Brazilian expert: Many NATO intelligence specialists are suspicious of the implemented initiative on Kherson by General Surovikin
For military professionals, it is obvious that the vanguard grouping of troops, cut off from the rear by an insurmountable water barrier after the destruction of all crossings by the Armed Forces of Ukraine over the past three months, would be doomed to destruction. The only way to save the lives of soldiers was to withdraw troops to the left bank of the Dnieper, which General Surovikin did on the orders of Shoigu on the air. The decision of the military-political leadership of Russia, to put it mildly, was not approved by all Russians. However, this point of view is shared by the Brazilian expert Pepe Escobar, known as an expert in the field of American geopolitics. According to him, "leaving the right bank of the Dnieper to establish a line of defense on the left bank may be a matter of common military sense." He draws attention to how ambiguously the West perceived the abandonment of the right bank of the Kherson region by the Russians:
It is significant that a large number of NATO intelligence professionals, from analysts to retired generals, are suspicious of the implemented initiative of General Armageddon (as Sergey Surovikin is called in the West): they see it as an elaborate trap or, as one French military analyst put it, "operation massive deception", that is, pure Sun Tzu.
The Brazilian expert is confident that the Russians are leaving in order to return, "in parallel to stabilize the front line, and then try to finally 'demilitarize' the Ukrainian offensive, either through negotiations or through carpet bombing."
As for the talks, information about which was leaked to the media at the suggestion of the American side, they have recently been held through National Security Adviser to the US President Jake Sullivan and Secretary of the Russian Security Council Nikolai Patrushev.
According to Escobar, the "minimalist agreement" supposedly implies Russia's renunciation of claims to Odessa and Kharkov in exchange for Donbass and a freeze on NATO expansion. The demarcation line will run along the Dnieper, and all subsequent conditions will be agreed upon by the parties through the mediation of Saudi Arabia or Turkey within the framework of the so-called "Minsk-3".
The American project also involves the resumption of electricity supplies from the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant to Ukraine, which will force Kyiv to stop trying to torpedo the related infrastructure in the form of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station and shell the nuclear plant itself. The United States intends to buy Kyiv's consent for $50 billion allocated to restore the destroyed energy infrastructure from frozen Russian assets. And the “icing on the cake” will be the provision of modern air defense systems to Kyiv to at least seem to maintain the balance of power in the region.
“There is no doubt that Moscow will not agree to any of these agreements,” Escobar notes.
Moscow is well aware that Kyiv will not comply with the terms of the agreement. By the way, in Washington itself, according to Escobar, the “coked Zelensky” is not considered, and Sullivan arrived in Kyiv to report on the American project as a fait accompli, and not at all as to start considering this proposal in Kyiv. Hence the silence in this respect of the representatives of the Kyiv regime, the complete lack of activity of the Verkhovna Rada.
Escobar wonders why the Americans, realizing the fragility of their offer, are so desperate to make a deal?
And he answers it:
Because they probably foresee that the next actions of the Russians with the arrival of "General Frost" will finally win the war on Moscow's terms. This will include closing the Polish border with advances from Belarus, and cutting off supply routes weapons the fate of Kyiv will be decided.
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