Iran with an outstretched hand will not stand
To say that such a decision is not timely for Europe is to say nothing. In the face of a practically intractable debt crisis in the eurozone, the introduction of an embargo on the supply of Iranian oil to Europe is an extremely risky step. According to experts, the price of oil already expects a new jump. The market has stopped waiting for the meeting of OPEC countries, which is scheduled for next week. The fact is that the organization did not change production quotas from 2008 of the year. Amid falling global oil consumption growth rates, many economists are convinced that production quotas are likely to be reduced.
European threats are all the more senseless because Iran will easily survive the imposition of an embargo, completely reorienting its oil exports towards China. A supporter of this point of view is the chairman of the Islamic Committee of Russia, Heydar Jemal: "Iran will not stand with an outstretched hand, Beijing is a strategic partner of Tehran, supporting it technologically and militarily."
Speaking of the introduction of the embargo, the Europeans are too arrogant, they underestimate the economic opportunities and, apparently, still continue to overestimate their own. The Iranian economy continues to grow, while Europe is experiencing very difficult times. The Iranian economy relies on the impressive potential of its domestic market, which gives the country new jobs. At the same time, 1.5 million workers from Afghanistan and other countries of Central Asia are involved in the country's economy, which in itself speaks volumes.
Politically, Iran is also incredibly stable. This was confirmed by recent events around the British Embassy in Tehran. At the same time, tough measures taken by the Iranian executive power against opponents of Ahmadinejad and representatives of the “fifth column” find wide support among the population. With the neutralization of the “fifth column”, military aggression against Iran becomes extremely problematic, since no split in the country will occur during the attack, the Iranians will only rally around power, which will make the successful completion of Western operations completely impossible. Thus, the West, which prefers to fight against a deliberately weak enemy, will not risk starting a serious operation against Iran.
So, the introduction of the oil embargo, and even more so the military operation against Iran, are untimely and deeply meaningless measures. In addition to “crushing” Iran, the West has something to think about in the near future. The new year promises to be rich in events in the Mediterranean region, which has become a zone of instability throughout its coast from Syria to Morocco. Heydar Dzhemal, recognized as one of the leading Russian political scientists-Islamic scholars, believes that as a result of the completed color revolutions, consolidated Islamist parties will come to power throughout the Maghreb. This cannot but concern Europe, since such a development of events will become a serious headache for it. The fact is that the Islamic political reversal of the Maghreb will occur against the backdrop of the European economic crisis, the possible collapse of the eurozone, a sharp decline in living standards, which cannot but affect the position of the diasporas, which will become simply catastrophic. All this will make European North Africans return to historical homeland and thereby contribute to the growing chaos there.
Information