"Duck" named Yanukovych limped?

18 September 2013 of the year, the Ukrainian government, in unison, expressed approval of the draft agreement, according to which Ukraine chooses the European vector of development, namely the association agreement with the EU. Now Viktor Yanukovych, who pushed the Cabinet to this decision, has only to endorse this document. At the next stage, Ukraine will wait for the decision of the European Union itself that it is ready to be associated with Ukraine. Apparently, such an EU decision will be made at the next EU summit, which will take place in a couple of months in Vilnius.



The European partners of Ukraine have already expressed their approval to the “outstanding” deed of Viktor Yanukovich and the Ukrainian government about their desire to join the Free Trade Zone with European “brothers”. The representative of the European Union in Ukraine Mr. Tombinsky was able to voice his approval literally in the “online” mode. He stated that the summit in Vilnius, the citation: "will be our common success." Promptly speaking about the decision of the Ukrainian parliament, Tombinsky was helped by the fact that he was at the meeting of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine at the time of the decision. The case is remarkable. The presence at the meeting of the Ukrainian government of the EU representative in many respects resembles the presence of American “consultants” at the meetings of the Russian governments at the dawn of the nineties, as does the presence of foreign “assistants” at the meeting of the Georgian Cabinet of the “omnipotence” party of Mikhail Saakashvili in Georgia. Like, I understand that you are the ministers of an independent state, but I still sit side by side here so that the decisions are made right ... If the meeting goes in the wrong direction, then I will try to make some corrections ...

In addition to Jan Tombinsky, the idea of ​​signing an association agreement with the European Union was supported by such Mr. Alexander Vershbow, who is currently the Deputy Secretary General of NATO. At the government meeting, however, Vershbow was not present, otherwise it would be a complete set ...

It would seem, moreover, here is the opinion of Vershbow, and how it generally relates to the Free Trade Zone and the European Union institutions. Legally, of course, no. But did NATO ever stop legal restrictions ...
Alexander Vershbow decided to link his joy with Ukraine’s readiness to associate with the European Union with the Ukraine-NATO partnership:



Thus, Vershbow, as it were, decided to remind official Kiev that although it positions itself as the capital of a non-bloc state, but time passes, the world changes ... What if? .. "Suddenly" means that as soon as Viktor Yanukovych decides (if after all, he will decide) to finally dive headlong into Western “democracy” and inadvertently declare that he can push Ukraine toward rapprochement with NATO, then the North Atlantic Alliance will spread into a friendly smile and will eventually take Ukraine under its wing.

In addition, Vershbow makes it clear that, by and large, even the declared non-aligned status of Ukraine is not a problem:



They say that it’s not necessary to join “us”, the main thing is to be friends with us, and then the matter will be visible. In this traces a certain analogy with the anecdotal "he was not a homosexual himself, but he was inclined towards friendship with them."

So, it turns out that Viktor Yanukovych, already without five minutes, succeeded in something that the “orange” activists could not do in several years of their time at the helm of the Ukrainian authorities. It is noteworthy that after the announcement that the Ukrainian president chose a course for European integration, not just anyone, but Viktor Yushchenko himself expressed words of approval in his regard. The ex-president announced that if Ukraine signs an association agreement with the European Union, he will personally send Yanukovych a congratulatory telegram. And it turns out that Yushchenko’s case lives! ..

It’s only interesting what now remains for those Ukrainian citizens who voted for Mr. Yanukovich, who promised to integrate more closely with Russia, put an end to the talk about Ukraine’s accession to NATO, decide on raising the status of the Russian language, agree on lowering energy prices. It turns out that Yanukovych simply threw his voters, earning a temporary and, of course, false authority with the "orange". The fact that for politicians "kidalovo", especially after the elections, is often an ordinary matter, it is clear to everyone. But the highlight of the situation is that the world average level of the political “scammer” Yanukovych is far superior. The lion's share of his election promises turned out to be a lie, which already makes Viktor Fyodorovich a political corpse - after all, only a year and a half remains before the presidential elections in Ukraine. If Yanukovych seriously expects that now those who voted for Tymoshenko or Yushchenko will support him now, he is deeply mistaken. Yulia is languishing in the Kharkov dungeon in general, at the suggestion of the current president ... This point from the flank of supporters of the “woman with a scythe” does not exactly add to him. Yes, and by and large Yanukovych in general seriously got into a mess: it is obvious that he lost some of his trust, and he hardly has time to earn the trust of others. If not a “lame duck” to the full, then some kind of “coughing drake” ...

So, the Ukrainian authorities decided to start the path to the EU, while on the way of association and entry into the Free Trade Zone with the European Union. Well, knowing that this is by no means the choice of the majority of the Ukrainian people, it simply does not make sense to condemn it: “Yushchenko” and “Yanukovychs” come and go, but we still live next to it. Therefore, we will not move on to thinking about the fact that “we are brothers or not brothers” (especially since it is usually the twentieth deal for the authorities), but we will try to reflect on the topic of an exclusively economic future.

First you need to assume that Ukraine “pro-associates” and entered into the FTA (Free Trade Zone) with the European Union. As already mentioned by the advisor to the Russian president, this step of the Ukrainian leadership actually means that Ukraine will not be able to enter the Customs Union (CU) and the Common Economic Space (CES). Are there any advantages for Ukraine in joining the FTA? Supporters of the European Association claim that there is. They look like this: the average customs rate for Ukrainian goods entering the EU will fall from 7,6 to 0,5 percent (more than 15 times!) It seems that everything is great for Ukrainian manufacturers, and they need to proceed to the calculation of profits.
However, the same supporters of Ukrainian European integration forget (or simply do not know) that the European Union is ready to let in to itself goods only from those Ukrainian manufacturers that have switched to European standardization. Today, such manufacturers in Ukraine, as they say, the cat wept, because the overwhelming number of Ukrainian goods all this time went far in the western direction ...

For all, without exception, the existing enterprises of Ukraine to be standardized according to EU standards, it takes years and money. Will the EU wait for these years, and who will allocate the money? Why wait for the European Union? It will simply start to increase the flow of goods towards Ukraine, since the Ukrainian border for European goods will open, and no “Ukrainian standardization” is required for the EU (how could this very clever association agreement be written for the European Union itself ...). Ukraine will have to cut customs duties for goods from the EU more than twice (by the way, Ukrainian Prime Minister Azarov himself said this). That is, it turns out that while Ukrainian enterprises will standardize under the European GOST, Europeans will, firstly, quietly flood the Ukrainian market with their products, and, secondly, give Ukraine money in the form of loans for this very standardization. As a result, the Ukrainian manufacturer (who has not managed to standardize in a European way today) hangs on European loans, not being able to supply its goods to Europe in the course of several years of transition to a new standardization and losing the ability to deliver goods at the past (still current) tariffs to the Russian market (total of the Customs Union).

Experts at the Center for Economic Research say that in the medium term (minimum, 5-10 years), the growth of Ukrainian welfare in connection with the entry into the FTA will be 1,3%. This is what turns out, the welfare of Ukraine after entering the Free Trade Area in the EU will grow "as much" by 0,13-0,26% per year? I would like to look at the man who considers such growth impressive ...

By the way, one should not forget that the European economic principles concern increasing the tax burden on individual production sectors. Will the Ukrainian producers withstand even higher taxes? Someone will endure, and someone just orders to live long, unless he finally sits down on the European "fraternal" loans.

I wonder if Viktor Yanukovich himself is aware of such an economic “breakthrough” of Ukraine? Or the revealed desire to be liked by the West, having shown Moscow to “fucking mother”, is much more important than people's interests for Viktor Dolnedever.