Syria is writing, Ukraine is in the mind

So, by observing everything that is happening in the Middle East, a certain geopolitical conclusion can be made: the United States and its allies did not even have a fair click, but a blow to the nose. And the Middle East scenario has to be played, given the emergence of a new player - Russia. The appearance of a sudden, but spectacular.




The fact that everything is just beginning for Assad may be debatable, but true. Just because no one will pass their positions. Neither Syria nor LIH, nor the United States and his followers. So the Syrian bonfire is still burning and burning. The blessing of those who want to splash gasoline on the fire even more than enough

But before the above, we, in principle, do not have much to do. We have our own shovel, which should be threshed. And this is what I’m talking about.

Yes, the position that Russia occupies today, to some of the "partners" is like a knife near one place. And the space around us will “stagger” with a double eagerness. Do something need something! You want, you do not want, and the Russian bear is necessary either in a cage or in hibernation. At the wrong time, he climbed into the light of day.

If you look at the map, there are plenty of "lights" around us. And even a cursory looking at the list of "fires", the picture is not very. Even if you subtract Syria, where the dance has already gone "with the removal of the stove" (forgive me, the Caspian Sea, which compared with the stove), the list is rather big.

1. Tajikistan (Afghanistan). Afghanistan in brackets, but not in brackets. And the events in Kunduz showed it. It was a reconnaissance battle, the battle showed everything. Now it will be some time quiet.

2. Karabakh It’s still relatively quiet there, but you shouldn’t forget that this is not just a painful point of the region, it’s a whole site. Two lines intertwine around it: Russia-Armenia and Turkey-Azerbaijan. And taking into account some complications with the Turks, there too can go towards ignition.

3. Transnistria. Also a pain point, which is very easy to push. They tried to push, but somehow everything calmed down too quickly. It is impossible to say what happened on the Transnistrian front, but the fact that ours there also worked in full is unambiguous.

4. Ukraine. Naturally. Technical default is just the beginning. Plus, LDNR, in which, frankly, not everything is smooth, even more so. Some actions of the leadership of the republics cause, if not fear, then surprise.

Of course, any of these points could be very hot. In some moment. Moreover, in three of them the presence of "partners" is more than obvious. Afghanistan, Moldova (Romania), Ukraine. With Karabakh it may not be so sad, but there is enough local color from Armenia and Azerbaijan.

Still, Ukraine is the most likely option to start a new cycle of operations "Stop the Bear!"

Yes, the Ukrainian authorities will go to great lengths in order to be able to survive for a certain amount of time. Get more money. Weapons. Techniques. The peaceful life of Ukraine is unprofitable. There is nothing to live for. The economy is in complete disarray. But this has already been said so much that it makes no sense to repeat.

And it turns out that Ukraine in the foreseeable future is the most optimal testing ground in order to distract Russia from Middle Eastern affairs. Bring the focus of instability or another military conflict to our borders. Yes, the interests of the United States in the Ukrainian mess are less and less, after all, the titanic efforts of our management team in the implementation of the Minsk agreements have brought their benefits. Does not burn. Smolders, but does not burn. Despite even some frank oddities in the behavior of LDNR leaders.

The interests of the United States, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Turkey there, in the Middle East. Where Russia broke so immediately and unexpectedly. It turned out about as with the Crimea. We did not expect, but it turned out like.

But do not flatter yourself. It will take a certain amount of time, and the "partners" will work out another plan for the "stabilization of Russia." And they will begin to act. And the actions will be directed precisely to divert attention from Syria. Softly and directly, "zaydanit" in the immediate vicinity except in Ukraine, more and nowhere in principle. So it makes sense to wait for it to light up there.

So really, Syria - Syria, but Ukraine should not be discounted.
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  1. Stranger03 14 October 2015 06: 24 New
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    Ukraine can no longer be taken into account, the country is bankrupt. GDP mockingly suggested that the IMF give 3 a lard to Ukraine to repay the loan to us. But we know that there will be no credit and in December a limited default will be real. But then a flock of lenders will tear the country to pieces.
    1. 2С5 14 October 2015 08: 42 New
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      FOUR QUESTIONS TO UKRAINIANS
      1. More recently, or rather, during a meeting with Putin, Obama said that in Syria there is no moderate opposition, and there are only international ISIS terrorists.
      rusvesna.su/news/1444084996
      After ISIS units suffered significant casualties from Russian aircraft and one of their leaders was destroyed, the United States began to hysterically accuse Russia of bombing a "nonexistent" moderate opposition.
      EVIDENCE, DO YOU STILL BELIEVE THE AMERICANS?
      2. A year and a half, the Ukrainian authorities and Poroshenko personally accused Russia of invading Ukraine, without citing any evidence. In Syria, Russia has shown what the Russian army is that can destroy the enemy with precision weapons without engaging in ground combat.
      EVIDENCE, DO YOU STILL BELIEVE ABOUT RUSSIAN INVASION TO UKRAINE?
      3. During the inauguration, Poroshenko promised the Ukrainians in several days to finish the ATO, to pay 1000 hryvnias per day to the soldiers participating in the ATO, visa-free travel to the EU, .. and much more. He did not fulfill a single promise.
      EVIDENCE, YOU ARE STILL BELIEVING A POWDER?
      4. In the Ukrainian media, the theme of "poor and hungry Russia" is constantly being discussed. At the same time, annually up to 5 million Ukrainians go to work in Russia.
      EVIDENCE, DO YOU STILL BELIEVE YOUR MEDIA?
      In that case, I congratulate you - YOU!
      1. Bronis 14 October 2015 08: 54 New
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        forgive the moderators .... watch somewhere the latest 1.45.
        1. Mikado 14 October 2015 11: 23 New
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          .. what stubborn m_u_daki they have on television .. wassat
        2. Alex250834 14 October 2015 12: 14 New
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          Putin already knows !!!!
        3. Prometey 14 October 2015 20: 18 New
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          Bronis
          Thanks for the video, neighing. Ukrainians annealed, well done. Just level 80 trolling live laughing
      2. The comment was deleted.
    2. kodxnumx 14 October 2015 09: 03 New
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      If Bandera does start, then I’m sure it will simply be wet without Minsk 3.
      1. marlin1203 14 October 2015 09: 49 New
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        Nobody will start anything. “Exceptional” they are no longer interesting. No money left. There is no order and power in the country. A competent military organization does not exist. There are groups of nationalist thugs, but they do not pose a serious danger. The people are poor and fleeing. Winter is coming. In general, you will not envy the "Slav brothers" no
        1. panfil 14 October 2015 14: 55 New
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          Japan can also be added to the author’s words with its territorial claims, South Ossetia and Abkhazia. So near our borders you can dig even more "smoldering lights."
        2. Alena Frolovna 14 October 2015 17: 05 New
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          Nobody will start anything.


          Ah no. They think differently. So loud for everyone to hear: "Fleet be"

          “The news flickers like pillars in the window of a reserved seat - you cannot keep up with them. I’m only glad that something eternal remains. Lasting. What you can admire without getting tired.
          Well, and fasting with all my heart ...

          The brave cyborgs blocking the CFD decided that it was not pleasant for dogs of war to sit at the Chornago Sea without a fleet and decided to wipe the same damn pit nose. By launching the Geth frigate man Poroshenko ". No sooner said than done. Peramogli, zdobuly and lustrated a bottle of a bottle on a new vessel, according to a long-standing maritime toradiation:


          Learn Michael Michel Obamkin, as it should! And then you will die - a stupid armless man! Learn and fathom. The main thing is to believe. Believe Michelle!

          PS:

          And what’s there with her? .. Yes, full speed ahead ...



          Paramoga? Fact!
          Yam pihvets? ATO! ..
          Shahimat, vata! ..
          Material: Rich, http://topru.org/25201/flotu-byt/
      2. muhomor 14 October 2015 11: 33 New
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        In my opinion, Putin is just dreaming about it in his soul! wassat
    3. Vladimir 1964 15 October 2015 02: 03 New
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      Quote: Stranger03
      Ukraine can no longer be taken into account,


      I'm afraid, Dear Gennady, you are in a hurry. There will still be plenty of problems with this education for us, both economically and geopolitically.

      Something like this, Dear. hi
    4. MSL
      MSL 15 October 2015 19: 18 New
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      Quote: Stranger03
      Ukraine can no longer be taken into account,

      My opinion: "Ukraine is already possible not take into account, "
  2. The comment was deleted.
  3. Meh-forester 14 October 2015 06: 28 New
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    And it turns out that Ukraine in the foreseeable future is the most optimal training ground in order to distract Russia from Middle Eastern affairs
    Before the start of "spring warming" there everything will be sluggish. The EU really needs Russian gas, and while it is cold, the Ukrainian conflict will be in a "frozen" state. At the same time, during this time, Ukraine has “pumped up” its soldiers.
  4. PlotnikoffDD 14 October 2015 06: 29 New
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    Time works against Ukraine. While the "evil Putin" is occupied by Syria, they can rest on their own, like cockroaches without water.
  5. Tatar 174 14 October 2015 06: 32 New
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    Roman Skomorokhov, what did you want to say about in two places, recalling the strangeness in the behavior of the leaders of LDNR that cause surprise?
  6. Yak28 14 October 2015 06: 34 New
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    The number of Russian planes in Syria is clearly not enough for the victory of Assad’s army or for large-scale offensives. In order for the war in Syria not to become a tyagomotin, it is necessary to increase the number of aircraft well, at least to 150 units. Otherwise, I think it will not burn out
    1. your1970 14 October 2015 12: 20 New
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      yes, and a couple of million infantry ... recourse request
      Why is there more aviation? So that the Russian army fought, not the Syrian?
      We did a great job, supported morale, pulled ISIS, created a panic, maybe threw weapons / equipment to the Syrians, now it's their turn.
      The war is in their country, but not in our country ...
  7. venaya 14 October 2015 06: 41 New
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    Ukraine - the most likely option to start a new cycle of operations "Stop the bear!

    And we need to look for similar solutions. Syria was very welcome. You can certainly stop there, but keep Afghanistan in mind, after all, Tajiks live there too. Let's look for something, see, and other options.
    1. exSUman 14 October 2015 15: 24 New
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      Here the Tajiks then fired at us in Fayzabad ... there, in Badakhshan, Afghanistan, and up to Kabul, the Tajiks also live ... Charikar, Salang, Pandsher - territories inhabited by Tajiks ...
    2. exSUman 14 October 2015 15: 24 New
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      Here the Tajiks then fired at us in Fayzabad ... there, in Badakhshan, Afghanistan, and up to Kabul, the Tajiks also live ... Charikar, Salang, Pandsher - territories inhabited by Tajiks ...
  8. pinhead 14 October 2015 06: 41 New
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    the picture is impressive. I think that the igilovites do not suffer from constipation.
  9. Ural resident 14 October 2015 06: 48 New
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    Hilary once said that Russia would pay dearly for its position in Syria, and now, during the Olympics, the project "Nazi Ukraine" was launched. Of course, it was a preparation and it should have been fired a bit later, but it was necessary to strike before signing the Eurasian Union treaty, and to drive ours out of the Middle East, and “quietly” achieve our goal there. Americans are stubborn in achieving their goals - not directly, so circularly, but they will achieve this until they get their hands on faces - they only understand the language of power. Therefore, all our actions in Syria are absolutely correct: to kick out the Anglo-Saxons from there with a tarpaulin boot, and our young VKS to work out, especially since there are still a lot of "smoldering fires" in the region.
  10. slizhov 14 October 2015 06: 57 New
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    I think US political scientists are no cooler than our experts ...
    Once again, it turns out that the people "rebel" against the Bandera, and the Yankees again, out of surprise, open their mouths ...
  11. Pro100Igor 14 October 2015 07: 11 New
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    The answer to Ukraine from the militants!
  12. samarin1969 14 October 2015 07: 13 New
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    The surrender of LDNR will make senseless success in Syria.
  13. parusnik 14 October 2015 07: 19 New
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    Peaceful life in Ukraine is not beneficial. Absolutely. In a peaceful life, a high degree of Russophobia is difficult to maintain ...
  14. 31rus 14 October 2015 07: 41 New
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    Syria and Ukraine, you can’t compare these two different planets, Syria is the victory of the Russian over the western, Ukraine is the defeat quiet and long-term, I won’t describe all the pros and cons, you know them well
    1. Cap.Morgan 14 October 2015 08: 33 New
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      This is not a defeat, but rather a confrontation. Ahead is winter, how will it pass, that’s the question.
      1. Vadim237 14 October 2015 09: 49 New
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        I will be hoping for severe and prolonged frosts and snowfalls.
      2. 31rus 14 October 2015 10: 09 New
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        Dear, one should call a spade a spade, if the Kremlin weren’t busy with exchange rates, playing with the EU and America, but directly stated or pursued an understandable policy with regard to Ukraine itself, and the EU and America with respect to Ukraine, there wasn’t we have now, we have lost a whole nation, not to mention other aspects, and the further and longer the less profitable Russia is for us, this is a big political and strategic defeat, Russia is an enemy for Ukraine, what else to explain?
        1. Dart2027 14 October 2015 21: 25 New
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          Quote: 31rus
          Russia is an enemy for Ukraine

          Ukraine itself is a project to split the Russian people. If she is not sick with Russophobia, then nobody will just need it.
  15. dr.star75 14 October 2015 08: 03 New
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    Well, I don’t understand where the igil came from in Afghanistan? Iran is from the west, and he is fighting us against them. Is Uzbekistan and Tajikistan also against them, China? He himself is sharpening his teeth on Islamists. It turns out Pakistan? He seems to be in the CU and even in the CSTO asks. Where is the water supply from? There is no oil, no transportation, no weapons (yes there was it in bulk, here Najibula held on for 2 years, but still).
    1. fennekRUS 14 October 2015 08: 42 New
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      Quote: dr.star75
      Well, I don’t understand where the igil came from in Afghanistan?

      So see cui prodest? And these gentlemen have the technical capabilities (it’s not so difficult to organize smuggling operations with poor border protection, which also go along difficult terrain) Well, the presence of “agents of influence” helps in the work “on the ground”
  16. Barboskin 14 October 2015 08: 08 New
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    An interesting article makes you think, thanks to the author. I think our task is to intercept strategic initiative in this confrontation, that is, to act in advance. As long as we succeed, let's see what happens next.
  17. The comment was deleted.
  18. Decathlon 14 October 2015 08: 19 New
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    "... to some of the" partners "like a knife near one place. And the" wobble "space around us will be with double zeal ..."
    If I (God forbid) were a "partner", I definitely would not stagger the space! A hand with a knife can flinch and a lifeless pussy quietly roll down. belay On the sand dune ...
  19. Was mammoth 14 October 2015 08: 59 New
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    Anecdote on the topic of sanctions:
    "Today, 07:25
    Hollande did not rule out a new contract with Russia for the sale of ships "
    wink
  20. Wolka 14 October 2015 09: 10 New
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    Ukraine is bankrupt, but Russia doesn’t feel any better, it is Russia that will have to restore its economy and statehood, it won’t hit finger to finger to help Ukraine Svidomo somehow, it’s a consumable for him, on the contrary, Russia will impose the restoration of Ukraine on hiding itself again once again, with a beautiful democratic sign, and thereby weaken the economic potential of Russia, and so on, the Yankees and the EU will further impose on Russia various “suckers” from the former USSR, which naturally cannot be pulled by the Russian economy ...
    1. mongolos 14 October 2015 11: 28 New
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      Oh Volka! Personally, I am of the same opinion ... I hope that our management will not allow a "rake" ... time will tell
  21. Sedoy_greek 14 October 2015 09: 38 New
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    I really hope that the Ukrainians will change their minds-and they will restore order in themselves !!!
    1. silver_roman 15 October 2015 12: 48 New
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      this will not be.
      an example just happened before my eyes.
      I work in a law firm in the center of Kiev.

      A private notary sits in our office. he has his own clients, we have our own.
      As usual in the office, there is a guard that keeps anyone out.
      Grandfather 75-80 years old, very flabby and poor looking, went to a notary under the guise of a client.
      apparently he was mistaken for a client and missed.
      and so: he asked for money, everyone immediately began to put pressure on him, saying "leave the office, etc., by the way, we’ll call the security guard."
      In general, we came to the conclusion that our people will think over how they can help and get in touch.
      But this is all the background.
      I go into my office, sitting PR-shchitsa. the position is extremely "important" for society and the prosperity of the country as a whole. He receives about 20-30 pensions of this grandfather. asks me what happened.
      I explained to her that "grandpa went in, asked for money, a ballroom, an old one, etc. They decided to chip in whoever they can, pass it to him when they meet tomorrow." Answer: indignation, who and why missed him here. And generally wonder how this is possible.
      I ask her a question: "Have you forgotten which country you live in? Forgot about the life expectancy of 90% of the Ukrainian population? Or do you think that everyone gets at least half how are you ?! The answer is: who prevents them from earning."
      This ended the dialogue. While there are such, while THESE are in their heads SUCH! nobody will change anything here. shorter muck alone! live with a veil in the eyes in the form of triple pink glasses. or just chhali on the rest.
  22. mongolos 14 October 2015 11: 20 New
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    Quote: Tartar 174
    Roman Skomorokhov, what did you want to say about in two places, recalling the strangeness in the behavior of the leaders of LDNR that cause surprise?

    Yes. indeed, the text sounded an expression about the strange behavior of the leaders of the eastern republics .... apparently I missed something ...))
  23. Belousov 14 October 2015 11: 34 New
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    It is clear that the actions of Russia will not remain unanswered by staff members and their lackeys. Let's hope for the foresight of our authorities. Well, slowly grease Kalash soldier repeat
  24. Tektor 14 October 2015 11: 42 New
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    Ukraine did decide to finally clarify the issue of who feeds whom, and severed all economic ties with the Russian Federation ... Well, ... and? The answer is clear.
  25. timyr 14 October 2015 11: 52 New
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    Dear Roman, you forgot to mention Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, their conflict over the Osh Valley. There is also Ferghana in Uzbekistan where it’s already shitty with water. Also, Turkmenistan can be hit by the Taliban.
  26. vladimirvn 14 October 2015 13: 39 New
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    "But do not flatter yourself. A certain amount of time will pass, and the" partners "will work out another plan for the" stabilization of Russia. "And they will begin to act. And the actions will be aimed precisely at diverting attention from Syria."
    The most vile and vile steps of the states and their allies are yet to come. And against the backdrop of our "capitalist-democratic transition" economy, these difficulties will be doubly complex.
  27. Rostislav 14 October 2015 13: 43 New
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    Ukraine is bankrupt, but Russia does not feel any better, it is Russia that will have to restore its economy and statehood ..., the West will impose the restoration of Ukraine on Russia

    How to impose? Hollande and Merkel will order, and Putin will rush to execute? If there is anything Russia will do in Ukraine, it is only on the basis of its own interests, as their leadership sees.
    It is desirable, of course, that the interests of the leadership as much as possible coincide with the interests of Russia.
  28. Vlad5307 14 October 2015 13: 59 New
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    "So really, Syria is Syria, but Ukraine should not be discounted."

    Of course it should not, but with the loss of Crimea, as the next base of NATO, NATO did not come to terms. NATO, led by the SGA, to control the air situation over Ukropia took all control under themselves. To this end, the "great Ukrainians" donated (excluding bribes) all of their control towers for modernization and further use. Now the Americans will already control all the airspace on Dill. A further creep into NATO will turn the remnants of a bandera into NATO’s near bases. So with the loss of Crimea, the SGA does not stop trying to inflate the bonfire of the war against Russia, moreover, by the hands of political idiots from Europe. As we see, the Kaklov rulers simply represent the interests of the Yankees, but not of their own people. soldier
  29. vladimirvn 14 October 2015 14: 39 New
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    And here are the Saudi response moves. "On Tuesday, it became known that Saudi Arabia began to fight for the European market with Russian suppliers. Saudi Aramco launched offshore deliveries of its oil to Poland in September, offering buyers lower prices than Russian suppliers of Urals. “Returning to competition, I want to say that we are now observing that Saudi Arabia even entered the Polish market for the first time by supplying raw materials through Gdansk. He is actively dumping, "said Igor Sechin, head of Rosneft, during the Russia Calling! Forum." Fighting for the market is one of the factors affecting the price of oil. This is reflected in budget revenues, "- said the president of the state company" ..... http: //expert.ru/2015/10/14/v-moskve-otreagirovali/
  30. Black 14 October 2015 15: 07 New
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    It can catch fire (and the author is right, it will certainly blaze!) Everywhere, and in Ukraine, they will again start to beat around the cities, and in Transnistria, and in Karabakh, they have recently come across quite an art.
    And what about sweating, you have to wait for the attacks, you need to watch out .... In recent years, we (hopefully not special services) have relaxed pretty much, basements and attics are again without locks. So our life ahead is very eventful.
  31. Filxnumx 14 October 2015 20: 42 New
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    Quote: Bronis
    forgive the moderators .... watch somewhere the latest 1.45.

    They’re also illiterate, a plaque-fly, they have it on television: they called Syria "Syria"! In Ukrainian it is correctly spelled: СIРIЯ. Although what are the rules now in the small homeland? Mess and degradation, it hurts to watch ...
    And we can hit under the breath. You cannot forget about the fifth column of all kinds of liberalists, weeding and plowing
  32. gammipapa 14 October 2015 21: 11 New
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    If you think about it, the direction of the enemy’s main strike will certainly come from Ukraine.
    1-It’s close, 2- Ukrainians are not Arabs, and if they know how to fight, 3 are near Europe and she, frightened by blackmail by the Americans, will act on the side of Ukraine.
    But not everything is so simple.
    1- Close can play the opposite effect, close inexhaustible rear. 2 - From our side, volunteers will simply dofiga, not counting the regular army. 3- not everyone already in Ukraine wants the Bandera regime, the resistance will be in the rear and not small.

    Remember that our enemy is a chess player and he will download data a hundred times to a super computer. And the computer will issue a verdict - the best direction for the main blow is just Syria.
    1- it is very difficult to replenish the ammunition and the supply of equipment 2 - While the group is small. 3- Almost complete hostile environment. 4- A vital threat to Saudi Arabia and Qatar with almost unlimited monetary resources. 5- China will not interfere in the affairs of Syria.
  33. AKKUL 14 October 2015 23: 49 New
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    "Well, I don’t understand where the igil came from in Afghanistan?" . First, the Taliban was renamed Alkaida, and then the same militants, with the same funding and former CIA curators, as the igil-bone.
  34. Patriot 771 16 October 2015 09: 43 New
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    With dill, we still have more than one hundred years to get muddled, or to evict 404 somewhere somewhere ... away. Well, because it’s unrealistic - the aggressor of chess parties will be immeasurable to us. The main thing is not to forget what we are going to and with whom.