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About Iran, Saudi Arabia and the Fed's 100-year anniversary

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About Iran, Saudi Arabia and the Fed's 100-year anniversary

Recently, in the media, much has been discussed of the emerging diplomatic rapprochement between the United States and Iran, while simultaneously exacerbating relations between the United States and Saudi Arabia. And an event like the creation of the US Federal Reserve System in 1913, which in December marks exactly 100 years, is increasingly recalled. From my point of view, the coincidence in time of recent events in the Middle East and the upcoming anniversary of the Fed is very symbolic.


Without considering the whole range of reasons for the warming that has begun in relations between Washington and Tehran, I will try to explain the financial and monetary side of these events. American-Iranian relations after World War II were extremely close and friendly. However, after the Shah, who conducted the pro-American course, was overthrown in Tehran in 1979, everything changed. Over the past decades, US-Iranian relations have been tense at best, and often frankly hostile. Washington tried until recently to bring Tehran under its control, including economic and financial sanctions. Over the past decade, sanctions were imposed under the banner of fighting the Iranian nuclear program, which allegedly aims to create a nuclear weapons. Iran has existed for many years under conditions of American economic sanctions. They, of course, make the life of the Islamic Republic difficult, but to some extent it managed to adapt to these conditions. The key point of the unilateral sanctions imposed by Washington is blocking Iran’s settlements with other countries in US dollars: since all large-scale payments are non-cash, they pass through the American banking system. The response of Tehran to this sanction was a transition in the calculations for the supply of its oil and other goods mainly in euros. In response, further "tightening the screws" on the part of Washington, which began to put pressure on its allies in Europe, followed. First, he began to demand to abandon the purchase of Iranian oil. Secondly, he demanded to ban European banks from servicing settlements with Iran in euros. Washington’s European allies largely succumbed to US demands. Iran’s reaction was the reorientation of oil exports to other countries - primarily India and China. Moreover, the calculations began to be carried out not in dollars or euros, but in rupees and yuan. At the same time, gold began to be used in Iran’s trade with Turkey and some other countries. They also remembered the old, proven way of trading, which allows them to do without currency - barter.

Introducing sanctions against Iran, Washington suddenly realized that he was cutting the branch on which he was sitting. Sanctions against Iran provoked the refusal of Iran and its counterparties to settle foreign trade in US dollars. With its sanctions, Washington, first of all, played up to a geopolitical adversary - China, or rather its currency - the yuan.

Washington tried to solve the problem with the help of force, conducting a quick and victorious war against Syria, and then using military methods to restore order in Iran. However, the military plan of Washington in September of this year turned out to be crossed out (primarily due to Russia's firm and consistent position). We must pay tribute to Washington, which in this situation has shown great flexibility and efficiency - from the confrontation with Tehran, he went to a rapprochement. Here it must be emphasized that all the talk about the Iranian nuclear program to a large extent is only a cover for the true goals of Washington. And the true goals boil down to an attempt to establish effective control over the region of the Middle East. Iran is a key state in this region. A few years ago in the pursuit of control over the Middle East geopolitical space in the first place were considerations related to oil and natural gas. Today, in the context of the “shale revolution”, energy considerations for Washington are fading into the background. Financial considerations come to the fore. Washington is striving to preserve the petrodollar standard that has existed in the world for almost forty years. The fundamentals of the petrodollar standard were laid here, in the Middle East, when Saudi Arabia and other countries in the region, concluding special agreements with Washington, switched to 70-ies of the twentieth century to supply hydrocarbons exclusively for US dollars. Today, not all countries adhere to these agreements, but Tehran, which began to sell oil for yuan, rupee, other national monetary units other than the US dollar and the euro, began to lead itself in an awesome way, to supply oil in exchange for gold, and to use barter schemes supplies.

Having begun an active dialogue with Tehran, Washington faced a sharp negative reaction from Riyadh. I would like to mention some possible consequences of this conflict. Saudi Arabia can be very quickly in the position in which Iran was at one time: sanctions can be imposed against Riyadh. You can calculate in this case the reaction of Riyadh - he will try to get away from the calculations in US dollars, switch to other currencies. Or maybe use approved tools such as gold and barter. The next move will be for Washington. Power move. Washington will try to use military methods to put Riyadh under its control in order to force them to fulfill the agreements forty years ago (calculations exclusively in US dollars).

The United States became hostage to its involvement in Middle Eastern affairs: trying to pull one paw out of the swamp (restoring relations with Iran), they found that they began to tie the other paw (relations with Saudi Arabia became more complicated). And it is still not known whether the Americans will achieve the main goal for which they agreed to a rapprochement with Iran, that is, if Tehran now agrees to return from the yuan and the rupee to use the American dollar in its international calculations. Unlikely. Tehran will take time, but you will not drag it into the dollar system anymore.

The once solid Middle Eastern base of the petrodollar standard is turning into a shaky swamp before our eyes ... Events in the Middle East - a sign that the US dollar is experiencing agony. It is noteworthy that all this is happening on the eve of the 100 anniversary since the creation of the Federal Reserve System. If there is a collapse of the dollar, the Fed printing press will turn into unnecessary trash. From the Fed will remain one sign. It is not excluded that the “hero of the day” will not survive his round date by much. And his death can come precisely from the Middle East.
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24 comments
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  1. Igor39
    Igor39 13 November 2013 16: 23
    +1
    So the sanctions go sideways to the states, digging a hole for others, the main thing is not to get there yourself.
    1. Buxx
      Buxx 13 November 2013 16: 34
      +2
      If you dig a hole - do not bother, then make yourself a pool
  2. Andrew 447
    Andrew 447 13 November 2013 16: 28
    +1
    The article put a plus for a possible, more or less plausible scenario, but everything is very simplified by the author. A key player, Israel, fell out of sight.
    1. APES
      APES 13 November 2013 17: 03
      +2

      Quote: Andrew 447
      A key player, Israel, fell out of sight.


      in the 2011 year, Obama invited Israel to return to the borders of the 1967 year ....
      1. Ingvar 72
        Ingvar 72 13 November 2013 18: 24
        +2
        Quote: APES
        Obama invited Israel to return to the borders of 1967 ....

        Andryukha, you understand that this is just a curtsy before the Arab neighbors of Israel, in fact, he would never dare to insist on what was said. Obama is the same controlled doll as ....
        1. APES
          APES 13 November 2013 22: 12
          +1
          Understand:

          But when I offer girls, I also do not insist laughing

          I think that the main problem of the USA is their libido - they want everyone and they want to constantly, they fuck one and at the same time look at the other drinks

          Sorry request
          1. Ingvar 72
            Ingvar 72 13 November 2013 22: 19
            +1
            Quote: APES
            But when I offer girls, I also do not insist on laughing

            You can’t object to such an analogy. good
  3. Migari
    Migari 13 November 2013 16: 33
    +1
    The article is interesting,
    sanctions may be imposed against Riyadh.
    No one is allowed to open their mouths against the "exceptional nation".
  4. Same lech
    Same lech 13 November 2013 16: 49
    +1
    All the same, SYRIA NOW, as a painful knot of all problems in this region, is being solved now how the world will develop further either according to the script written in WASHINGTON or how the people of this long-suffering country will decide.
    1. hrych
      hrych 13 November 2013 18: 38
      +4
      So territorially, Syria is the navel of Bl.Eastern, and not only the land. Located at the junction: Iraq, Turkey, Jordan, Israel, Lebanon and even the EU, across the sea. It is minced: Shiites, Sunnis, Alawites, Christians, Ismailis, Salafists, Jews, Satanists, atheists and Onanists. There is parsley of ethnic groups: Arabs, Jews, Turks, Kurds, Armenians, Caucasian muhajirs (millions of whom Yermolov prudently smoked), Druze, Greeks, Persians, there are even the remains of Assyrians, etc.
    2. Dezzed
      Dezzed 13 November 2013 19: 12
      +1
      There is no "Syrian" people as such. there are peoples and tribes inhabiting the territory of Syria.
      therefore "together" they will not solve anything. there is a civil war with the participation of invaders from outside.
  5. Arkan
    Arkan 13 November 2013 17: 58
    +2
    It's time for the "green wrapper" to go to the dustbin of history. The transition of most of the states, in calculations, to their own currency, will accelerate the process of the collapse of the Anglo-Saxon system.
  6. polly
    polly 13 November 2013 18: 18
    +3
    World "deity".
  7. polly
    polly 13 November 2013 18: 28
    +2
    However, the trend in the world is not weak ...
    1. hrych
      hrych 13 November 2013 19: 04
      +5
      Seen, the power of the dollar is now quite exaggerated. When India buys $ 1 billion worth of oil from sheikhs, it doesn’t mean that several tons of greens were shipped for oil. All this in the form of zeros on a bill or rather on a bank account in the form of zeros in a computer, so in the ass sheiks bought stinky soap in India and the number of zeros decreased. Those. there was simply no paper with a gentle gentleman directly, the dollar was a conventional unit in America, although it was also in dollars, only the stench of oil and soap fell from this transaction. Another thing is oil exchanges (where Anglo-Saxons set the tone for quotes) and the profits of oil transvestite companies, which are also under control. Now using a credit card, a US citizen does not take greens, but uses them as a conditional unit when paying for a dildo with a store. Directly a suitcase of greens is needed by Colombians in exchange for a suitcase of cocaine, and now there are other schemes. And the exchange of oil for gold is the same primitive barter (gold is a commodity with a value in the same arbitrary units) as for soap, one damn thing in their mind is the dollar equivalent for the value of the goods.
  8. Hektor
    Hektor 13 November 2013 18: 56
    +1
    And increasingly, such an event is recalled as the creation in 1913 of the US Federal Reserve System, which in December marks exactly 100 years.


    III And another 200 anniversary of Wagner and Verdi ... Or is it all connected too ??? belay

    However, after the overthrow in Tehran in 1979 of the Shah, pursuing a pro-American course, everything changed.


    Well, for whom the overthrow, and for whom the Iranian Islamic revolution ...

    Over the past decades, US-Iranian relations have been tense at best, and often openly hostile.


    Well, yes, it’s prohibitive ... fellow
    http://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Иран-контрас
  9. Hektor
    Hektor 13 November 2013 18: 57
    +3
    Over the past decade, sanctions have been imposed under the banner of the fight against the Iranian nuclear program, which allegedly aims to create nuclear weapons.

    According to the words of the former pres. Ahmedinejad you can’t say so ...
    Iran has existed for many years under American economic sanctions.

    A third of the globe is the USA ?? Or I’ll ask this rhetorical question differently: did the United States alone impose sanctions on Iran ??
    They of course make it difficult life of the Islamic Republic, but to some extent it managed to adapt to these conditions. The key to Washington’s unilateral sanctions is blocking Iran’s settlements with other countries in US dollars: since all major transactions are non-cash, they go through the US banking system.


    It is strange how to call the crisis in the economy, colossal inflation and a gigantic outflow of capital from the country "difficulties", and if for the author this is a difficulty then the actual economic crisis then what ??? what
    In response, there was a further “tightening up of nuts” on the part of Washington, which began to put pressure on its allies in Europe. Firstly, he began to demand to abandon the purchase of Iranian oil. Secondly, he demanded to ban European banks from servicing settlements with Iran in euros. Washington's European allies succumbed largely to US demands.


    Persians are forced to disappoint how they traded with the euro and traded, and actually then where are the billions of dollars and euros that the Iranians are distributing in Syria and Lebanon ?? Really print on a machine donated by the Americans for the Shah fellow
  10. Hektor
    Hektor 13 November 2013 18: 58
    +2
    The reaction of Iran was the reorientation of oil exports to other countries - primarily India and China. Moreover, the calculations began not to be made in dollars or euros, but in rupees and yuan.

    Reorientation ??? And what before then did she completely flow to the West ??
    Rupee and Yuan is generally something! And what can you buy for the yuan (which by the way is 90% backed by dollars and American bonds) and the rupee in the world market ??
    The most obvious indicator of the authority (or rather, its absence) of these currencies is that most of the prestigious purchases (car, apartment, jewelry, etc.) in these countries are in euros and dollars ...
    Iran is a key state in this region.

    And the rest (Turkey, Israel, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Iraq, etc.) are not like "key" !! ?? Or are they "keys" for other regions ??
    Starting active dialogue with Tehran, Washington faced a sharp negative reaction from Riyadh.

    ??????? what
    Well, at the end, as the saying goes
    If the dollar collapses, the Fed's press will turn into unnecessary junk. Only one sign from the Fed. It is possible that the “hero of the day” will not survive its round date. And his death may come precisely from the Middle East.

    good
    Py.Sy. They have been talking about this for 99 years, but things are still there.
  11. mountain
    mountain 13 November 2013 20: 30
    +1
    Quote: Hektor
    The reaction of Iran was the reorientation of oil exports to other countries - primarily India and China. Moreover, the calculations began not to be made in dollars or euros, but in rupees and yuan.

    Reorientation ??? And what before then did she completely flow to the West ??
    Rupee and Yuan is generally something! And what can you buy for the yuan (which by the way is 90% backed by dollars and American bonds) and the rupee in the world market ??
    The most obvious indicator of the authority (or rather, its absence) of these currencies is that most of the prestigious purchases (car, apartment, jewelry, etc.) in these countries are in euros and dollars ...
    Iran is a key state in this region.

    And the rest (Turkey, Israel, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Iraq, etc.) are not like "key" !! ?? Or are they "keys" for other regions ??
    Starting active dialogue with Tehran, Washington faced a sharp negative reaction from Riyadh.

    ??????? what
    Well, at the end, as the saying goes
    If the dollar collapses, the Fed's press will turn into unnecessary junk. Only one sign from the Fed. It is possible that the “hero of the day” will not survive its round date. And his death may come precisely from the Middle East.

    good
    Py.Sy. They have been talking about this for 99 years, but things are still there.

    YES ,,,, obviously nothing to add ....., cool, laid out.
  12. Jogan-xnumx
    Jogan-xnumx 13 November 2013 21: 26
    +1
    May the Fed rest in peace on its anniversary, and after it the mattress on flagpoles ... crying
    But seriously, the continuation of the provision of currencies with gold would be worth considering even when pi.ndos with the Saudis sniffed at petrodollars. And we should think first of all. Who bought oil from the Saudis for dollars — their problems, but what the hell were we doing? Not only we bought, but also ours. Now mattresses are not in vain began to flirt with Iran. Shale gas does not plug all the holes, and an alternative to the Sauds at hand will not hurt. If we slap Iran with Syria and continue to make a stand on the dollar, it is possible that there will be ...
    1. alone
      alone 13 November 2013 21: 44
      +1
      belay did Obama take this photo?
      1. Jogan-xnumx
        Jogan-xnumx 13 November 2013 23: 20
        +1
        Quote: lonely
        did Obama take this photo?

        Og. And I cried, how crowded there ... crying
        1. Ihrek
          Ihrek 13 November 2013 23: 23
          0
          But you even regretted it for decency. laughing
          1. Jogan-xnumx
            Jogan-xnumx 14 November 2013 14: 34
            0
            But what about! Although I did not push him there. request He climbed ...
  13. Horst78
    Horst78 13 November 2013 22: 16
    0
    Financial considerations come to the fore. Washington is committed to maintaining the oil standard,
    I completely agree, only in the USA this problem is no longer being solved only in the Middle East. In other suvers and regions, there has already been a departure from the dollar in the calculations, and the US is no longer able to change it. Countries liked the taste of independence from the dollar. The mentality is already changing and this can not be changed. The only thing the United States can do is to liquidate the institution of the dollar themselves and while the world is pulling with this decision, there is time.