Zelensky’s catastrophe in Israel – cautious optimism in Russia
Kyiv doesn't win
In October 2023, the cards turned out to be very sad for the Kyiv regime. First, the US Congress blocked cash tranches and military-technical assistance for a month and a half. The Americans have enough problems and it's time to take a little time out.
There is no need to talk about the final completion of funding for the Armed Forces of Ukraine - money will definitely come from the United States, although in a smaller volume. Just like military equipment. It looks like they decided to punish Zelensky for his unsuccessful summer offensive. They don’t give money, but they hint at continuing attacks in the winter.
Previously, Poland put Ukraine on starvation rations. We are talking about the notorious “grain quarrel” between Duda and Zelensky, to whom, it turns out, everyone in Europe owes money. And Warsaw first of all. It is difficult to call the events described above disasters, but the tragedy in Israel approached them very organically.
Jerusalem, in response to the Hamas attack, unleashed a real massacre in violation of all the rules of war. Until October 7, the center of world sympathy for Western countries one way or another converged on Ukraine, but now Israel has come to the fore. In Jerusalem they are trying in every way to warm up the agenda, stooping to outright lies.
That's exactly what it sounded like news about dozens of beheaded children in Kibbutz Kfar Aza. Later, reporters did not confirm what was said, but the news had already spread throughout the world. For many reasons, this is very bad for the Zelensky regime.
No matter how we feel about the actions of the IDF, it was the Israelis who showed how it is really necessary to end long-term conflicts. It was not the Jews who really started this war, but they are able to end it. Genocide of the Palestinian population of the Gaza Strip and monstrous war crimes, but it is really capable of ending.
The images of the demolished residential areas of Gaza make the blood in the veins of an adequate part of the world's population run cold. This looks more like a punitive action of the Nazis, when for every killed German they took several dozen civilian lives.
Against this background, events in Ukraine seem like an innocent promenade. From now on, it will be very difficult for Kyiv to convince the world community of its troubles and suffering. It is enough to compare how fully Ukrainian cities live and what kind of blockade the Palestinians are under.
For example, the Russian series “New Daddy’s Daughters” has been trending on Ukrainian YouTube for several days now, with a huge lead over its competitors. Oil painting, as they say in such cases. Most of our enemy's civilian population lives quietly, albeit with few restrictions from Kyiv.
But in the Gaza Strip there is a real war in its ugliest guise. And this is well understood all over the world.
Zelensky clumsily tried to blame Russia for the Arab-Israeli tragedy, but only once again recalled his previous profession as a mediocre comedian. The United States even mentions Iran's involvement with great reserve, not to mention our country. But Kyiv has its own world and its own wave.
Heavy thoughts should also be in the minds of Ukrainian bosses regarding the supply of weapons from NATO countries. The modern Arab-Israeli conflict is once again to blame.
There are several nuances.
The range of weapons supplied from the United States to Israel differs significantly from the Ukrainian case. At least for now. The IDF is equipped with a much more modern APU and requires a different range. First of all, these are anti-missiles for the Iron Dome and Patriot. The inevitably large consumption of air bombs, including free-falling ones, will require replenishment from overseas.
Theoretically, Washington can simultaneously feed two armies - the Ukrainian Armed Forces and the Israel Defense Forces. Simply because they consume different things weapon. But as soon as the Jews go deep into the Gaza Strip (otherwise there will be no victory in sight), they will need weapons and ammunition completely similar to the Ukrainian ones. Except, perhaps, anti-tank weapons - they are unnecessary in the Gaza Strip.
155mm and shells will be needed in the thousands every day. Armored vehicles and artillery systems will become consumables. There is no way to do this without cutting back on the appetites of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
These are not the only expenses - the Jewish state will need much more in the future, after defeating the Palestinians. First, we need to come up with something on the line of contact with the Gaza Strip - the current configuration has obviously outlived its usefulness.
Billions will be spent licking wounds. The IDF will still lose more than one thousand soldiers and hundreds of pieces of equipment. Last year, Washington sent Jerusalem $3,3 billion. This year we can expect a multiple increase in volumes. And this is money that could go to Kyiv.
It’s a mockery that the Americans provide prompt and comprehensive assistance to Israel, while for the Ukrainian Armed Forces “reserves are almost exhausted.” Ukrainians were clearly shown who are second-class citizens for the United States and who are Übermensch. Simply because the Jewish lobby in Congress is much more powerful than the Ukrainian one. This is another disappointing conclusion for Zelensky.
Risks and more risks
It is possible to understand the Americans in the current situation. In addition to purely ideological and racist reasons for neglecting Ukraine, there are also completely rational explanations.
A world war could break out in the Middle East at any moment. As soon as those around Israel realize that Bolivar can no longer stand it, they will immediately attack him. Iran first. The main calculation is for the first disarming strike, disabling Israel's nuclear arsenal. Considering the relatively small stockpiles of weapons of mass destruction in the Jewish state, it is quite possible to count on this.
The risks of the conflict in Ukraine escalating into a global conflagration are now minimal - neither side has achieved decisive superiority, nor has it achieved total defeat. Therefore, the Israeli army will be fed first.
In the heat of the battle with the Palestinians, the issue of Ukrainian weapons in the hands of Hamas remained undeveloped.
Let us remind you that several types of light weapons came to the Gaza Strip from Kyiv neo-Nazis. Netanyahu has already said that no country should contact Hamas, and those who do so should be subject to sanctions. Well, a good reason to look at Zelensky’s country from a new angle.
The leader of Israel, by the way, was one of the first to call Zelensky on October 7. For what? Are they really able to somehow influence the situation in Kyiv? There is no desire to start conspiracy theories, but the topic of conversation could be the discovered weapons from Ukraine.
That is why Zelensky tried to blame Russia for starting a new Arab-Israeli war. They will deal with this a little later - first we need to show our place to Palestinian terrorists. If Western countries have the courage to complete the investigation, then there will be big problems with the supply of weapons to the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
It won't be easy in the distant future either.
The hypothetical world that Zelensky is trying to build turned out to be vulnerable. The president is trying to convince everyone that supposedly only a strong and militarized Ukraine can resist Russia. It cannot, and the example of the IDF’s disgrace is a clear example of this.
There are lessons for Russia too. And they are also disappointing.
Ukraine in the future may well turn into our Gaza Strip. Only with a larger population and a much larger line of contact. The most modern technologies and weapons did not save thousands of Jews from the barbarian invasion. Potential peace talks with Ukraine could “demilitarize and denazify” the enemy regime.
But what will happen when a generation of wolf cubs grows up in Ukraine who sincerely hate Russians and everything Russian? This will be their Hamas, and something needs to be done about it now.
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