Military Review

Sunni axis versus Shiite arc

12
Sunni axis versus Shiite arc



The actual failure of the international conference on Syria in Montreux and the ensuing negotiations of the delegation of the SAR government and the Syrian opposition once again showed Saudi Arabia’s insistent desire not to reconcile the conflicting parties, but to dismiss the B. Assad regime in any way. At the same time, KSA launched battles at once in three theaters of “combat operations” - in Syria, Iraq, and against Iran. The reasons for this are fairly commonplace - in Riyadh they were really afraid that these three countries with a predominant or significant Shiite population might unite against the bloc of Arabian monarchies led by the Saudi kingdom, which belonged to the GCC regional organization, with Jordan and Turkey that joined it. All this, according to the “strategists” of Riyadh, grouped around the head of the KSA special services, the secretary general of the national security council of the country Prince Bandar, can lead to a shaking of the foundations of conservative Arab monarchies of the Persian Gulf, weakening their role in the region, increasing mood towards democratic changes. Especially against the background of the fact that Iran is confidently following the path of normalizing relations with the United States and the West, while Saudi Arabia is increasingly associated with the radical Islamist movement, which often joins with terrorist organizations fighting in Syria and Iraq.

Only now the Saudis have forgotten that it was they themselves who triggered the processes in the Middle East, which many analysts interpret as the creation of a “Shiite arc” or a “Shiite crescent”. Starting from Egypt and Libya, where KSA, Qatar and several other GCC countries actively supported the Islamist opposition and extremist speeches, which led to a change of moderate regimes, Saudi then decided to take over Syria, but it broke down. In Riyadh, they did not calculate that Damascus would be actively supported by Moscow, Tehran, Baghdad, the Lebanese Hezbollah, as well as by the majority of the Syrian population, which does not want to live by the rules of Wahhabi sharia. Moreover, in Riyadh they still openly climbed into intra-Iraqi affairs, although the legitimate government of the Shiite majority ruled in Baghdad, and began to bully Tehran with calls for the United States and Israel to strike at Iran’s nuclear facilities. As a result, Syria, Iraq and Iran were forced to defend themselves against such brazen intervention, combining military and political resources. At the same time, this is not about creating some kind of formal alliance of these three countries, but rather about coordinating efforts in the face of the aggressive behavior of the Sunni axis formed by Saudi Arabia. It is not a secret that in the conditions of open intervention of the KSA in the armed conflict in the SAR, including the financing of the rebels and the supply of them weapons, Iran was forced to send its soldiers as instructors to the Syrian army, the IRGC officers guard President B. Assad, the Iraqis sent fighters and volunteers of the militia unit Mahdi Army to Shiite leader Mustafa Sadr to Syria, and Hezbollah repeatedly introduced its units into the Syrian territory for helping the Syrians to repel opposition attacks and mercenaries. In addition, Tehran regularly provides military-technical assistance to Damascus, but this fits well with the norms of international law, unlike those of Western and Arab countries that supply weapons to illegal military groups of militants of extremist organizations in the UAR.

Continuing such a short-sighted policy further, Saudi may receive a tougher response in the form of a military alliance of Iran, Iraq, Syria and Hezbollah. Moreover, such a prospect has already caused irritation of the United States, which recently decided to send unmanned aerial vehicles to Iraq to attack terrorist bases of the extremist organization Jabgat al-Nusra, which invaded the western regions of Iraq from Syria. This is a signal to the KSA not to cross certain “red lines”. Apparently, these issues will be on the agenda of the talks of President B. Obama, who has gathered on a trip to this region. Yes, and more moderate forces in Riyadh itself have already responded to a powerful wave of criticism of Saudi policies to support overly radical Islamists. On January 30, King Abdala passed a decree on the punishment of imprisonment up to 30 years of those citizens of the kingdom who were engaged in mercenarism abroad, and the Supreme Mufti KSA condemned radical Salafism.

In Riyadh, they should understand that further games with fire in the outside world can ricochet to return to Saudi, which is already experiencing a difficult period of its existence. King Abdale is already 89 years old and he's sick. The Crown Prince is a little younger, but also sick. And the next generation - the grandchildren of the king - the founder of the Saudi state is also already aged. Many of them are either closer to 70 years, or already for 60. And they are keenly competing with each other. Especially trying Prince Bandar, who has a serious drawback - he was born from a concubine, not his wife. And the Shia population of KSA, concentrated in the Eastern Province, where 85% of the country's oil is produced, is increasingly raising its head, dissatisfied with discrimination based on religion. In the south, in the province of Najran, inhabited by the Shiite Ismaili sect, the mood of discontent is also growing due to the imposition of Wahhabi living standards on them. In Al-Asir, adjacent to Yemen, Yemeni tribes, whose numbers are close to 3 million, are raising their heads. And in Hejaz - the western province of the kingdom - there is noticeable discontent of local businessmen who want equality in doing business with representatives of businessmen from the royal family.

So the region of the Persian Gulf is waiting for interesting and turbulent times. The main thing that will be decided is the fate of Saudi Arabia. Will it be able to remain a single state when the generation of rulers changes or will it fall apart into several parts? After all, the kingdom was created artificially 80 years ago on the fragments of the Ottoman Empire, with the active assistance of the British Empire. And here such powerful players as Iran and Iraq quickly come to the scene.
Author:
Originator:
http://ru.journal-neo.org/2014/02/13/rus-sunnitskaya-os-protiv-shiitskoj-dugi/
12 comments
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  1. Stalker
    Stalker 14 February 2014 15: 39
    +3
    The main thing that will be decided is the fate of Saudi Arabia. Will it be able to remain a single state when the generation of rulers changes, or does it fall apart into several parts?

    You don't have to do to others what you don't want them to do to you ... The Saudis want to destroy other countries, not realizing that a boomerang launched has a bad habit of returning and hitting the not very nimble "launchers" in the hair !!
    1. sinukvl
      sinukvl 14 February 2014 15: 46
      +7
      Still, the United States has split into several states.

      1. The comment was deleted.
      2. Stalker
        Stalker 14 February 2014 15: 54
        0
        Still, the United States has split into several states.


        Vladislav, where is Alaska on the map? request belay
        1. ReifA
          ReifA 14 February 2014 15: 59
          0
          Below, on the left, scarlet.
          1. Petergut
            Petergut 14 February 2014 16: 26
            +1
            Quote: ReifA
            Below, on the left, scarlet.

            With the signature "Will go to Russia".
          2. The comment was deleted.
          3. Stalker
            Stalker 14 February 2014 16: 27
            0
            Below, on the left, scarlet.

            Thank ! And I confused her with Hawaii ... fool
      3. AVV
        AVV 14 February 2014 22: 02
        +1
        Quote: sinukvl
        Still, the United States has split into several states.


        The states will fall apart faster than the countries of the Arab world !!! Look at Afghanistan, the whole Western community fought there under the leadership of the United States and lost the war and flee from there, and they throw or destroy equipment !!! Here they are armed according to the latest art of military science, and all in vain , because the spirit is not fighters, but gays !!!
      4. intsurfer
        intsurfer 15 February 2014 05: 57
        0
        >> Another used US split into several states.
        At school, we were also told a lot about rotting Europe. That's just the USSR for more than 20 years, as it died. And Europe is decaying and decaying ... It is time to stop waiting for others to weaken and begin to become strong in every way. But for this, the country's patriots should be in power, and not like a certain governor, who was dismissed and he dumped in his villa in France.
    2. Vovka levka
      Vovka levka 14 February 2014 18: 07
      +2
      Quote: Stalker

      You don't have to do to others what you don't want them to do to you ... The Saudis want to destroy other countries, not realizing that a boomerang launched has a bad habit of returning and hitting the not very nimble "launchers" in the hair !!

      If someone thinks he understands the East, then he is at least naive.
      1. The comment was deleted.
      2. Stalker
        Stalker 14 February 2014 19: 41
        0
        If someone thinks he understands the East, then he is at least naive.

        If the east begins to understand other countries and what they are building, the Chinese moon rovers will cease to fail ...
    3. Civil
      Civil 14 February 2014 23: 00
      0
      as always ... death to heretics
  2. Mails
    Mails 14 February 2014 15: 55
    +2
    VIDEO interesting with summing up the work of Ambassador McFaul.
    In the search engine: "Who drove the US ambassador from Russia."

    or
    http://video.sibnet.ru/video1378675-R_S_R__R_S_R_R_R_R_R__R_R_S_R_R__R_RER__ReR_
    _R_R_S_S_ReRe /

    for example
  3. Duke
    Duke 14 February 2014 16: 10
    +2
    The main Islamic world against radicalism.
    1. DAGESTAN333
      DAGESTAN333 15 February 2014 00: 33
      0
      Normal Arabs are already fed up with pseudo-Islamic Saudi power.
  4. Lk17619
    Lk17619 14 February 2014 16: 49
    +3
    The king will die soon in Saudi Arabia, now they will dance ... And they will have in one bottle both Syria, Iraq, and Libya .. Both the local Maidan and the USA will lose a part of the oil. I can’t wait to see it. God grant that all of them would justly get it.
  5. Double major
    Double major 14 February 2014 18: 53
    +6
    Well, you have to understand - Sunnis and Salafists (their branch is Wahhabis) are not the same thing ... It's about how to call the adherents of the sect of the god Kuzi Orthodox ... Sunnis and Shiites are quite tolerant to each other, and to Christians how to the followers of Issa bin Mariam, who in recent times will defeat the forces of evil (the Qur'an says this), and the Wahhabis, takfirists, and other branches of Sallafism consider all who are not enemies as enemies ... Details are among Muslims, which Wahhabis are not. ..
    1. Refugee from Kazakhstan
      Refugee from Kazakhstan 14 February 2014 19: 15
      -1
      Quote: Twice Major
      Well, you have to understand - Sunnis and Salafists (their branch is Wahhabis) are not the same thing ... It's about how to call the adherents of the sect of the god Kuzi Orthodox ... Sunnis and Shiites are quite tolerant to each other, and to Christians how to the followers of Issa bin Mariam, who in recent times will defeat the forces of evil (the Qur'an says this), and the Wahhabis, takfirists, and other branches of Sallafism consider all who are not enemies as enemies ... Details are among Muslims, which Wahhabis are not. ..

      Major you are Robinson Crusoe!
      1. Refugee from Kazakhstan
        Refugee from Kazakhstan 14 February 2014 20: 19
        -1
        Maxim Leonidovich, in the sense that you are the only one who knows and understands this!
        1. alone
          alone 14 February 2014 23: 28
          +2
          Quote: RK refugee
          Maxim Leonidovich, in the sense that you are the only one who knows and understands this!


          Maxim Leonidovich is not the only one who knows about it. I, as a Muslim, understand enough who is who. Only here it’s pointless to write about it. There are three categories of people in the forum.
          1) People who know who is who.
          2) People for whom all Muslims are bandits and terrorists
          3) People who only know that there are pork skins with which terrorists need to be wrapped))

          I don’t even want to write about relations in Islam. Because everyone interprets everything in his own way and stubbornly stands on his own opinion.
    2. kenig1
      kenig1 15 February 2014 05: 12
      0
      Where have you read this? The Sunnis consider the Shiites a sect, give them a reason to cut each other. In Syria, Iraq, they tolerated each other only because of strong power.
  6. Tatarus
    Tatarus 14 February 2014 19: 24
    0
    Military comrades, I ask you ... I don’t demand, to launch a missile-bomb strike at the coordinates that you set based on the information in the title photo. What do you mean does not work? Fix in record time.
    1. nnz226
      nnz226 14 February 2014 23: 31
      +1
      So far, no part of the Strategic Missile Forces has received an order to reduce staff by 10% ... As it comes, it is proposed to reduce Texas, Nevada, Louisiana, New Jersey and Maryland ...
  7. Salamander
    Salamander 14 February 2014 22: 34
    +1
    Oh, hopping purses on legs, oh, hopping ...
  8. Hitrovan07
    Hitrovan07 14 February 2014 23: 41
    +1
    There is an etching of peoples on a variety of grounds - race, religion, territory. And after all, there has been a conversation about humanism recently and a hundred years have not passed smile