The deep state and the Russian world: war to the bitter end
Prokhanov
Have we realized the mistakes of the 90s? Or is everything that is happening an attempt to sell us a new edition of the resource economy, wrapped in patriotism?
What is the connection between the activities of Gaidar and Yeltsin, the current situation of the country and the Northern Military District?
Direct and immediate: what is happening is the result of “shock therapy”, the collapse of the USSR and the lack of attempts to preserve the unity of the Russian world.
If we get up from our knees, why do we need a forum named after Gaidar?
Gaidar Forum – 2020
The Gaidar Forum is an annual international economic conference in Russia, held since 2010, named after the liberal reformer Yegor Gaidar.
Have we realized the mistakes of the 90s? What is this – nostalgia for the “dashing 90s” or the hidden meaning of the true goals of the state? Or everything that is happening is an attempt to sell a new edition of the resource economy, wrapped in patriotism and import substitution, which for some reason is stalling.
Among the outstanding Russian economists are the following scientists:
Nikolai Khristianovich Bunge (1823 – 1895),
Alexander Vasilyevich Chayanov (1888 – 1937),
Nikolai Dmitrievich Kondratieva (1892 – 1938),
Sergei Fedorovich Sharapova (1855 – 1911),
Alexander Dmitrievich Nechvolodova (1864-1938) and not only.
But we are not told anything about them, although their legacy is many times greater than the usefulness of the economic authors who support the Washington consensus.
Sharapov developed the theory of ruble emission, which was successfully used by the USSR. Both he and Nechvolodov criticized the economic and financial policies of Tsarist Russia, showing its complete dead end. But these scientists are not at all interesting to liberals, who for 33 years have been reviving the clone of Tsarist Russia.
Why is this not a forum for Kondratiev or even Witte or Sharapov?
So what is our famous economist Gaidar noted for?
Gaidar's shock therapy as genocide of the Russian people
So why genocide?
According to official data, our population decreased by 2010 million people by 6 and is now continuing to fall, because now those who were not born must give birth. And this is the scale of losses from a big (!) war without a single shot or shell.
Will Durant was right: “A great civilization cannot be conquered from without until it destroys itself from within.”
Yegor Gaidar is not just a reformer who did the “dirty work”. Being a professional economist, he calmly made murderous decisions:
Gaidar and his followers “struggled” with the consequences of the bankruptcy of the empire, strangely destroying the economy of its remaining part.
Let’s look at the results: according to V. M. Simchera’s book “Development of the Russian Economy over 100 Years”, in the 90s, during Yeltsin’s reign, about 30 enterprises were destroyed, despite the fact that during the creation of the USSR in 000–1922. 1984 new ones were created.
Who can answer the questions: why was VAT made 28%, and not 5 or at least 10%? Why was it necessary to raise prices tenfold or more, despite the fact that wages and the money supply did not grow so quickly? Why was there no indexation of wages and balances on enterprise accounts?
As a result, the payment system collapsed, the money supply shrank, people switched to cash, cashing, barter, a crisis of non-payments broke out, people were not paid wages.
The answer is extremely simple: the country was simply purposefully bankrupt.
To destroy all savings, destroy the middle class, the possibility of investment, so that the factories stop working, and everything that remains can be bought up for pennies by our new nouveau riche and foreign investors.
Thanks to the activities of the Yeltsin-Gaidar tandem and their followers, by the mid-90s our country suffered damage similar to the consequences of the Civil War. The GDP level in 1922 relative to 1913 was 57%, and the GDP level in 1998 was 60% of the 1991 level. Even during the Great Patriotic War, despite the destruction and loss of territories, the economy of the RSFSR grew at an average rate of 4,7% (!) due to the transfer of industry beyond the Urals and the construction of new enterprises.
Gaidar set the right tasks for the transition to a market, but solved them not in favor of the people, but in the interests of the Washington regional committee that set it.
Assessing the reforms, Michael Intriligator, professor of economics, University of California (USA) wrote the following in 1996:
The current “Russian Great Depression” is much more severe than in the United States in the 30s. From 1992 to 1996 there was a colossal decline in industrial production - by 55%, compared with a decline of 35% during the Great Depression of 1929-1933. in USA.
Before shock therapy, the Russian economy was the second largest in the world, ahead of Japan and Germany and second only to the United States. Now it may be in 11th or 12th place... "shock therapy" destroyed the institutions of a socialist economy, but did not create the institutions of a market economy..."
The experience of the PRC shows that the main thing is not the speed of transition, but the policy of creation; and not a question of ownership, but a question of management. There was no privatization as such in the PRC. The public sector was preserved and transferred to the private sector with extreme caution. Instead of privatization, which actually produced nothing, the Chinese stimulated the development of new businesses. You want to become millionaires - we will give you land and money, but we will not give you ready-made assets. Create assets: build factories and produce - and then only get rich.
Although Gaidar resigned in December 1992, returning later again briefly in a different capacity; the consequences of his actions set the trend for the entire decade.
There were crises in the 90s: 1993, 1995 – crisis of the interbank lending market. In 1998, another government gave us another “shock therapy.” As part of the “financial stabilization” policy, the ruble was artificially held, and then - on August 17, 1998, a default was declared - the state refused to pay its internal and external debts, i.e. it became bankrupt again. Then came an unprecedented shock of devaluation: if in January 1998 the dollar exchange rate was 5,99, then in January 1999 it was 22,05, i.e. 3,68 times, and the next year it went further!
So, what are all these completely pointless reforms for?
The main thing is completely different. Gorbachev, although he gave up Eastern Europe, bankrupted the USSR by collecting loans, the balance of which in 1991 was $57 billion, and gave the country a breath of freedom and a certain NEP. There were commercial stores, cooperatives, which had market wages. At the Riga market they sold things better than anything in Turkey - Russian production by private craftsmen. Computers and equipment were imported. People paid taxes.
Gaidar's reforms completely destroyed these beginnings of a relatively white “market economy.” If not for them, we could have followed the path of the PRC, but the Washington regional committee needed destruction.
The reason for the bankruptcy of the USSR and the problems of the 90s were largely caused by low oil prices. Since the early 2000s and especially since 2004, quotes have gone up. It is easy to show that the economic growth rates of the “prosperous” 2000s clearly correlate with the growth of quotations (see chart).
Historical oil price chart, smart-lab.ru, 1998 – $20/barrel
Now let’s remember what Gaidar actually said, according to the official publication in Rossiyskaya Gazeta:
“There was no responsible political force in Russia that would dare to say that from the point of view of the goals of self-preservation and reproduction of the Russian people, the collapse of the USSR was the greatest success in the last half century” (“The Death of an Empire. Lessons for Modern Russia”).
“If a nuclear superpower de facto no longer exists, because all the basic elements of statehood have been lost, then it is better to dissolve it peacefully and legally” (interview on Radio Liberty).
I think this is quite enough.
According to the official report (Geopolitical forecast from Stratfor for 2015–2025, Stratfor, USA, inosmi.ru) for 2016, now the US goal - our crushing into pieces - is indicated quite specifically.
How did the president describe the outcome of Gaidar’s life?
And here’s what people like Yuri Luzhkov and Gavriil Popov, who were also in power but thought differently, wrote about the results of Gaidar’s life:
Gaidar is also to blame for the fact that the difficulties that should have been distributed fairly and proportionally were assigned only to ordinary citizens...
Ensured the seizure of the overwhelming majority of state property by the nomenklatura and oligarchs...
This is a policy that is cruel and inhumane. This is exactly what the people understood, and this is what they will never forgive Gaidar.”
Liberals are a totalitarian sect of the world government, ruling the world from the Washington regional committee, planted in our country in 1991 after the August putsch.
Gaidar is revered there as the founder who successfully fulfilled the main assignment of their regional committee - the total destruction of the Russian economy and everything that remained from the times of the USSR.
Do we need Yeltsin Centers?
Is it possible to deceive an entire people? It turns out that it is possible - just give the political strategists the opportunity. Remember how everyone avidly read the magazine Ogonyok, which poured manure on our “red history”? Wasn't the same thing recently done in Ukraine? And now the Ukrainians, having lost the normal dimension of reality and being driven by stupidity, greed and hatred, are at war with Russia, that is, with themselves.
The peak of Yeltsin’s activity was a speech in the US Parliament in 1992:
From this high rostrum, I would like to express my sincere gratitude and appreciation to the President of the United States, Mr. George Bush... for the invaluable moral support of the just cause of the Russian people during that period...
Today I tell you... “I will not retreat from reforms!”...
We invite American private capital to the unique and underdeveloped Russian market and say: “Don’t be late!” [Stormy applause]…
By the will of the people of Russia, I propose to you and, in your person, the people of the United States to take the path of partnership in the name of freedom and justice in the 21st century [Congressmen jump up and applaud]...
God bless America!
And I’ll add to this: and Russia [Congressmen jump up and applaud].”
Just don't applaud and jump up!
Two presidents in a row: Gorbachev and Yeltsin surrendered the Russian Empire and all its inheritance in just 6 years and famously gave up its remains to be torn to pieces. It is known that M. Gorbachev also enjoyed “respect” throughout the Western world.
The gifts that Russia gave to the West and Europe were worth trillions of dollars. The West found cheap raw materials and markets. Yeltsin could have asked to write off a measly $57 billion in debt and place orders with us for the production of consumer goods and equipment. But America initially planned to strengthen China and weaken Russia - technologies were transferred to China, and we were turned into a raw material quarry.
How naive did the leader of the country have to be to say such a thing?
But this is the trend of the era, starting from perestroika, we were told that “evil” communists have aggressive intentions towards the capitalist system, but America is ready to give us a hand of friendship and help us carry out market reforms that will provide us with a capitalist paradise of abundance.
If we were Catholics or Khazars, the deal would have gone through. But we are Orthodox, and they want to do with us only the same thing as with the Russians and the Russian Orthodox Church in Ukraine: nothing more.
The goal of the forces that stand behind the West is the destruction of Russia and the Russian Orthodox Church. The United States and the world are ruled by the forces of the Old Testament, and we are the main force of the New Testament. Therefore, this story will not end until the end of time.
The people saw the light by 1993. Yeltsin’s mistake was that he did not see the light either by 1993, when he shot up the White House, or by 1996, when he began to run for president. But his conscience woke up, and he found the courage to apologize to the people.
There is almost official evidence, which can only be verified in the future, that the communists actually won those elections, but their candidate was intimidated, and he did not fight for power.
In May 1999, President Boris Yeltsin dismissed head of government Yevgeny Primakov, despite his obvious successes. Primakov could be a real candidate for the presidency, and Yuri Luzhkov, known as a statist, could also join him. I believe that in this case our achievements would be much higher. Yeltsin feared Primakov's growing popularity and the communist renaissance.
It is known that the Communist Party of the Russian Federation at one time created a commission to investigate the activities of Gorbachev and Yeltsin, which was described in 20 volumes. But in 2018, the State Duma rejected the draft statement “On recognizing the political activities of USSR President Mikhail Gorbachev and the first President of the Russian Federation Boris Yeltsin as anti-people,” submitted for consideration by the LDPR faction.
What influenced this decision?
Have you decided not to wash your dirty laundry in public? Or simply because the current policy is a genetic consequence in the chain of M. Gorbachev’s perestroika and the construction of “market democracy” by B. Yeltsin, only with higher oil prices?
Everyone understands perfectly well that Yeltsin’s rule caused irreparable and catastrophic damage to the country.
To whom can the Russian nation present the bill for what happened?
Many public figures, incl. Nikita Mikhalkov, criticized the activities of the Yeltsin Center, demanding its closure and recognition as a foreign agent, which he last stated during the session “Besogon and Law” at the St. Petersburg International Legal Forum.
The activities of the center are studied in detail in the article on the VO “Yeltsin Center in the context of technologies of color revolutions and issues of national security.”
Why is the design of the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum no different from the picture in Davos?
What is this: a tribute to fashion, such an accepted format? At one time, this was done to show that we are “our own people, bourgeois”. Everyone knows that Davos is a forum for the shadow world government.
Funeral of the resource economy
The regional committee did not forgive Moscow for the annexation of Crimea, knowing full well that this was just the beginning. In the fall of 2022, we officially regained other territories of the Russian land. Further, the process will continue to increase. The unification of Russia, Belarus and the original Ukraine will also take place. From a defense point of view, Russia has no other options than creating the USSR-2, albeit in a truncated form.
After 2014, and especially 2022, the foundations of the structure that ensured the influence of the West on Russia were destroyed. The West imposed sanctions and restricted trade. But the fifth column and liberal economic policy remained.
Here are the Federal Customs Service data: Russian exports in January–November 2023 decreased by 40%, to $385,9 billion from $538,1 billion. Russian gas supplies abroad over the 11 months of 2023 decreased in physical volume by 34% in annual terms, revenue from Russian gas supplies year-on-year decreased by 69%, and oil by 7%.
In order to help exporters and the budget, the ruble was devalued in the second half of 2023 by approximately 30%, which led to the Bank of Russia raising the rate to 16%, which will cause a reduction in GDP growth rates in 2024 to the usual 1,0–1,5% . In turn, inflation jumped, hitting the growth of household incomes.
There is another problem: at the end of 2023, our gold and foreign currency reserves amounted to almost $600 billion, and the frozen assets of the Russian Federation in Europe amounted to $330 billion, or 55%.
What is happening now is an analogue of the late 80s, only in a milder version. There will be no catastrophe, but if current trends continue, a repeated devaluation of the ruble in the second half of the year is quite possible. What will happen to the Central Bank rate?
In other words, we are witnessing the funeral of the commodity-based economic model.
2024–2025: Operation Reboot
Russia needs to develop industry and the domestic market, nationalize the Bank of Russia so that it works for Russia and not for the IMF. But these tasks will be solved by another – the new Russia after the “Reset 2024–2025”.
As historical analysis shows, in our history there are clear 12-year and 36-year cycles (see graph - one “slide” of exactly 36 years), the maximum deviations from which do not exceed 1–2 years. The end of the liberal cycle will occur in 2024–2025, when the 36-year liberal cycle since 1989 will be completed. From a mathematical point of view, the probability of a system breakdown during this period is about 95% (for more details, see the article on VO: 2024–2025: should we expect changes). The year 2025 is equivalent to such critical (!) years as 1881, 1917, 1953, 1989. Although it is clear that the future is not mathematics, this assessment has quite objective prerequisites.
The glory and misery of the commodity economy
We had good economic growth in 2023, both due to the revival of the military-industrial complex and partial import substitution. There is a construction boom in the country, excellent roads and infrastructure are growing. There are many varieties of sausages in stores. But this is not what determines the strength of the state; real power is the army, industry and technology. And the ability of the people to reproduce, which we have now lost.
Large cities are developing - the horse is not lying in the outback. More than 60% of the population is surviving rather than living. Nostalgia for socialism is growing in society. But the people, lulled by the victorious reports of television about the “new technological” Russia, sleep, not understanding what is happening to them. The coming year will open his eyes.
The average rate of economic development of Russia for the period from 1992 to 2023 was only 0,89%, while the average growth rate of the economy of the RSFSR as part of the USSR from 1950–1990 was 6,6% (!). Average growth rate of the world economy for a sample of 250 countries for the period 2013–2021. amounted to 2,5%.
So what did we choose? What is such a strange market with an equally strange “invisible hand”, which, in a patriotic frenzy, leads us to a bright future with Chinese cars, with the absence of its own aircraft production, a high dollar exchange rate and a Bank of Russia rate that will not allow us to grow normally?
At the end of 2022, the excess of Russia’s GDP level over the 1991 figure was only 30%. Russian industry in 2023 for the first time in 33 years has crossed the mark of 100% of the 1990 level.
During the same period, China's GDP increased 14,5 times! During the same period, US GDP increased almost 4 times: from 5 to 963,1 billion dollars.
Hack and predictor Aviator
People who positively assess the activities of Gaidar and Yeltsin will never develop Russia, because its development means the loss of their power. Those who honor Gaidar need a semi-colony, and the nation needs an empire.
As the communist leader rightly said in 2017:
Since then, despite the SVO, we have not seen any fundamental changes.
The West is catastrophically afraid that Russia will not remember the “glory of the USSR.” This is why we so often idealize Tsarist Russia and denigrate the USSR.
Here is the opinion (2014) of the former Polish Ambassador to Russia Stanislaw Chosek:
The SVO is a litmus test that shows all the shortcomings of the system. Despite the successes, there are no fundamental changes happening here either. Ukraine should have collapsed by now, but, alas, it is still standing.
System bifurcation point
The liberal system is not able to solve any of the current problems: its historical time is now ending. Perhaps, as in 1917 and 1992, changes will happen quietly, in 2-3 days. In the near future, it is likely that some kind of “H” event may occur, most likely related to the SVO, which will radically change the relationship between the state and society.
A bifurcation point is a critical turning point, the probability of which may be infinitesimal, but at which a qualitative abrupt change in the system occurs.
What were our “H” points? This is the coup in August 1991, when everyone woke up and marched through the streets Tanks, and on TV on all channels is Tchaikovsky’s ballet “Swan Lake”. The second point is Prigozhin’s march, which was the last call for the system. Even then, a number of our officials used plan B by boarding planes.
Something that no one doubts will happen soon. But when those “hidden” behind the screen believe that their license to “milk” has been extended for another five-year period, perhaps an inversion will occur.
Kyiv lost the war, and for a long time.
Therefore, such an event could be a “gesture of despair” - inflicting a painful blow on us with a high-precision weapons from received F-16s, or from other carriers, or from the ground. This could be the introduction of NATO troops into Ukraine, or even a limited NATO attack on Russia, also because the situation is hopeless for the West. And the death of our AWACS is also important here.
The Deep State and Russia: A Battle for Life and Death
There is an interesting term - the deep state. According to the accepted terminology, this is a conspiracy theory according to which in countries (for example, the United States) there is a coordinated group of unelected real leaders who are able to influence public policy without regard to the democratically elected leadership. Everything is clear in the United States, and it is clear that Biden is just a “phantom” leader of the country.
Our deep state is the Yeltsin-Gaidar state. Why has there not been a single communist minister since 1999? Because he could show results like Primakov? The liberal sect does not want to share power under any circumstances.
Let us remember the phenomenal interview with Oleg Deripaska in 2006. When asked by a journalist what power there is in our country, he replied:
N. A. - If not a secret, who is in your circle?
O.D. – What’s the secret? All those who consistently united around the first President of Russia, Boris Nikolayevich Yeltsin, who took upon themselves the courage to make difficult economic and social decisions.”
And this is in 2006. It is still not clear why economic decisions in the richest country in the world must necessarily be difficult? And the pension reform is not another stage in the endless “shock therapy”. Or is this our rock?
One of the spiritual leaders of Russia, Alexander Prokhanov, prophetically and inspiredly declares the complete collapse of the “Yeltsin matrix” and the revival of the New Russia:
Who will Russian history resurrect and send... to fight Hitler?..
Hitler is opposed in history by Stalin. He is the defender of Russia... He will be present at the parade on May 9, and his clairvoyant gaze will look out from the ruby stars of the Kremlin...
The Yeltsin state has collapsed and is crumbling in all its manifestations...
Yeltsin cut with an ax the blossoming unity of Ukrainians and Russians. Yeltsin destroyed the great Soviet technosphere, leaving Russia without factories, engineering schools, and research centers. Yeltsin created a corrupting, corrupt elite of traitors...
Yeltsin, thrown aside by the hurricane of history, will fly to the side. And the Generalissimo will enter the St. George’s Hall in a white uniform with a diamond Victory Star.”
Fate has touched Russia and with its powerful hand is snatching us from the clutches of the West, Babylonian captivity or the Mongol yoke. There is a struggle inside between the Russia of Alexander Nevsky, Dmitry Donskoy and Alexander Suvorov and the pro-Western fifth column, which is alien to us. The fight is to the death, the outcome is beyond doubt.
And time is now counting down in the opposite direction: from temporary decline to new greatness. For now, we are still more likely a cunningly re-shoeed remake of Yeltsin’s Russia, but Koshchei’s egg, which was brought to our country by Gorbachev and Yeltsin from the Washington regional committee, will soon be found and cracked open.
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