Will Turkey become the new leader of the Islamic world?

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Will Turkey become the new leader of the Islamic world?


An endless series of protracted Arab revolutions, which were initially called “springs” and now survived the summer and entered the autumn, lead to serious changes in the world order. If several years ago the world was unequivocally divided into NATO and non-NATO, “its” and “alien”, then today such a clear border sometimes becomes not only difficult, but also impossible. American foreign policy aimed at planting “democratic” principles acceptable to the United States today, these principles are no longer averse to understanding the hierarchical system of relations in the Taliban movement or the Islamic Brotherhood Muslim Brotherhood. And, really, why should you stand on ceremony, if you can get access to the enormous oil reserves in Libya, Iraq, the way of drug trafficking in Afghanistan with the hands of your former sworn enemies? It is no secret that the export of drugs from the same Afghanistan after the start of NATO operations there has grown significantly. American troops, fighting against an abstract adversary, do not at all accomplish the task of “fraternal” assistance to the people of Afghanistan, and do not even defend the interests of the United States — they simply create a path for capital inflows to Western billionaires who are very good at this war.

It can be noted that the value system of the modern world has nothing to do even with the fact that it was only 20-30 years ago. Today, speaking about upholding the interests of a particular state, we must look back at the economic component of the process. World leaders will not "dirty" white pens, if in the place where their attention is directed, there is no oil or gas.

That is why the Arab coups that take place under the slogan “Give democracy!”, In fact, reflect the interests of certain groups of people who have already found with their eagle eye deposits of expensive minerals. Today, passions are tearing apart Libya, and so far no one really knows who will be able to control all of its innumerable deposits of "black gold." Against this background, Tunisia and Egypt look somewhat orphaned, where the revolutions have already ended, and questions about the bright future of the people do not end. Americans and other adherents of democracy somehow sluggishly react to everything that happens in these countries. It is understandable - neither oil nor gas in such quantities as in the same Libya is there. And if not, then, they say, why continue to continue the "democratic" attempts.

In this regard, the emerging vacuum in both Egypt and Tunisia is not averse to filling the radical Islamists as well. The main thing that the West looks at it through his fingers. One can imagine what the Egyptian resorts will become after the banner of Shari'ah develops over them. For obvious reasons, in a bikini, showing all its charms, and with a bottle of whiskey in hand, in Hurghada and Sharm al-Sheikh, you are no longer clearing up. Are the Egyptians themselves ready for such a turn of events? Most, unfortunately - yes! To understand why, you need to consider the life of an ordinary Egyptian during the reign of Hosni Mubarak. Egypt, with its huge tourism sector, received enormous revenues from the fact that millions of tourists visited it annually. At the same time, the average citizen had an income that was barely enough to feed his own family. Then tell me, what for this average Egyptian will change if the Islamists come to power? In financial terms, probably nothing. And besides, he will cease to see how drunken American, German and, of course, Russian tourists pass from the beach to the hotel. Here, Egyptian nationalism with an Islamic touch will leap from this man.

And the new Islamists are not afraid of ordinary Egyptians, but those who are interested in developing the tourism business are owners of hotels, yacht clubs, diving centers and other Egyptian tycoons. They have something to lose. Well, NATO doesn’t have much to do with them - they say our people will rest in Miami or on the Cote d'Azur. Just…

Having caught the tendency of a temporary “lack of land” of other Arab states who boiled over by revolutions and other Arab states, the Prime Minister of Turkey, Mr. Erdogan, decided that this moment can and should be used until someone made it forward. Against the background of manifestations of radicalism in Egypt, Tunisia and Palestine, Erdogan decided to call on the Muslim countries of the region to mutually beneficial cooperation. More precisely, the Turkish Prime Minister read his state for the role of the new leader of the Muslim world. Before the “Arab Spring”, Egypt was considered to be such a leader. Recep Erdogan has already managed to make a number of meetings with representatives of the listed states and to offer them a new formula of cooperation, in which Turkey will take a managerial position. In other words, Turkey wants to create an alternative to the military Alliance on the territory of the Muslim states of the Middle East and North Africa.

Such efforts by Turkey are taking place against the backdrop of growing confrontation with Israel. Once friendly countries finally ruined mutual partnerships after the famous "Flotillas peace ”, heading from Turkey to the Gaza Strip blocked by Israel. Then, nine Turkish citizens died at the hands of Israeli special forces, and the cabinet did not express a shadow of regret over what happened. Turkey began to boil, expelled the ambassador of Israel, her example was followed in several other Islamic countries. The situation is even more tense due to the fact that Turkey literally puts pressure on the UN with the goal of recognizing the Palestinian Authority as an independent state.

In this situation, perhaps the hardest of all is the United States. Secretary of State Mrs. Clinton, commenting on the conflict between Israel and Turkey, looks rather confused and hardly selects diplomatic terms, of which it is completely incomprehensible on whose side she personally and the United States as a whole. This is not surprising, because the United States for all obligations must support Turkey, because it is a member of NATO. And what about Israel, which is the only state among the parties to the conflict that has nuclear weapons. Moreover, Israel has always been considered the stronghold of the United States in the region. It turns out that the United States can not support anyone in this confrontation. In this regard, the Americans are somehow ingratiating that they do not seem at all, asking the UN to postpone the decision on the question of the independence of Palestine.

In fact, Turkey makes it clear to the whole world that now in the Middle East even nuclear powers will have to reckon with it. If the same Egypt and Tunisia accept the proposal of Erdogan, then the further course of Islamization under the Turkish flag will become obvious. But whether Erdogan will be able to control radical Islamist movements is a big question.
14 comments
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  1. +1
    16 September 2011 09: 10
    Americans and other adepts of democracy are somehow sluggishly reacting to everything that happens in these countries. It is understandable - there is no oil or gas in such quantities as in Libya itself. And if not, then, they say, why continue to continue the "democratic" attempts.

    What is democracy? This is when you can bomb the country in the Stone Age and there’s nothing for you, because you hide behind high ideals about human rights, and you can behave there like the Spanish conquistadors in both America ...
    The renewed Ottoman Empire, in theory, will have to regain a significant part of the lands referred to in the geographical atlases of the late XNUMXth century as the "European outskirts of the Middle East", which belonged to the Turks before the Berlin Congress. We are talking about the territory of the Republic of Macedonia, Albania, Serbia (without Vojvodina), Kosovo and Metohija, as well as Bosnia and Herzegovina. At the same time, Vojvodina, expanding its autonomy and breaking away from Serbia, will have to merge into Great Hungary, and in Bosnia, on the contrary, the autonomy of the Republika Srpska should, in theory, be eliminated.
  2. jamert
    +1
    16 September 2011 09: 49
    Judging by the map, Muslims do not live in Russia at all.
  3. +2
    16 September 2011 09: 55
    WILL BECOME !!! AND MUCH REASON ABOUT THIS !!!
    1. +3
      16 September 2011 10: 04
      Yeah, it will ... "Moscow" from the pier can shell the Bosphorus and the north of Turkey.
      1. +3
        16 September 2011 11: 10
        "Empress Maria" was strangled on the pier, I'm talking about betrayal, but in general the story develops in a spiral, it looks like the Ottomans are raising their heads again
      2. +1
        16 September 2011 11: 21
        We are already in conflict on the side of Israel! ?? belay
  4. 0
    16 September 2011 10: 49
    Zhirinovsky even two or three years ago said that we need to be friends with Turkey, these are our neighbors, they have a strong economy and army. Probably Volfich knows better about Turkey than other politicians (except for jokes).
    1. +1
      16 September 2011 11: 12
      Volfovich, although to the public a clown and six EdRa, but he is also an orientalist, a scout, correctly you noticed, understands
    2. Mesniy
      0
      17 September 2011 00: 52
      Turkey is a normal country in all respects and comfortable for living and recreation, I visit it with pleasure. You can’t worsen relations with it.
  5. -1
    16 September 2011 12: 52
    It so happened that the guys had to live a little in Turkey so that I got the impression of the country, not by the sea views from the hotel room, but by its inner world, I can definitely say a very strong nation with long cultural and military traditions, a very strong spirit say, so to speak of the old Otoman era, young guys are happy to serve, the people have great respect for the armed forces of their native country and full support, unlike the Arabs of the same Egypt, to me the Turks seem to be a more hardworking and intelligent nation (no offense), Turkey is a country and is able to solve many of the issues they have themselves created for desyatilitiya magnificent light, the electronics industry, you probably know that in addition to prefabricated production, Turkey has its own Vestel brand izvetsny, polyuzuyuschiysya popular in Europe ... let's say for example ...
    In the end, the vacuum of power will be filled by the strongest state in the region ..
    1. 0
      16 September 2011 14: 30
      And also a bunch of brothels with Russians and Ukrainians ... so that after the labors to relax ...
      1. Mesniy
        0
        17 September 2011 00: 53
        Well, why not?
  6. cVM
    cVM
    0
    16 September 2011 13: 49
    Turkey literally puts pressure on the UN to recognize the Palestinian Authority as an independent state.
    wink

    Turkey lost like Israel, nobody from the Arab spring clearly won, didn’t even know that 5-15% of Muslims live in France. Relocating them needs to be more dangerous for Europe every day
  7. Fireman
    0
    16 September 2011 15: 54
    1 frostbite and they are a bit in the position of a Turkish toylet! smile
  8. mitrich
    0
    16 September 2011 19: 31
    Well, finally, the respected authors of the VO website drew attention to such a threat as radical Islamism, in this case in relation to Turkey. And that’s all - Pindos, Chinese ...
    Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, Yemen - the priorities of the foreign policy of these states have not yet been determined, but radicals may come to power with a 50/50 probability. Arab street riots. Turkey turned around with its ass to the EU, to enter into which until recently was the ultimate dream of the Turkish political leadership. The pro-Western Turkish military leaders were removed from their posts. Even at the household level, there is a deterioration in relations in Turkey towards Europeans, to whom they include Russians (by face). Riots in Syria, perhaps next year Algeria will blaze with Morocco. And, with the exception of Syria, pro-Westernized regimes are flying (some users who are not too knowledgeable in politics mistakenly attribute Libya and Yemen to almost pro-Russian, which has long been wrong, these people are mistaken).
    In my opinion, the Saudis are rocking the boat, realizing their long-standing plan for the "Arab Caliphate-2" and pumping huge amounts of money into the discontent of the Arab street. The Saudis have 2 trump cards - Mecca and Medina, the finding of these Muslim shrines in this country can make Saudi Arabia a leader in the Islamic world. The Turks, sensing this, vividly changed their "orientation" from pro-Western to pro-Islamic. In general, Israel now needs to keep its ears on top ...
  9. Insurgent
    0
    16 September 2011 20: 05
    There is also Iran, which is also striving for leadership in the Middle East
    1. mitrich
      0
      16 September 2011 20: 17
      Insurgent,
      there are yes "BUTs" that prevent Iran from becoming a regional leader.
      Firstly, the Iranian population is Persians, partly Azerbaijanis, Kurds, not Arabs;
      Secondly, Iranian society professes the Shiite trend of Islam, while the majority of the population of Arabistan (conditional name) are Sunnis.
      So Iran, although it undoubtedly seriously affects the minds and moods of the Arab street, still by definition will not be able to claim leadership in the Muslim world.
      1. Mesniy
        +2
        17 September 2011 00: 55
        Iran - just, they fly to Turkey, at the airport they drop the burqa and go ahead - hang out!
  10. 0
    17 September 2011 00: 51
    This is a bad scenario for our country, because the Turks have not forgotten who beat them more than once and will certainly blow up the Caucasus with the aim of not only revenge, but also to spoil themselves an extra piece.

    And the confrontation between Turkey and Israel, in fact, looks interesting. I can’t even say who is stronger here. On the one hand, how many times has Israel emerged victorious from such conflicts, but on the other hand, Egypt and Syria are far from Turks, there is no need to even compare. But the United States can only benefit from such a crisis, because both countries will suffer from rivalry, because the Yankees are silent, waiting for someone to kick.