally on Monday:
Terrorists attacked our positions many times, Syrian troops, Syrian civilian objects literally from the point where the observation posts of the Turkish Republic are deployed.
Playing on the nerves or wanting to start a big war
On March 5, a meeting of Russian and Turkish presidents on the Idlib problem should be held. Moreover, the leaders of Germany and France are also invited to the meeting. That is, Turkish President Erdogan is planning an active attack on President Putin with the support of EU and NATO leaders. The keynote of Erdogan’s speech at a possible meeting is already understandable. Turkey is a NATO member and attacking a member against an alliance member will mean a war with the bloc.
He is clearly looking forward to this meeting. At the same time, Erdogan knows very well that the points of contact between Russia's position and Turkey's position on Idlib are becoming less and less. The talks at the level of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the Ministry of Defense, which were held on February 8 and 10, practically failed. No decisions were made, except for the duty “there is reason to expect success”. At the same time, there are already statements that the meeting may not take place.
Both sides, both Turkey and Russia, today prefer to "pull death by the mustache." This is especially noticeable in the Syrian sky. The Turks are trying to repeat what has once happened, to shoot down a Russian plane. Fortunately, the militants will gladly take responsibility for this. Russia is successfully "chasing" Turkish UAVs. Last week one of drones was hit.
The game on the nerves, if the Turkish idea is successful, could end in a serious blow to the Turkish strongholds in Idlib. Changing the tactics of applying Russian aviation shows that we took into account the possibility of a surprise attack. However, no one will give a 100% guarantee of the safety of our pilots.
Finishing the material, I will return to the beginning. To instructors and advisers. Only not as specialists in warfare, but as harbingers of intensified military operations.
No matter what politicians, advisers and instructors say, because they are directly in the subunits and units conducting hostilities, they are direct participants in the war. It is they who direct the air defense system to air targets. They are the ones who plan specific military operations. And it is they who can cause a serious conflict, and maybe a big war, in Idlib.
The instructor’s specialty is not so important. Be it a scout, sapper, anti-aircraft gunner, mechanic or sniper. Another thing is important. The appearance of an instructor is always associated with an increase in the death toll on the opposite side. So, any instructor is a catalyst for conflict.
Maybe it is the increase in Turkish instructors and advisers in the ranks of the militants that is the reason that the already scheduled meeting in Istanbul on March 5 has not yet been confirmed by representatives of Russia, Germany and France. Who knows...
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