Scaring with savages: rising global tensions in a fiscal perspective
A fairy tale is a lie, but there is a hint in it, a lesson to a good fellow.
As one of NATO architects George F. Kennan said,
“If the USSR disappeared into the depths of the sea tomorrow, the American military-industrial elites would continue to work without any changes until they invented some new adversary. Any other option would be an unacceptable shock to the American economy. "
Sharp US budget deficit
In this article, we will consider two phenomena - the acute budget deficit of the United States (most recently - 2, and now - already 3 trillion dollars a year) and another Ukrainian hysteria of recent months.
It would seem, what is common between these phenomena?
Just think, where on the planet can you get two or three TRILLION dollars a year, so that no one shouts "guard"? This is extremely difficult!
Let's figure out what options are visible here.
First, some new levies.
But America is a democracy, and inside the country you won't be able to work out that much. The scam with carbon credits and the like is also going on neither shaky nor roll. The client went scared.
Secondly, it is an increase in exports.
But what export?
American tech giants already operate duty-free in Europe. They will no longer be allowed into China - another digital ecosystem. Was story with the imposition of a trade deal by Trump on China, but even there it seems again neither shaky nor shaky. China does not want to buy what it does not want to buy.
Of the few remaining options, consider export weapons and energy carriers.
Arms exports have been pushed furiously lately - this is all sorts of sabotage of competitors (Russia and France in the first place), and an increase in the degree of tension in the world.
Taiwan and Australia have already been successfully pushed on, which have turned from China's favorite business partners into almost front-line territory. Australia has been particularly cynical about $ 60 billion nuclear submarines. To wage an atomic war with yesterday's main business partner, apparently.
Now let's switch to European theater.
Since the end of the Cold War, European countries have been mercilessly saving on military spending.
How do you put them on?
Another Ukrainian hysteria of recent months
That's right, you need a threat.
What?
It is clear - what kind. Play the concert Brutal Massacre over Fluffy and Freedom-loving Ukraine (ZveRPSU).
After that, it will be possible to push through many countries to purchase weapons, frightening them with savagery. Following Taiwan and Australia, so to speak.
The tension in the Donbass, the United States and Britain can play quite freely, and raise hysteria in the media - they are ready to do this for free, for fun. A bloody and revealing conflict is needed, and it would be good if American weapons show themselves well in this terrible meat grinder.
But what will not work out in reality can be corrected through the media, as a last resort. Fierceness from the Russian side can be provided by Ukrainian right-wing radicals, for example. All of them, however, will be killed during the conflict, but the top can then be taken out and reused.
It's clear with weapons.
What about energy?
First of all, we are talking about gas here.
American gas in Europe is not very competitive - too expensive. Given Germany's energy problems, for example, the switch to American gas could mean that the entire margin of an already troubled economy will go overseas.
The first calls with the idea of "Freedom gas" failed, but the United States has an extensive network of sincere friends. For example, some German “greens” took the same courses at Yale as Navalny and Volkov, as well as the activist of two Maidans, Vakarchuk, and activists of the “Arab Spring”.
In short, how to suck in the gas?
There is one option.
First, to raise prices by an artificial crisis (already done), bring your gas to the market, and then cut off the previous supplier.
How?
See above about zwerps.
And here, by the way, one more moment.
During the previous Olympic Games in Beijing, there was a war on 08.08.08. During the games in Sochi, Maidan overthrew Yanukovych. The upcoming games begin in February in Beijing.
If the US team does not perform well, it will be an unwanted signal to the whole world, in part - who is now in charge. So the US is already starting a boycott with the motivation "for the Rid Uyghurs, our brothers." It turns out not very natural. Zverp is in short supply. It is advisable in January to have time to shock the world with the crimes of totalitarian regimes.
In general, a beautiful solitaire, even too beautiful.
But in today's situation, the United States is more dangerous to allies than rivals. But in five to ten years, when all the Swedes and Czechs will be overstocked with weapons, there will be a different alignment, another fight will be outlined.
Or maybe it's all not true. Think, compare, check.
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