Military Review

"Winding" Turkey

31
February 1 Magazine "Frontpage Mag" Daniel Greenfield's article was published on the topic of some misunderstandings between Russia and Turkey. The author reports that the support of Hamas by Erdogan, Mursi and the al-Qaeda militants in Syria did not seem to upset the administration of B. H. Obama, but made the Russians worry. And the Kremlin has cause for concern: after all, the Chechen community in Turkey supports separatists and Islamic terrorists in the Russian Caucasus.


"Winding" Turkey


The tensions between Moscow and Ankara, and at the same time Erdogan’s crisis of power, originated back in 2011, the journalist believes. The conflict of interests is also related to the "money laundering", namely, the income from the trade in Afghan opium and illegal operations with gold carried out by Russian Chechens together with their Turkish "colleagues". The threads led to the sons of the Turkish Minister and 34 to other suspects who were arrested on December 17 of the year 2013. In Turkey, protests began against the Erdogan government.

The journalist notes that the scandal, in fact, turned around between the corners of the Turkey-Syria-Iran triangle: Erdogan’s winding policy is such that he cooperates with Iran bypassing Western sanctions, but opposes Iran supporting Bashar Al-Assad in Syria. Such a policy was in doubt when in Russia and Iran they learned something about Ankara’s dirty work, the journalist writes.

A certain Zerrab, arrested last week during a police investigation, allegedly distributed 137.000.000 Turkish liras (66 million dollars) in bribes to three ministers and their sons. The bribe takers were supposed to cover up false export transactions and money laundering (these transactions were reportedly largely related to Iran). Someone Ş.D. complained about the activities of Mr. Zerrab where to follow.

The Russian Federal Customs Service became interested in a suitcase with cash in December 2011: millions of dollars belonged to a private person who was returning to Russia from Turkey. The investigation revealed that there is money laundering involving Russian and Turkish citizens.

14 December 2011. Russian law enforcement officers found a total of 18,5 million in a suitcase at Vnukovo Airport. Four suspects detained in Russia were involved in money laundering and transportation. In total, they made 37 trips. In total, these individuals transported between Russia and Turkey 40 million and 10 million euros.

The Russian authorities notified Turkey of illegal activities. As for Ş.D., he, as the journalist specifies, notified Turkey of illegal activities a year after the Russian investigation.

According to the journalist, Russian officials would have let everything off, especially since we are talking about large-scale transactions. In such cases, anyone who launders that much money has already paid the appropriate bribes. This would be as true in Turkey as in Russia, the author believes.

However, after Erdogan’s attack on Syria, the Russians may have decided that the game of alienating Turkey from NATO should not be played anymore.

As for Iran, we’ll add on our own, today, when sanctions are lifted from it, Ankara shows a growing interest in negotiations with Tehran - at the same time not forgetting its regional influence: Erdogan does not agree to the second roles.

Recently R.T. Erdogan visited Iran on a top-level visit. The main problem of effective and fruitful cooperation between Iran and Turkey is the Syrian issue. The second significant problem is Turkey’s membership in NATO (some NATO-based Patriots in Turkey are worth something) and in general Turkey’s membership in the EU. For Iran, the NATO countries are an almost unequivocal enemy. Nevertheless, Ankara wants to buy Iranian oil (and previously bought it despite Western sanctions, which was not approved in Washington) and Iranian gas and in general become almost a full-fledged economic partner of Tehran. Turkey’s policy is indeed “tortuous”.

And the next "gyrus" - a recent strike by Turkey on the positions of Islamist militants in Syria.

On January 29, Turkish troops crossed the Syrian border yesterday and fired on positions of the Islamic State of Iraq and Sham (ISIS) group. Turkish infantry supported by tanks and artillery attacked jihadists after they opened fire on Turkish border guards. This was written by Sergey Manukov ("Expert Online"), referring to the Turkish media, having sources in the Ministry of Defense of Turkey, and the British newspaper «Times».

Took part in the attack and aviation, that is, we can talk about conducting a major combined-arms operation.

An ISIS member named Abu Light via Twitter announced that jihadists, under the orders of their leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, will not conduct retaliation operations in Turkey. Probably, ISIS does not want to once again annoy Ankara and hopes that it was a single operation, and not the beginning of the war of Turkey against the radical opposition.

Ankara’s attitude towards the radical opposition, and especially towards ISIS, notes Sergey Manukov, has begun to change since the end of last year. Two weeks ago, Foreign Minister Ahmet Davitoglu accused ISIS of secretly flirting with Damascus. 20 January The Turkish authorities have warned that ISIS is planning a series of terrorist attacks in Turkey, the targets of which should be activists of the moderate Syrian opposition. Erdogan could not like either the terrorist attacks on the territory of Turkey or the “secret flirting with Damascus”. So the military operation using aviation is quite understandable.

But besides this, tanks and airplanes, we note, is a good move that can be used in improving relations with Iran.

A “tortuous” attitude to the Syrian conflict recently outlined Ahmet Davutoglu. He said that the Assad regime can be called a "lesser evil" compared with the methods of the actions of radical groups in Syria. According to him, the radicals must leave the country.

Accordingly, a powerful blow to the ISIS is a transition from words to action.

Yes, and Erdogan no longer hear unpleasant words addressed to Bashar Assad.

Turkish rulers finally realized that al-Qaida is waging war against all who are not for al-Qaida, and that further support of all those who are fighting against Assad is fraught with not just problems, but big problems. The goal of national security came to the fore, pushing all others. After all, where there is no national security, projects on regional leadership are dying. And Turkey has such projects.

Senior Researcher, Institute of Slavic Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences, Ph.D. historical Sci. Pyotr Iskenderov in an article on the resource "Fund of Strategic Culture" notes that Turkey, based on the doctrine of neo-Ottomanism, seeks to play a more significant role in Eurasia, which implies the development of Ankara’s relations not only with the Balkan and Middle Eastern countries, but also with the Central Asian states. As US Assistant Secretary of State Robert Blake once remarked, “Central Asia lies at a critical strategic crossroad connecting Afghanistan, China, Russia and Iran ...”

According to the observer, the Turkish leadership is trying to create the widest "window of opportunity". Ahmet Davutoglu derived the formula: “Neo-Osmanism + Pan-Turkism + Islam = Great Turkey”. The neo-Ottoman model is oriented towards the Middle East and the Balkans, the Pan-Turkic one is oriented towards Central Asia, and the Islamic one is oriented towards the whole Muslim world.

Here you have a "winding" policy, add from yourself.

Ahmet Davutoglu, the columnist notes, insists that Turkey should become the “central country” of the new Eurasian order. The West does not like this geopolitical activity of Turkey. “Freedom House” describes what is happening in Turkey as a soft version of the “surge of new authoritarianism,” and “The American Interest” generally claims that Erdogan “is trying to establish the regime of the sultanate in the country, with the support of a conservative majority.”

Peter Iskenderov believes that in the near future, Turkey’s presence in the central European markets may be strengthened, including through cooperation with the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. Despite the opposing views on the Syrian issue, Turkey in 2012, with the support of Russia, received the status of a "partner in dialogue" of the SCO.

At the same time speaking against Assad, Erdogan moves closer to Russia and China and is nervous about the EU, NATO and the United States. Your allies! Very much "winding" ...

In addition, Turkey strengthens and expands economic cooperation with Kazakhstan (Turkish investments in the economy of this republic amount to 2 billion dollars, and if in 2005, Turkey accounted for 1,2% of Kazakhstan's foreign trade, then in subsequent years the volumes grew by more than 10 % in year).

Next - Kyrgyzstan. At least one third of the goods entering Kyrgyzstan through imports are of Turkish origin.

The Tajik direction is less developed, the expert notes.

According to P. Iskenderov, today it is quite possible to predict the further strengthening of Turkey’s positions in the Central Asian region. The deadlock in Ankara and Brussels relations also contributes to this.

To this we must add that, despite the friction between Russia and Turkey due to the Syrian conflict, Ankara is doing everything so that the economy does not suffer from politics.

After all, today Gazprom is the largest supplier of gas to Turkey (16% of European Russian gas exports go to this country). Deliveries of natural gas from Russia today cover 56% of Turkey’s needs. In November 2013, Recep Tayyip Erdogan held talks with Vladimir Putin, after which he said that by 2020, Russia and Turkey intend to bring bilateral trade to 100 billion. Putin, in turn, said that the share of Russian gas in the fuel balance Turkey is 60% and that in the 2014, the construction of another South Stream energy route through Turkey’s exclusive economic zone will begin. Putin also recalled that Rosatom is building the Akkuyu nuclear power plant.

By the way, in his speech, Erdogan touched the international situation in the world. Iraq flashed, Syria flashed, and Erdogan said that there are "common steps that we must take ..."

Well, obviously, Erdogan and Davutoglu have already begun to “take” steps. These two are experienced managers, and they understand that economics is primary, not politics. And the scenarios of "neo-Ottomanism" or "Pan-Turkism" are good where the economy is good. And nothing else. But the impending failure of the opposition in Syria, I suppose, Erdogan will suffer hard.

Observed and commented on Oleg Chuvakin
- especially for topwar.ru
31 comment
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  1. makarov
    makarov 10 February 2014 08: 26
    +1
    Erdogan probably adopted the eastern option - a step back, and then two steps forward.
    1. Apollo
      Apollo 10 February 2014 08: 38
      0
      quote-In Turkey, protests began against the government of Erdogan.

      Erdogan’s government must resign unconditionally and, moreover, must be held accountable. Erdogan’s list of crimes is more than weighty.

      He will answer especially for this. am
      1. alone
        alone 10 February 2014 19: 57
        +2
        Quote: Apollon
        He will answer especially for this.


        Yeah answer lol There was nothing on Twitter to write nonsense that I could not prove by facts. And still remember Apollo how the Turkish embassy was expelled from Baku in 1995? But no one answered the Turks for that wink Do you think the person of a journalist is significant in relations between countries? One more, one less.
    2. Civil
      Civil 10 February 2014 09: 55
      0
      Eastern tricks, and they themselves think that this is normal and require respect for such a policy)
    3. AVV
      AVV 10 February 2014 14: 56
      +1
      Quote: makarov
      Erdogan probably adopted the eastern option - a step back, and then two steps forward.

      The Turkish gambit continues !!! And Ukraine needs to be turned to Turkey, as an example of double standards of Europe !!! Turkey is not an established member, if I may say so of the European Union !!! And it will not be this member for a very long time, if at all !!! And Ukraine will be cussed even longer, the main thing is to tear it from Russia, that is, bring it to the point of no return, and then to hell with this state, they tear it off, and for the Anglo-Saxons with Europe this is the most important thing, and then Ukraine is not needed, it is needed as a buyer goods and no more !!! Look at the Baltic states, Romanians, Bulgarians, Chekhov, Poles and Hungarians with many others and you will be clear everything !!!
      1. Geisenberg
        Geisenberg 10 February 2014 15: 41
        +2
        Quote: AVV
        Turkey is not an established member, if I may say so of the European Union !!! And it will not be this member for a very long time, if at all !!!


        The EU will soon become a member of Turkey.
        1. Shur
          Shur 10 February 2014 21: 19
          0
          A candidate candidate for the role of "member" .. laughing
    4. Geisenberg
      Geisenberg 10 February 2014 15: 39
      0
      According to the journalist, Russian officials would have let everything off, especially since we are talking about large-scale transactions. In such cases, anyone who launders that much money has already paid the appropriate bribes. This would be as true in Turkey as in Russia, the author believes.


      Oleg, this is a very obvious propaganda. What is true for Turkey is not a fact, which is true for the Russian Federation. We have completely different cultural traditions, including corruption does not work exactly like the Turks. The Turks have a certain citizen Ş.D. can calmly go to the ministers and give them for maintenance, in our country this citizen got on the hook at the very first jump, and then under the microscope to the bloody gebe. We do not have to pay Iran through third-country banks for oil. I would not retell the stupid things said with one single purpose - to draw the answer to the decision.
    5. siberalt
      siberalt 10 February 2014 19: 39
      +2
      Yes, what is the eastern option. It is always dangerous to turn your back on a Turkish friend. They remained neutral until August 1944. At the same time, they traded well with us and Germany with strategic raw materials and equipment. Being our neighbors, they did not want to rewrite the peace and friendship treaty, according to which they were obliged to give back the territories of the Soviet republics of Georgia and Armenia that were illegally seized in the XNUMXs. Then, in order to avoid international pressure, they quickly hid under the wing of NATO. The fact that they are not accepted even in the EU suggests that they cannot be trusted or rely on them because of the inherent insidiousness. The history of our relationship also teaches this.
    6. The comment was deleted.
  2. FC SKIF
    FC SKIF 10 February 2014 08: 49
    +3
    zero problems with neighbors ... This is the biggest zero that I have seen. Infinity looks more like a symbol. Turkey has already got everyone. look at the map, all their neighbors have a difficult relationship with anchor. A helping hand, if anything, no one will extend to them.
    1. Clegg
      Clegg 10 February 2014 09: 36
      -8
      Quote: FC Skif
      Turkey already got everyone. look at the map, all their neighbors have a difficult relationship with anchor.

      the same with Moscow
      1. Shur
        Shur 10 February 2014 21: 24
        0
        Why did you get so sick?
    2. ziqzaq
      ziqzaq 10 February 2014 09: 48
      +1
      Quote: FC Skif
      zero problems with neighbors ... This is the biggest zero that I have seen. Infinity looks more like a symbol. Turkey has already got everyone. look at the map, all their neighbors have a difficult relationship with anchor. A helping hand, if anything, no one will extend to them.

      Yeah, don’t dig another hole - you’ll fall into it yourself ....
    3. CONVERSE
      CONVERSE 10 February 2014 19: 14
      0
      No one in Europe loves Turks, neither Arabs nor Americans, only NATO supports them, against Russia. There are large armies and always have, but never were real soldiers, they are cowardly by birth. 65% of people cannot read and write in Turkey
      1. atillaxnumx
        atillaxnumx 13 February 2014 22: 46
        +1
        On the contrary, the Turks are very good at fighting. The fact that the government is "tortuous" does not mean that the Turks are cowardly. And your statistics are unreliable on the account of education ((
    4. Shur
      Shur 10 February 2014 21: 23
      0
      So VI Lenin never realized that they are the eternal hemorrhoids of the region and there was no need to pull them out .. These are the ancient occupiers, where are those whom they "annexed"? This is their danger.
  3. fennekRUS
    fennekRUS 10 February 2014 09: 09
    +2
    a kind of ottoman yanukovych ... on all the chairs at once
  4. rassel0889
    rassel0889 10 February 2014 09: 31
    0
    I suspect that Turkey with such a policy will soon find itself in the position of Egypt Ukraine or Syria ...
    1. CONVERSE
      CONVERSE 10 February 2014 19: 02
      0
      Erdogan must be overthrown ... he is schizophrenic!
      1. atillaxnumx
        atillaxnumx 13 February 2014 22: 50
        0
        Why did he annoy you so much. He leads the country, and you pour mud on him in the forums ... and who is the life-asshole?
  5. Azaat
    Azaat 10 February 2014 10: 12
    +3
    Erdogan is not only east-wily cunning, he is also east-wise cruel. Therefore, I do not think that a second Syria will happen in Turkey, especially since there will be no second Ukraine.
    1. Shur
      Shur 10 February 2014 21: 26
      0
      Quote: Azaat
      Erdogan is not only east-wily cunning, he is also east-wise cruel.

      In Russian, it is insidious and hypocritical ..
  6. parus2nik
    parus2nik 10 February 2014 10: 54
    0
    The winding paths of Turkey will not lead to good, and Turkey itself ...
    1. Shur
      Shur 10 February 2014 21: 27
      0
      Here as "the tail wags the dog" laughing
  7. polkovnik manuch
    polkovnik manuch 10 February 2014 12: 08
    0
    The Ottomans began to straighten something over their shoulders quickly, and the voice erupted, it was worth taking a closer look at the children, it was painful to open their eyes on the Caucasus, was it time to pour sand in them?
    1. Black
      Black 10 February 2014 13: 06
      +3
      Quote: polkovnik manuch
      Isn’t it time to pour sand in them?

      No time. And do not at all.
      The Turks received a watermelon from Europe (in response, they significantly spoil the gene pool of Europe !!). And they swung strongly towards Russia, why should they pour sand in their eyes ???
      Erdogan windingly leads the country to success and prosperity. The scale of construction and improvement of the country is astounding; in that we have to send our officials there to send experience.
    2. smersh70
      smersh70 10 February 2014 13: 34
      -2
      Quote: polkovnik manuch
      Isn’t it time to pour sand in them?

      your suggestions
      By the way, you can take the machine into your hands, al how .......
    3. atillaxnumx
      atillaxnumx 13 February 2014 23: 04
      0
      In my opinion, Russia does not need another neighbor "enemy" in the face of Turkey. On the contrary, you need to get closer. Turkey has a lot to learn.
  8. Burmistr
    Burmistr 10 February 2014 13: 25
    0
    The strangeness of falling into the extremes of the Turks can be explained by the fact that the Turks understood that the United States is living out the last months and the day is not far off when they remain face to face with their embittered neighbors. Then Erdogan will not be saved by paper from the State Department, which by that time will lose all value, nor by its own armed forces.
    1. Zymran
      Zymran 10 February 2014 13: 51
      0
      And who will attack Turkey?
      1. Shur
        Shur 10 February 2014 21: 30
        0
        His name is "insanity" .. he is already invisibly attacking them ..
    2. siberalt
      siberalt 10 February 2014 19: 42
      +1
      If NATO falls apart, Armenia will be able to return its Ararat. Something like this.
    3. The comment was deleted.
  9. Lelek
    Lelek 10 February 2014 17: 33
    +3
    Erdogan and Yanukovych are twin brothers. We say Erdogan, we mean Yanukovych, and in the reverse order. Both are two-faced, greedy and without firm principles. wassat
  10. CONVERSE
    CONVERSE 10 February 2014 18: 56
    +1
    Turkey should not be trusted, it supports terrorism and the war in Syria, they are hypocrites ... Turkey purulent wounds of Europe!
    1. Shur
      Shur 10 February 2014 21: 31
      0
      For rent they will be in Europe, but it will be called "Western Caliphate".
  11. scientist
    scientist 11 February 2014 01: 14
    0
    The EU needs "fresh meat" to survive. Turkey is not admitted to the EU, because it does not want to be this meat. But for that Turkey wants to join the Customs Union. There are already enough enemies, but not enough allies. I would like Putin to take a closer look at Nazarbayev's proposal on the possibility of Turkey joining the CU. You look and in Ukraine everything would settle down faster. And the existing instability is just the consequences of trying to sit on two chairs, the United States does not forgive anyone for this. In the 2s, they would have stupidly bombed everything. But as long as there are American bases there, there will be cash flows financing the opposition that Americans need. Erdogan has already understood and corrected his mistake in cooperation with Chechen drug addiction, his erroneous position on Syria. The trend is good, in a couple of months he will understand about the American bases. A politician who is able to see and correct his mistakes is worthy of respect.
  12. alexsey7777
    alexsey7777 11 February 2014 02: 24
    +1
    Quote: scientist
    The EU needs "fresh meat" to survive. Turkey is not admitted to the EU, because it does not want to be this meat. But for that Turkey wants to join the Customs Union. There are already enough enemies, but not enough allies. I would like Putin to take a closer look at Nazarbayev's proposal on the possibility of Turkey joining the CU. You look and in Ukraine everything would settle down faster. And the existing instability is just the consequences of trying to sit on two chairs, the United States does not forgive anyone for this. In the 2s, they would have stupidly bombed everything. But as long as there are American bases there, there will be cash flows financing the opposition that Americans need. Erdogan has already understood and corrected his mistake in cooperation with Chechen drug addiction, his erroneous position on Syria. The trend is good, in a couple of months he will understand about the American bases. A politician who is able to see and correct his mistakes is worthy of respect.


    Understand that, but the Americans are unlikely to want to curtail their base on Turkish territory ... Surely this will result in a conflict.
  13. The comment was deleted.