Amazingly, how quickly all Internet analysts changed their minds about the possibility of war between Turkey and Russia. I remember about one and a half years ago I published articles in which I wrote that war between our countries is inevitable. What kind of obstruction I was exposed to. And Turkey is our friend, the main partner, five minutes a member of EurAsEC and the CSTO, our future gas hub, we all rest there, eat their vegetables and wear their clothes. I was almost accused of working in the West, in his desire to drive a wedge into such a friendship, which has no world analogues.
And it was not long, and the same people radically changed their minds and do not see an alternative to war. But analysts continue to consider themselves fully understand all the intricacies of modern geopolitics.
In fact, there is not a single analyst in our infosphere, there are only publicists. The main difference between the analyst and the publicist is that the latter takes into account only one or two main factors, and the analyst works with a huge array of information, both open and closed. And often the amount of closed information significantly exceeds the amount of open information. Therefore, as if for whom it was not offensive, there are no analysts in our infosphere, only publicists. Because, if they were analysts, they would write their analytical reviews not in open areas, but in closed state and semi-state organizations.
Any article on information resources, primarily a journalistic one, regardless of which section on the resource it falls into: Analytics or Humor. And to blame the author for being so stupid that he did not take into account such and such factors in his article is also extremely silly.
“Do not shoot the pianist - he plays as he can!” (C)
It happened with one of my recent articles Second Middle East Gambit of Russia .
I received a full range of reviews from “Bullshit and nonsense”To "Very beautiful version" и "Everything was like that". However, few people understood the main idea in this article:
“In the Russian infosphere there is a full range of explanations for why Putin and Russia got involved in the war in Syria - from the moans about the defeat, the drain of Russia and New Russia, the collapse of the economy to the cheering patriotic slogans about the brotherhood of peoples, historical the mission of Russia, the protection of all good people and world peace. But no one knows for sure, but in fact - for what?
The president himself speaks about international peace, law, protection of the existing world order from chaos, protection of economic interests of Russia, the fight against international terrorism and the protection of it Russian. The objectives of the right, good and reasonable. But precisely because of the fact that so many of them, and it seems that none of them is not decisive in the decision.
Of course, there is one main goal, which does not recognize the many experts and analysts in the near future. If ever they find out. ”
And do not know, for one simple reason: lack of access to private sources of information and not enough deep work with the public.
Now one of the main, but rarely mentioned, geopolitical factors is fresh water. Access and control over the sources of fresh water is a major cause of most conflicts.
Everyone remembers how quickly and bloody turned into a territory of chaos such a prosperous country like Libya. The infosphere then abounded with probable causes of these events. They also called control of oil, Colonel Gaddafi’s creation of a “gold dinar” for settlements in Africa, undermining the hegemony of the American dollar, and honing the technology of orange revolutions in the form of the “Arab spring” in Libya, and creating an army of Islamist terrorists on its territory transfers to any region of the world. There was no shortage of forecasts. And only one reason, one of the most important, was not indicated by the media and the infosphere - the control over fresh water.
And in Libya, Colonel Gaddafi carried out a grandiose project, the eighth wonder of the world, entered in the Guinness Book of Records - "The Great Manmade River" (The Great Manmade River, GMR).
The great man-made river is a complex network of water lines that supplies desert areas and the coast of Libya with water from the Nubian aquifer. By some estimates, this is the largest engineering project of the existing ones. This huge system of pipes and aqueducts, which also includes more than 1300 wells with a depth of more than 500 meters, supplies the cities of Tripoli, Benghazi, Sirt and others, supplying 6 500 000 m³ of drinking water per day. In 2008, the Guinness Book of Records recognized the Great Man-Made River as the largest irrigation project in the world.
About this project Libya international media were silent, and, among other things, the project exceeds the largest construction projects. Its cost 25 billion dollars.
Banknote 20 dinars a Great Man-Made River
Even in the years 80-Gaddafi began a large-scale project to create a network of water resources, which should reach Libya, Egypt, Sudan and Chad. By the beginning of the war in Libya, the project was almost implemented. The problem was, I must say, for all historical North African region, because the water problem is relevant here since Phoenician. And, more importantly, on a project that could transform the whole of North Africa in the blooming garden, it was not spent a single cent from the IMF. It is with the latter fact, some analysts link the current destabilization of the situation in the region.
In the south of Libya, located four giant underground water tank (oases of Kufra, Sirt, Morzuk and Hamada). According to some reports they contain on average 35 000 cube. kilometers (!) of water. To present this amount is enough to imagine the whole territory of Germany, a huge lake 100 meters deep. These water resources are, no doubt, represent a separate interest. And, perhaps, it is more than an interest in Libyan oil.
This water project by its scale was called the "Eighth Wonder of the World". It provides current per day - 6,5 million cubic meters of water across the desert, greatly increasing the area of irrigated land. 4 thousand kilometers of pipes buried from the heat deep into the earth. Underground water swings over 270 mines from hundreds of meters of depth. The cubic meter of the purest water from Libyan tanks, taking into account all the costs, could cost 35 cents. This cost is roughly comparable to the cost of a cubic meter of cold water in Moscow. If you take the cost of a European cubic meter (about 2 euros), then the value of water reserves in Libyan tanks is 58 billion euros.
Maghreb-Nachrichten reports from 20.03.2009: “At the 5 World Water Forum in Istanbul, the Libyan authorities for the first time presented a project on water supply worth 25 billion. The project was called the “eighth wonder of the world” because it provides for the creation of an artificial river that would supply drinking water to the population of the north of Libya. The work was carried out with 80's. under the leadership of the Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi. And now the project is implemented on 2 / 3.
The aqueduct should reach 4 000 km, and through it water from underground tanks under the desert will flow north. Studies have shown that this project is more economical than alternative options. According to the calculations, water reserves will be enough for 4 860 years, if the interested states, Libya, Sudan, Chad and Egypt, will use the water in the manner provided for by the project. ”
This project could produce a real “green revolution” in Africa, make this arid continent a real flowering garden, destroy the poverty, hunger and poverty of African countries.
And all this without a single cent from the IMF and other international financial organizations and corporations that control the reserves and production of fresh water on the planet. But, more importantly, the project helped in the case of the economic stability and the independence of African countries.
Naturally, the West didn’t like it very much, and he solved this problem radically, hiding behind completely different reasons. Fortunately, the international experience of the IMF and transnational corporations at that time was already. Transnational corporations are extremely active in water privatization.
According to the Masons Water Yearbook 2004 / 5, 545 million people (9% of the world population) already receive water from private providers dosimeters and at market prices. Argentina and Bolivia, first getting involved in it, immediately abandoned water privatization schemes.
Privatization of water goes only by the World Bank and those who stand behind them.
The largest privatization of water:
- Suez, 117.4 million;
- Veolia Environnement (Vivendi), 108.2 million;
- RWE, 69.5 million (before selling its major water subsidiary, Thames Water, to Kemble Water)
-Aguas De Barcelona (35.2 million);
- SAUR (33.5 million);
- United Utilities (22.1 million).
In 1984, the World Bank and the IMF blocked the project of draining the Sudd wetlands and the White Nile water channel in South Sudan, which could turn Egypt and Sudan into a flourishing garden. Under the existing scheme, separatist manifestations first arose in the region, quickly developing into a civil war and the disintegration of a single state. In addition to international organizations, Israel, which was not interested in the prosperity and strengthening of Egypt, but very interested in cheap South Sudanese oil, also had a hand in these events. Of the planned 360 km of the canal, 240 km was built.
In Syria, the situation is more complicated. Fresh water here is one of the power to pressure Assad's methods for solving the problems of the West.
Since its founding, the Syrian Arab Republic has had one major source of fresh water - the Lake of Tiberias (Lake Kinneret) in the Golan Heights. The coast of the lake Syria shared with Israel. Under a far-fetched pretext, Syria supposedly is building an irrigation system that is inconsistent with Israel (although it has not coordinated its system with Israel and Syria), and Israel, which has an oz. The Kinneret provided a third of all freshwater consumption (natural, “sweet”, as they say in Israel), captured and then annexed the Golan Heights, thereby depriving Syria of the main source of fresh water at that time.
Naturally, Israel’s interest in the current conflict in Syria is by supporting the banned in Russia ISIL and Turkey to achieve the dismemberment and disintegration of the state of Syria, and thereby legitimize its annexation of the Golan Heights with Lake Kinneret. Make the resolution of the UN Security Council resolution 17 of December 1981 on Syria’s sovereignty over the Golan senseless and make them de jure part of Israel.
Turkey uses fresh water factor in the war against al-Assad is much bigger.
In 1970-ies on the Euphrates in Syria, the dam and the reservoir named Assad was built in 1980-x Turkey began to build the dam Ataturk, one of the 22-x dams on the Tigris and Euphrates rivers, originating in Turkey and flowing through Syria and Iraq and flow into the Persian Gulf.
Historically, control of the Euphrates was at the center of the conflict between Turkey, on the one hand, and Syria and Iraq on the other. Turkey insisted that the Euphrates is a “transboundary river” and not an “international river”, and therefore is not subject to the norms of international law. Turkey is also one of the three states (together with China and Burundi) who did not sign the international convention on the use of international waterways, adopted by the UN General Assembly in 1997.
In the 1987 year, a temporary agreement was reached between Syria and Turkey, according to which, prior to the conclusion of a permanent agreement on the sharing of water resources of the river, Turkey pledged to throw 500 cubic meters of water per second into the Euphrates. The standing agreement was not signed. Syria has registered the existing agreement in the UN in the hope that it guarantees it and Iraq a minimum level of protection of the rights to the waters of the Euphrates.
But Syria is not saved. Turkey became sharply limit the passage of water to Syria.
Very quickly, half of the water of the Euphrates, falls into Syria, became to remain in Turkey. As the level of the fall of the Euphrates on Syrian territory expanded drilling pirate artesian wells, which ultimately led to the depletion of the aquifer.
In April, 2014, Turkey completely stopped the discharge of water into the “Sea of Assad”, and the reservoir itself, like the dam on the Tigris, was seized by ISIL (banned in Russia). This gave many analysts a reason to talk about the beginning of the World War and the Apocalypse, since, according to many prophecies, the Apocalypse will begin from the moment Turkey overlaps the Euphrates.
Coupled with the 2008-11's terrible drought (hello from meteorological weapons and HAARP), Syria from a wheat exporting country became an importing country, people turned into refugees (about 20 millions) and rushed first to the cities, and then to Europe.
Now most of the water sources in Syria are under the control of the LIH (banned in Russia), and he, along with Turkey, is regulated by the water flow of refugees from Syria and Iraq to Europe.
As Ayala Tamri, a professional geographer and ecologist, the creator of the environmental department in the Israeli Infrastructure Ministry, wrote:
“It should also be understood that this war and the wave of emigration caused by water shortages represent only a fraction of the wars and the migration of peoples due to apocalyptic water shortages, which will have a huge impact on future generations ...”
I have given examples only from the Middle East and North African regions. However, such problems are very much related to our country, Russia, the owner of the largest reserves of fresh water in the world. And as soon as the information space begins to stir about projects relating to our rivers and lakes, in particular, Siberian rivers and Lake Baikal, then they are always behind Western interests, the IMF, the World Bank and transnational corporations. They will do anything to control the most expensive resource of the future - fresh water.
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