Military Review

How Mr. Trump "hawks" fooled

29
It seems that it is possible to have a short breath: the American strikes on Syria took place, were quite successfully reflected, and the media at all levels expressed the first, most important, “reasoned and competent” opinion on this matter. Small amounts of reliable information began to crystallize out of all the noise that accompanied the American military action. It seems that it is already possible to make a judgment on this subject, without falling into the sin of vanity.


What we are now and try to do.



First of all, the main thing is worth noting, although commentators usually do not focus on this: the US warned Russia about the impending attack on Syria "in order to minimize the consequences and avoid casualties among Russians." This is not the official recognition of multipolarity, for which Russia is so advocating. But this is de facto multipolarity, when the former hegemon is still trying to play the usual role, but he understands that the play has already changed.

The word “contract”, which now often appears in the media and social networks as one of the main characteristics of this incident, in fact, well describes what happened. But it is also true that the Americans do not agree with anyone, and even Yeltsin’s Russia, which had almost more nuclear warheads than the current one, didn’t care: there were no “treaties” on Yugoslavia and on Iraq, and no protests helped Moscow stop the use of force in response to provocations — with allegedly “ethnic cleansing” of the Serbs, or with a “test tube” of Colin Powell.

Even later Russia, which had already practically taken the path of conscious opposition to the West, could not prevent the military defeat of Libya.

And now there has been a qualitative change - we are already being warned, and the routes of their missiles are being built in such a way that they do not accidentally touch the Russian units stationed in Syria.

Relatively recently, I already писал that things will end up like this. In this scenario, the Israeli strike on the Syrian airbase T4, which was necessary to defocus the attention of the most “human-loving” Western media, furiously demanding to punish Assad for the alleged chemical attack in the Duma, and forty-eight hours, taken by Trump to think, and sending an aircraft carrier to the shores of Syria, which is still on its way. Trump, it must be admitted, had spent a rather good round of fooling his own “hawks”, formally demonstrating determination, and de facto dropping the case on the brakes and nullifying the threat of a conflict developing into a full-fledged war of two nuclear superpowers.

By the way, I would like to reassure those who believe that the worst is yet to come: here comes the aircraft carrier "Harry Truman" to the shores of Syria, and then it will begin! To exclude this, of course, nothing can be, but common sense suggests that if you really wanted to start a full-fledged conflict, you would not be dispersed and let off steam to blow the whistle, but would wait a little before the Truman approach to make it really massive. deadly.

Another important consequence of the incident was the first in many decades, a successful confrontation of air defense means of air attack.

It is clear that we can only talk about conditional success. It is very difficult to say how the old Buki and S-125 would cope with the attack supported by aviation, anti-radar missiles and electronic warfare. One can even say with confidence that such a resounding success would probably not have been achieved.

But after all, the Syrian air defenses, with all the help from Russia, are not yet a layered Crimean, Kaliningrad or Moscow redoubt. There are no DRLO, EW airplanes, a quality and powerful fighter fleet that could equalize chances with the most armed and sophisticated adversary. So, we have the right to talk about a relatively equal collision, in which the Syrian air defense proved to be excellent.

Perhaps one of the reasons for this relative, but important success was the presence in the Syrian air defense of the new Russian complexes Pantsir-С1, which covered their older brethren from the blow and allowed them to focus on their work. And a significant number of US missiles hit by the Panther armor indicate that it was Syrian air defense systems covering the air force bases that were one of the priority targets of the American strike. But this is understandable, the Americans could not have missed such an event, because weakening and destroying the air defense of a potential enemy is the basic element of their military strategy.

If we are right about the true goals of the American strike (and there is no doubt about it) and we are not mistaken in the number of missiles hit by the Pantsir-C1 complex (the official data of the Russian General Staff - 23 targets hit from 25 launches) the pains. And we shouldn’t expect any more decisive actions from them: they will certainly postpone any serious actions until they receive the results of the analysis and recommendations on the breakthrough and destruction of the updated, much more stable Syrian air defense.

Let us omit the moment with the defeat by the Americans of the objects on which the chemical was allegedly produced or stored. weapon. As many commentators have already noted, this is at least extremely irresponsible in relation to the very peaceful Syrians that the Pentagon cares about.

Summarizing the above, I want to assume that in the near future we should not expect large bursts of activity in the Syrian sector. This is due both to the reasons voiced above, and to the fact that the Americans and their allies have lost the fight for Eastern Gutu by the Americans, and they will probably prefer to focus on analyzing the new information in order to be ready for a new successful offensive by the Syrian army.

Separately, we note the elegance with which Donald Trump turned on ... Sorry, it is quite difficult to find the right word ... In general, the elegance with which he rolled on his allies, Teresa and Emmanuele.

But do not think that all our military risks and crises ended there. There will still be provocations before the World Cup, and the most important direction where we should wait for them is the Donbass.

And there, it will probably be even harder, because officially we cannot supply new equipment in LDNR. And in the old "Sumerians" too much advantage. And there can be very hot ...
Author:
29 comments
Information
Dear reader, to leave comments on the publication, you must sign in.
  1. Ross xnumx
    Ross xnumx April 17 2018 06: 14
    +5
    What we are now and try to do.

    And it is necessary to deal with the cessation of all negotiations with American colleagues, the exchange of information with people who have improved the international rights of Syrian citizens and the sweeping of the country's territories from any American presence under the law of the mandate of the legitimate authorities of Syria and (quickly sign) the collective security treaty of Russia and Syria. All other attempts to explain the failed attack of American missiles are ridiculous and not convincing.
    If this is hindered by the World Cup, give the ball and pick up machines.
    1. Serge Gorely
      Serge Gorely April 17 2018 07: 08
      +5
      Shaw, again ??? Trump is good and loves Russia, only McCain is stopping him ??? As Lavrov said ....... Well, you understand me ...
    2. Opera
      Opera April 17 2018 09: 46
      +1
      Quote: ROSS 42
      If this is hindered by the World Cup, give the ball and pick up machines.

      And machine guns should be at hand and not give away the ball! What more?!
    3. Kent0001
      Kent0001 April 17 2018 13: 47
      0
      I plusanul, but you estimate how much is invested in the 2018 World Cup and how much has been stolen under this topic .... in short, well, you can’t help but where to put the stadiums and how much their content will cost .... well, this is another topic. And now we need to hold the championship and not adjust.
      1. Opera
        Opera April 17 2018 16: 32
        +1
        And also roads, hotels repaired and built, other infrastructure, jobs ...) Well, what are you ?! No, we’ll definitely not give up the ball! We won’t give anything back!
  2. lwxx
    lwxx April 17 2018 06: 29
    +5
    It remains to Colonel Trump to assign the title of hero of Russia.
    1. Evdokim
      Evdokim April 17 2018 06: 45
      +5
      Quote: lwxx
      It remains to Colonel Trump to assign the title of hero of Russia.

      Fooling one night 200 million dollars into nothing, it’s just a sabotage against the USA, and expose Mikron and May with ideas, I think I’m worthy of diploma. laughing
      1. Monster_Fat
        Monster_Fat April 17 2018 07: 16
        +1
        And I liked it.... wink
        1. venik
          venik April 17 2018 10: 55
          0
          Quote: Monster_Fat
          And I liked it....

          =======
          You can ask: What exactly? Article or comments ??
        2. Mestny
          Mestny April 17 2018 11: 20
          -2
          Everyone liked it. True for various reasons.
  3. Nikolaevich I
    Nikolaevich I April 17 2018 07: 59
    +4
    And there, it will probably be even harder, because officially we cannot supply new equipment in LDNR. And in the old "Sumerians" too much advantage. And there can be very hot ...
    Well ...... C-300, maybe we can’t .... ali T-90 ... Su-30 ..... for now. But the plant producing the Kolchuga radar, where is it located? Again, the messages “skipped” about a certain “factory” in the territory of Donbass, without which in Ukraine the production of some type of warheads is impossible! Why not help neighbors restore production ... consumer electronics, seamless pipes for repairing water supply networks? Throw them microcircuits, or even solid electronic circuit boards (for repair of automated control systems of a pipe plant ...), chemical fertilizers, ultra-high-strength steel pipes for a chemical enterprise ... And the fact that in the Donbass they suddenly launch production of MANPADS, Rainbow, ATGM "Fist" .RSZO, Buran ". Radar counter-battery fight ,, Rook", anti-sniper systems "Optometrist" ........ so who knew ?! request
  4. Olgovich
    Olgovich April 17 2018 08: 22
    0
    but the important success was the presence in the Syrian air defense of new Russian systems "Pantsir-С1"who covered their older brothers from the blow and allowed those to concentrate on their work. A significant number of American missiles hit by the "Shells" indicates that it is Syrian air defense systems covering air bases were one of the priority targets of the American strike
    Is it really that the armor was not led by the Russians at least partially? Was there really no Russian on VVB? Or at least potentially could not be there?
    I think that there were and could be And this means that strikes against the Russians, in fact, applied ..
    1. Opera
      Opera April 17 2018 10: 05
      0
      Officially, the Syrians repelled the blow! We practically have 71 downed cruise missiles and have no damage to the Russian Armed Forces and the ATS! There are not even statements about damaged air defense systems or hits at their positions. But this should have been done first! It is clear to an overwhelming majority of people that a strike using 103 cruise missiles is a massive one. The result for Americans is just tears! All excuses like 103 missiles at 3 sites completely reached the goal are simply ridiculous! To such a scale of lies, even the great Ukrainians "regularly destroying divisions of equestrian - underwater Buryat tankers" did not think of! The explanation of the type we did not try to interfere with the strategic goals of Russia in Syria is already causing some kind of squeamish feeling! It would be better if they did not say that at all!
      In fact, the most honest man of them is Macron! He warned Putin! And I didn’t have time for war! And he explained everything - we wanted to show the Russians with this blow that we are not CUTE!)))))))) This is a masterpiece simply! Anyway, everyone knows that Macron is very cute! Affectionate and sincere ...)
      1. Mestny
        Mestny April 17 2018 11: 25
        0
        Here the citizens of Israel are furious that this was conceived by the radiant great USA.
        True hail opens only during conflicts and wars. As expected.
        1. Opera
          Opera April 17 2018 16: 38
          0
          They are supposed to rave. Such cultural features. Never mind. I recommend paying attention to their ladies in uniform. It's worth it.
    2. venik
      venik April 17 2018 11: 08
      0
      Quote: Olgovich
      Was there really no Russian on VVB? Or at least potentially could not be there?
      I think that they were and could be And this means that strikes against the Russians, in fact, were inflicted ..

      =======
      First: Between "there were" and "COULD be" about the same difference as between the treatment of "sovereign" and "gracious sovereign" ...
      Secondly: to "think" in general - it is certainly useful! Is always! But to draw peremptory conclusions like: "And that means ..." on the basis of our own "thoughts" - it is useful FAR AWAY NOT ALWAYS !!! This is generally a sign of arrogance .....
      Quote: Olgovich
      Is it really that the armor was not led by the Russians at least partially?

      =======
      What for??? They have long been in service with the Syrian air defense. Personnel training took place in Russia. Yes, and in Syrian training centers, too, it seems like instructors work .... The question is: what ... to put their officers at the consoles?
  5. Glory1974
    Glory1974 April 17 2018 08: 41
    0
    And you should not expect any more decisive action from them, all the more so: they will certainly postpone any serious actions until the results of the analysis and recommendations for breaking through and destroying the renewed, much more stable Syrian air defense are received.

    Who would argue that this process is ongoing. All situation data are constantly being analyzed and the possibility of a breakthrough in air defense is probably being sought. The most important thing is not to yawn this moment. It can be too expensive.
  6. BAI
    BAI April 17 2018 09: 26
    0
    Yes, there’s an interesting question. As far as I understand, the aviation of all 3 countries was not included in the air defense coverage area. Cook was in the range of anti-ship missiles, but he:
    1. can stand up for themselves.
    2. An attack on him is an unacceptable escalation of conflict.
    3. The goals of his shelling probably had nothing to do with Russia and he should not have been hit by a retaliatory strike.
    So the shooting was carried out in the classic version, when there is no answer. This option can go on forever.
    1. Mestny
      Mestny April 17 2018 11: 31
      -2
      Can.
      If the US has endless ammo, and endless life. Everything is like computer games with cheat codes.
      Many imagine the United States exactly this way in games.
  7. victor50
    victor50 April 17 2018 09: 38
    +1
    And there, probably, it will be even harder, because officially we cannot supply new equipment to the LDNR.

    Why can’t we? We play some obscure games in which we ourselves are confused? Or is the elite trying to confuse us? Are we friends with Ukraine or not? If we are friends, then why did she recognize us as an aggressor? So we're not friends? Then why do we deliver gas, coal, diesel fuel (for tanks) to her? We support the DPR and LPR (by the way, why are there still two P?)? Then why can't we supply them weapons? Openly, without hiding, not making excuses? Are you afraid of spoiling something in relations with our "partners"? And what is, what else to spoil? Or are they our partners? What games do we play? In giveaways - if by their rules? Where did we win as a result of such games? Nowhere So why do we continue to play as we want in the West? Who needs this in our country? Let them raise their hands and stand up? And explain why they need it? Why is it necessary to humiliate, trample a huge country into the mud? For the sake of any such interests? Or whose pockets? And whose country is it in the end, theirs or ours? Maybe if you shoot down missiles and shoot down (sink) carriers, stop supplying gas through Ukraine, until Europe itself negotiates with it, spit on court decisions, and generally leave this entire legal system (this is so, for example), to lie and fulfill their promises and answer for their words, whatever it would cost and throw them empty, we would be treated differently ?! They would! Even if it were not supported by economic achievements.
    1. Sars
      Sars April 17 2018 12: 15
      0
      Ukraine has not yet officially been called Khazaria, although in fact it is already it. How can our leaders fight the Khazaria?
  8. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 April 17 2018 09: 38
    +1
    Personally, I liked not the article, but the comment
    Evdokim
    Fuck in one night 200 million dollars to nothing, it's just a diversion against the USA, and expose Mikron and May to go
    Therefore, it is a plus.
  9. Ren
    Ren April 17 2018 10: 28
    +1
    Donald, Teresa and Emmanuelle - sounds like the name of a porn movie. wassat
  10. Mestny
    Mestny April 17 2018 11: 23
    -2
    Quote: Olgovich
    Is it really that the armor was not led by the Russians at least partially? Was there really no Russian on VVB? Or at least potentially could not be there?
    I think that they were and could be And this means that strikes against the Russians, in fact, were inflicted ..

    It’s like in a famous joke:
    “You are guilty of raping citizen K.
    “But excuse me, you have not the slightest evidence.”
    - Do you have a tool? There is. So you could do it, and so you did.
    Hi Skripalyam and a chemical attack.
  11. stas-xnumx
    stas-xnumx April 17 2018 11: 53
    0
    [quote] [/ quote] Separately, we note the elegance with which Donald Trump turned on ... Sorry, it is rather difficult to find the right word ... In general, the elegance with which he swept his allies Teresa and Emmanuel ....

    I do not really understand where and what kind of elegance ???
  12. demo
    demo April 17 2018 14: 00
    +1
    But it’s true that the Americans didn’t agree with anyone, and even to Yeltsin’s Russia, which had almost more nuclear warheads than the current one, they didn’t give a damn: there were no “agreements” on Yugoslavia and Iraq, and no protests helped Moscow stop the use of force in response to provocations — either with allegedly “ethnic cleansing” of the Serbs, then with a “test tube” of Colin Powell.
    And no one protested. Voted in favor unanimously.
    That's the story.
    And do not drag Russia to Olympus.
    When it is beneficial to us, we are also hypocritical.
  13. shinobi
    shinobi April 18 2018 02: 27
    0
    Truman will approach, it will become clear who has beaten whom. Trump hawks, or they are Trump. And in general, is this a maneuver distracting from a different direction of impact. Let's say in the Arctic.
  14. Oleg Kalugin
    Oleg Kalugin April 18 2018 16: 38
    +1
    PS: The phrase from the article: "... but common sense suggests that if you really wanted to start ..."
    The question is, when did a certain west have common sense? I recall that by common sense and the conclusion of Stalin, Hitler could not attack the USSR without preparing for the winter company. in other words, without: felt boots, fur coats, hats, without winter fuel and fuels and lubricants, including lubricants for small arms ...
    The author forgets that the West has its own common sense.
    They think by other factors. For example, financial calculation or the example of Hitler’s generals - science! But the article makes sense!
    A goose with an eagle's beak in its sleeve is a cool banter!))
  15. PPE
    PPE April 22 2018 21: 09
    0
    Quote: Oper
    And also roads, hotels repaired and built, other infrastructure, jobs ...) Well, what are you ?! No, we’ll definitely not give up the ball! We won’t give anything back!
    - Well, yes, we won’t give it back. But such p (p) missholes in Google: “Kaliningrad high pots bridge”, or “state farm worker road signs” are all lies and swaying. We don’t remember about “Yakutia gold from airplanes”.
    Nu dya, we didn’t see the figs for how many places there were, how much .. But there is a business ..