Sensitive information: losses of the Armed Forces cause depopulation of the country
Source: ru-novosti.com
Until the last Ukrainian
The main question is when the losses in Ukraine's manpower will reach critical limits, after which there can be no talk of any resistance? In the absence of official information, which is hidden for obvious reasons, opinions about the number of dead and wounded differ many times. At one pole, Arestovich and his "losses are not present", more precisely - they are, but not more than 10 thousand in the middle of summer. And further, as according to the textbook - about 30 thousand wounded veterans.
Mikhail Podolyak is no less optimistic, pointing to 13 dead in the nine months of the special operation.
On the opposite side is Ursula von der Leyen, head of the European Commission, who at the end of November let slip about 100 killed soldiers and officers of the Ukrainian army. Later, the words of the European boss were repeatedly disavowed and even cut out a piece of the report with the announced number.
It is clear that an official of this level cannot so easily take and make a reservation - she is far from Biden, confusing Ukraine and Iran. Quite a sane person, albeit somewhat exalted. And if you follow the logic of Arestovich and calculate the number of wounded soldiers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, then it turns out that the total losses, according to Ursula, may approach 400 thousand by the beginning of December. These are not irretrievable losses - a large part of the veterans will heal their wounds and return to the front. But there are nuances here too.
It's about the calculation method. More precisely, that the classic ratio of the number of killed to wounded 1:3 is an oversimplified and averaged assumption. Every war is unique and too many factors go into the number of dead and wounded. For example, in World War II, for every American killed, there were three wounded, and for the Germans this ratio was 1:1,34, while for the Italians it was 1:2.
In Ukraine, a difficult situation has now developed. On the one hand, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have a numerical superiority, on the other, a serious (sometimes multiple) lag in technical equipment from the Russian army. For example, the Russian army can now afford to fire up to 20 shells per day, while the Ukrainian one can fire no more than 5-6 thousand. Previously, the Russian army fired more than 35 rounds at the enemy. Arguing about where they went and what damage they caused is completely useless.
The fact remains that by the winter of 2022, the offensive potential of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was finally depleted, and this is a huge, if not the main, merit of the gunners. According to statistics, up to 70% of all wounds in Ukraine are shrapnel: rocket and cannon artillery is the main factor that knocks out the enemy's manpower.
From the same series, the weak equipment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine with armored vehicles capable of holding at least minimal fragments. All in sight are the Bandera combat pickups with heavy machine guns or mortar crews. This is an ersatzweapon capable of causing trouble, but completely defenseless against any artillery.
The whole set of factors suggests that the notorious ratio of 1 to 3 is too optimistic for the Armed Forces of Ukraine. We can talk about 1:5 and even about 1:7. Good medical support for nationalists also plays in favor of this. Starting from the mass distribution of first-aid kits of the NATO standard and ending with medical hospitals, for which Western sponsors are so generous.
Under such conditions, a large part of the potential "two hundredth" of the Armed Forces of Ukraine remains in the rank of "three hundredth". At the same time, Kyiv will not be able to calculate the exact number of dead combatants.
Firstly, at the beginning of the special operation, territorial defense detachments were spontaneously formed, which were taken into account very fragmentarily. And they died no less rapidly than regular troops.
Secondly, a large part of the territory of hostilities was under Russian control, which also complicates the calculation of the dead.
Source: discover24.ru
Uncertainty gives rise to a lot of versions. Kyiv's western partners were especially successful in this. From the many recent publications, it becomes clear that it is becoming increasingly difficult to hide the gigantic losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine abroad. And it is not second-rate reporters who are drunk on “freedom of speech” who are talking about this, but quite venerable specialists. For example, George O'Neill, Jr., board member of the Institute for American Ideas. According to him, there is a large-scale conspiracy in the West to mask the true losses of the Ukrainian army. A typical campaign slogan was "things are going well in Ukraine."
This rhetoric fits remarkably well with Ursula's "clause" about 100 dead nationalists. Echoing O'Neill in the New York Times, authors Barnes, Cooper and Schmitt allege a stalemate for the Ukrainian army next year. Recall that Zelensky promised to visit Crimea by the summer of 2023. According to the Americans, there is no real possibility of doing this - the Armed Forces of Ukraine simply do not have enough personnel to break through the defenses of the Russian troops.
Depopulation of Ukraine
The maniacal stubbornness of the Kyiv regime is very expensive for Ukraine, which is on the verge of a demographic catastrophe.
It is worth starting with a slow but sure depopulation of the country. The population of Ukraine at the beginning of 2022 was not 43 million, as most sources claim, but only a little less than 37 million people. Ukrainians themselves like to cite a larger number, adding to it the inhabitants of Donbass and Crimea. At the same time, more than 16 million people, mostly women and children, left the country for Europe. Several million more live in the territories that became part of the Russian Federation.
Thus, the remaining Ukraine will barely have 17-18 million people, several hundred thousand of whom are now on the eastern front.
A lot or a little for such a population - an irretrievable loss of 100 or more thousand fighters? The question, of course, is rhetorical, given that mostly young and healthy men are dying, and several tens of thousands more fighters will inevitably return disabled. There are several fundamental problems facing the Kyiv regime in full growth. The longer Zelensky drags out the resistance, the less likely it is that the refugees will return to their homeland in full force.
Many of them have already successfully integrated into the European reality, found a job, started their studies. Like it or not, but Europe is much more comfortable than the destroyed Ukraine. Tens of thousands of unaccounted guns are now spinning on the black market, which cannot but affect the level of crime. And this factor will also be taken into account by yesterday's refugees from Ukraine.
Gradual knocking out of men of reproductive age for the relatively small number of remaining Ukraine will create a demographic hole in the country. Until February 2022, the natural population decline reached half a million a year. We will probably never know how much the country's population will decrease by the end of 2023.
But Zelensky has a plan. It consists in the further mobilization of the male population. Let not by force, but by creating unbearable conditions. And the countries of the West completely agree with this, forming new requirements for the Ukrainian economy.
We are talking about a memorandum signed by the Ministry of Finance of Ukraine together with the International Monetary Fund. According to local publications, the IMF used to give money, and then asked for reforms. Now the opposite is true – first Zelensky must work out the tranches and only then receive a transfer.
At the request of the financial bosses of the West in Ukraine, the simplified taxation regime is canceled and draconian preventive measures are being prepared for non-payers. Zelensky's office called a number of "difficult political decisions" - a reduction in the payment of state employees in 2023 by 27%, that is, by almost a third! Naturally, at the request of the IMF, the total number of employees in the public sector is also being reduced.
Where to go unemployed in this situation? Especially when men of military age are ordered to leave the country. That's right, in the defense and the Armed Forces of Ukraine - Zelensky, together with the West, is simply squeezing his own citizens into the meat grinder of the eastern front.
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