UAVs against air defense: the myth of the omnipotence of air defense systems
Source: infosmi.net
Modern armed conflicts show that the wars of the future will be fought with high-precision and mobile weapons, and the role of attack and reconnaissance UAVs comes to the fore. The era of large mechanized armies of the XNUMXth century is fading into the past, the time of high technologies and perfection of reconnaissance is coming, when one precise and verified blow can neutralize the firepower of the enemy. And UAVs, both reconnaissance and combat, play a key role in this new concept of modern warfare.
It should be noted that at the moment there are very few serious works on the effectiveness of the UAV. Of what is in the public domain, perhaps the only major work on this topic is the monograph by S. Makarenko "Counteraction to unmanned aerial vehicles." This work has been of great help to me in writing this article, and some excerpts from it will be given below.
The vast majority of modern experts who talk about the effectiveness of UAVs make overly optimistic conclusions about the success of countermeasures. drones air defense systems, as well as electronic weapons. In reality, things are not exactly as the "talking heads" in the media claim. Small UAVs (small-sized and low-speed) are the most difficult to counter. Small UAVs include devices weighing up to 25 kilograms, flying up to 3 kilometers and with a range of up to 40 kilometers.
Which of the Russian air defense systems can effectively counter UAVs? Based on the declared technical characteristics, these are 3PK "Top-M1" and "Top-2E", "Buk-M2E" and "Buk-MZ", "Vityaz", anti-aircraft missile and gun systems (ZRPK) "Pantsir-S1" and "Pine". For example, it is assumed that the radars of the Top-M1 and Oca-AKM anti-aircraft systems are capable of detecting small-sized UAVs at ranges of 3,3-7,4 km. However, what do we observe in practice? Here I will quote an excerpt from the monograph by S. Makarenko:
That is, in practice, we see that air defense systems are often ineffective against small-sized UAVs. And we are talking not only about the Tor air defense system and the Pantsir-S1 air defense missile system. The Strela-10 air defense system, as practice has shown, turned out to be capable of hitting a mini-UAV of the Akila type only in daytime conditions. At the same time, the Akila UAV is an outdated device, withdrawn from service, while modern devices are smaller and have lower thermal contrast.
And how are things going with countering the Bayraktar TB2 strike drone? On the one hand, we see quite a lot of reports from the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation about the downing of UAV data in Ukraine, on the other hand, we see quite a lot of videos when, with the help of Bayraktars, the Armed Forces of Ukraine strike at Russian military equipment, at the air defense system (Snake Island), on the positions of the RF Armed Forces. The same videos appeared in abundance during the conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh, in which drone attacks and drones played a decisive role.
Apparently, the official expert community still does not appreciate the capabilities of drones very highly. Let us cite, for example, the words of a military expert, Major General of the Reserve Vladimir Popov, who on April 17 in a comment to Gazeta.ru stated the following:
What this conclusion is based on is not entirely clear. Consider the result of the use of domestic air defense in Syria and Nagorno-Karabakh.
So, the Bayraktar TV2 UAV is a strike UAV carrying up to 4 UMTAS guided anti-tank missiles that can hit targets at a distance of up to 8 km. The combat use of the Bayraktar TV2 UAV involves the performance of two main types of tasks: reconnaissance and strike. When performing a reconnaissance mission, the UAV is flying at an altitude of about 6 kilometers. In this case, the Pantsir-S1 radar will be able to detect this UAV at a distance (horizontally) of about 7 kilometers. The American military module Wescam CMX-2D is used as the optoelectronic system (OES) of Bayraktar TV15. The cameras of this module make it possible to detect a tank-type target, according to some sources, at a distance of up to 80 km. And at a distance of 20 km, the resolution of this ECO allows you to view the driver's cabin.
Thus, the reconnaissance capabilities of the Bayraktar significantly exceed the detection capabilities of the Pantsir-S1 air defense missile system, and the UAV can reveal the location of the air defense missile system outside the radius of destruction. Having determined the location of the target, "Bayraktar" issues target designation on it for the use of strike weapons. Here is another quote from the monograph:
In the war in Syria, Turkey has taken the tactics of using its UAVs to a new level. A tactic was developed for the use of Bayraktar TV2 strike UAVs massively, in groups, under the cover of heavier Anka reconnaissance UAVs equipped with radar, OER and REP systems, as part of solving the tasks of hitting 3PK and air defense systems. If you believe the media of the opposing parties, then in Syria, from September 2019 to September 2020, in duel situations between UAVs and ZRPKs, about 20 Bayraktar TV2 and Anka UAVs were shot down, while 8 Pantsir-S1 air defense systems were lost.
If we talk about the hostilities in Nagorno-Karabakh, here the Azerbaijani armed forces have demonstrated the high efficiency of the use of UAVs and combat drones. The massive use of the Bayraktar TV2 UAV, together with the Sky Striker, Harop and Orbiter kamikaze UAVs, resulted in the almost complete destruction of the Armenian 3PK Osa and Strela-10 deployed in Nagorno-Karabakh in the early days of the conflict. Air defense was completely powerless. Nagorno-Karabakh lost most of its air defense systems on the very first day of the war, while Azerbaijan lost only 4 UAVs. The massive and effective use of UAVs, first to destroy air defense systems, and then armored vehicles and manpower of the enemy, was called the "war of drones" in the media and was encountered in world practice for the first time.
What conclusion can be drawn from all of the above?
Firstly, contrary to popular belief, in the confrontation between UAVs and air defense, it is UAVs that seize the initiative in waging confrontation. The myth that domestic air defense systems are able to cope with any challenges in the field of countering drones and drones continues to be supported by most official experts and the media, but this is a dangerous delusion.
Secondly, drones have begun to play a key role in modern conflicts. Small groups with active reconnaissance, encrypted communications and combat drones are now able to achieve results with much greater efficiency than large, hulking mechanized columns with heavy firepower. An ancient Latin proverb says - "Times change, and we change with them." Armies must keep up with the times, and not live in the ghosts of the past.
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