In the American military-themed press, material was released, which considers options for improving the nuclear arsenal. This is an article by columnists Garrett Hink and Pranay Waddi in War On The Rocks.
The material says that the new US administration is looking for ways to improve the arsenal of nuclear weapons, at the same time, two options are proposed: a complete abandonment of Minuteman intercontinental ballistic missiles, or their soonest replacement with new ones. Basically, this is one option ...
Hink and Pranai write that this is too radical an approach. It was noted that the Joe Biden administration would have to go for an alternative option - to extend the service life of the Minuteman ICBMs. At the same time, the authors of the article write that today "the threat of a massive nuclear strike is extremely small."
From the article:
Russia is the only country in the world that can attempt a massive nuclear attack on the United States.
The authors note that one cannot write off China and North Korea in this regard, but “an attempt to use nuclear weapons in response against these countries will lead to the fact that American ICBMs will fly over the territory of Russia, since it borders on both China and North Korea ".
Hink and Pranai actually make it clear that in the event of a US nuclear war against China or the DPRK, Russia will certainly be drawn into it.
The flight of nuclear ICBMs over Russian territory could provoke a nuclear retaliation from Russia. This effectively excludes the possibility of an attack on China and North Korea.
As a result, the authors write that the Biden administration should focus on the fact that it is Russia that needs to be "restrained from the first massive strike," and that ICBMs are still suitable for this, which can be upgraded by extending their service life.