The situation in the world and in Russia is rapidly deteriorating. The Kremlin is losing the levers of economic management and does not know how to live outside the framework of the commodity model. A new threat arises in the West when, after the US elections, the Democrats come to power, who will inevitably unleash a cold war with Russia.
Moscow's strategy to integrate the Russian Federation into Europe from Lisbon to Vladivostok was initially flawed. As a result, this inevitably led to a situation "at a broken trough". Nobody needs an "energy gas station" in the future sixth technological structure, where the West is striving, led by the United States, China and Japan. The Russian elite does not know what to do next in such conditions. The raw model has been exhausted. Along with it, the time of the "elites" flourishing with raw materials ends. Rattling weapons (in the context of de-industrialization, total degradation of the country's social and economic infrastructure, as well as the destruction of science, education and health care) ꟷ will do nothing. As an example: the most powerful Soviet army in the world did not save the USSR from collapse. The war is going on at all other levels - both in the field of concepts of the future and on the basis of ideas, information, stories, economics, finance and technology. Direct aggression is unlikely, but the enemy's intervention and occupation of our strategic and most important points, which ensure our self-destruction (with a little help from outside), are real.
The "pandemic" showed the impending collapse of the control system. First, Moscow followed the West and imposed suicidal restrictions that neither protected the people from infection, nor saved the economy. At the same time, the Kremlin pulled back from the situation, giving the regional barons and princelings the opportunity to save themselves as best they could. Although, if the infection is as terrible as it was painted, then there are standard protocols from the times of the USSR, worked out and effective. Including an emergency situation, the use of resources of law enforcement agencies, the army. That is, the "virus" laid the foundations for the future autonomization of the Russian Federation. Then, when the “second wave” (caused by previous mistakes) began, the previous mistakes were not recognized. The situation was released, partially repeating the old methods, but without fanaticism, so as not to kill the economy. As a result, the people are rapidly becoming poorer. At first there was confusion and apathy, now anger and hatred are growing. People go to the streets around the world ꟷ France, Germany, Poland, Bulgaria, Latin America. Unrest in Georgia and Armenia.
The next stage (following the example of Ukraine and Belarus) will be the activation of the street and social protests. "Bells" go all over Russia - Arkhangelsk, Khabarovsk, Bashkiria, Dagestan, etc. They may soon merge into a common riot.
And the problems and questions from the people to the authorities have accumulated a wagon and a small cart. Here is the ecology. And the pension "reform" that is killing the people. The growth of various taxes and levies (the "people - new oil" strategy). And exorbitant arrogance and isolation from the masses of the caste of "new nobles." And the fall in the incomes of most of the population with a simultaneous growth in the capital of the oligarchy and the higher officials. And foreign policy "victories", which for some reason only worsen the strategic position of Russia. And the agony of school and medicine, which, in essence, turned into paid services, and much more.
The policy of recognizing credit debts of the regions of the Russian Federation and complete non-interference in their uncontrolled increase is an indicator of the loss of control over the economy. The contradictions in the regions, as well as between the regions and the center, are growing. Conditions are emerging for a new stage in the disintegration of Russia, the second after 1991. Thus, the Kremlin admits its helplessness. Loses the role of "lawyer-solvers" in conflicts between various groups and clans of the Russian "elite". The president, the administration and the government do not know what to counter the force majeure circumstances. All this is leading Russia to a new turmoil.
New Russian-Turkish war
The threat from the West is growing. Apparently, the Democratic Party, albeit through large-scale falsifications and control over information (media and social networks), and Biden came to power for four years. True, until January 2021, some unpredictable event may well occur, such as the war between Iran and Israel (with the involvement of the United States and Saudi Arabia). And the States can switch to internal turmoil. The team that is now gathering in Washington from globalists and neocons (neoconservatives) will obviously increase the onslaught on Russia. Trump, due to his concentration on domestic problems, did not particularly pester Russia. Democrats and globalists, on the other hand, are focused on global politics. Russia for them is one of the irritants, an unbroken "evil empire" to which ordinary people are distracted.
The attack will come from several directions. External is the continuation of the unspoken Russian-Turkish war. TV talks about the Kremlin's "multiple moves" and victories (only in Syria we have already won three times), but in reality we only concede, we bow down, leave the issues unresolved, postponed for later. In particular, Erdogan (who is pursuing a policy of re-establishing the Turkish empire, the "Great Turan") has already achieved obvious successes in Syria, Libya and the Caucasus. Turkey infiltrates Ukraine, targets Crimea. Through the Transcaucasia, the Turks reached the Caspian Sea and Turkestan, and there is a threat to the Russian North Caucasus, and then to the Volga region. Some of the global elites, in particular the British elite and American globalist democrats, are behind Turkey. The adherents of the new Turkish empire are being set against Russia, as has happened more than once in the past.
In the west and southwest, we get a practically continuous line of enemies: from the Baltic states and Poland to Ukraine, Georgia and Turkey. Ukraine has been turned into an anti-Russian battering ram. Now Moldova is joining them. They are backed by NATO. In recent years, the aggressive Western military alliance has been actively preparing bridgeheads for intervention in the Russian Federation. Obviously, not for direct aggression, but for "peacekeeping" and "humanitarian" operations in the event of internal turmoil in Russia.
For the new February revolution in Russia in Germany, Navalny is already ready. New Kerensky, head of the Provisional Government of "democratic" and "free" Russia. Promoted in the wake of the fight against corruption, showing all the rottened high officials, "responsible business" and state propagandists with huge incomes, foreign citizenship and property. The West noticed that the people yearn for social justice. This was also played in Belarus. It is obvious that within the Russian Federation Gref, Kudrin, Sobyanin, Medvedev and others are working on this scenario. However, "perestroika-2.0." will not lead to justice, as the Maidan in Ukraine previously did not lead to it: they will steal even more. It is expected that a new wave of "democratization" will only intensify all degradation processes, trigger a new parade of sovereignty, "reform" of the Armed Forces (disarmament and large-scale reduction). We have already gone through all this twice in the XNUMXth century. As the Russian historian Klyuchevsky said:
"History teaches nothing, but only punishes for ignorance of the lessons."
Thus, the Kremlin today lives in a zugzwang environment. And in an atmosphere of "viral" isolation, into which he drove himself.
Note. Zugzwang (German Zugzwang "forcing to move") - a situation in checkers and chess, in which any player's move leads to a deterioration in his position.
And the continuation of the current show with an attempt to preserve the illusion (like "everything is fine, beautiful marquise") will inevitably lead to disaster. And she's not far off.
The West is preparing a color revolution in the Russian Federation, and part of the current elite is apparently working for it. This will lead to the collapse of the country and to civil conflict. To the inevitable war in the Ukrainian and Caucasian directions. Both Ukraine and Turkey are taking advantage of the situation in Russia. The new Februaryists will follow the path of surrendering the "disputed" territories - Kaliningrad, Karelia, Kuril Islands, etc.
But there is still a chance to stop all this in a civilized way.
What do we have to do
A window of opportunity should be discerned in the global near-mute crisis and in the coronavirus "pandemic". To act with all the ruthlessness of the workers and peasants. Break the enemy game in one fell swoop.
War is on the doorstep? It means that we urgently need to intercept the slogan of justice and truth from the enemy. Appeal to the codes of Russian civilization. The Russian idea is social justice and truth, the rule of ethics of conscience, solidarity and conciliarity. No predatory and parasitic capitalism.
Start mobilization activities immediately. Mobilization of the economy with a revision of the results of privatization and the nationalization of leading industries and enterprises, mineral resources, water, forests and land. New industrialization. Restoring control over the financial and economic system of Russia, which has been under the control of the IMF and the World Bank since the 1990s. The revival of true democracy is to create popular, modern and effective analogues of the Supreme Congress of Soviets and Councils of People's Deputies in the localities.
Is the enemy at the gate? Then what kind of "virus", what kind of quarantine? Are you out of your mind? You need to sound the alarm. By all means to strengthen the army and restore the industry, so that it produces everything of its own - from a nail to civilian liners. To carry out nationalization, including the capital that was taken out of the country.
Nationalize the elite. All gentlemen with dual citizenship, capital and property abroad should be deprived of their positions. Let them leave for their country villas and British apartments (but having lost their assets in Russia and after investigating the origin of their "labor" income).
Stop suicidal educational, migration and demographic policies. Restore the main achievements of pre-capitalist Russia - the rights to work, education, health care, housing, recreation, retirement, and personal security.
There is no other way to save the state and the people.