So the time has come when directly to the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces and Moscow as a whole it is necessary to gather all the military-political will into a fist and give a tough response to Napoleon's ambitions of Washington, Tel Aviv, London and Paris for intervention in Syria with the further division of its territory . While on the “Idlib front” there is a relative lull, as the regular Turkish army deployed two new strongholds to cover its FSA and Tahrir ash-Sham fighters to cover their positions (positioning itself as some kind of neutral ally Russia), the military-political "focus" has moved to the south of the Syrian Arab Republic, in the provinces of Damascus, Homs and Deir-ez-Zor.
In the evening of 10 on April 2018, at the next meeting of the UN Security Council, two Russian versions of draft resolutions on the investigation of the use of chemicals were rejected. weapons in Syria. We are talking about the Russian model of the establishment of a UN mechanism for the investigation of himataks in the SAR, as well as sending an OPCW (Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons) mission to the Duma area for a comprehensive investigation. Such a result of the “gang of freemasons” meeting was quite predictable, since independent experts of the OPCW, which already received a mandate to investigate, would absolutely find nothing in the place of the “Hollywood film” created by “White helmets”. After all, even Rodionov, head of the Radiation, Chemical and Biological Defense Unit (RCBZ) in Syria, denied all reports about the use of any highly toxic substances in the Duma, including nerve gas sarin and chlorine.
The draft resolution proposed by Washington provided for a completely different investigation mechanism, the implementation of which was placed on the shoulders of the already “bought” commission. The results of the investigation of this “sharashka”, known to us in the vision of the American, British and French establishments, were to immediately fall into the hands of the Security Council prosecutors with the subsequent approval of a military operation against the Syrian government forces. This is the whole secret of the intricacies observed in the meeting room of the UN Security Council.
Without thinking twice, the Russian side vetoed the US draft resolution, thereby stopping the scenario for Moscow and Damascus at a geopolitical level. And at this point I would like to linger a bit in order to debunk the myth of the numerous media about the comprehensive military and diplomatic support of Moscow and Damascus by the Chinese side. The day after the White House announced the planned strike on Syria, some Russian media (including the Federal Agency News"), Citing dubious French sources, instantly circulated the incredible news that crews in the Mediterranean Sea surface ships of the Chinese Navy were ordered to go to the northern sector of the Eastern Mediterranean to support the naval strike group of the Russian Navy, in the event of an attack from the coalition. Against the background of pre-escalation anxiety and a confusion of emotions for a simple observer, this can look very encouraging. But let's look at the situation more soberly, because at the moment of blocking the American resolution on Syria during the UN Security Council meeting, representatives of the PRC chose to step aside from the vote and took the position of observers. Even more ridiculous was the news of the Chinese MAPL / PLARK being the carrier of the multi-purpose cruise missiles of the YJ-18 family in the waters of the Mediterranean Sea. This cannot be even theoretically.
Beijing will never sign a direct confrontation with the United States because of the Syrian conflict against the background of the continuing level of trade turnover between the states. So, in 2017 alone, the turnover approached 600 billions of dollars, while with Russia it was about 85 billions of dollars. Even the prospect of a “trade war” that can be unleashed between Beijing and Washington after exchanging “strikes” to abolish customs concessions to Chinese aluminum and steel products from the United States and to many types of food from the Middle Kingdom does not significantly affect the situation. An interesting point is also the readiness of the Chinese leadership to reduce import duties on cars and to organize more comfortable conditions for investments. The main thing is that China has already received all the most important and high-tech “buns” from Russian defense concerns.
The Su-35S multifunctional highly maneuverable fighters have long been “in the piggy bank”: thanks to this, Shenyang specialists brought to the mind a system of thrust vector deflection of their experienced turbojet twin-circuit engines of the WS-10 family a year ago; also a good service in the modernization of the Chinese tactical airborne radar systems aviation served as a unique "farsighted" radar N035 "Irbis-E." In the basket of bonuses and S-400 "Triumph", allowing the Chinese to finally tighten the capabilities of their multi-functional radar HT-233 HQ-9 systems to the level of Russian radar illumination and guidance 92N6E. This list can be continued for a long time. Everything that was urgently needed by the defense industry of the Celestial Empire to increase the combat potential of the PLA, has long been provided by us. Everything is very simple..
We again return to the review and analysis of the operational-strategic situation in the Syrian theater of operations and in its surroundings on the eve of a large-scale strike operation against the strategically important facilities of the Syrian Arab Army. Despite the welcome exchange of kisses by Russia's ambassador Vasily Nebenzi with his American counterpart Nikki Haley in front of a real ideological battle in the UN Security Council meeting room, it is worth to put aside formalities and assess the real degree of geostrategic threat hanging over the world in the last few days. At the moment, the situation with the upcoming strike on Syria has become almost white-hot. The aggressive and unpredictable anti-Russian rhetoric of the head of the White House, Donald Trump, combined with the beginning of the transfer of a reinforced carrier-based strike force of the US Navy to the Eastern Mediterranean and the arrival of strategic missile carriers B-1B to the Udeid airbase in Qatar, led to the forced military forces of Russia’s armed forces at the Udeid airbase in Qatar, which led to the forced military forces of Russia’s armed forces on the El-Udeid airbase in Qatar, which resulted in the USGS Russia’s forced response forces to Russia’s armed forces in Qatar, which was subjected to forced response forces of the Russian armed forces to the Udeid airbase in Qatar. strategic direction.
Ukraine was also no exception. For example, in the evening of April 10, over the horizon beyond the eastern outskirts of Mariupol, eyewitnesses observed a rounded 10-kilometer inversion trail from the locking aircraft. Presumably, the talk was about the DRLOU A-50U combat aircraft, which carefully “probed” the low-altitude segment of the airspace above the southern areas of the “Square” for possible suspicious activity of NATO tactical aviation or the Air Force of Ukraine. All this is observed in the framework of bringing the Russian Armed Forces to the ZVO on full alert since the 8 in April of the 2018 year. After all, it is still completely unknown in what direction and in what scale the development of the acute phase of escalation in the Syrian theater of operations can begin. The most important moment in the current situation is that the Russian military command is really not going to let go of the upcoming forceful action of the Western coalition both in relation to the CAA and in relation to our military facilities on Syrian territory, which the Pentagon warned of and military communication channels. But apparently, our overseas "friends" do not seem to plan.
Using a chemical attack in the Duma as a "casus belli", fictional and artistically beaten by the "White Helmets", the United Navy and Air Force plan to make a massive missile attack on the Syrian army not just for its partial weakening on problem areas of the front, but for its complete defeat, with further stage-by-stage suppression of military air defense, armored and engineering units, etc. Subsequently, this could lead to a very sad scenario, where Damascus would be occupied by the armed opposition and the US armed forces during the joint ground operation of the Syrian Free Army, the NSA and the US MTR, advancing from the Dar'a-Essaouyda-Quneitra bridgehead and 55-kilometer security zone around At-Tanfa. Even more rapidly, US-controlled Kurdish SDF units can capture the Hushama Pocket and force the Euphrates with access to the West Bank under the guise of F-22A and other NATO tactical aircraft.
Such a negative alignment can lead to the fact that under the control of the legitimate pro-government forces of Bashar al-Assad and the Russian military contingent only two provinces remain - Tartus and Lattakia, which are protected by a powerful anti-missile umbrella of the C-300B4, C-400, Buk-M2E complexes and dozens of Pantsirey-C1, as well as a “barrier” from the anti-tank and operational-tactical missile systems of the Iskander-M family. But, as you understand, it is unlikely to dictate its conditions on the Middle East agenda, having such a patch of Syrian land. These conclusions can be made on the basis of the following information.
First of all, according to the Twitter data, the pages of an online aircraft monitor with activated transponders “@ItaMilRadar” and a browser “@BabakTaghvaee”, 6 of upgraded A-10C attack aircraft “Thunderbolt II” of NNT are handed out to NNXXNI of NNI-XINNI’s NNIxNI’s NNIxNI’s 163 updated Thunderbolt II attack planes NNXXNI’s 122 updated Thunderbolt II’s NNXX NNTX attackers. Fighter Squadron and 12 th US National Guard Air Force Fighter Wing, capable of using most types of precision weapons, as well as F-16C tactical fighter jets 31, assigned to the US Air Force 135 fighter wing. The vehicles are led by KC-XNUMXR air tankers. There is no need to visit the fortuneteller either: “Thunderbolts” will take part in the direct support of the FSA and SDF forces attacking the pro-government forces in the provinces of Damascus and Deir ez-Zor. By the way, one of the field commanders of the Free Syrian Army (FSA), Fateh Hasun, has already announced the immediate offensive of the green opposition militants in the position of the weakened Syrian Arab Army after the first effective strikes of the US, French and British air forces.
Secondly, according to SAS sources in the 55-kilometer “security zone” around the US / UK base in At-Tanf, the militants, with the support of the coalition, are ready to move to the T2 pumping station area and develop an offensive in the direction of Deir ez-Zor. They will benefit from the formation of ISIL jihadists from the “awakened” southern boiler in the province of Homs, who literally a couple of days ago took control of a section of the “Palmyra - Deir-ez-Zor” route - the only operational loophole for providing military support to government forces from the Euphrates channel . Directly above the coalition base in At-Tanf, was the activity of US air defense aviation patrolling the airspace of the 55-kilometer zone; In the same area, in the northern part of the airspace of Saudi Arabia, the KC-767A tanker aircraft of the Italian Air Force was seen, which, apparently, provides long-term combat duty of fighters covering At-Tanf. On the same day, the Italian aircraft of radio intelligence "Gulfstream G.550" was spotted at the western air borders of the Russian Federation over the Baltic. This is food for thought for those who recently in comments spoke about the neutral position of Italy in the new aggression of the West against the Russian Federation and its allies.
British shock fighter "Tornado GR.4" with two tactical long-range missiles "Storm Shadow" on the ventral suspension points
As for the missile strike itself, it can be represented by a completely “full-sized” strategic aerospace offensive operation and will most likely take place in the 2 or even the 3 phase. First of all, they use the most sophisticated tactical missiles of the AGM-158B JASSM-ER and SCALP type for intercepting with air defense systems, which have a minimum EPR and a lower flight path than the Topors. A dozen B-1B “Lancer” strategic missile carrier bombers can carry up to 240 JASSM-ER, launched from Saudi Arabia’s airspace. A pair of squadrons of the British "Tornado GR.4" and the French "Rafale" can also identify 48 tactical missiles such as "Storm Shadow / SCALP-EG". Also, in the area of the theater, 1 or 2 multipurpose nuclear submarines of the upgraded Ohio class, which have Tomahawk Block IV strategic cruise missiles BGM-154E on board the 109, may well be present.
Thus, even the “1-I phase” of the strike can include more 450 - 550 means of air attack, without taking into account high-precision weapons possessed by the Israeli Air Force, as well as strategic bombers B-52H capable of carrying air-launched AGM on 20. -86C CALCM. One conclusion suggests itself: the “1-I phase” of the strike operation can begin even before the AUG approach, led by the aircraft carrier CVN-75 USS “Harry S. Truman” with Ajis, cruisers and destroyers of the classes “Ticonderoga” and “Arley Burke”, respectively , that is, in the coming hours or days. For this enough air-launched cruise missiles. So, the targets for X-32, Bastions and X-35U in this case will not be much, at best, the destroyer Donald Cook, the Russian and Air Defense Systems of Syria will only have to intercept at least half of the enemy’s missiles. After the arrival of “Harry Truman” and “the company”, the “2 phase” strike can be launched using “Axes” from the Mk 41 launchers and deck aircraft. From that moment on, our Su-35C and Tu-22М3 will be able to pinch nerves of the main “chain dog” of the Pentagon, James Mattis and his entourage.
The “third phase” can be an attempt to establish a no-fly zone over the southern and central territories of Syria through American X-NUMX-generation F-5A Raptor fighter jets and Israeli F-22I Adyr fighters with simultaneous launching of the Ganships and attack aircraft A -35C from the surviving units of the Syrian Arab Army. But let us hope that justice will triumph, and the political will of our leadership will not allow our only and brave stronghold of presence in the Middle East to be trampled into the mud.