Military Review

Will Russia increase the volume of military cooperation with China?

37



The political crisis in Ukraine can already be called a turning point in stories development of relations between Russia and Western countries. Washington and Brussels categorically refuse to dialogue with Moscow and have declared their readiness to break business ties, as well as to stop cooperation in the defense sphere. In such a situation, Russia has no choice but to make the East, in particular, China, the main goal of its foreign policy: thanks to a dynamically developing economy, the Middle Kingdom will be able to replace many of Russia's western partners. At the same time, the key role will belong to military-technical cooperation, since both in Moscow and in Beijing they understand the threat that the Russian and Chinese peoples may face - or have already encountered.

Russia is changing the vector of foreign policy

Ukraine has become an apple of contention between Russia and the West, and it seems that over the next few decades it will remain one of the most acute problems in relations between Moscow, Washington and Brussels. Already, the United States and the European Union have imposed sanctions against Russia, albeit amusing.

But the Ukrainian crisis can last for years, which means that in relations between Russia and the West there will be many more ups and downs. Events in Ukraine in the media have already dubbed the beginning of the new Cold War, although such judgments seem premature, because the confrontation has not yet reached such a scale when the way back is cut off: Russia is still open for dialogue and ready to discuss any constructive proposals.

Nevertheless, the West obstinately turns up its nose and refuses a peaceful discussion of the Ukrainian problem. The Kremlin understands that if it is not possible to establish diplomatic cooperation with the European Union and the United States in the near future, it will be necessary to use armed forces to deter the aggressor. However, after the conflict with the West, Russia will not remain without partners: the Russian weapon is in high demand in all countries of the world, and many states want to enlist the military and political support of Moscow.

The greatest interest in cooperation with Russian defense enterprises is shown by India and China. Russia sells India modern military equipment, and China helps in the implementation of joint military-technical projects.

The development of Russian-Chinese relations is largely constrained by the conventions that exist in connection with the policies of the West. However, ending the “friendship” with the United States and the European Union will inevitably lead to the lifting of these restrictions. Most likely, Moscow will expand arms exports and increase supplies to India and China, as well as find new markets in those countries where Russian companies used to be not particularly active due to the desire not to conflict with the states of the Western world.

Before the Ukrainian crisis, the approach to building business relations with China was rather complicated. Russian specialists had to take into account many factors, such as foreign policy calculations, the threat of arms competition with Beijing in the markets of third countries, the leakage of Russian defense technologies in the Celestial - Chinese engineers are famous for their love of copying weapons.

They also drew attention to such risks as a sharp deterioration in relations between Russia and China - although this threat is unlikely, it should not be completely ignored. Due to security concerns, China received less access to Russian military technology than India, despite the fact that Delhi has its limitations. This led to a prolonged stagnation in matters of military-technical cooperation.

But now Moscow has become necessary to abandon conventions, since the West has completely discredited itself and began an open confrontation with Russia.

If the crisis in relations with the North Atlantic alliance continues to deepen, Russia will need to ensure the rapid growth of the military potential of the BRICS countries. Despite a well-developed economy, China still remains a backward country militarily and therefore is not objectively able to resist the United States. Of course, while maintaining the current pace of economic development, the defense potential of the Middle Kingdom even without Russian support will increase significantly, but this will take many years.

However, China has no time. He wants to get all-round assistance from Russia right now - and here the interests of Moscow and Beijing coincide.

Washington's Pacific Problems

The PRC wants to arm itself in order to withstand the pressure from the United States and the American puppets - Japan, South Korea, the Philippines and Taiwan, which pose a serious threat to the strategic interests of the Middle Kingdom.

In connection with the coming confrontation in the Pacific, China buys Russian fighters and submarines. Last year, Moscow and Beijing signed a framework agreement on the supply of diesel submarines such as Lada and Su-35 aircraft to the Middle Kingdom. Thanks to the acquired weapons, the PLA will be able to stop any military threats from the states of the Pacific basin.

Despite the fact that the armed forces of China are the most numerous in the world, they have at their disposal obsolete weapons. The PRC is facing a difficult task to modernize military equipment in the shortest possible time, and the Celestial Empire partially copes with this task: over the past few years, intensive work has been done on fifth-generation fighter aircraft, while the fourth-generation aircraft are practically absent. Thus, Chinese engineers are planning to make a big leap in the development of national defense - but they are unlikely to succeed in achieving the objectives set without outside support, including without the help of Russia.

Moscow is also interested in bringing the PLA to a qualitatively new level. Of course, no one will reveal all the secrets of military technology to China, but if the tense relations between Russia and the West worsen, it is possible that Russian specialists and defense enterprises will actively participate in the modernization of China’s armed forces.

In addition to conventional weapons, Russia can transfer nuclear technologies to China, such as reactor circuits for equipping spacecraft. Also, the Celestial Empire can buy nuclear submarines - which is fully consistent with the new military doctrine of China.

Beijing wants to improve the missile attack warning system as well. In conditions when one of the strongest nuclear powers - the United States - becomes your enemy, you should always be on the alert: Washington is not shy about the means, and uses the widest range of military and political methods, ranging from financing terrorism to frank armed blackmail.

At the same time, Russia can count on expanding military-technical cooperation with India. It is important to make sure that regional issues in South Asia are not solved without the participation of New Delhi, otherwise the United States and here will get a "monopoly on violence."

In general, the strategy of Russia on the Eurasian continent is simple: to create centers of power capable of withstanding the influence of the United States. Washington, in turn, is interested in splitting the Eurasian states to such an extent that anti-American alliances are in principle impossible. This strategy is described by Zbigniew Brzezinski, the main ideologue of modern US foreign policy.

But Russia will be able to easily thwart Washington’s plans if it activates military-technical cooperation with Asian countries. Then the United States will face at once with several powers capable of becoming a serious counterbalance to American foreign policy not only in Eurasia, but also in other corners of the globe.

Thus, the worsening of the Ukrainian crisis and the rupture of relations with Russia can cost the West dearly. The modern world is not as simple as it may seem at first glance, and the strengthening of positions in one region will inevitably lead to their weakening in another. The United States must understand that it is impossible to control everyone and everything, and for trying to establish world hegemony will have to pay.
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  1. Esso
    Esso 24 March 2014 09: 00
    +11
    Why do we need Europe and the USA, we have the BRICS countries, there is the Middle East, of course it’s a delicate matter! The Americans will soon fall down, they will not accept papers all over the world, and they will throw Europe away and the European Union will fall apart, it’s not easy to be a creditor for a long time! we want everything will be fine! The terrible Dream of America The Chinese Army, armed with Russian weapons or the Military Union of Russia and China!
    1. Kyrgyz
      Kyrgyz 24 March 2014 09: 11
      +23
      Quote: Esso
      The terrible Dream of America The Chinese Army, armed with Russian weapons or the Military Union of Russia and China!

      China does not and cannot have allies, for China there are Chinese and other monkeys, we need to work with China, have good neighborly relations with each other in difficult times, but we must remember that everything will always be bash, China is no less a predator than the USA and England, ideally, of course, integrating into the processes of Asia, it is impossible to ease the pressure on Europe in order to pull it out of the custody of the United States and England.
      1. feanor
        feanor 24 March 2014 09: 26
        +12
        Quote: Kyrgyz
        China does not and cannot have allies, for China there are Chinese and other monkeys, we need to work with China, have good neighborly relations with each other in difficult times, but we must remember that everything will always be bash, China is no less a predator than the USA and England, ideally, of course, integrating into the processes of Asia, it is impossible to ease the pressure on Europe in order to pull it out of the custody of the United States and England.

        I agree that there is a potential threat from China, but it unites a common enemy, I agree that we should not start scattering technologies, but even without cooperation in this area we will not be able to compete with the West. And yet, the article forgot about the countries of South America, and this, incidentally, is also an important region.
        1. jjj
          jjj 24 March 2014 12: 03
          +5
          The aggressiveness of the Chinese manifested itself for a very short time. This is the period of the Cultural Revolution and the next decade. By mentality, the Chinese people are peace-loving. These are not Japanese or even Vietnamese. And they are not special warriors. An alliance with Russia is beneficial to them in all respects. And in China they clearly understand that it is the alliance with Russia that makes China the most important global player. And we must understand that in China everything can end as if suddenly, as it began. There, two-thirds of the population live in real poverty, without any benefits of civilization.
          1. MBA78
            MBA78 24 March 2014 13: 43
            -1
            better strengthen and build up military cooperation with Central Asia
            1. Kyrgyz
              Kyrgyz 24 March 2014 14: 44
              +2
              Quote: MBA78
              better strengthen and build up military cooperation with Central Asia

              What's better?
              Central Asia prefers the one-goal game, you are to us, and we will think and change your mind laughing there is also a multi-vector
            2. afdjhbn67
              afdjhbn67 25 March 2014 06: 29
              0
              Central Asia is who, I can’t laugh already ..
        2. rasputin17
          rasputin17 24 March 2014 19: 39
          0
          And yet, the article forgot about the countries of South America, and this, incidentally, is also an important region.

          The article is forgotten but not in life !! Argentina has given its consent to the Russian military presence and deployment of military bases on its territory!
      2. serega.fedotov
        serega.fedotov 24 March 2014 14: 30
        +3
        I fully support !!!! But Asia is not only China! Why did everyone forget North Korea? The hardworking people, the warriors are excellent, and unlike the Chinese, they instantly blush!
        1. afdjhbn67
          afdjhbn67 25 March 2014 06: 31
          0
          I agree with you personally, I had business with the North Koreans. I am sure that now Russia will begin to help them and they will answer with sincere friendship.
      3. Mairos
        Mairos 24 March 2014 16: 29
        +1
        + 100500% With the Chinese, you need to keep the ears on the top and in no case do not sell them samples of modern technology. Itself will come out in 10-15 years, God forbid, of course.
      4. Ptah
        Ptah 24 March 2014 22: 01
        +1
        Quote: Kyrgyz
        China predator is no less than the USA and England

        good You need to shove China carefully.
        Like this -
  2. svp67
    svp67 24 March 2014 09: 12
    +2
    Russia will increase the volume of military cooperation with China
    nightmare for the USA
    1. Rus2012
      Rus2012 24 March 2014 10: 44
      +3
      Quote: svp67
      Russia will increase military cooperation with China a nightmare, for the United States

      For the most part, Russia (the USSR) never really reduced cooperation with China to zero ...
      Even when our political relations, what was called were not ice.
      I remember they drove the aircraft of our issue for the hoods. They were given / sold repair kits and components for our equipment, which they produced according to our technical docs: Mig, Tu, Il ...
      Now cooperation is at a new level - everyone sees their space program, which repeats the Soviet one, which is called "without a hitch." Smart people understand that it just doesn't happen ...
      This is only the visible part of the iceberg ...

      We also take a lot from them - electronic components ... even ammunition for certain systems, the release of which we have lost: cartridges, mines ...

      It is also necessary to recall joint military exercises. At the same time, with the advent of Shoigu, they intensified and deepened. Think just like that? Let us recall where he came from and who Sergey Kuzhugetovich is ...
      laughing

      Many of us are afraid and scared of China ... BUT, I can say that nothing is done without carefully considering the calculation in the military sphere.
      What can not be said of the civil sphere. For example, they sent the head of the state company 30 a youngster to them, albeit a coryphaean and smart, but the Chinese simply do not understand such things. In their opinion, people wise by age and relevant experience should come to such positions ...
      1. Anatole Klim
        Anatole Klim 24 March 2014 13: 17
        +1
        Quote: Rus2012
        even ammunition for certain systems, the release of which we have lost: cartridges, mines ...

        I would be grateful if you announce the list of ammunition whose release has been lost and Russia is buying from China.
        Let us recall where he came from and who Sergey Kuzhugetovich is ...

        Shoigu is Tuvinian by nationality, and Tuvans are considered to be a kindred people of the Mongols, but not Chinese.
  3. ikken
    ikken 24 March 2014 09: 18
    +1
    Of all the items listed in the article for cooperation with China, only the SPRN causes the least concern. No matter how good the Chinese partners may be, it makes sense to share and cooperate only in those areas that have a pronounced defense (not offensive!) Orientation.
  4. Standard Oil
    Standard Oil 24 March 2014 09: 58
    +10
    Of course, you probably shouldn't idealize China, but you don't need to demonize either, besides, we have a common enemy. And neither we nor the Chinese will be able to cope with the United States on their own. First, we should solve the problem with the "chosen nation", and then we'll see ...
    1. Rus2012
      Rus2012 24 March 2014 10: 55
      0
      Quote: Standard Oil
      It would be necessary to first solve the problem with the "chosen nation", and then we'll see.


      What do you think can be opposed to such rings?


      * rings of interaction and cooperation, proposed by amers ...
      As noted, neither China nor Russia are visible there.
    2. serega.fedotov
      serega.fedotov 24 March 2014 14: 33
      0
      That put the United States in its place / WHAT IS VERY CORRECT / and then?
  5. andrey682006
    andrey682006 24 March 2014 10: 10
    +2
    If Russia has no options, such solutions are possible.
    But, I want to believe it, only for the most extreme case, because behind such actions is the loss of independence already in relation to China.
  6. Kaetani
    Kaetani 24 March 2014 10: 18
    +5
    If Russia is a strong, well-armed neighbor. Those who are ready to help in a neighborly manner - without suffering from "false intelligentsia" will be respected by China. A balanced and consistent policy is a guarantee of good neighborly relations.
    If the State does not respect itself, then no one will respect it. Crimea made it possible for us to respect ourselves again, our country, the leadership of the country - Putin (I think many envy such a head of state), now we need not to deceive all this. And then China is our ally and comrade.
  7. darksoul
    darksoul 24 March 2014 11: 20
    +2
    Europe and the United States are not the navel of the land, it has long been said that our hut should turn back to them.

    And there, as the GDP said, you are afraid to build nuclear plants, you are afraid to get into gas dependence, then heat the stoves ... although you still have to go to Siberia for firewood laughing
  8. Voenruk
    Voenruk 24 March 2014 11: 43
    0
    It is necessary to proceed from national interests. The Chinese are cunning and should not be mistaken for simpletons. No need to hand over all the secrets. Need to have a dialogue, reasonable. In no case do not transfer technologies in nuclear energy and all kinds of high-tech industries. When dealing with China, you need to pay attention to the entire period of our relationship. There are also hotheads in capturing the Russian Far East in China, and notice how the Chinese are strengthening their border on the Amur. There is also an open question on the border. So there is something to ponder.
    1. Suhow
      Suhow 25 March 2014 02: 45
      0
      And re-equip your Russian army to consolidate unity, but it can turn out like n
      as-Ukraine. An army with mostly old equipment, the new sold out and there is no unity. Here and by-bye ...
  9. Grandfather Victor
    Grandfather Victor 24 March 2014 11: 49
    0
    China will solve its territorial problems, mainly at the expense of Russia. China now produces more for all types of weapons than all NATO countries combined, including the United States, and for many types more than the rest of the world, including the United States and Russia ... The quality of Chinese weapons reaches the level of the best world standards. In another 10-15 years, China will become a world leader not only in the economy, but also in military power. It is necessary to cooperate with China, however, it is necessary to think about defense, including from China.
  10. kodxnumx
    kodxnumx 24 March 2014 12: 02
    0
    after Germany lost the war and stopped working on military aircraft for several decades and inappropriately forgotten, Germany was a leader in aircraft manufacturing. And what we have at the output is the loss of leadership and the inability to create our own domestic military aircraft. With all the advanced technology, you can copy all that whatever, but the technology gap will be a major factor.
  11. Leshka
    Leshka 24 March 2014 12: 03
    0
    it would not be bad to create a military-political bloc with China and India
  12. Egor.nic
    Egor.nic 24 March 2014 12: 37
    0
    And then Ostap suffered .....
    Author, first teach political science. Then understand geopolitics. Learn the Chinese mentality carefully. Check out China's military strategy. Then try the power of the pen.
    The article is far-fetched and gives away with phantasmagoria.
  13. sychovseroga
    sychovseroga 24 March 2014 13: 43
    +1
    I think it's time to create a counterweight to NATO and create your own military alliance
    1. denis02135
      denis02135 25 March 2014 01: 58
      +1
      "The cardinal and the haberdasher are strength ..."
      www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bwoprhba-Jg
      Just do not think that in the case of China, Russia will be a cardinal.
  14. sv68
    sv68 24 March 2014 13: 55
    0
    just don’t feed the Chinese photocopier — don’t sell them anything of the most modern weapons. don’t flirt with them — the Chinese can be us tailor but real friends — NEVER
  15. Good_Taxist
    Good_Taxist 24 March 2014 14: 07
    +4
    Quote: Esso
    or the Military Union of Russia and China!

    Testament of Tsar Alexander III to his son Tsesarevich Nicholas II:
    "... In foreign policy, keep an independent position. Remember, Russia has no friends. They are afraid of our vastness. Avoid wars. In domestic politics, first of all, patronize the church, it has saved Russia more than once in times of trouble. Strengthen your family, because it is the foundation of every state. . "
  16. XLexx
    XLexx 24 March 2014 16: 31
    0
    The PLA is armed with virtually no fourth-generation aircraft.

    In China, the number "4" is the homophone of the verb "die". Superstition laughing
  17. kimyth1
    kimyth1 24 March 2014 18: 46
    0
    The Chinese hitrozhopy !!! get our technology and then wring out our sales markets! Our companies are very slow to recollect an article about the fact that 50% of the planes bought from our defense industry by the Indians are now chained to the ground because of inconsistencies in the price of service !! After the stump is clear, the Indians will then take weapons from others !!
  18. Motors1991
    Motors1991 24 March 2014 19: 05
    0
    Napoleon about China: ,, When this giant wakes up, the world will be horrified, so come on, thankful Chinese people will remember this over time.
  19. rasputin17
    rasputin17 24 March 2014 19: 45
    0
    China is a strategic partner, but one must be friends with him very carefully, since there is also a bookmark in its doctrine of domination of the world! Although not as aggressive as the mattresses, there are methods of their own but still !!!
  20. Basarev
    Basarev 24 March 2014 20: 54
    0
    In any case, China and I are still friends. But when we defeat the Americans, a monstrous time will come. The time when the biological existence of the Russians will depend only on how quickly we rid the world of the last Chinese. In this matter, the delay in death is similar. When in the aftermath China will be in ruins in ruin - then we will simply have to give up all our strength and resources and permanently get rid of the Chinese.
    1. Motors1991
      Motors1991 24 March 2014 21: 09
      -1
      Well, aren't you fools? And where will you lie? Have you found an ally. The West, at least, has no territorial claims against Russia, and China does not have small ones, and you would have to conquer all of America.
      1. stalkerwalker
        stalkerwalker 25 March 2014 03: 23
        +2
        Quote: Motors1991
        We found an ally. The West, at least, has no territorial claims against Russia

        Do not tell my teeth ... laughing The slogan "Drang nach Osten" is relevant to this day. The events in Ukraine are proof of this.
        Quote: Motors1991
        and China has not small

        The Chinese mentality is different from the European as well as medicine. China therefore survived because it did not send its troops outside of China. Damansky with the invasion of Vietnam - annoying exceptions.
        Quote: Motors1991
        and you would win all of America.

        And you would lie under America and spread your legs ...
        1. Motors1991
          Motors1991 25 March 2014 19: 04
          -1
          I bet if the trouble begins, the States and Russia will be allies. The principle is not unstable, to wage war against the most powerful enemy, and the war is coalition. The only exception is the Seven Years War from which Prussia was able to escape from defeat only thanks to the death of Empress Elizabeth, if not for this death in the place of the current Federal Republic of Germany, it was quite possible there was some other formation. And leave your legs apart.
  21. boyar
    boyar 24 March 2014 22: 18
    0
    Quote: Kyrgyz
    Quote: Esso
    The terrible Dream of America The Chinese Army, armed with Russian weapons or the Military Union of Russia and China!

    China does not and cannot have allies, for China there are Chinese and other monkeys, we need to work with China, have good neighborly relations with each other in difficult times, but we must remember that everything will always be bash, China is no less a predator than the USA and England, ideally, of course, integrating into the processes of Asia, it is impossible to ease the pressure on Europe in order to pull it out of the custody of the United States and England.

    Without nuclear weapons, we will crush the United States and England one by one.

    And China cannot in any way be considered an ally.
  22. apollo
    apollo 24 March 2014 22: 49
    0
    << In addition to conventional weapons, Russia can transfer nuclear technologies to China, such as reactor designs for equipping spacecraft.

    You don’t need to do this, otherwise they’ll mock me and will explode over someone else’s head :)
  23. Sledgehammer
    Sledgehammer 24 March 2014 22: 59
    0
    And whoever said that it would be easy, the West resists the strengthening of Russia.
    And while only India and China are still with us. So in principle, and choice
    with whom to cooperate there is no special and this friendship "until ..."
  24. komel
    komel 25 March 2014 00: 24
    0
    Russia will increase the volume of military cooperation with the PRC if there is an understandable position in China. China is well aware of the events in Ukraine. A wait-and-see position was chosen because they are still interested in military contracts with Russia. I think the United States will offer its own or European technology and weapons and friendship against Russia. There is interest for China in the short run, but after the United States will dictate its program to the whole world, including China. No Chinese intervention plays into the hands of the United States. They have a coalition that is already active in capturing a geopolitical field. A bunch in contrast to Russia - China is seen in the Chinese press, and not real support as allies.
    1. komel
      komel 25 March 2014 00: 41
      0
      Concerning the conclusion of an agreement on military cooperation, the supply of S-300 air defense systems to Yugoslavia was not realized primarily due to the dual and cautious position of Belgrade, which looked too much to the West. Slobodan Milosevic relied too much on his special relationship with the West, which, he believed, strengthened after he signed the Dayton Accords on Bosnia and Herzegovina, largely on Western terms.

      When the start of the bombing was launched, negotiations in Rambouillet were disrupted, nothing could be done, since the NATO military machine was launched.