
Local victory
Bakhmut-Artyomovsk was liberated. State-owned patriots who, for money or out of stupidity, shout that this is a big victory. Success, but local. The city is completely destroyed. The battles for him went on for 224 days!
In other sectors of the front, for example, in Avdeevka and Marinka, there is no progress. That is, even the minimum task - the liberation of Donbass, will be solved at such a pace for more than one year. At the same time, the Russian Donbass and the surrounding areas turn into a Ruin. Zone of social catastrophe. Human and material resources are depleted. The army is morally tired, as the fighters at the front stand without rotation. Positional slaughter leads to the scenario of the First World War, when the people soon got tired of the big blood and the hardships of war, and from jingoistic moods they switched to believing in the “treachery of the empress” and the “fool-king”. This was taken advantage of by the Februaryist conspirators, the then elite, who thought that they could do better than the king, and the most severe Troubles rushed, even more bloody than a big war.
That is, the victory under Bakhmut is pyrrhic. But it could have been more fruitful if, while the Wagner attack aircraft were fighting on the ruins of the city, gaining time, the military-political leadership of the Russian Federation would have really intensively prepared for a strategic offensive in order to liberate Kharkov, Kherson and Zaporozhye. At the first stage. Then the liberation of the entire Left Bank of the Dnieper. And in the future - all of Little Rus'.
And for this we need a real mobilization of the rear and society. Bulk purchase of machine tools, equipment in China. New industrialization. Formation of full-fledged tank and motorized rifle divisions, which will break through the enemy's defenses and enter the operational space and go forward, surrounding (not storming, but only blocking) cities and enemy strongholds. And they will be followed by troops of the second and third echelon - parts of the internal troops, the Ministry of Internal Affairs, the FSB, clearing the territory from the Ukronazis.
Thus, Bakhmut became a pyrrhic victory, since the Kremlin does not want a real war. We have a "special operation" to enforce peace. But the enemy is fighting for real.
What's next?
Both sides are playing to prolong the conflict. But with different goals. Moscow actually switched to active defense. Bakhmut was needed for a picture on TV. The Kremlin, after the unexpected failure of the 2022 spring blitzkrieg, decided to wait. Concessions, deals, regroupings, turning a blind eye to all the old red lines, including the Crimean Bridge, Nord Stream, strikes against the strategic aviation, explosions over the Kremlin. All for a big deal. Like, we will exhaust, bleed Kyiv, and there will be a deal.
Moscow gives the initiative to the enemy. In Kyiv and in the West, all this is perfectly seen and understood. Hence the greater impudence of the enemy. Long range missiles. Attacks on the "old" territory of the Russian Federation. Now F-16 fighters. So, you see, it will come to tactical nuclear weapons.
Kyiv, London and Washington will not agree to a deal. After all, the Great Game is on. The Crisis of Capitalism and the Entire Western Project (which has become almost global) must be allowed. Operation Pandemic failed to reset the planet. By building a global digital concentration camp. Therefore, the classic is the world war. War until the last inhabitant of Ukraine, the transformation of Little Rus' into Ruins. Then the Young Europeans will go into battle, the Poles are already heavily armed, pumped up with information. And there are also Romanians, Balts, Finns (they were not in vain driven into NATO). The Germans will be chased after them, if necessary.
Simultaneously intensively preparing the front of the world slaughter in the Asia-Pacific region. There, another China, Taiwan, will act as cannon fodder against China. They also sign Japan, which has its own internal civilizational crisis, which Tokyo also needs to resolve. And South Korea. USA as a detachment.
Therefore, there will be no agreement between Moscow and Kyiv. As an option - short-term, to give the Kremlin hope and strengthen, rearm the Kiev regime. In reality, the war will continue further, and until 2025, and beyond, until all of New and Lesser Rus' is drowned in blood, the Russian Federation is not bled dry. Until they force the "elites" of the Russian Federation, which are almost entirely and initially pro-Western (upbringing, culture, way of thinking, worldview, family and capital), to take the path of the scenario of 1917 or 1991. Take advantage of the fatigue of a society that is used to consuming and enjoying life. As a result, the masters of the West will continue to gradually put pressure on the Russian Federation, the traditional Anglo-Saxon "anaconda" strategy. Based on internal turmoil, split and victory of the new "young reformers".
Which exit? Don't play other people's games. "Motherland is calling!" A clear setting of goals and objectives: the liberation of the entire Russian land from Western and Nazi evil spirits. The reunification of a single Russian superethnos (Russian-Great Russians and Russian-Little Russians). The buildup of the armed forces. New waves of mobilization for the purpose of changing and rotating tired, bloodless formations and units. The solution to the personnel issue in the Armed Forces is the replacement of personnel who failed the 2022-winter-spring 2023 campaign. Militarization of the economy and society. New industrialization. Revision of the results of privatization, nationalization of strategic industries and enterprises.
Sooner or later people will have to say that this is all for a long time. Odessa, Kyiv and Lvov will have to be liberated, and the entire collective West will be forced to peace. It's only begining. Otherwise, we read “Essays on Russian Troubles” by A. Denikin, and others historical materials on this topic.
As the Russian historian V. Klyuchevsky noted:
"History is not a teacher, but an overseer: it does not teach anything, but only punishes for ignorance of the lessons."