American Institute for the Study of Military Conflicts: Russian forces decided to attack Avdiivka head-on

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The American Institute for the Study of Military Conflicts (ISW) concluded that the RF Armed Forces had abandoned their intention to take the settlement. Avdiivka in the Donetsk region was surrounded, but they decided to attack it "on the forehead."

Experts came to this conclusion after analyzing the current situation on the fronts. The ISW says that after several months of unsuccessful attempts to bypass Avdiivka from the northeast, the RF Armed Forces and the NM LDNR decided to storm the fortified area of ​​the Armed Forces of Ukraine “head-on”. At the same time, experts note that our troops have already achieved the first successes.



Referring to videos published by “Kremlin-sponsored” sources, as ISW put it, experts announced the displacement of Ukrainian paramilitaries from positions around the Butovskaya ventilation shaft, emphasizing that since 2015 this outpost has been one of the key outposts for the defense of Avdiivka.

The American Institute for the Study of Military Conflicts added that the Russian Armed Forces are simultaneously developing an offensive against the village of Peski and may try to take control of the E50 highway connecting this village with Avdiivka.

It is worth noting that the data of American experts are fully consistent with the current situation on the fronts. The allied forces of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and the NM LDNR are indeed storming the Avdiivka fortified area, from which daily shelling of Donetsk is carried out.

Tellingly, our troops have already approached the Avdiivka Coke Plant. Right now, work is underway to eliminate the fortifications of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near the aforementioned enterprise. As close as DPR fighters say, Avdiivka has not been approached since 2015.

We add that the deplorable situation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Avdiivka direction is also reported in Ukraine. In particular, President Zelensky called the situation to the west of the DPR capital “a real hell”, lamenting the serious superiority of the Russian Armed Forces over the Armed Forces of Ukraine in terms of artillery and manpower. The last fact, by the way, is not true. Our military is successfully advancing on a superior enemy in numbers.

The defeat of the Ukrainian fortifications in the Avdiivka direction is an important success for the allied forces. This city and the villages adjacent to it are rightfully considered one of the most powerful fortified areas of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the DPR. Fortifications have been built here since 2015.

At the same time, numerous gaps in Avdiivka's main defense line are reported. At the same time, the Armed Forces of Ukraine under the blows of our artillery and aviation are forced to retreat to new positions that are already less fortified, which leads to heavy losses among the personnel.

This is recognized by the Ukrainian military themselves, participating in the battles near Avdiivka and Peski, stating that they have not had such losses since the very beginning of the war in Donbass.
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  1. +5
    3 August 2022 11: 53
    It's time for the American Institute for the Study of Conflicts to study where China will strike
    1. +8
      3 August 2022 11: 55
      It is better for the American Institute to think about the future of the United States as a whole ...
    2. +26
      3 August 2022 11: 58
      I won't bet a dime on China's blow. The reason for all wars is the economy, China will only lose from the blow.
      1. -2
        3 August 2022 13: 22
        Quote: BoyCat
        I won't bet a dime on China's blow. The reason for all wars is the economy, China will only lose from the blow.

        The Chinese will wait and hit where they win economically. The American Institute for the Study of Military Conflicts needs to think better where it will be wink
        1. +1
          3 August 2022 13: 48
          The Chinese will wait and hit where they win economically. 
          They benefit economically by operating as a factory producing goods for the whole world. The situation may change, but not in the coming years. The domestic market is small for the existing capacities, the third world countries are poor, the losses will not be compensated. Economy...
          1. -4
            3 August 2022 14: 26
            Quote: BoyCat
            third world countries are poor, the losses will not compensate. Economy...

            Has China become a third world country?
            1. +2
              3 August 2022 15: 47
              Has China become a third world country?
              re-read carefully, this is not about China, but those countries where there are many potential consumers, but they stupidly have no money. Africa, Asia mostly.
              1. -3
                3 August 2022 16: 28
                The Americans themselves are going to the same ...
          2. +1
            5 August 2022 05: 49
            To be fair, China has a huge domestic market. They purposefully created it for years.
            3rd world countries are rowing Chinese goods only on the way.
            And China also produces a large number of minerals that everyone needs.
            1. +1
              5 August 2022 17: 36
              It's like that. But that's barely half of Chinese production. And if they don't sell the second one - kranty.
              1. 0
                5 August 2022 18: 10
                Instead of Europe and US debts, there will be the SCO countries (which seeks to expand). China does not care at all. They don't have a marketing problem right now. And with key technologies.
                1. +1
                  5 August 2022 18: 20
                  But highway countries have much lower purchasing power. And there are enough problems for the Chinese economy everywhere. From personal experience: our supplier of big bags for polymer packaging moved production from China to other countries, Vietnam, Turkey. It has become expensive in China. And this is a tendency, they no longer agree to work for a "handful of rice", the costs of social programs, TB, environmental protection, which no one has mentioned for 20 years, are growing ...
                  1. 0
                    5 August 2022 18: 36
                    No no no.
                    They just went through the period of "fast-growing economies"
                    They are not the first and they are not the last.
                    Normally.
                    Well, there will be stagnation.
                    But ...
                    They faced serious external challenges
                    Therefore, stagnation will have to be put aside for the time being.
                    The SCO countries have huge appetites and expectations that China will gladly satisfy for itself, of course
                    1. 0
                      5 August 2022 19: 40
                      Let's wait and see, you need money to satisfy your appetite.
        2. 0
          7 August 2022 14: 15
          It is enough for the Chinese to start draining dollars in a dosed way, and there is no need for any war. They will break themselves.
      2. -1
        3 August 2022 13: 25
        Quote: BoyCat
        The cause of all wars is the economy,

        Yes??? But what about SVO.
        Or did the evil Putin want to seize the uncountable treasures of the Donbass?

        Do you really think about what the economy is hubert alles? What about the 2008 war? What about the war in Chechnya? Is it all about economics?
        1. +3
          3 August 2022 13: 38
          Quote: Denis812

          Yes??? But what about SVO.
          Or did the evil Putin want to seize the uncountable treasures of the Donbass?

        2. +1
          3 August 2022 13: 43
          Or did the evil Putin want to seize the uncountable treasures of the Donbass?
          And where does Putin in general? He offered to disperse in peace and move NATO to the borders of the 97th. He didn't have a choice. The real reason for these conflicts is that the US needs Russia's resources to survive. And it is UNFAVORABLE to buy them, they need to be taken in the usual way, having robbed the country. That's the economy for you.
          1. -5
            3 August 2022 18: 07
            I wanted to remove NATO to the borders of 97, but I brought it closer to Peter at close range) a genius of strategic thought
            1. -2
              5 August 2022 05: 54
              De facto Finca has been in NATO for a long time. So the official entry is just a formality.
              1. -2
                5 August 2022 13: 50
                De facto, the United States is ten times stronger than us, so what? Fold your paws? It is necessary to fight, only the head must be turned on.
      3. kig
        -2
        3 August 2022 13: 42
        Quote: BoyCat
        The reason for all wars is the economy

        Gold words! But what are we doing in Ukraine then? Oh, I forgot, there is only one special operation!
        1. +2
          3 August 2022 14: 23
          Let's just say - there is a very serious economic implication. And the internal split between the east and west of Ukraine is much closer. Have you heard such words as quotas? Well, there is periodically French, Portuguese fishermen are outraged, the news was usually written about 5-7 years ago. It does not allow the EU to catch more than the norms, but what allows - you need to redeem ta-dammm quotas - to the EU budget. The question is - to whom within the EU and what will the inhabitants of Ukraine sell? Grain - so Holland is the granary of the entire EU. There are no fish, the Portuguese do not have enough. Coal, steel - so they sharchat and do not choke, under elementary pretexts - this is not environmentally friendly, safety 0. Close, yes. Or you know what - but sell it to us, you still don’t have money for modernization. And everyone who did not fit in - in the cold. Let's say Motor Sich buys out Rolls-Royce and does contract assembly there, or shuts it down altogether. Read what happened to Lithuania and the Ignalina nuclear power plant. And if the collective farmers somehow manage to survive in their garden (no one will let them enter the EU market, there will not be enough money to buy quotas), then Eastern Ukraine will not. And they generally understood it very well there - that joining the EU for them personally is a disaster
          1. kig
            +2
            4 August 2022 01: 44
            Quote: kamakama
            Let's just say - there is a very serious economic implication

            What you have described is Ukraine's problems in relations with the EU. Everyone who joined this union had to sacrifice something, this has long been known. I reacted to the phrase about the causes of all wars, so the question is the same: What do we have to do with it? What problems could force us to start all this? And, if we consider the war as an economic task, then what economic effect will we get as a result?
            1. +1
              4 August 2022 09: 14
              I'm afraid the economy here is very vague, it's pure politics. Influence points, repartition of the world. The only thing from the economy is perhaps some businesses that produce something unique. Helium and other noble gases, the same engines for aviation, grain, fertilizers ... But for this you need to know perfectly the range of products produced in the territory and its market share in the world
              1. kig
                +1
                4 August 2022 15: 07
                Well, I knew that someone BoyCat just remembered a clever phrase that he had heard somewhere. Others will skim the economic cream, but nothing shines for us here.
        2. 0
          3 August 2022 18: 12
          It is a pity that they forgot Kozma Prutkov, look at the root. But for this you need to know something and be able to analyze.
      4. +1
        4 August 2022 18: 53
        Most often, this is the ambition of one upstart. Napoleons, Hitlers, Caesars. And numerous khans!
    3. +4
      3 August 2022 11: 58
      China will not strike anywhere. They have green tomatoes.
    4. -3
      3 August 2022 12: 48
      The armed forces of the Russian Federation are not the heirs of Zhyukov and Rokosovsky.
      So

      -petena and montgomery.
      -sell like in PMV.
      Coverage of all fortified areas - strikes on the borders and Dnepropetrovsk.
      Boiler, dismantled in the cinema.
      50 years of filming and showing.
      Conclusion: do not want to crush quickly
    5. -3
      3 August 2022 13: 28
      Judging by the "last" Chinese warning, "don't wait!"
    6. 0
      3 August 2022 13: 56
      China lives in another dimension of time. It is unlikely that this institution will survive until the moment when China decides to respond, maybe 20 years will pass.
    7. 0
      3 August 2022 14: 49
      They will stand against the PRC, but against both - this is the collapse of everything.
  2. GNM
    +14
    3 August 2022 11: 57
    Yes, there, on the forehead, on the forehead, in 8 years they built such an anthill, from which side you don’t approach, but anyway, clean it up like the Augean stables.
    1. -4
      3 August 2022 12: 07
      Quote: GNM
      Yes, there is what is on the forehead, what is on the forehead

      Judging by the fact that this institute has been running hot, their forehead is somewhere in the buttocks area.
    2. +3
      3 August 2022 12: 07
      They say they have already entered the industrial complex of Avdiivka.
      .There is a slow but stubborn advance near Donetsk: the soldiers of the Liberation Forces are already in the industrial zone of Avdiivka.


      . The work of our artillery on the fortifications directly in front of Avdiivka.

      We have never been so close to taking this city. Now there is a dismantling of fortifications near the coke plant.

      https://t.me/s/avdeevkaru
    3. -2
      3 August 2022 12: 51
      Just fill with napalm
  3. +3
    3 August 2022 11: 59
    The American Institute for the Study of Conflict Wars (ISW) concluded...
    Well, at least we agree that our offensive is a success and that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are suffering heavy losses, although with a few American-style reservations. I do not rule out that when the last nail is driven into the coffin of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, ISW, conducting its "analysis", will declare that this is not the end and now the most difficult thing for the Russian army will begin ...
    1. +1
      3 August 2022 12: 20
      they have not had such losses since the very beginning of the war in Donbass.
      Atu them! Atu!
    2. +7
      3 August 2022 12: 40
      Quote: rotmistr60
      that our offensive is successful and the Armed Forces of Ukraine are suffering heavy losses

      Losses are on both sides. And big ones. But the question arises - when did frontal attacks become a masterpiece of military strategy? Even with superiority in artillery?
      In addition, I would recommend thinking about how many hundreds of kilometers of trenches the Ukrainians dug in the south, during our digging in the Donbass?
      1. -6
        3 August 2022 12: 58
        About the trenches - much less than our grandfathers in the Second World War, but you need more and to no avail ....
        the Americans launched a "whisperer" and everyone got excited .... The question is, why not take the enemy's trench that stands in front of you when the dill was mowed there? The cutting edge has been processed, but you need to attack like real heroes around? If only not in the forehead ...! It’s impossible on the forehead, the old tactic .... But has the enemy strengthened the flanks more than the center? For sofas: an attack is a tactical method of conducting a battle, a strategy includes types of military operations - an offensive, a breakthrough, etc. Someone is picking their nose....and people are fighting in the Donbass. Something like this.
        1. +3
          3 August 2022 19: 33
          Quote from uprun
          About the trenches - much less than our grandfathers in the Second World War

          Urya our everything? wink What are flanks about? On what scale?
          Quote from uprun
          and in the Donbass people are fighting. Something like this.

          Do you want to put them all down in the name of victory? Are you familiar with the concept of "Pyrrhic victory"?
      2. 0
        3 August 2022 15: 05
        In addition, I would recommend thinking about how many hundreds of kilometers of trenches the Ukrainians dug in the south, during our digging in the Donbass?

        Much less than in the previous 7 years...
      3. 0
        3 August 2022 17: 25
        A normal tactic is to grind the fascists with artillery and move forward only after no one is left alive in enemy positions.
        1. +1
          3 August 2022 20: 12
          Quote: Servisinzhener
          Normal tactics in grinding the Nazis with artillery and moving forward

          Read the opinions of our military correspondents in the TG. Arta rules, but she's not all-powerful. With adjustments, the Khokhls are still better. Pointing satellites of "partners", etc., but the question is - what have our specialized departments been doing for the last couple of decades?
          1. 0
            4 August 2022 08: 48
            I'm reading. Such texts are periodically thrown in. The Older Edda channel sins with this. Posts about how well organized the adjustment / guidance / reconnaissance / supply / planning of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. And how terrible it is for us. Only here is something in our telegram channels there are no appeals from fighters that everything is bad and from several companies a few dozen people remained in a week. And in Ukrainian such appeals began to be recorded more and more often. According to the same Sands, Gnezdilov's recent appeal. Or the appeal of the fighters of the 2nd battalion of the 58th MPBR of the Armed Forces of Ukraine about how they were sent without maps and heavy weapons to unequipped positions where, having come under fire, they hastily retreated as far as Konotop. And so yes
            With adjustments, the Khokhls are still better. Guidance of satellites of "partners", etc.,
            1. +2
              4 August 2022 18: 11
              Romanov Light, Sith Corner, Gray Zone, Firebomber, Intelligence, Phantom of Novorossiya, etc. And on Elder Edda, sin in vain, a person personally fights there. And very reserved in criticism.
  4. -9
    3 August 2022 12: 02
    The fact that all our "brilliant" strategists were reduced to a frontal assault, without boilers, even for company-battalion level units, became clear back in May. Although in June there was a lot of noise about 2k surrounded but then silence. We are waiting for comments from adherents of the sect of "grinding" the Armed Forces of Ukraine and minimizing losses. However, I can write 90% of the answers myself. Fortunately, there as butts repeat the same thing.
    1. Since you are so smart, go volunteer.
    2. Smart people are sitting at the headquarters. This is a cunning plan.
    3. What do you want ours to die in attacks?
    4. The Armed Forces of Ukraine and the EU are about to fall apart, you just need to sit on the wall.
    1. +5
      3 August 2022 12: 15
      strategists reduced to a frontal assault

      Nevertheless, the offensive in the area of ​​Avdiivka and Peskov is a great success, judging by the howl in the Ukrainian segment of the telegram, as well as by the videos of military correspondents. The Armed Forces themselves did not expect an assault on the campaign, now they are hastily trying to transfer reserves from other directions.
      1. +1
        3 August 2022 12: 36
        Quote: Pulkovo1942
        Nevertheless, the offensive in the area of ​​​​Avdiivka and Peskov is a great success.

        What is this big? And what is the price of the issue, do you want to think?
        1. -5
          3 August 2022 12: 47
          Victory, arrange?.
        2. -1
          3 August 2022 12: 58
          And who told you that the allied troops are going head-on? You were there? or just to write misinformation
          1. +1
            3 August 2022 19: 35
            Quote: Strannik96
            And who told you that the allied troops are going head-on?

            Are you able to analyze the dynamics of the actions of the allied forces over the past couple of months?
      2. +2
        3 August 2022 12: 41
        The Armed Forces themselves did not expect an assault on the campaign, now they are hastily trying to transfer reserves from other directions

        Well, they shouted that there was no one to fight in the sun and no one wants to. And then they transfer reserves to you.
    2. 0
      3 August 2022 13: 09
      I'll add one more :)
      There is a disposal of artillery ammunition with a close expiration date. And their great USSR riveted in the calculation of three world wars at once.
      1. +2
        3 August 2022 19: 37
        Quote: Yakut
        Artillery ammunition in progress

        Yes. And how is the replacement of the nomenclature of equipment and ammunition going? wink
        In the West, it is in full swing.
    3. +2
      3 August 2022 13: 45
      "We are waiting for comments from adherents of the sect of "grinding" the Armed Forces of Ukraine" They are saints. By their faith we will all be saved! lol
    4. -5
      3 August 2022 18: 20
      Ours left the competition in terms of the number of surrounded opponents, realizing that it was useless to compete with the arrest
  5. +1
    3 August 2022 12: 14
    It is worth noting that the data of American experts are fully consistent with the current situation on the fronts. The allied forces of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and the NM LDNR are indeed storming the Avdiivka fortified area, from which daily shelling of Donetsk is carried out.
    With proper training and resources, fortifications can be destroyed, manpower can be destroyed in part, the rest will retreat on their own ...
    We'll see what the end result will be....
  6. 0
    3 August 2022 12: 32
    ... the Ukrainian military themselves, participating in the battles near Avdiivka and Peski, stating that they have not had such losses since the very beginning of the war in Donbass.

    It's only the beginning!
  7. +2
    3 August 2022 12: 50
    Zelya is right: hell is provided for them.
  8. +4
    3 August 2022 12: 51
    I am always surprised that someone says, states, explains and passes off as the truth from abroad, what is with the union, what is now. But where are our analysts, they are all speaking with Solovyov, they are afraid to write lines, they will suddenly misunderstand. Here the article of our institute should be, and not the state one, and the analyzes should be ours, otherwise it turns out, we only Confirm. We are not capable of anything else, except in the forehead.
    1. -3
      3 August 2022 13: 16
      All analysts in the RF Ministry of Defense, in the media and on forums are extras ..., voiced in fact ...
  9. -5
    3 August 2022 13: 01
    "Butovskaya ventilation shaft", what are the fans mining there?
    1. +1
      3 August 2022 13: 46
      It comes from the word ventilation.
  10. +2
    3 August 2022 13: 27
    It is Sands that are now grinding our powerful MLRS and 240 mm Tulips.
    The American Institute, like all loafers, always has a preparation based on real cases, like, "did a study" and "looks like the truth", the main thing is "... let's get more money for research" :))
  11. -2
    3 August 2022 13: 39
    Just as at one time it was not clear where the police ended and Benya began, so now it is not very clear where the Amer Institute ends and Girkin begins, a photo from his resource on VK, an article on style from there, apparently ..
  12. +1
    3 August 2022 13: 40
    Judging by the revelations of the roblogger Butusov (Kots published), ours are going well, the main thing is that there are enough shells. Now, they say, we live in monopoly on Soviet stocks created for the war with NATO, on a larger scale and in a different number of drugs. Our modern industry, although it works in three shifts, does not produce the required number of corrected ammunition, unfortunately.
  13. +1
    3 August 2022 13: 54
    They failed to surround it, but then they decided on the forehead. Hardly...
  14. +1
    3 August 2022 13: 57
    Interestingly, what used to prevent "attacking on the forehead" (if this corresponds to reality)?
    Technologically, the destruction of shelters is a difficult task. What destroys shelters?
    1. 0
      3 August 2022 15: 08
      I wonder what used to prevent "attack on the forehead"
      The presence of unsuppressed artillery "there" and the amount of artillery available "here" ...
  15. +1
    3 August 2022 14: 23
    American Institute for the Study of Military Conflicts: Russian forces decided to attack Avdiivka head-on
    This is the American method, but before the assault, they have a mandatory carpet bombing. request
  16. 0
    3 August 2022 14: 59
    If you first hit the forehead with a sledgehammer, then you can safely go on the attack

    Avdiivka, whatever one may say, is everywhere a forehead, for 8 years they have dug in and thoroughly poured into concrete. at first there were attempts to find gaps and go into the flanks, but apart from losses, they brought nothing. It is logical to assume that a frontal attack is more convenient in terms of logistics for the troops, and cover from strikes from the same chimeras
    1. +1
      3 August 2022 16: 04
      By and large, Avdiivka is a fairly convenient target for a frontal attack, it is literally on the front line, the coordinates are known, we have a multiple advantage in artillery, they have very limited ability to maneuver. Long-term high-intensity shelling will turn everything upside down, and if aviation starts throwing bombs at 3000 kg and above, no fortifications will be saved at all.
  17. 0
    3 August 2022 16: 16
    Those who know, tell me what kind of "snail" on the gun carriage?
  18. 0
    3 August 2022 16: 20
    Quote: kig
    Quote: BoyCat
    The reason for all wars is the economy

    Gold words! But what are we doing in Ukraine then? Oh, I forgot, there is only one special operation!

    Create a buffer
  19. 0
    3 August 2022 16: 41
    At the same time, numerous gaps in Avdiivka's main defense line are reported. At the same time, under the blows of our artillery and aviation, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are forced to retreat to new positions, which are already less fortified, which leads to heavy losses among the personnel.
    as they say: "not by washing, so by rolling"
  20. 0
    3 August 2022 18: 58
    Quote: Vincent Price
    I wanted to remove NATO to the borders of 97, but I brought it closer to Peter

    It was not he who brought them closer, but the filthy Yeltsinists-shorn, "waved" the NATO troops to the right and to the left. Who chewed snot when NATO fascists bombed Belgrade? Eltsyn with Chernomor, who betrayed M. Gaddafi and slept through Israel's deal for the supply of S-300 to Iran?
  21. 0
    3 August 2022 23: 32
    The American Institute for the Study of Military Conflicts (ISW) concluded that the RF Armed Forces had abandoned their intention to take the settlement. Avdiivka in the Donetsk region was surrounded, but they decided to attack it "on the forehead."

    well, when there is no infantry, what kind of environment can there be - no one ...
    and "vlob" - no need for mind - the experience of the First World ...

    At the same time, experts note that our troops have already achieved the first successes.

    but no one is voicing the price...
  22. 0
    5 August 2022 00: 41
    Quote: Moore
    Girkin begins, a photo from his resource on VK, an article on style from there, apparently ..

    Why did Strelkov not please you?
    Unfortunately, much of what he predicted came true.
  23. AML
    0
    7 August 2022 20: 59
    Quote: kig
    What problems could force us to start all this? And if the

    There was once a war for a bucket. A bucket costs money, so does the economy.


    The war over the oak bucket began on the morning of November 15, 1325. The battle that took place at the foot of the hill just outside the castle walls was one of the greatest battles that took place in the Middle Ages. About 35000 infantrymen and 4000 knights took part in it.


    Well, if in essence, then. The world was actively moving towards a new world order - the power of corporations, which were supposed to carry out supranational management. This is just the beginning of the global shuher.
    The Bologna system, juvenile justice, transgender people, the idiocy of governments that have driven the people into a stall are all links in the same chain. So, yes, the economy is the same here.

    Ah, here. Trojan War. They seemed to be fighting for their aunt. And pancake "The unfaithful spouse took with her most of the property,"
  24. 0
    8 August 2022 14: 53
    Quote: kytx
    De facto Finca has been in NATO for a long time. So the official entry is just a formality.

    Ничего подобного.