Turkish party of the Kremlin

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President Erdogan arrived in Russia with a representative delegation. The staff, as they say, is inspired by: Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu, Minister of Finance Berat Albayrak, Minister of Defense Hulusi Akar, Head of Intelligence Hakan Fidan, Minister of Industry and Technology Development Mustafa Varank, Head of the Department of Defense Industry Ismail Demir, Director for Communications of the President Fahrettin Altun, presidential spokesman Ibrahim Kalin and several other dignitaries.

Turkish party of the Kremlin




Idlibsk parish? Take it away!


The composition itself clearly shows that, first of all, the "Sultan Recep" came to solve issues of military-technical, technical and technological, as well as economic cooperation, but also political issues. Many expected that the timely defeat, directly to the visit, which was scheduled for the opening of the MAKS air show in Zhukovsky, the defeat of the “Latami projection” in Syria, will be one of the main topics. He, and the further fate of Idlib, or, as militants and sympathizers call him, "Big Idlib." So they call Idlib himself, who was completely under the "green" bandits, and the small territories of the provinces of Aleppo, Hama and Latakia, which adjoin him. However, now there is no "green plague" in Hama, everyone has been kicked out, and Idlib can no longer be called the territory completely under the militants.

Various, let's say, sympathizing with the terrorists vehemently and painstakingly painted how difficult the negotiations would be precisely because Erdogan would desperately bargain for the fate of the "green spot" on the Syrian map. Or it will even threaten Putin or bring an ultimatum to him. As you know, everyone regularly brings a “black mark” to Putin, about this any Ukrainian news the site knows - Putin just doesn't know.

But in reality, as expected, Erdogan, of course, bargained for the pace and scale of the reduction of the aforementioned “spot”, as well as the terrorists inhabiting it, but was not inclined to attach too much importance to this. At the final briefing, he understood with understanding the speech of his Russian colleague about the need to cleanse Idlib from terrorists. In response, the Russian leader said that he understood the needs of Turkey in ensuring its security and was positive about creating a "security zone" along the border - in the territories occupied by Kurdish forces.

That is, in fact, Erdogan, realizing that Russia will take away the heads of bearded men from gangs, was happy to replace this already practically written off "asset" with him by the heads of the "beloved" Kurds. This is if figuratively. In addition, the Kurds from the SDF, even despite the withdrawal of a significant part of the US forces from Syria, continue to maintain a pro-American orientation, although it is not as strong as before (many in the SDF, especially the Arabs, are already starting to look towards the government), and begin look towards Damascus and Khmeimim only when they hear Turkish speech and see Turkish technology. So, why should we spare them? That's when they will once again be beaten up with the obvious connivance of Washington - then it will be possible to intervene.

Moreover, this "exchange" was perceived by the militants' information resources as a betrayal. Erdogan, and so is persuaded in every way, after losing the “Battle of Latamina”, they say, he did not protect, but was like a father to us. Sold, you know, to Moscow, for a can of jam. And now they even write how disgusting they are to see Erdogan and Putin eating the “Cow from Korenovka” at the air show and discussing the sale of fighters and other military equipment to Turkey. The most curious thing is the same attitude in Israel. Either they are so worried about Islamic terrorists, or they are afraid of Turkey’s strengthening, or both. After all, the “wise” idea of ​​linking the purchase of the C-400 with the F-35 fighters, they say, was strongly supported by Israel and lobbied for it (which was not difficult, given the family ties of the Trump family).

First of all, we will see the planes - and we will probably buy them later


The main thing at the meeting was military-technical cooperation. Turkey is clearly interested in purchasing export versions of Su-35С and Su-30СМ fighters. As well as Su-57E. In this case, in general, it is clear that Russia is not very eager to sell just the last type of aircraft without linking with the previous ones. However, the Turks are unlikely to master the purchase of a large batch of Su-57. It will cost them dearly enough, and the machine is very complicated, the variant of a mixed batch of fighters would be much more optimal. But, which is much more surprising, the Turks are also interested in the MiG-35С in the export version. It is unlikely that they are ready to buy all of the above types, why do they need such a "zoo" in service? Perhaps they just have not yet decided on the choice and are eyeing.

In addition, the Turks, as it comes to the contract, will bargain desperately - they don’t have much money, will “break through” part-credit schemes, they will also want offset deals (investments of part of our profit from the sale transaction weapons in their country), the organization of the assembly or production of a number of nodes. At least tires, at least a step-ladder, at least something - the Turks need to load up their military industry after an affront from the USA on F-35. Also, the Turks do not yet leave completely hope to revive their participation in the program for the release of the ill-fated Lightning-2, which was announced after returning from Russia. But, most likely, the train has already left completely. And the statements of the Turks can serve as a cover for ongoing negotiations with Russia on specific supply contracts.

The Turks also expressed interest in buying electronic warfare systems, means of radio-technical air defense forces (radar) and getting help in developing such systems. Yes, Turkey produces electronic warfare systems of its development, but the real characteristics of these systems are far from claimed. Despite the fact that the systems are, in fact, assembled from Western components. But in the context of a deepening split between Turkey and the United States with the EU, the orientation toward Western components in such systems does not seem to be short-sighted. This, of course, is understood in Ankara.

Unhook Turkey from the western train to survive on the throne


And in general, evaluating the activities of the Turkish president in the military field, one can notice that he is consistently trying to remove the officer corps of the Turkish Armed Forces from Western influence, by consistently cleaning the ranks of the most pro-Western personnel. "The main Turk" is not because of this concern that the West does not like, just history He knows Turkey and military coups well, and did not forget 2016. For him, this is a matter of personal survival, first of all. He is a pragmatist and a big sly (or considers himself as such). And you have to keep your eyes open with him.

Many were cleared, as our army says, “according to the OSH”, that is, during the reductions (over the past 10 over some years, the Turkish armed forces have been reduced in number by a little less than half, and the reductions continue, however, with the growth of technical equipment in return). Many - after the coup. Many have left and are leaving. The problem is that nationally-oriented cadres are not always well trained and educated. But Erdogan needs the "faithful" than the "smart." Although he understands that you can’t get a lot of illiterate cadres, and if the Kurds still succeed, albeit not without problems and considerable losses, then he’s already much more trained and, most importantly, motivated militants of the now defeated “blacks” (ISIS banned in Russia) , gave the Turks a light at the time, and burned a lot of expensive and latest, by the standards of Turkey, technology. And not because they were so good, but because the Turks were bad. And how to get more competent officers? They must be taught either at home, or in the West, or in the East. The West, in this situation, is more and more "toxic", people who can arrange another coup will come from there. Remains East. China is far away, but Russia is near. The possible training of Turkish military personnel in Russian military universities was also discussed.

And in general, Turkey in Erdogan’s dreams and plans is seen as a regional power, independent of no one. This, of course, is unrealistic. But distance from NATO and the USA, in general, is already underway. Although there is no talk of any way out of the alliance, Washington will come to such wise steps. It is likely that the "Sultan" understands that the Americans do not need partners, but only slaves and satellites, and the logic of the situation may force him to take those steps that no one wants to speak openly about. Yes, and there are already rumors about the possible closure of US bases in Turkey, it may well come to that, and much faster.

Turkey also has an understanding that Russia, as one of the two main centers of power (or, if you want, the marriages of Russia and China), is a much more adequate “roof” than the current USA. We can lean against us - we will not bend anyone, bend and put anyone in various uncomfortable positions, not in our style. Sometimes, by the way, in vain - many of our partners and allies deserve this, we will not specify who and for what. And there’s nothing to say about the "non-brothers" there.

On the other hand, the Great Game of Russia in the Turkish direction is convenient for Russia. After all, we don’t lose anything if it doesn’t “burn out” with the Turks. We lived once before and without close cooperation - we will live on. And, thank God, there is no complete trust in Turkey and Erdogan, and it cannot be. But alliances and alliances and other forms of cooperation, calculated and without love, are often stronger than "cordial agreements." In general, of course, how the situation will develop - time will tell. But the game of Russia on the Turkish board is definitely designed for a long time.
42 comments
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  1. -1
    30 August 2019 15: 47
    East is a delicate matter
    1. +5
      30 August 2019 17: 23
      Ek you flashed good And the west means a thick matter, and the south is undulating.
      But seriously, Russia and Turkey are now needed by each other. that's just how long it will last.
      1. +13
        30 August 2019 21: 34
        And the west means a big deal

        The West is a rotten business. And the undulating is to the former two-chair Soviet republics.
  2. +1
    30 August 2019 15: 48
    But Erdogan needs the "faithful" more than the "smart"

    In this they are similar to Putin
    In general, of course, how the situation will develop - time will tell.

    Yes, an article from a series of many letters .. but nothing definite.
    1. +7
      30 August 2019 16: 16
      in this they are similar to all. loyalty has always been valued and will be valued above everything else. This is an objective fact. and otherwise it will not be under any system.
    2. +6
      30 August 2019 17: 38
      Quote: Svarog
      but nothing definite

      And what do you need "certain"? The article gives a completely adequate assessment of the policy of Turkey and the policy of the Russian Federation in relation to Turkey.
    3. +2
      30 August 2019 21: 41
      Quote: Svarog
      But Erdogan needs the "faithful" more than the "smart"

      In this they are similar to Putin
      In general, of course, how the situation will develop - time will tell.

      Yes, an article from a series of many letters .. but nothing definite.

      Quote: Siberia 75
      Russia and Turkey now need each other. that's just how long it will last.


      at the most inopportune moment, Turkey can turn in the opposite direction
      1. -1
        30 August 2019 21: 49
        Quote: vlad106
        at the most inopportune moment, Turkey can turn in the opposite direction

        Absolutely agree. And I am sure that it will be so.
  3. +11
    30 August 2019 15: 53
    Very correct remark. Sometimes you need to bend someone and it hurts. Because in this world only power is respected.
  4. +4
    30 August 2019 16: 41
    Very good and comprehensive analytical review. Thank.
    Only one question worries - the succession of power, after Erdogan. What will happen after him?
    1. +1
      31 August 2019 03: 10
      Only one question worries - the succession of power, after Erdogan. What will happen after him?
      This problem awaits us.
      1. 0
        2 September 2019 09: 11
        By the way, yes. I would not like a "businessman" at the helm. We need a good statesman.
  5. +1
    30 August 2019 17: 50
    Quote: Siberia 75
    But seriously, Russia and Turkey are now needed by each other. that's just how long it will last.

    friendship with Turkey would be very useful to us - the southern borders would be much calmer and trade could rise there at times. Turks - developed no worse than the Union republics during the Soviet era and can be an excellent part of economic diversification.
    but this situation is unlikely to last long.
  6. -1
    30 August 2019 18: 13
    The Great Game of Russia in the Turkish direction is convenient for Russia.
    I will correct The Big Game of the Kremlin in the Turkish direction is convenient for the Kremlin. But what is the use for Russia of these cries of overthrowing Erdogan ours. Erdogan well done, he makes Turkey great. And what is the Kremlin doing for Russia.
    1. 0
      30 August 2019 20: 30
      Compliance with the Montero Treaty on the Black Sea is 95% dependent on Turkey. In fact, this is already the inland sea of ​​NATO, with sympathizers Georgia and Ukraine. And only on the position of Turkey depends on whether the aircraft carriers and Ohio with the Tridents enter the Black Sea
  7. +8
    30 August 2019 18: 15
    The Turks in their relationship with Russia are primarily seeking their own benefit. This is basically normal. The main thing is that our benefits coincide with theirs and be at least equal.
  8. +1
    30 August 2019 18: 36
    The whole question is what Russia and Turkey need each other. What guided Erdogan when buying a C 400? The Turks are far from fools, and for the sake of this transaction donated F 35 !. Turkey’s ties with the United States are more comprehensive than with Russia. And they have something to lose. And the whole intrigue is who Turkey will be with in a future hypothetical schukher. All this is no accident.
  9. -3
    30 August 2019 18: 49
    Unhook Turkey from the western train to survive on the throne

    I’m caught this phrase of the author from the whole confusion of the article ..
    The author spat very subtly into our souls and hinted who we are and who Putin .. Do I understand correctly?
    And the fact that tearing Turkey away from US influence is a huge work of Russian diplomacy and special services, such as from the side of the fire. Oh well .
    Again, the fifth column is working and very hard. hi
    You "young reformers" became famous in the 90s in power, because everything was destroyed and handed over .. The West spat in your face, and you all rejoiced in democracy, etc. That's when Russia began to choke on its own blood and starve, so just back down save us .. First Primakov, then Putin, they began to raise the Country of shit on the blood into which YOU drove it bastards .. You all need to be judged according to the idea .. But Russia kind soul and generous .. This is bye! negativeRun "gentlemen" from Russia before it's too late ..
    1. +2
      31 August 2019 03: 17
      Unhook Turkey from the western train to survive on the throne

      I’m caught this phrase of the author from the whole confusion of the article ..
      The author spat very subtly into our souls and hinted who we are and who Putin .. Do I understand correctly?
      Here, in general, we are talking about Erdogan, who needs to "untie" Turkey from the West (for his own safety). Where did you see the liberals, Putin, and so on ?? belay
      1. -1
        31 August 2019 07: 30
        Quote: 72jora72
        Here, in general, we are talking about Erdogan, who needs to "untie" Turkey from the West (for his own safety). Where did you see the liberals, Putin, and so on ?? belay

        You are right, this is my damn suspicion .. It’s just such a life! hi
        1. +1
          31 August 2019 07: 45
          You are right, this is my damn suspicion .. It’s just such a life! hi
          If you have paranoia, this does not mean that you are not being watched. hi
          1. -2
            31 August 2019 07: 51
            Quote: 72jora72
            You are right, this is my damn suspicion .. It’s just such a life! hi
            If you have paranoia, this does not mean that you are not being watched. hi

            Rude son ..
            1. 0
              31 August 2019 07: 57
              Rude son ..
              You seem to be exactly paranoia, since you react to jokes, I apologize. Under surveillance, I clearly did not mean myself. And I'm not your son, dad.
              1. -6
                31 August 2019 08: 15
                Quote: 72jora72
                Under surveillance, I clearly did not mean myself. And I'm not your son, dad.

                And thank God, my sons respect the older generation .. hi Divorced here I look like nihilists-liberals .. negative
        2. +1
          31 August 2019 12: 18
          Hare runs and shout: run all the way. Fox: what's the matter, why run? Hare: who has 3 ears, they cut it off. Fox: well, you have 2 of them. Hare: I know, but they cut it off, then they count it.
  10. +2
    30 August 2019 19: 22
    Turks are competitors in both domestic and foreign markets. Their national contractors try to use only domestic (Turkish), or quasi-domestic materials. On the territory of Turkey there are many manufactures of Western concerns, which also load the Russian market. Another big question is who benefits from this partnership, Russia or Turkey. Turkey receives a gas pipeline and becomes an even larger gas transit country, receives modern weapons and nuclear power plants and all this on credit. And what does Russia get? The ghostly hope of the Alaverds from the Turks? Strange exchange. Profitable only not many, I would say exchange.
    1. +3
      30 August 2019 20: 55
      You look at Turkey as a separate country and this is wrong. Turkey is geopolitically much more influential, ethno-ethnic, religion, etc. Many countries literally look at Turkey's movements in order to follow in the footsteps. Politicians know this. , and they know the strategic importance in approaching the Turks.
      1. -1
        30 August 2019 21: 00
        What is the approximation? There’s some kind of nagging without guarantees of dividend return. This is not a percentage contribution. It's just what squandering of forces and means for the sake of a handful of associates. The geopolitical benefit of Russia is not obvious.
        1. +2
          30 August 2019 21: 07
          Turkey is not a banana republic, but a fully developed country with powerful GDP. They will service all debts and loans on schedule. There is no squandering in relations with Turkey.
          1. 0
            30 August 2019 21: 17
            Why give Turkey transit, strengthening its position in any negotiation process? Turk cannot be trusted - A.V. Suvorov.
            1. +8
              30 August 2019 21: 33
              "You can't believe a Turk" Do not believe it, every nation has similar sayings about a neighbor or an enemy. Well now, everyone will shut up and sit quietly, doing nothing? "Why give transit to Turkey" For the fact that this is not a gift, it is an economy, politics, strategy that lasts for a long time, but not a gift. A gift is when they forgive debts to beggar countries, or concessions to suckers-parasites from some former Soviet republics.
              1. -1
                30 August 2019 22: 20
                Well no matter how a gift. Then they will knock the discount out of Russia and they will push the jeep with advantage to their pocket. And they can not repay debts no worse than Ukraine. And nothing can be done with them. They are like in NATO. And NATO is a block so unfriendly of the Russian Federation since its inception.
                1. +2
                  30 August 2019 22: 28
                  Quote: MegaMarcel
                  Well no matter how a gift. They will then knock out the discount from Russia and gazik will push with benefit to your pocket

                  Gosss ... and here shkolota negative

                  Quote: MegaMarcel
                  And they can not repay debts no worse than Ukraine. And nothing can be done with them. They are like in NATO. And NATO is a block so unfriendly of the Russian Federation since its inception

                  You see ... the stronger the two countries are economically connected, the less each of them has a desire to make another byaku.

                  Specially - in a language that you understand, I explain the alphabet ... even though I'm not a teacher at all in your very high school Yes
                2. +3
                  30 August 2019 22: 33
                  "And they can not pay off their debts no worse than Ukraine." This is a big mistake. Turkey is a rich (country of production) country, responsible, gaining an image and not intending to lose its reputation. over which they always cherish.
    2. +7
      30 August 2019 21: 33
      Quote: MegaMarcel
      Turkey receives a gas pipeline and becomes an even larger gas transit country, receives modern weapons and nuclear power plants and all this on credit. And what does Russia get?

      1. An alternative to SP-1 and SP-2 (in case one of the transit countries decides to forge the horseshoes on the fly, in the sense of playing around with the terms of the contracts, as recently in the non-transitory one). This is not counting the profits from the sale of pumped gas.
      2. Money, advertising in the world and further dependence of Turkey on our weapons and peaceful atom. And also the profit from the sale of "consumables", from maintenance and modernization.
      3. Interest on the loan.
      4. Turkey's loyalty on Syrian issues.
      5. "Wing clipping" of pro-American Kurds by the hands of the Turks.
      6. Calmness on our southern borders.
      And much more. Cooperation will be mutually beneficial. hi
      1. -2
        30 August 2019 22: 08
        This is all so naive. The southern and northern branches of the gas pipelines are non-reciprocal. They can build this nuclear power plant for another 100 years playing this construction site as a trump card. But the Russian leadership and Rosatom have nowhere to retreat. Grandmas are nested. In Syria, not the Turks make decisions. What sideways did the Kurds prevent you from doing? They come to us in the Caucasus or in the Crimea? Just the same, from the strengthening of Turkey, we will not have order in the south. How many times to repeat the axiom that only a strong army is the only ally of Russia, and a strong army is not possible without a strong economy and a strong national currency. You need to invest money in your country, and not shove handouts to geopolitical opponents. Generally the 100th time on the same rake.
        1. +4
          30 August 2019 23: 05
          Quote: MegaMarcel
          This is all so naive.

          How many people - so many opinions.
          Quote: MegaMarcel
          The southern and northern branches of the gas pipelines are non-reciprocal.

          Even if individual northern or individual southern branches do not provide the full volume of transit, their presence will allow playing with pumping volumes, and this will be a very sensitive economic lever of pressure on transit. Moreover, the threat of blackmailing us will be stopped by a complete stop of transit by any of the sub-sources.
          Quote: MegaMarcel
          They can build this nuclear power plant for another 100 years playing this construction site as a trump card.

          Do you think that this construction was started with one purpose - to drive us into debt? And the final result in the form of a nuclear power plant put into operation is not important for Turkey? Hm.
          Quote: MegaMarcel
          In Syria, not the Turks make decisions.

          Maybe so, but they are a real force and a rather significant player in the region and quietly can spoil not weak. Better not let them interfere.
          Quote: MegaMarcel
          What sideways did the Kurds prevent you from doing? They come to us in the Caucasus or in the Crimea?

          They haven’t climbed yet, but recently they began to peep in the ass and sing songs on the subject of Kurdish autonomy and the provision of territories to them. Than we then instruct them on the true path, so it is better for the Turks to wrinkle them, if they need it.
          Quote: MegaMarcel
          Just the same, from the strengthening of Turkey, we will not have order in the south.

          If Turkey becomes a consumer and transit country of our gas, a producer of electricity dependent on us at its nuclear power plant and simply a major trading partner, then how can this undermine the order on the Russian-Turkish border? Not to mention the fact that the key elements of their air defense will be Russian-made. I hope they will "sit down" on our aircraft too.
          Something like that. hi
  11. 0
    30 August 2019 19: 58
    there is no "green plague" in Hama now, everyone was kicked out

    Not all yet, the west of the province is partially under militants.
  12. DPN
    -1
    30 August 2019 22: 15
    They will leave us without a tomato, but we don’t have ours, what shall we do ?.
  13. 0
    31 August 2019 15: 22
    But does Europe already have no influence at all? This issue has not been addressed.
  14. +1
    1 September 2019 19: 49
    On the other hand, the Great Game of Russia in the Turkish direction is convenient for Russia. After all, we do not lose anything if it does not "work out" with the Turks ...

    Yeah, but South Stream, the construction of a nuclear power plant, S-400, and everything at our expense - how is it? It's rather strange to hear this from such, I will not hide an interesting author, I often read his publications in the "Arguments of the Week". sad
  15. 0
    5 September 2019 23: 40
    But I would not trust the Turks. For me they are treacherous dogs (as their Britons allies called them), and you can talk to them only with the AKM behind your back (charged)