Another red line has been passed. Then just drown
Source: The US National Archives
The press all over the world is abuzz about another incident at sea. This time in the Black Sea. British Royal destroyer fleet "Defender" actually violated the Russian border and entered our territorial waters for 3 kilometers, while not responding to warnings from coast guard boats about border violations. The captain's insolent actions were directly aimed at provoking Russia.
Describe the actions of the destroyer commander, the Russian coast guard, aviation I will not go to the Black Sea Fleet. Much has been written about this today, and everyone will be able to follow the incident literally minute by minute. But it is necessary to recall the events that took place a little earlier.
Let's remember the end of November last year.
Experts remember the events in the Peter the Great Gulf. It was then that another ship, the American destroyer John McCain, sank 2 kilometers into our waters and left them only after being warned of a ram from the Admiral Vinogradov. Then it was not possible to use aerial bombs. The Americans fled heroically. But the sediment remained. As well as the understanding that such provocations will be repeated.
We often read about intercepts of aircraft in neutral skies, about meetings, quite unfriendly, our and American ships in various parts of the oceans, about clashes between our military and the Americans in Syria ... Somehow, incomprehensibly, the matter has not yet come to direct fire contact. In particular, after a warning bombardment, in case of failure to comply with the instructions to leave the territorial waters, the ship must be destroyed.
It seems to me that when planning the operation, the British made one, but a very important mistake. They did not take into account that the Russians are acting outside the box, and the operations of our units are never carried out according to the same algorithm as the previous ones. Purely theoretically, I will assume that the NATO ship was being prepared for the next ram. And it was then that the special forces of Britain, the United States and Ukraine should have come into play. They were on board. The bombing was an "unexpected surprise."
Ukraine is just a sacrificial lamb
The West wants to torment Russia, but does not want to send its people to the slaughter. And it is here that our neighboring reckless neighbor emerges. Ukrainian society has been brought to the point where, without flinching, it will accept the coffins of its soldiers or sailors who died in a skirmish with the Russian army or navy.
Talking about the British destroyer, we somehow forget about the events that happened literally the day before.
On the solemn reception of the destroyer in Odessa and, most importantly, on the contracts that were concluded on board this ship. On another loan for the Navy, on the sale of ships written off by the British Navy and on the construction of new boats at British shipyards.
We have already written about the economic feasibility of this project more than once. The fact that Ukrainians will not really see a loan, too. But why the decommissioned minesweepers to Ukrainian sailors are not yet available. After all, these ships will not really strengthen the fleet. Plastic mine detectors capable of destroying mines using guided search vehicles.
Here they can be the perfect irritant for the Russians. It is clear that Russia, Russian sailors and border guards, will not be afraid to carry out the order and sink any intruder. The seizure of Ukrainian boats was misunderstood by the opposing side. The warning of Russian sailors in the Peter the Great Gulf was also misunderstood.
The West perceived these gestures of goodwill as weakness, inability to respond adequately, and, possibly, as cowardice. The planned provocation was to prove just that.
By the way, the question of planned provocation will certainly arise. To which I have a counter-question. Dear sailors and military personnel - maritime border guards, did you have a lot of journalists on your ships dangling around idle during the campaigns?
On the one hand, nothing serious seems to have happened. Nobody was injured, equipment and weapons, too. A version for ordinary people about the navigator's mistake when plotting a course has been proposed. But for the naval headquarters of NATO countries, for the United States, for Russia, for China, the time has come for reflection.
Crossed red line followed by war.
And it doesn't matter who will go to the next provocation. The time for persuasion is over. It's time for action.
Again, NATO will not send its sailors or pilots into battle with Russia. But today the overwhelming majority of conscripts of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the Navy are entering the army with the confidence that if they have to fight with someone, it will be Russian Ivan. Alas, this is exactly the case.
I have already written about the complete reformatting of Ukrainian society. And the Ukrainian soldiers will go to the provocation in full confidence in their righteousness. And they will die honestly, according to Slavic customs.
Should we expect to continue
This is probably the main question today. I have already partially answered it.
Operations of this kind will now be developed much more subtly, involving not only warships, but also civilian ships. Simply put, no one else will go into the forehead. Except for the "defenders of a democratic Europe", perhaps.
Moreover, provocations should become larger, which means that several countries should take part in them at once. And this can be organized without arousing the legitimate interest of the enemy's intelligence, while preparing and conducting various exercises. The link to the navigator's error, which did not go through today, during the exercise can be perfectly used in these cases. The navigator was mistaken, the driver missed a turn, the platoon commander was incorrectly attached to the terrain, etc.
And here I have to return to Ukraine again.
More precisely, to the new concept of the development of the Ukrainian Navy. The Strategy 2035 program, adopted several years ago, was changed in May this year. What the Commander of the Ukrainian Navy, Rear Admiral Oleksiy Neizhpapa, told about:
“The Navy is to be modernized by 2025. The main rival and potential enemy of the Ukrainian Navy at sea is Russia and its Black Sea Fleet. The Ukrainian fleet is now faced with the task of resuming operations in the near sea zone in the medium term, that is, at a distance of 200 nautical miles from the coast (360 kilometers). "
"Ukraine is going to achieve a continuous presence at sea," to ensure national interests. " Ukraine will not seek parity in armaments with Russia, but will act on an asymmetric principle: defense from the sea will rely on coastal missile systems and small ships and boats at sea, as well as assistance from the country's air force. "
But since God did not give horns to the vigorous cow, one should not expect provocations in the Black Sea in the near future.
Plans to build British bases for the Royal Navy on the Black and Azov Seas look much more serious. In Ochakov, where the Americans built a command center, they will now build a full-fledged naval base. The base in Berdyansk is not so interesting, but it will also divert some forces and resources from our border guards and the Navy.
Brief conclusions about the aggravation of relations in the region
The possibility of incidents on land and at sea lies in the fact that there are no legally formalized agreements on borders and zones of influence between us and NATO. Changes in the world have led to the emergence of a lot of places with an uncertain status. This applies to a fairly large number of states.
The islands built in the South China Sea, and therefore all the privileges of the state-owner of the island defined by the law of the sea, are not recognized by the United States and Japan. Crimea is not recognized by NATO and Ukraine, etc. It will be difficult to legally prove something in the event of a conflict. And given that we play by their rules in international courts, we must be ready to resolve issues in fact. On the spot. And then you can pull the rubber in the courts.
It seems to me that the tension in relations with the West will drag on for a long time. As the meeting of the presidents showed, or rather how it was interpreted in the United States and the leading European media, the global West will not just give up world domination. Our hopes that China would bear the brunt of the blow did not materialize. They hit us mainly. It is Moscow, in the opinion of the Americans, that should stop supporting Beijing and go over to Washington's side.
This is what we are now being actively shown with all these provocations, diplomatic demarches, the emergence of various insolent claims and other unfriendly actions. Simply put, they want to intimidate us again, to take on weakly, if you like.
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