The emergence of Turkish instructors in the ranks of the militants could lead to a big war


The situation in Syrian Idlib has escalated to the limit. Today it can already be said openly that the Turkish army is fighting against the government forces together with the armed opposition. And ... is losing. Moreover, even the Russian military admit that it is the Turkish military who are trying to bring down our planes using Turkish-made air defense systems.


Yesterday, February 27, the opposition with the direct support of the Turkish army were able to recapture the city of Sarakib. Thus, having cut at once two major highways. Motorway M4 Latakia-Aleppo and M5 Damascus-Aleppo. At the same time, an attack by opponents of government forces began exactly where the Turkish observation posts were located.

How is the appearance of foreign instructors and the change in the position of the parties at the front


Any theater or film director will quite simply explain to you the ways to artificially increase tension in the viewer. These techniques are used constantly and constantly achieve the desired effect. Remember the disturbing music that sounds before some important episode. Remember the close-ups of the eyes, military epaulettes, caterpillars tanks etc.

When the media reports that foreign instructors have appeared on a side of the conflict, readers realize that some third party has decided to get involved in the conflict. Someone decided to use the conflict for their own purposes. This is also a “director’s technique” designed to create certain associations with the “viewer”.

At the same time, most readers do not even think about where these instructors come from and where they then disappear. They just are or not. And the second question. What do these instructors of fighters, who have been participating in the war not for days or months, but for years, teach. The instructor, who often did not take part in the hostilities himself, teaches the soldier to fight.

If the question about instructors is posed in this way, then the answer becomes obvious. The appearance of instructors in the army of either side is associated with the appearance of new equipment or weapons delivered from the country where the instructors arrived. Modern weapons, and especially high-tech weapons, require good user training. Weapon cannot shoot by itself. They need to be able to use.

Today, no one is hiding the fact that a huge number of instructors are in the ranks of the armed opposition in Syria. By the way, exactly the same situation in Libya. Here is what Dmitry Peskov said last week in an interview with Russia 1:

The terrorists in Idlib are perfectly armed, they are constantly fed with ammunition, ammunition, military equipment. ” Very dangerous samples of military equipment fall into their hands.


Do not confuse instructors and advisers


The appearance of instructors during the period of active hostilities almost always leads to the appearance of the following category of assistants to commanders of units, units, and even formations. These are military advisers. People who are actually in the units and help plan specific military operations.

There are a lot of reports in the media that there are a lot of such advisers in the ranks of the Syrian opposition in Idlib. True, unlike instructors, advisers disguise themselves as "local commanders." But this practice is known. Remember the many anecdotes of the Vietnam War about “Li Si Tzyn” or “Ku Ri Tsyn”.

Turkish advisers in Idlib today not only plan military operations, but also coordinate these operations with their own Turkish command. How does this happen? The answer was given by Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov literally on Monday:

Terrorists attacked our positions, the Syrian troops, Syrian civilian objects many times literally from the point where observation posts of the Republic of Turkey are deployed.


Playing on the nerves or wanting to start a big war


On March 5, a meeting of Russian and Turkish presidents on the Idlib problem should be held. Moreover, the leaders of Germany and France are also invited to the meeting. That is, Turkish President Erdogan is planning an active attack on President Putin with the support of EU and NATO leaders. The keynote of Erdogan’s speech at a possible meeting is already understandable. Turkey is a NATO member and attacking a member against an alliance member will mean a war with the bloc.

He is clearly waiting for this meeting. At the same time, Erdogan is well aware that the common ground between the position of Russia and the position of Turkey on Idlib is becoming less and less. Negotiations at the level of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the Ministry of Defense, which were held on February 8 and 10, practically failed. No decisions were made, except for the duty officer, “there is reason to count on success”. Moreover, statements have already appeared that the meeting may not take place.

Both sides, both Turkey and Russia, today prefer to "pull death by their whiskers." This is especially noticeable in the Syrian sky. The Turks are trying to repeat what had once happened, to bring down a Russian plane. Fortunately, the militants will take responsibility for this. Russia successfully “drives” Turkish UAVs. Last week, one of the drones was shot down.

The game on the nerves, if the Turkish idea is successful, could end in a serious blow to the Turkish strongholds in Idlib. Changing the tactics of applying Russian aviation shows that we took into account the possibility of a surprise attack. However, no one will give a 100% guarantee of the safety of our pilots.

Finishing the material, I will return to the beginning. To instructors and advisers. Only not as specialists in warfare, but as harbingers of intensified military operations.

No matter what politicians, advisers and instructors say, already because they are located directly in units and units conducting military operations, they are direct participants in the war. They direct air defense systems at air targets. It is they who plan specific combat operations. And it is they that can cause a serious conflict, or maybe a big war, in Idlib.

The instructor’s specialty is not so important. Be it a scout, sapper, anti-aircraft gunner, mechanic or sniper. Another thing is important. The appearance of an instructor is always associated with an increase in the death toll on the opposite side. So, any instructor is a catalyst for conflict.

Maybe it is the increase in Turkish instructors and advisers in the ranks of the militants that is the reason that the already scheduled meeting in Istanbul on March 5 has not yet been confirmed by representatives of Russia, Germany and France. Who knows...
Author:
Photos used:
Turkish Defense Ministry
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  1. Pessimist22 28 February 2020 07: 13 New
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    It is necessary to support the Kurds to action.
    1. w70
      w70 28 February 2020 07: 17 New
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      Support the terrorists?
      1. Pessimist22 28 February 2020 07: 21 New
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        For Turkey, they may be terrorists, and so they are fighters for freedom and democracy, against the Turkish military and dictatorship!
        1. w70
          w70 28 February 2020 07: 22 New
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          And what is the use of Russia from the war with Turkey? Again we chose the wrong ally
          1. Pessimist22 28 February 2020 07: 24 New
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            And that Turkey declared war?
            1. Evil543 28 February 2020 07: 50 New
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              Shelling VKS aircraft, is this your friendly gesture?
      2. Evgeny Ivanov_5 28 February 2020 08: 17 New
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        These are our terrorists.
    2. abror 28 February 2020 07: 58 New
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      They are supported by the Americans, they already have their own state.
  2. samarin1969 28 February 2020 07: 25 New
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    Dear author, somehow strangely raised the topic. Turkey is quite officially fighting there. At least it recognizes losses, its interests and publicly gives orders for defeat. The Turkish army (!) Has long been there, and not "adviser-instructors."

    ps In person from Satanovsky or the author, I do not believe that Turkey is seriously risking something in this conflict. Several hundred people killed for influence in the region allow themselves many countries.
    1. Livonetc 28 February 2020 07: 36 New
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      Just like the German Nazis in World War II?
      Frankly criminal.
      This is the most fair term.
      And we know the number of corpses of Turkish interventionists in due time.
    2. domokl 28 February 2020 08: 09 New
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      Quote: samarin1969
      Turkey is quite officially fighting there.

      Interesting. And what is this officiality expressed in? From the leaders of Syria called? Maybe the Turks have a UN mandate? You initially put the wrong postulate at the base of your judgment. Turks in the territory of the SAR are illegal.
      And about advisers to instructors, as you put it, maybe you should look at the source of our and Turkish MO? By the way, we also have instructors and advisers in the Syrian army. This has nothing to do with the presence of our army group in the same place.
      1. samarin1969 28 February 2020 08: 21 New
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        Quote: domokl
        Quote: samarin1969
        Turkey is quite officially fighting there.

        Interesting. And what is this officiality expressed in? AND...


        Turkish officials (!) Declare that they are officially (!) Fighting. When a country invades another country with a war, no one asks permission from the UN. The Turkish Minister of Defense openly officially (!) Took over the hostilities in Turkey. Publicly given the order to defeat the enemy in Syria. Hundreds of pieces of equipment and thousands of Turkish military openly conduct operations against the Syrians and Kurds in the territory of the SAR. And no one is hiding behind the "instructors." This is war.
        1. Nyrobsky 28 February 2020 10: 55 New
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          Quote: samarin1969
          Turkish officials (!) Say that they are officially (!) Fighting.
          All their officialdom comes down to the 1998 agreement between Turkey and Syria, according to which Ankara can conduct army operations in the Syrian border to a depth of 5 km. By reanimating this agreement, Ankara insisted that it create a buffer zone up to 35 km deep over a distance of 400 km. for allegedly countering the Kurdish armed forces, which in the end received. How is this related to Idlib? There are only pro-Turkish Turkoman and other bearded, lousy incubators. There are no Kurdish armed groups there. During the Sochi - Astana meetings, Turkey made a commitment to sort the bearded into moderate and insane and ensure a ceasefire in the Idlib zone of responsibility until September 15, 2018. Today is February 2020. But Ankara not only did not sort out, but also did not notice that the militants were firing at SAA positions, peaceful objects, sending UAVs to attack the base of the Russian Federation in Khmeimim, plus it supplied them with weapons and other stray, including advisers and instructors , thereby unilaterally completely nullifying the agreements reached.
          Quote: samarin1969
          When a country invades another country with a war, no one asks UN for permission.
          And yet they ask and receive a mandate for an invasion, i.e. a type for the establishment of democracy and peace.
          Quote: samarin1969
          The Turkish Minister of Defense openly officially (!) Took over the hostilities in Turkey. Publicly given the order to defeat the enemy in Syria. Hundreds of pieces of equipment and thousands of Turkish military openly conduct operations against the Syrians and Kurds in the territory of the SAR.
          But this is already a confirmation of unjustified and unlawful aggression against a neighboring state, which, in principle, excludes interference by NATO under the collective security treaty, because it was not the NATO member who was attacked, but the NATO member who attacked on the initiative, and therefore let now be proactive and get on the face. They do not want to die for the idyllic adventures of Ankara, but in the event of a slaughter than they can and will help, not without it. Mostly weapons and not free.
          Quote: samarin1969
          This is war.
          Not a war yet, but its harbinger.
  3. Professor Preobrazhensky 28 February 2020 07: 45 New
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    I will not forget and I will not forgive!
    Yesterday we flew with the whole family to rest in Turkey, so I pointedly picked out tomatoes from the Spring salad in the restaurant of the All inclusive hotel.
    And in the evening I didn’t wash it off in my room, let it stink all night ...
    This is what our official relations with this country look like.
    1. Nyrobsky 28 February 2020 10: 59 New
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      Quote: Professor Preobrazhensky
      I will not forget and I will not forgive!
      Yesterday we flew with the whole family to rest in Turkey, so I pointedly picked out tomatoes from the Spring salad in the restaurant of the All inclusive hotel.
      And in the evening I didn’t wash it off in my room, let it stink all night ...
      This is what our official relations with this country look like.

      Judging by your actions, not so you and the professor.
  4. Hermit21 28 February 2020 08: 26 New
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    It seems that already
  5. Pavel73 28 February 2020 08: 45 New
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    And what, no one foresaw this?
  6. Dr. Hub 28 February 2020 08: 46 New
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    The situation is dangerous. Maybe in the 3rd world overgrowth. I think that the sultan, as an experienced gambler, raises bets before the meeting in order to play more. Although the Turks still did not have enough war with us, the problems were already full of mouth. I hope this is a game, if not a game, God knows what you can raise up there
    1. Pavel73 28 February 2020 08: 57 New
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      Minus 7 billion dollars a year that tourists bring from Russia.
    2. domokl 28 February 2020 19: 06 New
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      Quote: Dr. Hub
      I think that the sultan, as an experienced gambler, raises bets before the meeting in order to play more

      Reasonably. Only raising bids is only possible to a certain point. There will be no return. Imagine hypothetically that the Turks managed to bring down our next plane. Someone can then persuade the Russians to take it calmly. The question will either tear off the hands of the Turks, or tear off the head of someone with us ... But there will be no meeting. This has already been stated
      1. Dr. Hub 29 February 2020 14: 33 New
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        I think that one should not underestimate the military potential of the Turks and they are, after all, at their borders, and we only have a contingent. But we should not consider our attacks on the territory of Turkey at all (NATO state). If a mess happens, it will be very difficult
  7. Kapral Alphych 28 February 2020 08: 51 New
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    We need a couple of Caliber strikes on our ships of the Black Sea Flotilla across the continent against the Turks and their instructors, and immediately there will be less
    1. cniza 28 February 2020 08: 57 New
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      Quote: Kapral Alphitch
      Need a couple of strokes with Caliber to our ships of the Black Sea Flotilla


      We do not have a Black Sea flotilla belay lol , we have the Black Sea Fleet ...
      1. Kapral Alphych 28 February 2020 08: 59 New
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        The amount does not change from a change in the terms of the terms. Clever and so will understand, and du..rak and dig up to the pillar.
        1. starpom 28 February 2020 09: 19 New
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          Quote: Kapral Alphitch
          The amount does not change from a change in the terms of the terms.

          Smart because smart and that calls everything correctly. And just say something - it's on the social network
          1. Kapral Alphych 28 February 2020 14: 27 New
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            Du..rak will not notice, the clever will not say anything - they say so.
          2. Kapral Alphych 28 February 2020 14: 31 New
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            While you are violently minus, meanwhile, 2 boxes of the Black Sea Fleet with Caliber passed straits into the Mediterranean Sea. I'm not at work))
    2. Pavel73 28 February 2020 08: 59 New
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      Underestimating the enemy is deadly. About the Japanese in 1904, they also thought.
      1. Kapral Alphych 28 February 2020 09: 05 New
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        + And the situation in the state is similar, by the way! Society is divided by contradictions, the economy is not so hot, the army is in the process of rearmament. Unless, there is money. Someone...
  8. cniza 28 February 2020 08: 55 New
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    The emergence of Turkish instructors in the ranks of the militants could lead to a big war


    And that they were not there before? I will not believe...
  9. Ros 56 28 February 2020 09: 32 New
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    A big war, and even that is unlikely, will be possible if all the militants are replaced by the Turks. But they are not crazy.
    1. cniza 28 February 2020 11: 17 New
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      They are yes, but the Sultan suffered ...
  10. pleschakovai 28 February 2020 13: 36 New
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    Turks supporting terrorists have already provoked the SAR army and relations will lead to great trouble! And as always, Erdogan blames us, and this is in the hands of the USA! So much for "partnerooooooorrra"! Erdogan pokheil all arrangements. And we give them gas, the atomic station! WERE NEVER FRIENDS AND WILL NOT! As an admiral Nakhimov, a Turk in the distant time izmordov on the Black Sea. So they still cannot forgive Russians, however!