Military Review

Military challenges are growing

45
At the end of another year, ahead of the next, 2014-th. It is time to sum up and make predictions on the development of various processes in the military-political sphere both for the near and for a longer term. This is the task that Russian President Vladimir Putin set when, meeting in the 19 Kremlin in November of this year, with the highest command of the power ministries and departments of the country, he said: “We must fully understand the nature and prospects of the military-political processes that are unfolding in the modern world , clearly understand what potential threats may affect the situation around our country ... "


There is no need to emphasize that long-term forecasts in this area should help develop the most important state decisions on the prospective development of the domestic defense industry and the Armed Forces to reliably ensure the security of the country and its citizens, as well as Russia's allies. The basis for this forecast is significant historical the period of development of nuclear missile and anti-missile weapons, the long-term plans of the leading Western countries led by the United States to improve them, political statements at the highest and highest military and political levels that determine the possibility of real use of military force on a regional and global scale for many years.

Their assessment and analysis suggest that in the long-term, competition in the international arena of the Russian Federation and the North Atlantic alliance will remain. It will be conducted with varying degrees of intensity, and the Transatlantic Alliance will remain the initiator. NATO will continue to pursue an offensive line aimed at ensuring domination on a global scale, expanding its membership at the expense of accepting new members, including countries bordering on Russia, will exert permanent military pressure on it, in particular by placing various forces and means at its borders. forward based. The strategic permanent objectives of the United States and NATO will remain the weakening of the military and economic power of the Russian Federation, as well as the prevention of the strengthening of the CIS in socio-economic and military terms.

The leading role in the military alliance of Western states will continue to be played by the United States, which, both within the framework of the transatlantic bloc and individually, will also strive to build up military power. In particular, over the course of two or three decades, a full renewal of the American strategic nuclear triad (ICBM, SLBM and TB) will occur. Washington will not abandon the fundamental revision of its nuclear facilities in the form of the doctrine of offensive nuclear deterrence by deterrence, will not revise its key position on the possibility of using nuclear weapons strategic and tactical assignment in the first preventive strike against a group of individual states belonging to potential adversaries. American strategic offensive weapons will leave in their nuclear arsenal a significant return potential as an active reserve in the form of “operatively undeployed strategic offensive weapons”, which relative to “promptly deployed warheads” will reach 25 – 50 percent (this summer it was 65 percent).

The United States will continue its combat patrols with its SSBNs and strategic submarines converted to conventional weapons (SSGNs), including the installation of cruise missiles and other high-precision and high-speed long-range systems on the sea waters adjacent to the territory of the Russian Federation. Washington will not negotiate with Moscow on limiting the SSBN, PLA and SSGN patrol activities near the shores of the Russian Federation and the United States on the basis of reciprocity.

The United States will in every way resist the removal of its TNW from Europe, which will be permanently subjected to modernization and renewal. Prospective nuclear bomb bombs such as tactical B-61-12 will continue to be delivered by B-2 strategic bombers and their new version, which will appear after the B-52H is removed from service. Under the control of the Pentagon in the territory of four European countries and the Asian part of Turkey will remain up to 10 – 13 centralized storage bases for tactical nuclear weapons.

Subsequent US administrations will not go to create a nuclear-free world completely free of nuclear weapons and their means of delivery, and will set aside the realization of this purely propaganda idea voiced by President Barack Obama. Washington will in every possible way shy away from even determining roughly the time frame for reaching the “global nuclear zero” and the stages of the elimination of nuclear weapons, as was done by the Soviet Union as early as 1986 year.

The United States will propose to the Russian Federation various initiatives in the area of ​​reducing nuclear missile weapons on a selective basis, that is, apart from other arms control areas that have a significant impact on global strategic stability. Such proposals should be taken with great caution if they bypass the solution of the problem of missile defense, tactical nuclear weapons and conventional armed forces in Europe, ignore the issue of preventing the placement of weapons in outer space. Nor can it be allowed that the compromises reached at the arms reduction talks would be of greater benefit to the United States and NATO than to the Russian Federation.

Particular attention will be paid to the further development and improvement of strike-missile anti-missile systems, which mainly (up to 95 percent) “will go to the World Ocean”, that is, will be placed on board the cruisers and destroyers of URO. If by the 2041, ships with the Aegis IUIS make 27 percent of the US Navy’s shipboard, then by 2099, their number can be increased to 50-60 percent. The United States will continue to work to improve the accuracy, range and speed of interceptor missiles, the total number of which by 2020 will exceed the number of deployed START carriers established by the START-3 Treaty (700 units), and on the warheads - by 2040 year or even earlier. This will lead to the undermining and worsening of the global strategic situation due to the imbalance between strategic offensive and strategic defensive weapons (missile defense systems).

Subsequent US administrations, regardless of their party orientation, will stubbornly refuse to sign a multilateral ABM Treaty that would impose agreed upon quantitative and qualitative restrictions (for example, speed limits), as well as spatial restrictions on the deployment of missile defense strike systems outside the continental territory of leading missile defense systems. nuclear and anti-missile states of the world.

Avoiding negotiations to prevent the deployment of any type of weapons in outer space, in particular, anti-satellite, and also maintaining the unchanged doctrine of military domination in this environment, which from the point of view of international law is practically unprotected from hostile activities in it (except for the deployment of weapons of mass destruction), Washington is likely , will create space-percussion space weapons of the space-to-space class and space-to-surface.

It should be expected that in the near future the United States will make a breakthrough in the creation of hypersonic weapons, and in the future to increase its production in order to ensure its absolute advantage. It is also possible to predict with confidence the appearance of weapons in the US Army that will be based on other physical principles and will further strengthen the superiority of the United States in the military field. Should success be achieved in the development and testing of such weapons, Washington may well weaken its reliance on nuclear missile forces. But to what extent this will be done, it is not currently possible to predict and name any exact percentages. Obviously, everything will depend on the degree of effectiveness of replacing the nuclear-missile forces with high-precision and high-speed weapons created on the basis of new physical principles, as well as in ordinary equipment.

The Pentagon and the leading NATO member states will pay much attention to the development of cyber weapons and the further computerization of combat operations, the production of automatic and robotic firing systems.

A promising direction of equipping their armed forces will be the creation of unmanned aerial vehicles of large payloads with the deployment of offensive strike and anti-missile weapons of various firepower on them.

There will be no fundamental change in the American basic strategy: the US general-purpose armed forces will remain in Western and Eastern Europe, the APR, in the Middle East, the entire period under consideration. As the ice melts in the Arctic, the penetration of the US Navy with nuclear missile, anti-missile and precision weapons in conventional equipment into this strategically important region will increase.

In the evolving conditions, the Russian Federation must constantly work on improving its own types of weapons, develop their new, most efficient and promising models, produce them exclusively on their own territory, paying particular attention to the development of their own strategic offensive arms and tactical nuclear forces, ABM and EKO forces and equipment. also high-precision and high-speed types of weapons of increased range. It is necessary to promote in every way the development of the ground, air and sea, and if the United States launches space weapons and the space component of the national missile defense system into space. Several naval groups of the Russian Navy of the oceanic zone of action with launching pits for the vertical launch of interceptor missiles (up to several dozen per ship) must be formed. In the interests of more efficiently ensuring the defense capability of our state and controlling regional conflict situations, the Russian Navy needs to have up to three or four full-fledged aircraft carriers and up to four large amphibious helicopter-carrying ships with a large displacement.

In order to qualitatively and timely improve the strategic analysis and forecasting for the long term (30, 50 and more years), we could create a fundamentally new permanent three-link mechanism.

The first. All power ministries and departments of the Russian Federation should have units of strategic analytics and forecasting within the existing personnel, whose task is to inform the country's leadership on medium-term and long-term forecasts of the development of the global and regional military-political situation, as well as on the situation in their professional interest in accordance with the profile of functional activities.

The second. The next link could be a compact (up to 10 – 15 people) interdepartmental working group of strategic analytics and forecasts in the military-political field under the auspices of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation.

Third. The highest echelon would seem to be a small in size single Center for Strategic Analytics and Forecasts in the Field of National Security under the Administration of the President of the Russian Federation. This center would consist of highly professional 10 analysts who would report to the presidential adviser on strategic analytics and forecasts.

The three structures indicated could be formed without attracting additional budget allocations, that is, within the existing staffing table. It appears that the above-mentioned bodies, namely the interdepartmental group and the Center for Strategic Analytics and Forecasts, would prepare applied analytical reports twice a year for the leadership of the concerned ministries and departments, as well as for the military-political leadership of the country. It is also possible that they will prepare specialized reports on specific areas - depending on the development of the military-political situation in the world during certain extraordinary periods.

The implementation of these proposals would make it possible to optimally determine the priorities of military construction and the use of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, formulate long-term tasks to strengthen its defense capability, promptly develop promising types of weapons, build the most rational relations with other states with large military capabilities, and also lead to them rational negotiation process in the field of arms control based on the principles of equality and equal Safety first.
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  1. AVV
    AVV 11 December 2013 15: 27
    12
    Western countries led by the United States will always consider Russia, as the USSR used to be, their main geopolitical adversary, therefore it’s not worth it to deceive ourselves !!! It is only necessary to restore its military power only in a short time, and the West only adequately responds to it !!!
    1. MIKHAN
      MIKHAN 11 December 2013 18: 47
      20
      Rearmament of the Army of the Fleet, the increase in the capacity of the Russian military-industrial complex will not be at the rates that are necessary at the present time and in the future .. as long as the main directions of development of the military-industrial complex are sitting redheads and serdyuk .. SMERSH needs to be created! Spies, traitors and saboteurs have been divorced ... (now it seems that it is not customary to use such terms ..) but they qualify everything very accurately .. Otherwise, on June 22, exactly at four o'clock, Kiev was bombed, they announced that a WAR had begun ..! And again, "Get up, a huge country .. get into mortal combat .." I am not exaggerating men .. At any time it can happen again.
      1. mountain
        mountain 11 December 2013 19: 38
        +2
        I completely agree, to undermine three well and do not set priorities, to bribe, to demoralize, in a word, to supply. We cannot cope with rearmament and quantity, there are very many of them and they are all serious.
    2. Rusich51
      Rusich51 11 December 2013 18: 53
      +4
      The strategic permanent goals of the United States and NATO will remain to weaken the military and economic power of the Russian Federation, as well as to prevent the strengthening of the CIS in socio-economic and military terms.

      So about that and the conversation that you can’t sit on the stump and hope that it resolves itself. Like a stool on the rack.

      everything will depend on the degree of effectiveness of replacing nuclear missile forces with high-precision and high-speed weapons, created on new physical principles,

      Unclear - new physical principles? Someone can explain. It seems to be what physics was and is.
      1. Sandov
        Sandov 12 December 2013 20: 31
        0
        Quote: Rusich51
        So about that and the conversation that you can’t sit on the stump and hope that it resolves itself. Like a stool on the rack.

        Perastichesky West continues its dirty business. No perestroika, as the Cold War was going on.
    3. Gardamir
      Gardamir 11 December 2013 19: 33
      11
      Our military power is not only about tanks and aircraft. But also industry and agriculture. And in early December, the mechanical plant in Zlatoust was closed, and a day later the car plant in Miass, producing the famous "Urals"
    4. timer
      timer 11 December 2013 20: 53
      +7
      Firstly, the article is interesting. I will not comment on it, because it is necessary to put it in detail on the shelves, and analyze.
      Secondly, we all need to understand one thing - IN THE COUNTRY TO IMPROVE ORDER, DISCIPLINE, CARRY OUT A DEFINITIONAL MODERNIZATION (INCLUDING THE DEFENSE INDUSTRY) IT IS NECESSARY TO DESTROY THE "FIFTH COLUMN" (liberals, crap) and thugs !!
    5. Grandson of Veteran
      Grandson of Veteran 11 December 2013 21: 29
      +1
      "Western countries led by the United States will always consider Russia, like the USSR once did, as their main geopolitical adversary."
      When they say so openly, I will again begin to respect the likely (read-obvious) adversary. In the meantime, "we are partners, we are friends." In addition to profanity and other non-printing, they do not cause any emotions in me. "I'm going to you" is worthy of respect. Sneak kick-I hate! hi
      1. not good
        not good 11 December 2013 23: 06
        0
        Russia never managed to win in the open, all the defeats inflicted on our country are vile, from the back. Neither tsarist Russia nor the USSR stood against the fifth column, and now we are ruled by the nominees of this fifth column, which SMERSH, the guys won’t be for themselves dig?
    6. sad33
      sad33 11 December 2013 23: 23
      0
      The West has been responding adequately for 23 years! The flow of dollars to Russia is not weakening! And from here the resources ... We need not to build up the power of the army, but to tackle the internal problems and thieves above., Block the pipe and then the factories will earn themselves - where will it go!
  2. coserg 2012
    coserg 2012 11 December 2013 16: 23
    +8
    It has always been that way. The better life will be set up with us, the more hyenas and jackals will appear around to make something profit. yes
    1. novobranets
      novobranets 11 December 2013 18: 39
      +4
      Quote: coserg 2012
      Always it was.

      And if not always, then it will be for a long time. NATO and the USSR, and subsequently Russia, regarded each other as rivals for world domination. As long as there are two powerful powers, between them there will be graters for control over the regions and countries in which these powers see economic or other benefits for themselves.
  3. andrei332809
    andrei332809 11 December 2013 18: 31
    +3
    enemies around. you need to buy a machine somewhere.
    1. RUSS
      RUSS 11 December 2013 18: 33
      0
      True, another horror story that the enemies are around.
    2. ziqzaq
      ziqzaq 11 December 2013 19: 12
      14
      Quote: andrei332809
      enemies around. you need to buy a machine somewhere.

      Opticians are learning English
      Pessimists chinese,
      and realists - Kalashnikov assault rifle .....
      1. MIKHAN
        MIKHAN 11 December 2013 19: 24
        +5
        Quote: ziqzaq
        Opticians are learning English
        Pessimists chinese,
        and realists - Kalashnikov assault rifle .....

        laughing Great aphorism!)))
      2. SOKOL777
        SOKOL777 11 December 2013 22: 11
        +6
        Quote: ziqzaq
        enemies around. you need to buy a machine somewhere.


        Anecdote in the topic:
        "Man, why are you watering the flowerbed? After all, the flowers will disappear ..."
        -Fuck with them, the main thing is that the machine gun does not rust ... laughing bully tongue
  4. saag
    saag 11 December 2013 18: 36
    17
    Quote: andrei332809
    you need to buy a machine somewhere

    What for? At the right time, they will give it to you for free :-)
    1. andrei332809
      andrei332809 11 December 2013 18: 48
      +9
      Quote: saag
      At the right time, they will give it to you for free :-)

      I doubt it. in the military registration and enlistment offices bureaucrats have dug in (although in uniform, they are still bureaucrats), and their warehouse will be closed, then as in the famous film, "everything has already been stolen, before us" tongue
    2. Encoder
      Encoder 12 December 2013 08: 26
      0
      But up to this point it will still be necessary to survive.
  5. Igor39
    Igor39 11 December 2013 18: 39
    +2
    Russia pumps muscles, and here China is growing in power, the Yankees take on a lot.
    1. novobranets
      novobranets 11 December 2013 18: 47
      +2
      Quote: Igor39
      the Yankees take on a lot.

      Of course, they are arrogant and cynical, but so far they pose a serious threat, their teeth have not yet fallen out. And therefore, they can’t be thrown with caps, unfortunately, and they won’t be able to drive a pea jacket.
  6. SRC P-15
    SRC P-15 11 December 2013 18: 41
    +6
    It’s better to overstay than not. With our territory and natural resources, we will always be in the west like a bone in the throat.
    1. novobranets
      novobranets 11 December 2013 18: 51
      +3
      And not only in the West. From all sides, greedy paws reach out for anything that can be grabbed, bought for a pittance, or stolen. Unfortunately, we have a lot of "patriots" who help them in this.
      1. Gardamir
        Gardamir 11 December 2013 19: 37
        +6
        The legs stretch from the sides, this is a "carrot" with him. But the fact that from our side, legs, to someone to sell the Motherland, this is worse.
  7. Dimy4
    Dimy4 11 December 2013 18: 47
    11
    And you guys are ironic in vain. All the described threats have a place to be, as they say. And I would not yet very much expect that America (the West) will devour itself. He needs to actively help him, as they are to us.
    1. novobranets
      novobranets 11 December 2013 18: 54
      +7
      Quote: Dimy4
      He needs to actively help him.

      Tilt Serduchkov and implement in the State Department? laughing
      1. Dimy4
        Dimy4 11 December 2013 19: 22
        +3
        Now, if Chubais were sent to them, then everything in America could be put an end to.
        1. Encoder
          Encoder 12 December 2013 08: 30
          0
          So he is so theirs. But he will not work against his own.
    2. Yura
      Yura 11 December 2013 22: 59
      0
      Quote: Dimy4
      And I would not yet very much expect that America (the West) will devour itself. He needs to actively help in this.

      Moreover, from the soul and selflessly demanding nothing in return, and carefully asking, it does not require anything else to stimulate appetite. smile
  8. Bort radist
    Bort radist 11 December 2013 19: 07
    +2
    Half an hour ago, at the "Russia 24" Rogozin promised that 9 May on Red Square we will see Armata, Kurganets and other new, not modernized, equipment!
    1. Starover_Z
      Starover_Z 11 December 2013 19: 30
      +2
      Who is against it? But how much can you look at the exhibition items?
      MO does not have the money to buy weapons in the required quantity,
      The military-industrial complex does not have the ability to fulfill the state order in a quality manner and on time ...
      Yes, what am I describing here - on this site all this has already been said and described, and here also:
      Several ship groupings of the Russian Navy of the oceanic zone with the launch mines of the vertical launch of interceptor missiles (up to several dozen per ship) should be formed. In the interests of more effectively ensuring the defense capability of our state and controlling regional conflict situations, the Russian Navy needs to have up to three to four full-fledged aircraft carriers and up to four large landing helicopter carrier ships with a large displacement.
      - "plans"! SF is not plans!
    2. Tersky
      Tersky 11 December 2013 20: 28
      +6
      Quote: Bort Radist
      Half an hour ago, at the "Russia 24" Rogozin promised that on May 9 on Red Square we will see Armata, Kurganets and other new, not modernized equipment!

      I forgot to indicate only a year ....
      1. Onyx
        Onyx 11 December 2013 23: 55
        0
        Quote: Tersky
        I forgot to indicate only a year ....

        he said about 2015
  9. vasiliysxx
    vasiliysxx 11 December 2013 19: 08
    +6
    the Americans will build it, it will create it, and we will only create it for defense. It is time to be the first to go into space as before, only with a nuclear club. We have already reached the banderlogs.
  10. voliador
    voliador 11 December 2013 19: 14
    +3
    Several ship groupings of the Russian Navy of the oceanic zone with the launch mines of the vertical launch of interceptor missiles (up to several dozen per ship) should be formed.

    Firstly, as far as I know, the topic of marine interceptor missiles was not developed even at the R&D level.
    Secondly, we are barely building corvettes, and here we are talking about the ships of the ocean zone, and besides, there is no existing project, that is, it still needs to be designed.
    1. Rusich51
      Rusich51 11 December 2013 19: 35
      +2
      Quote: voliador
      Firstly, as far as I know, the topic of marine interceptor missiles was not developed even at the R&D level.
      Secondly, we are barely building corvettes, and here we are talking about the ships of the ocean zone, and besides, there is no existing project, that is, it still needs to be designed.


      Eyes are afraid, but hands are doing. After the Second World War they managed to get up and now have to do it. If only the stools did not interfere.
      1. AVV
        AVV 11 December 2013 21: 27
        +1
        Taburetkin is enemy No. 1, after the State Department, of course, but they did the collapse of the defense together, but independently !!! And Taburetkin succeeded more, now she’s the mystery of the century !!!
    2. vadson
      vadson 11 December 2013 20: 12
      0
      Quote: voliador
      Several ship groupings of the Russian Navy of the oceanic zone with the launch mines of the vertical launch of interceptor missiles (up to several dozen per ship) should be formed.

      Firstly, as far as I know, the topic of marine interceptor missiles was not developed even at the R&D level.
      Secondly, we are barely building corvettes, and here we are talking about the ships of the ocean zone, and besides, there is no existing project, that is, it still needs to be designed.

      well, with the corvettes you got excited, the frigates are being built far from being flimsy, the Indians order them in packs, there are problems with the destroyers ...
    3. Onyx
      Onyx 11 December 2013 23: 57
      0
      Quote: voliador
      Firstly, as far as I know, the topic of marine interceptor missiles was not developed even at the R&D level.

      You do not know about the S-500 system?
  11. Rus2012
    Rus2012 11 December 2013 19: 25
    +1
    The Russian Navy needs to have up to three or four full-fledged aircraft carriers and up to four large landing helicopter carrier ships with a large displacement.

    It is necessary to act asymmetrically - ballistic anti-ship missiles on SSBNs, PGRK - for maneuver, partly silos - for reliability. In order to be guaranteed to "nail" the AUGs and leave their eagle-carriers without cover on dangerous directions in the area of ​​the main routes of our ICBMs (flying mainly through the north pole).
    To create (together with China) an extensive triangle of dynamic stability with the points of Cuba-South America (Brazil) - the north-west of Africa - with constant patrolling of the Air Force, Navy (you can AUGi).
    A similar triangle: Vladik-Vietnam-India. China will help with the base of the Navy in Pakistan ...
    And the third triangle: China-Pakistan-East Africa. Let China "rule", we can only help.
    For all this to work, we need the cosmic component of global navigation (Glonas), communications, reconnaissance and target designation (Liana).
  12. 10kAzAk01
    10kAzAk01 11 December 2013 19: 51
    +1
    It is necessary to act asymmetrically - ballistic anti-ship missiles on SSBNs, PGRK - for maneuver, partly silos - for reliability. In order to be guaranteed to "nail" the AUGs and leave their eagle-carriers without cover on dangerous directions in the area of ​​the main routes of our ICBMs (flying mainly through the north pole).
    To create (together with China) an extensive triangle of dynamic stability with the points of Cuba-South America (Brazil) - the north-west of Africa - with constant patrolling of the Air Force, Navy (you can AUGi).
    A similar triangle: Vladik-Vietnam-India. China will help with the base of the Navy in Pakistan ...
    And the third triangle: China-Pakistan-East Africa. Let China "rule", we can only help.
    For all this to work, we need the cosmic component of global navigation (Glonas), communications, reconnaissance and target designation (Liana).

    My friend, well, you swung !!! laughing
    1. Rus2012
      Rus2012 11 December 2013 20: 40
      0
      Quote: 10kAzAk01
      My friend, well, you swung !!!

      Well tyk, what request is such an answer! And preferably not symmetrical, which we can not pull ... laughing
  13. Ivanovich47
    Ivanovich47 11 December 2013 20: 11
    0
    Quote: "In order to qualitatively and timely improve strategic analysis and forecasting for the long term (30, 50 and more years), it would be possible to create a fundamentally new permanent three-link mechanism."

    СThe existing strategic intelligence systems, analytical centers that are part of the Foreign Intelligence Service, the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation deal with the main issues: conducting strategic intelligence, analyzing the information received, predicting the development of crisis situations and preparing comprehensive reports to the country's leadership. Why create another "three-link mechanism"? Why involve the administrative apparatus of the President of the Russian Federation in solving specific issues? The meaning of the article is not clear. Again it is proposed to inflate the bureaucratic apparatus. Not that way we go comrades.
  14. AlNikolaich
    AlNikolaich 11 December 2013 20: 12
    0
    If, by 2041, ships with the Aegis BIUS will comprise 27 percent of the ship structure of the US Navy, then by 2099 their number may be increased to 50-60 percent. The United States will continue to improve the accuracy of destruction, range and speed of interceptor missiles, the total number of which by 2020 will exceed the number of deployed strategic offensive arms established by the START-3 Treaty (700 units), and by warheads by 2040 a year or even earlier.
    Promising tactical-designed B-61-12 type nuclear bombs will continue to be delivered by the B-2 strategic bombers and their new version, which will appear after the B-52Н is decommissioned.
    It is expected that in the near future the United States will make a breakthrough in the creation of hypersonic weapons, and in the future to increase its production in order to ensure its absolute advantage. We can also confidently predict the appearance of weapons in the arsenal of the American army, which will be based on other physical principles and will further strengthen the superiority of the United States in the military field ...

    Sci-fi puzzled-horror! Aegis in 2099? To go nuts! it will be such a junk, horror!
    Promising nuclear bombs ... B-2 Bomber (dead project); new replacement option B-52 ??? Where is it from? where will they get the money? The Americans also have no plans to create a replacement, no capacities, facilities, and the necessary engineering school! (They all profiled, like us!) But we still have personnel, and they? Or will there be a Jumbo jet (B-747) as a bomber? Hypersound New physical principles? Where ???
    Or will aliens give them all this? Article minus for nonsense!
  15. darksoul
    darksoul 11 December 2013 20: 15
    +2
    Zhostkaya pisulka ..... Doctrine of the United States painted until 2099 laughing By this time, I think the horns and legs will remain from the American economy, and China will be the world hegemon
    1. Andrey57
      Andrey57 11 December 2013 21: 09
      0
      Not at all, if "horns and legs" remain from the mattress economy, then China will sink along with them - these two Siamese twins, more than 40% of what China produces is sold in mattresses, and China will not survive such a recession - there is no solvent inside the country demand for products intended for export. The author's article proceeds from the fact that the mattress state will be stable for half a century, and this is not at all a fact, it is good if they crawl even in 2025, but most likely they do not have this time either. hi
  16. Leshka
    Leshka 11 December 2013 20: 18
    +1
    very good article I hope that ours will do just that
    1. alone
      alone 11 December 2013 22: 39
      0
      Quote: Leshka
      very good article I hope that ours will do just that


      laughing Eh, if everything was done as it was written, we would have nothing to discuss here at all. Not everything written is being implemented. Fact.
  17. lotar
    lotar 11 December 2013 20: 22
    +1
    An interesting article and the alleged threats really have a place to be. But as if it didn’t happen again, our internal pro-Western forces did not already undermine what is and is only planned. And with the support of such as: Serdyukov and his team, Chubais and his team, various gay lesbian public organizations and others like them, as well as some other forces responsible for their work front, can very well organize this. In one of the comments the idea was expressed that SMERSH should be created again, in my opinion what we already have will be able to will celebrate camping with impending ugrozami.Prosto no need to disturb them in this, often these operations are classified as top secret and any splyvshaya information can prevent such offices operate.
  18. tomich
    tomich 11 December 2013 20: 29
    +1
    the article lobbies the interests of Russian military enterprises, however, American companies also promote their products, in general, the point is how much do not give money for defense, but still not enough
  19. studentmati
    studentmati 11 December 2013 20: 40
    +4
    Military challenges are growing

    The most serious challenge is the demography of Russia!

    It is paramount necessary to solve the demographic problem, otherwise Russia is doomed ...
  20. 11111mail.ru
    11111mail.ru 11 December 2013 20: 45
    +2
    During the Crimean War, Leo Tolstoy composed a poem that immediately became a soldier’s song “Like the fourth day ...”.
    The original was: "It was written cleanly in paper, but they forgot about the ravines, how to walk on them."
    We remember: from Khrushchev to 1980 - Communism, from Gorbachev to 2000, each family has a separate apartment.
    Russia's military doctrines flicker in a kaleidoscope, the army has undergone complete reform, even an effective manager has steered for 5 years and already a year has passed since sacredly keeps military secrets HOW MUCH STORED.
    I am afraid, brothers of these reforms. No wonder the Chinese had the worst wish: what would you live in an era of change.
  21. kare
    kare 11 December 2013 20: 58
    +2
    Who's in the subject? How did Lozinsky's "spiral" end up in the development of amerekos? About a month ago, it was shown on central TV. What, they say, are they, on the basis of this space fighter, which our officials mowed down from fags, or from officials, make a space taxi. And they did not even hide the irony about this. Who knows which one leaked it to the west?
  22. understudy
    understudy 11 December 2013 21: 11
    +1
    This center would consist of 10 highly professional analysts who report to the president’s adviser on strategic analytics and forecasts..
    __________________________
    From my own experience ... When I was President, Medvedev came into my rather serious structure of regional significance of "discord", which sounded something like this: In order to study public opinion, to attract the most trained specialists to work as part of the analytical group at the FAPSI ... submit the lists in the following form.
    Uh-huh. The original list of really knowledgeable and INDEPENDENT in judgments of the pros was completely redrawn by the supreme boss. Candidates "went" those who earnestly clicked their heels and zealously puffed their eyes in the direction of their superiors. Although the idea itself ended in a puff, but ...

    I don't want to initially suspect the worst of everything, but the question is very important - Who will select the analysts and by what parameters? Will we not get a meeting of "famous military specialists" like Korotchenko? It is sad to watch the ranting of the parquet sharks who know about the problems of the sun from the materials published in the yellow press.
  23. VADEL
    VADEL 11 December 2013 21: 13
    +2
    Quote: Dimy4
    All the described threats have a place to be, as they say. And I would not yet very much expect that America (the West) will devour itself. He needs to actively help him, as they are to us.

    G. Khazanov has long proposed this.
  24. moremansf
    moremansf 11 December 2013 22: 31
    0
    "REMEMBER THE WAR" Admiral Stepan Osipovich Makarov.
  25. egsp
    egsp 11 December 2013 22: 38
    +1
    to paraphrase Louis the 14th, in our country "the state is corruption." Corruption has become a system of government, it is everywhere, in all spheres of our life. Almost all citizens have one thing in their minds - how to "earn more dough" in any way and not sit down. It has become a religion imposed on us from the outside. While these concepts rule, we will not see a powerful economy, army, health, educated children.
  26. Stiletto
    Stiletto 11 December 2013 22: 43
    +1
    Despite the fact that the forum liked the author's article very much, in my opinion, he is very apocalyptic. The first part of the article generally looks like "Russ, delivered!"
    Well, at least you want to do something with me, I don’t believe in America’s hellish superiority in the next millennium, and in general I seriously doubt the very existence of America in the long-term foreseeable future. This state arose just a little two hundred years ago, and in two hundred years the maximum will die (if its foreign policy has not played a cruel joke with it before). A country that has arisen on the remains of the indigenous population destroyed by it, professing faith in its money and its exclusivity, and consisting of the dregs of European civilization (also, incidentally, a very small group of states that have made a fortune in their development, cannot have a long and happy history) robbery of the colonies) Not a single gangster regime in history has existed for a long time. Yes, they grew rapidly, like soap bubbles, and burst just as loudly and quickly.
  27. Sterlya
    Sterlya 11 December 2013 23: 01
    +2
    No matter how. analysts work well in the usa.
    in our country, as they wrote above, this case is in its infancy. events 08.08.08.
    This is a complete failure, I believe. not to know what is preparing at hand.
    The analyst must own all the information on the country he is leading. "Breathe" this country. only then will there be a result.
    I believe that a group of analysts should work for each country in the world. the number of which will depend on the significance and development trends of a given country. Something interesting happens always and everywhere. and the country's leadership should be aware of everything that is happening. and even more so, have options for developing the situation on hand. ways to solve certain problems.
    take for example Syria. It is completely clear by what scenario the events in this country began to develop. according to the scheme of the same American analysts, the opposition was first created and then the standard scheme. with the same standard information war, etc. and the question. What has Russia done since Syria is a friendly country? with a good analysis of what was happening, it would be possible to mitigate the consequences if not at all. no not possible. and who said that Americans are the smartest people? rational yes.
    I am still concerned about the issue of continuity of power in Russia. Who will guarantee that in Russia the president will never be an analogue of Gorb or EBN?
    This is Putin's main task. there is no other person who could solve this "paramount" question, as Lenin would say. Yes, in general, the darkness is dark. everything must be solved and can be solved
  28. Onil
    Onil 11 December 2013 23: 59
    +1
    The author is just a dreamer! What aircraft carriers, UDC, destroyer-interceptors? We can’t hand over the fleet a new submarine fleet (bay in 1997) Project 677! We just can’t finish building a new frigate pr.22350 (bay in 2006)! Problems with the air defense of new corvettes, etc. 20382! While we can only stamp GRACHAT (140T.)! Liberasts brought the military-industrial complex to the handle and no injections help! What should I do? I do not know.
    1. Onyx
      Onyx 12 December 2013 00: 07
      +1
      Quote: Onil
      Liberasts brought the MIC to the pen and no injections help! What should I do? I do not know.

      Yes, do not be upset. we’ll squeeze the liberals sooner or later and we will have both submarine carriers and space cruisers
    2. Troy
      Troy 12 December 2013 06: 38
      0
      And it's simple: shoot, hang, put on the count. The US has the death penalty, but that does not stop them from bringing democracy to the world.
  29. kair_kz
    kair_kz 12 December 2013 00: 25
    +1
    Quote: Gardamir
    Our military power is not only tanks and planes
    I would also add our valiant patriotic officers, who are sprinkled with dirt, but nevertheless faithfully serving the fatherland
  30. Sorry
    Sorry 12 December 2013 05: 35
    0
    Nothing new. Russia is destined to have a circle of enemies. We need a strong union of the Slavs, but this is ideal, and therefore from the field of fantasy. Today we need a unified Union state as part of Belarus, Russia and Ukraine. The situation in Kiev must be used to their advantage and for this purpose. Everything is there, but there are no our statesmen and politicians. You need to work with the south and east. To be shy, time, the EU and the US are working against us.
  31. Troy
    Troy 12 December 2013 06: 32
    +1
    This is what I can’t understand. There is an agreement with NATO on the quantity of weapons, etc. in the European part of Russia, but with the admission of Eastern European countries (cockerels, traitors like Bulgaria, etc.) to NATO, the balance has changed. So why not withdraw from this treaty, how did the Americans withdraw from the ABM treaty? And to build up forces closer to the borders for a preemptive strike on NATO licking, such as Poland. This will make them think about the consequences of deploying missile defense systems and Amer’s bases.
  32. kelevra
    kelevra 13 December 2013 14: 06
    0
    It’s ripening soon! We’ll have to fish in the guard of two destroyers!