In our time, this was called seasonal price reduction.
Oh, he counted you too
For more than a month now, the media, as if on cue, have been regularly feeding the public with reports from the West about the rise in prices not only for gas, electricity and gasoline, about the coming famine and cold, but also about unprecedented inflation in developed countries. How many percent are there - either eight and a half, or somewhere all nine.
The Russians can only be laughed at with such "terrible" figures. In our country, they fought and fought for the notorious inflation target of 4 percent per annum, and suddenly bam - a pandemic. Well, then you know what, although you have to win one way or another. No matter how much the Kyiv drug Nazis and our “pacifist” peacekeeping fifth column resist.
However, today the neighbor's troubles are not on the agenda, but the victorious reports of Rosstat, which were picked up with pleasure by the economic departments. Somewhere in the wilds of social networks, one of us discovered this maxim:
"Rosstat says that prices are falling more than ever."
The irony of the author is understandable, it is not clear on what basis the statisticians started talking about deflation at all. Not just about a local suspension of price growth, but about a clearly marked downward trend. It seems that they are simply trying to introduce nothing more than painfully positive reviews of price reductions into the information field.
It is clear that in conditions when the majority of the population is once again being led along the road, if not to poverty, then certainly not to material well-being, each case of falling prices should be specially noted. And it does not matter for what - for a luxury car or a gadget, but still it is better for bread and potatoes.
Not promotional, not discounts, but a real drop. Even if its cause will be the total impoverishment of the broad masses of the people. It is better, of course, that an excess of supply leads to a fall in prices, but we have what we have. We have already written above about eight to nine percent of inflation there, but, according to the same Rosstat, in our reality, inflation dropped to 15,1% last month after 15,9% in June.
Where is the deflation, who will explain? Or now we will call the reduction of inflation exactly that? In the seven months of 2022, consumer prices rose by 10,98%. Even if the numbers don't add up, but, according to statistics professionals, we have been experiencing deflation for the fifth week in a row.
We will not argue, we can see for ourselves how the young potatoes have fallen in price, but they have nowhere to go. There is not enough money for something else, but here melons are propped up, and everything is not bad at all with cereals. And it will be even better, because today everyone who can only prevents us from taking them out. Who can not, however, also tries to slow down.
Against such a non-standard, frankly speaking, background, some shifts are taking place in terms of finances. The Bank of Russia has already become generous with the 8% key rate and says that it will be even better in the future. You might think that so far it has been so good that only “more” can be better.
However, for anyone who has not forgotten other times, the seasonal rollback of prices is the norm, the very standard provision that was laid down both in the budget and in the state plan. And the reduced prices for fuel and other necessary resources were also included there. All this, together with falling retail prices, was called seasonal decline. Of course, lower prices.
Barges with gourds in those years along the Volga stretched to the capital, and along the Dnieper - to Kyiv, the mother of Russian cities. And somewhere in the Volga branches near Astrakhan or on Akhtuba, a large watermelon went for a patch, and a small one was given for so, only so that you would not refuse the big one.
This, we understand, is deflation.
Is it good that we feel bad now?
“It’s even good that we’re feeling bad right now.” In Oleg Efremov's role as Dr. Aibolit in the completely non-childish film "Aibolit-66", which is still stubbornly recorded as a cult film, this song sounded almost like a mockery. However, it seems to many that about normal heroes who always go around, and also about the island of bad luck and hares in another film, they sang exclusively in defiance of Soviet power.
But let's be tolerant and remember that inflation took place in the USSR, especially in terms of luxury and scarce goods. And their prices were raised exclusively at the request of the workers. For the general public, an indisputable indicator of what was happening with prices was vodka, which went from 1961 rubles to 2,87 rubles after the Khrushchev monetary reform in 3,62. for a half-litre, first to XNUMX rubles, and then to five, eight and even, oh horror, ten full-weight Soviet rubles.
However, inflation did not have time to gobble up our savings - it was famously ahead of the reformers, among whom Yegor Gaidar was the first to walk. Well, the subsequent compensation of "children's" and "coffin" deposits in Sberbank, where not hundreds - thousands of rubles were lying, turned out to be a profanity, more precisely - an outright mockery.
Today, Russians have been scared away from the dollar and, in fact, they are unsuccessfully trying to lure them into banks, but they are increasingly reaching out for loans. It would be nice to have car loans or not too large consumer loans. But after all, the mortgage noose hung around the neck of almost every second relatively young family.
Moreover, with relatively decent earnings, although who now will take the liberty of predicting what new mortgage interest and new decent earnings will be. And will there be at all?
Are there any winners in the economic war?
And all this, pay attention, despite the fact that Russia still has no shortage of relatively free funds. Sitting on billions like a dog in the manger is just stupid now. And one has only to rejoice that at the top of our country there is finally a serious talk about launching into the real sector of the economy at once a trillion rubles from the National Welfare Fund, which until recently was inviolable.
Politicians, and this does not need to be proved, are obviously playing too much today, stubbornly ignoring the economy. Although it would seem that things are about a big redistribution, and it seems that the economy just dictates all the current horrors. But the redistribution is still far away, and one has to survive here and now.
This war - an economic one - Russia did not start either. Don't you think that we have to finish it too. And here for the victory we do not really need a fight. It might be too expensive. Another thing is that one does not really want to sit in the trenches, that is, in the general swamp.
Someone is convinced that China will simply have to slow down with Taiwan due to the fact that it is firmly tied to the American market. But the fact that this market will very soon begin to collapse, or rather, it has already begun, is less and less doubtful every day.
So is it worth it then to cling to him like that, and then the Chinese should start, the sooner the better. It took Russia, and the Donbass too, eight years to build up strength, although all this time the enemy, surprisingly, did not doze off. How long it will take the PRC, we do not undertake to say.
Returning to our affairs, we note that the Kyiv regime in these years really rotted, but weapon accumulated, and hundreds of thousands of young lives during this time have reached those years when they can be called upon. And forget about the economy if it is easily replaced with empty dollars.
Moreover, it will most likely be brought back to life, this economy, by someone else, and many even guess who it will be. But all this, alas, is not a victory at all, and even more so it is not a “win” in the economic war.
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