Rubicon crossed. The conflict between the United States and China is inevitable?
In fact, in his speech, Pence accused Beijing of attempting to intervene in the internal political situation in the United States. Moreover, he was not particularly embarrassed in expressions - in his words, China’s efforts exceed the so-called “Russian intervention” in scale.
And more:
In his speech, he gave some examples of Chinese intervention in the upcoming congressional elections. In particular, he referred to “pressure groups” that were activated in some states; about the tariff policy of China, which is directed, first of all, against those states that are fundamentally important from the point of view of future (and crucial for Trump) elections; about blackmail by the Chinese leadership of some American companies that would like to maintain their presence in the Chinese market.
But this was not the end. From the American agenda, Pence moved on to the international one, and there, too, it was found that he presented to the insidious Chinese leadership. First of all, this is “debt diplomacy”, when China allegedly deliberately lends to developing countries around the world, hoping to secure their loyalty. He recalled to China and some "military tools" with which he tries to strengthen his position in Southeast Asia.
In general, the entire speech of the American Vice President was devoted to China. And the place where she was pronounced was not chosen by chance - after all, the “Institute for Strategic Studies” is not a party sidewalk.
In fact, Pence designated China as the main threat to America. At the same time, he himself was designated as an important shadow figure, representing circles that actually govern America, and authorized to proclaim crusades on behalf of these very circles.
In his recent article I already wrote about why China is so dangerous for the United States, as well as about why a fight between them is absolutely inevitable. Therefore, I will not repeat, but simply invite you to read that text. However, despite all the inevitability of the fight, the question of the date of its beginning remained open. Well, now, thanks to Mike Pens, we have some certainty.
An important difference between an economic dispute, even a very sharp one, from a political one, is that it is much more difficult to resolve a political one. Especially if one of the parties is not interested in such a settlement. Just imagine for a moment: China recognized US economic demands as fair and made concessions on all counts. In this case, the subject of the dispute can be considered exhausted, and China, albeit with considerable costs, gets a few more years to prepare for the coming confrontation.
With political accusations everything is much more complicated, as we can see from the example of the same accusations against Russia for interfering in the American elections. There can be no real basis under them at all, but at the same time they will live for even months, even years - just as much as the side that declares itself “injured” by someone else’s wants.
That is what matters. Speech by Mike Pence - Rubicon, stepping over which, the Americans made the bilateral conflict is not amenable to settlement. Remaining in a sense, the masters of the situation, they are now at their discretion can add or reduce the intensity of the conflict, depending on some of their local tactical tasks, but China will most likely fail to resolve it completely.
Another interesting point in the speech of the American Vice-President was a seemingly long-forgotten song about the absence of freedom in China, and that America was mistaken, expecting that the freedom triumphantly marching around the world would pave the way for itself in China . We all know well why Americans sing such songs. And woe to the one for whom they are singing - this will be confirmed by the inhabitants of Yugoslavia, Iraq, Libya, if we suddenly lack our own memory.
It is no coincidence that right now in the American media there are rather strange stuffing, one way or another connected with the war against China. For example, the Heritage Foundation’s research institute in Washington recently published a study on an interesting problem such as the simultaneous US war against Russia and China. Yes, to our joy, the results of the study are not very comforting for America - threats to US national interests are considered too great.
Frankly, it is unlikely the Americans are really thinking about a full-fledged war with two nuclear powers. But this may well be a deliberate throw-in, the purpose of which is to demonstrate determination to go to the end.
In reality, the strategy of Washington is probably based on destabilizing and dismembering Russia with political methods, and then strangling China with sanctions.
But with the first point somehow still does not work. And the second without the first will be extremely difficult to implement.
But when did the Anglo-Saxons restrain difficulties?
So, the die is cast, Rubicon is crossed, and interesting news from the American-Chinese front will soon begin to come much more often. We wait…
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