Military Review

Syria: Bashar Assad comes, and for that he will not be allowed to attend the Olympics in London

51
I. Victoria-Nuland's Russo-Chinese Fantasies


In recent days, diplomats and politicians have not moved a jot in the "settlement" of the Syrian crisis. No matter how verbose those who care about the urgent building of democracy in Syria, the strategic initiative is in the hands of Syrian President Bashar Assad - and this is well understood in the SNA, in the SSA, and in the White House, and in Western Europe. And even the upcoming meeting of the "Friends of Syria", scheduled for 1 April - the beginning of the Turkish holiday season, and at the same time the day of all liars - will not fix the situation with the "settlement". Everyone knows that there is only one way to end the fighting in Syria - stop the round-the-clock outpouring of verbal democratic initiatives that have only one goal: to add fuel to the fire. For without the support of the West — if only verbal, to which this very West is a great master — the retreating rebel terrorists would have long since fled.

Syria: Bashar Assad comes, and for that he will not be allowed to attend the Olympics in London


Bashar Asad will continue to bend his line. He knows what he is doing. Opinion of Yevgeny Satanovsky, President of the Institute of the Middle East:

“Assad - while - replays his opponents. He managed to clear bridgeheads in the cities, as a result, there is no territory in Syria where you can organize something, call it something government, and demand the introduction of a no-fly zone to protect this government. The confrontation in Syria turned into a partisan, in a state of "normal" civil war.

In addition, Bashar Asad understands that in the event of his overthrowing, fate will not only be sad, but tragic. That as soon as he begins to hesitate - he is finished, his family is finished, the end to all Alawites, and indeed to the country. The example of Libya clearly showed it, and after the destruction of Gaddafi, any ruler who is overthrown feels driven into a corner. Therefore, Assad will fight to the end.

Assad quite successfully arranged with various groups on his territory, on which he could rely. He took control of the criminals, who realized that if radicals came to power, they would lose everything. And in the Kurdish areas, Assad gave free rein to the Kurdish Workers' Party.

It was a completely brilliant move: in this way, Asad neutralized the Turks and cut off the supply channels. weapons through Kurdistan - and these were the main channels ... "(source: "Free Press", Andrei Polunin).

Neither the Russian nor the Chinese position on Syria, too, will not change - so that there world diplomacy does not declare a "rapprochement" of positions.

“I think that they, too, resolutely turned towards giving up any support for the violence that the Assad regime is doing” (source: Rosbalt). So said Victoria Nuland, the official representative of the US State Department. “They” are Chinese. That is, Nuland believes that "China stops supporting Syrian President Bashar Assad" (the same source). Meanwhile, Foreign Ministry spokesman Hong Lei said only: “China highly appreciates and supports Annan’s mediation efforts and hopes that his visit to Beijing and holding talks with Chinese representatives will help achieve a political settlement in Syria” (the same source).

Earlier, in mid-March, Victoria Nuland noted “positive changes” in the position of Russia. RBC cites her words, published on the website of the US Foreign Ministry: “The five-point plan developed by Russia together with the League of Arab States (LAS) to resolve the situation in Syria demonstrates positive changes in the position of the Russian Federation. The gap between our points of view is narrowing. Now you can hear the statements of both Russia and China that these countries are not interested in the defense of B. Assad, that they are not interested in anything other than the cessation of violence. This goal has not yet been achieved, but we are working on it, and there is more and more unanimity in our actions. ”

In short, diplomats talk about diplomacy, from time to time wishful thinking, and events in Syria go on as usual.

Armed interference in the internal affairs of Syria, too, will not.

First, the The presidential election is not far off in the US, and Barack Obama is the only one who previously has more than 50% votes. The rather belligerent Mitt Romney is the most popular Republican candidate, only 43% of voters in his rating can boast, while the relatively peaceful Obama is ten percentage points ahead - he has 53% of votes. And if Romney considers Russia to be enemy No. XXUMX for the USA (see more details here), Obama is used to express himself more carefully, and even the expressive Hillary Clinton will not confuse him.

For example, after a recent meeting in Seoul with Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, Obama said: “Despite the fact that there are certain difficulties in our approaches to this problem, especially during several months (probably the“ last few. ”- O. Ch.), We agreed that we should support the mission of Kofi Annan, who is going to try to put an end to the bloodshed in Syria and move towards creating such a mechanism that would allow the Syrian people to have truly legitimate teley, have a legitimate government "(source: "Sight").

Hillary Clinton will not be confused by Sergey Lavrov, the Russian foreign minister.

“Today I told Mr. Lavrov that it is impossible to equate violence by Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad to the actions of the population, which is forced to resort to self-defense ... We cannot expect defenseless citizens subjected to shelling to stop resistance before the Al-Assad regime takes any specific steps, ”Mrs. Clinton assured.

Meanwhile, in Syria, “defenseless citizens subjected to artillery shelling”, with ill-concealed impatience, are waiting for an opportunity to eliminate Assad according to the Libyan scenario - with the help of Western armies. Reuters reported on Tuesday that a representative of the opposition Syrian National Council (SNC), George Sabra, called on Western and Arab countries for military intervention in Syria to overthrow President Bashar al-Assad. In addition, he called for the establishment of a no-fly zone in the airspace of the republic.

“We insist on military intervention in Western and Arab countries in order to protect civilians. In addition, we demand the organization of humanitarian corridors and no-fly zones to ensure the safety of citizens and to prevent the massacre, which is organized by Bashar Asad, "said Sabra" (source: "Free Press", Andrei Polunin).

Lavrov does not sing along with the US Secretary of State, and certainly does not perform the second part in this diplomatic duet. In an interview with the “Vesti on Saturday” program with Sergey Brilev, the head of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation clearly expressed the Russian position:

“The envoy of the UN Secretary General / LAS on Syria, Kofi Annan, conveyed his proposals to the Syrian leadership. I can assure you that they are not talking about leaving Bashar al-Assad (President - Ed.). I believe that the question of the future of Syria should be decided by the Syrians themselves. Russia will support any agreement formulated on the basis of the all-Syrian political dialogue between the government and all opposition groups ”(source: "Actual Comments").

As for Hillary Clinton, she seems to be not at the same time as the Obama team, but against her. He must believe in the election victory of Mitt Romney (who promises not to cut, but to increase military spending), who will also need a secretary of state. With experience.

Clinton echoes, alas, not Obama, but the tireless Senator John McCain, famous for his political extravagance. Quote:

“Republican John McCain and his five fellow senators came up with a new resolution on Syria. According to the AP, the document strongly condemns the actions of the Syrian leadership and points to an unacceptable situation with human rights in the Arab Republic.

The initiative was supported by his fellow party members Lindsey Graham, John Cool, Kelly Ayotte and John Hoven, as well as Democratic Senator Joe Lieberman. They called on the White House to begin immediately supplying the Syrian opposition with “weapons and other material support,” which will allow the rebels to oppose government forces. The senators are confident that such deliveries in the short term will remove from the agenda talks about air strikes on the Syrian territory ”(source: Rosbalt).

Second, the Syrian "friends", like the militants acting against the Assad army, are scattered today just as they were yesterday, and all their new agreements are formal rather than meaningful. Quote:

“The conference of the Syrian opposition, which was held on the eve in Istanbul, and initiated by the Syrian National Council (SNS), was not able to gather the whole range of resistance representatives. The idea of ​​the two-day meeting was to develop a national pact that would include goals and objectives shared by all groups, but the Syrian National Coordinating Committee for Democratic Change announced the boycott of the congress.

Following the conference, a decision was made according to which the SNA was recognized as the “official representative” of the people of Syria in a dialogue with the authorities of the country. However, even with the adoption of this decision, representatives of the opposition have a number of differences. Earlier it was reported that the head of the Syrian National Council, Burkhan Galyun, called the statement of the UN Security Council, which calls for the implementation of Kofi Annan's proposals on resolving the Syrian crisis, worthy but not meeting the “true needs of the Syrian people” (source: Rosbalt, Dmitry Panovkin). Ahead of the SNA is still planned restructuring, refinement of the basic principles and provisions of the Council - in general, everything is to drag out time, waiting for help from the West or from the countries of the Sunni bloc.

The second meeting of the “Friends of Syria” is scheduled for April on 1 in Istanbul. Russia refused to participate in the meeting, just as it refused to participate in the first conference of "friends", which took place on February 24 in Tunisia. Syrian authorities are not invited to the forum. As A. Lukashevich rightly noted, “The participants are not looking for ways to establish an internal Syrian dialogue in the interest of a peaceful resolution of the conflict, but rather prepare the ground for outside intervention” (source: RBC).

This “preparation of the soil,” this hope of outside help, speaks not about the strength and consolidation of the “friends”, but about their weakness and disunity.

Third, the strategic initiative is in the hands of Assad, whose army day after day crowds the “revolutionaries”. As a result of antiterrorist operations, Homs, Hama, Idlib were “cleaned up”; there is a pursuit of militants on the periphery.

The oppositionists, who are not capable of a direct confrontation of the army, completely switched to the tactics of terror. The last act of the militants is the murder of the brigadier general of the Syrian air force Halef Abdullah. On March 28, four gangsters trapped him near the house in Aleppo and shot him.

On the eve of Homs, gunmen, according to media reports, fired at President Bashar Assad’s car. However, the official Syrian press did not comment on this information in any way and did not even cover it in any way.

And so that there was someone to fight, the Syrian revolutionaries recruit children into their ranks:

“According to the UN Special Representative for the Situation of Children in Armed Conflict Radhika Coomaraswamy, the United Nations“ received information incriminating the rebel Free Army of Syria of using minors as soldiers ”(source: "Komsomolskaya Pravda" in Ukraine "). If this is true, then a parallel arises with the last months of World War II, when adolescents were put up in Germany.

Finally, the Fourth, intervention in Syria for all those who wish to invade there will not be a “easy walk”. Here you and air defense, and the "forbidden chemical weapons", from the mere mention of which shakes Americans, and friendly Iran and a large army - 330.000 military personnel, many of whom have trained quite well over the past year.

Opinion of Yevgeny Satanovsky, President of the Institute of the Middle East: “... Syria is much more difficult for a NATO strike than Libya. She has a very good army, a serious air defense system, the soldiers have high morale and motivation. The army in Syria did not split as intended. The Alawite units in it will fight seriously and to the end, the Sunni units are more or less neutralized, they simply have no fuel, and they are not capable of a coup, even if this coup is paid by the same Qatari and Saudis (as they did in the army of Saddam and Gaddafi ). There is no fuel - and therefore, it is impossible to take Damascus. Asad left only parts that were absolutely true to him fully completed, and acted in this regard very competently ”(source: "Free Press", Andrei Polunin). However, NATO is not going to intervene in the conflict: “The North Atlantic Alliance has no plans for military intervention in Syria. This statement was made today (March 26. - O. Ch.) NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen ”(source: Rosbalt).

And Western peacemakers are worried about Hezbollah:

“However, everything becomes not so simple when you stop thinking about the actions of nation-states, and you start thinking about smaller, but more responsive and accurate military groups such as Hezbollah, which often defend their own specific interests. Both Syria and Iran are close financial and diplomatic supporters of the Lebanese Hezbollah group, and any threat to these two regimes Hezbollah can see as a threat to them too. Hezbollah did not hesitate to remind the international community of its ability to act outside Lebanon. And the international community, in turn, clearly showed that it understood the threat "(source: "InoSMI" - “Christian Scientific Monitor”, Scott Baldef).

Do not forget, speaking of the "fourth", and the interests of Russia. The clever Americans also guessed about them:

“Remember the time when the world was simple and the United States could simply make decisions unilaterally?” Russia also remembers this time - since the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 until about the middle of the Iraq war - and Moscow’s foreign policy over the past few weeks shows that Russia wants this time to end.

In Syria, Russia has been a firm and reliable supporter of the regime of President Bashar al-Assad, increasing its arms exports to Syria by about 600% over the past five years. In Syria there is the only foreign military base of Russia, in the Mediterranean city of Tartus. Then Russia became a key player, determining whether Syria agrees to come to the negotiating table and on what conditions. On Wednesday, Russia confirmed that it would support the attempt of the mediation mission by the UN special diplomatic representative in Syria Kofi Annan, if it does not include any bad conditions, such as forcing Asad to leave the position ”(source: "InoSMI" - “Christian Scientific Monitor”, Scott Baldef). And another quote: “Is it naive to take Russia's position on Syria and Iran at face value, that is, just for trying to convince the two regimes to seek peaceful solutions through dialogue? Maybe. But when states have spent time and money on forming alliances in a critical region, it is naive to assume that they will not take measures to protect these interests ”(same source).

Kofi Annan’s plan, the special representative of the UN and LAS, will not work either, - let Bashar Asad agree with him. Yu. B. Shcheglovin writes: “One can argue about ...“ the six points of the Russia-LAS settlement program, or about K. Annan’s initiatives, but the essence of the settlement lies in a number of mandatory conditions, to which neither Damascus nor the opposition are ready now. Everything else is normal diplomatic activity. First of all, it is a moratorium on any peaceful or non-peaceful protests with simultaneous conclusions of the main forces of the security forces from the cities. All other issues, such as the release of political prisoners or the creation of new political parties to participate in elections, should be the result of direct negotiations between authorized persons from the opposition and the president himself or his closest associates. This leads to two more conditions - the opposition’s refusal from the thesis of “unconditional withdrawal of Bashar al-Assad” and the formation of an authorized opposition body that would express the interests of all segments of the opposition. And with the first, and with the second problem ... "

At the recent talks between Russian President Dmitry Medvedev and Kofi Annan, the following was said:

“Maybe for Syria this is the last chance to avoid a protracted bloody civil war,” the president said. “Therefore, we will provide you with all possible assistance at any level, in various directions.” “We hope that we can once again rely on help and good advice from Russia,” the former UN Secretary General replied (source: Rossiyskaya Gazeta, Ekaterina Zabrodina).

About Kofi Annan's plan:

“The plan provides for: the development of an internal Syrian political solution that takes into account the aspirations and concerns of the Syrian people; stopping, under UN supervision, armed violence of any kind by all parties to the conflict to protect the population. In addition, all parties to the conflict must ensure access for humanitarian assistance to all areas of the armed conflict in the country and keep a daily two-hour humanitarian pause.

As for the duties of the Syrian authorities, they should release the detainees for participating in protest actions as soon as possible, ensure free movement of journalists around the country, and respect freedom of assembly and the right to peaceful demonstration ”(source: Rosbalt).

These points were adopted by the UN Security Council. However, the plan has no legal force. (By the way, the Arab League has developed a new package of decisions regarding Syria, which takes into account Annan’s points. If in January the League proposed to Assad transfer the powers to Deputy Faruk Al-Shara, now she is not going to demand the resignation of the current Syrian president).

Assad agreed with the points of Annan, but the rebels are not going to carry them out:

“The participants of the forum of Syrian opposition forces held in Istanbul agreed to continue the fight against the regime of Bashar Assad. As the representative of the Syrian National Council (SNS), George Sabra, said today at the end of the conference, “after the overthrow of the current leadership, a transitional government will be formed”, which will prepare the referendum.

“First of all, an agreement has been reached on a“ national pact ”. We agreed together to continue the struggle to regain our freedom and honor. Many thousands of our citizens have left their homes because of the violence and blood flowing in Syria. But they and those who demand reform continue to fight and resist, ”said Sabra. According to him, a commission has already been created, which will carry out preliminary work to form a transitional government and convene a referendum ”(source: ITAR-TASS, Kirill Zharov).

Therefore, Assad will continue to oppose the opposition, and Western countries will continue to accuse him of being undemocratic and violent, and compose various terrible stories. For example, such:

“UN High Commissioner for Human Rights Navi Pillay said that Syrian government forces are using children as targets. “Hundreds of children are detained and tortured. It's terrible, ”Pillay told the BBC.

“Children are shot in the legs, they are detained together with adults in inhuman conditions. Wounded children are denied medical care, they are being held either as hostages or as a source of information, "the ombudsman stressed" (source: Rosbalt).

There will be stories to write, but no one will decide on military intervention against Syria.

All that the West has done against Assad over the past week is to include his family in the EU’s “black list”. Bashar and Asma will not be able, for example, to visit the Summer Olympic Games in London and look at Syrian athletes.

So what will happen? What was before is an information war. The West will continue to add fuel to the fire, hoping to take Bashar Assad by hook or by crook — that is, not a hot war, which neither the United States nor NATO will take - but cold.

Ii. "We have already seen this movie"

В Washington Post from 29 in March posted an article-opinion of David Ignatius "The overthrow of the Syrian Assad by" soft landing.

The author believes that now is the time for the “Syrian revolutionaries” to get the answer “yes” from Bashar al-Assad and support the UN approach “instead of heading for civil war,” which brings death and destruction.

According to Ignatius, if both the Assad government, Russia and China approved Kofi Annan’s plan, then this proposal (even if the journalist has many weaknesses) will open the way to a “soft landing” - to overthrow Assad, “without destroying the stability country".



Ignatius admits that "moderate diplomatic decisions are for the average man." But then he writes that the Syrian opposition is waiting for the supply of weapons, the creation of a no-fly zone and other options for purely military solutions. “It is difficult from a moral point of view to understand the reasons for such opposition actions; the problem is that these military solutions will give far more innocent civilians killed and destroy the already delicate balance of the Syrian state. ”

The author continues: “We need to learn from recent Middle Eastern history and find a non-military solution in Syria — albeit with the inevitable ambiguity and the need to reach a compromise with unpleasant people. The peace agreement in Syria will also lead the main role of Russia and China, two countries that do not deserve a good press. Everyone will agree with me: Vladimir Putin will receive the front line telegraph tape if he mediates in the relatively peaceful care of Assad. ”

The journalist cites Iraq as a negative example, in which a military solution was implemented. “In this sense, the US invasion inadvertently and tragically sent Iraq back in time. Iraq received a portion of "democracy", but lost social cohesion. " "Democracy" is quoted by the author. - O. Ch.).

In general, the United States, according to the journalist, should learn lessons from history in Iraq - and not make the same mistakes in Syria. The author of the article is not a supporter of the opposition’s weapons: “We have already seen this movie. We know that this leads to a kind of lawlessness that is very hard to change. ” Therefore, Ignatius says: “I believe the Obama government ...” He believes that it is necessary to continue to seek support from Moscow — even after the “sluggishness of the Russians” that “Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (unwisely, but definitely) described as“ contemptible ”last month.

He further writes: “This is the moment for real politics: the West needs Russia's help in overthrowing Assad without a civil war, and Russia should mediate the transition to support its own future influence in the Arab world. This is the logic of pragmatics, and it lies at the heart of Annan’s peace efforts. ”

To reduce the possible bloodshed that is likely to occur after Assad’s departure - after all, political changes are unlikely to take place in Syria "without some bloodshed," the journalist believes that the "Friends of Syria" should think "about ways to prevent repression against Alawite and Christian communities who were loyal to the regime, ”at the very moment when Assad will be on board the aircraft flying to Doha or Moscow. “I hope,” Ignatius writes, “that Annan will appeal to the leaders of these minorities with an offer to them of the assurance that they will not be destroyed when Assad leaves.”

Thus, all questions on Ignatius, will decide in Syria Annan. The journalist does not even consider a different option, except for the resignation of Assad.

He further writes: “An alternative to a diplomatic soft landing is a war that will destroy an ethnic mosaic in Syria. It is easy to imagine the Sunni militia taking control of the central cities, such as Homs, Ham and Idlib, while parts of the Alawite retreat to the regions of Damascus and Latakia in the north. Assad can still claim the presidency in this scenario, but he will be a little more than the field commander (albeit with access to chemical weapons). This is a dark scenario in which Western air forces will have a limited effect. ”

In an article in Washington Post With reference to the Associated Press of March 29, entitled “The United States hopes that diplomacy will help end violence in Syria, and Clinton travels to the region with unanswered questions,” Syria is reported to be “stuck in a conflict between a violent government and armed rebels, - so that no country can be sure that it wants to support it. And it’s not clear what Annan can do to stop the bloodshed. ” The article cites the opinion of Victoria Nuland, who said that “the Assad regime is unable to fulfill the commitments made through Annan’s mediation on Tuesday, when Assad, among other conditions, agreed to a cease-fire. Since then, dozens of people have been killed by the forces of Assad. ”

"But Nuland said the United States supports international diplomatic efforts and declares that the government is still opposed to military intervention."

The article further notes that, unlike Libya, "the leader of which, Muammar Gaddafi, disgusted the world, Syria still has allies in Russia and Iran and a huge own army."

Also in the article it is reported that Hillary Clinton, after meeting with the Saudi king, will arrive in Istanbul at the “Meeting of Friends of Syria”, which will be presented to sixty countries.

As indicated in the article, on the question of what could be a success in this meeting, Nuland replied: "We want to see as much unity as possible among these opposition members." Humanitarian aid and further isolation of the Assad government are also mentioned. The agenda is similar to the one in February, voiced in Tunisia.

It is also noted that in the United States a growing number of legislators are in favor of American intervention. Mentioned is the “group of republican senators” and Senator Joe Lieberman, who on Wednesday condemned the atrocities of the Assad regime. Some senators (John McCain, Lindsay Graham) criticized Obama’s position. However, the government does not want to be involved in what is “essentially a civil war.”

The article concludes with the words of Hillary Clinton that the United States and its allies are going to help Sunni opposition members "improve their vision of a comprehensive democracy." It is supposed to convince "the minority, still supporting the government, that he will have a place in the post-Sadad future".

В "New York Times" 28 March: Lebanese report published by Anne Barnard: “Refugees say a neighbor shoots a neighbor in a Syrian offensive on democracy.”

The report says that, according to Sunni Muslims who fled Syria, government suppression of resistance organized by a religious minority that joined Assad is sectarian, and many Sunnis are convinced that they are campaigning to abandon their homes in certain areas country.

The evidence cites the words of refugees from the city of Al-Qusayr, who "believed that the government not only struck disobedient urban centers, but also towns and villages that were not seen as centers of an uprising."

We further read: “There are at least 6000 Syrian refugees living in the Bekaa Valley in eastern Lebanon, according to United Nations data, including several dozen women and children who were interviewed - here, on the northern edge of the valley. They said they felt threatened because they were Sunni, and some of them said they saw the military hand out rifles to residents of neighboring villages inhabited by Alawite members of the same unorthodox Muslim sect that Mr. Asad is their neighbors then opened fire on them. What they said is reinforced by messages from Syrian activists, received by telephone, and emails about the advancement of the sectarian line, and interviews with people in Syria.

The doctor from the city of Al-Qusayr, who did not name his name and who reposed Khalid bin al-Walid, an associate of the Prophet Muhammad, was asked if he was worried that the young Sunnis might decide to take revenge on the Alawite.

“No,” he said, walking through the darkening peach orchard. “Our religion teaches us to forgive.”

But another resident of Al-Qusayr, Abu Khalil, who was next to him, did not agree.

“Do we have to forgive until a single Sunni is alive?” He asked.

В Chicago Tribune March 29 published an article-opinion of Elizabeth Shekman Hurd "The Tragedy of Religious Freedom in Syria."

After introductory arguments on what religious freedom is, the journalist writes:

“Take the crisis in Syria. In certain circles, there is a fear that after the fall of the Assad regime, non-Muslim Syrians (and possibly non-Sunni Muslims) will suffer from a lack of religious freedom. USA Today reports that “Christians in Syria, where Muslims rebelled against President Bashar Assad, were subjected to murder, rape and kidnapping — in Damascus and rebel cities, according to Christian groups of human rights defenders.”

With the logic of this story told in the newspaper, everything is simple: "... the result of the overthrow of Assad will be Christian persecution." Therefore, Syria needs religious freedom.

And this is where the journalist sees an interesting problem.

"The problem is that the Syrian revolutionaries are not" Muslims who rose up against Assad. " This is a tale of the regime, not corresponding to reality on the streets of Syrian cities. For many decades, the Assad family relied on the perceived threat of sectarian anarchy hiding beneath the surface of society and politics to justify its autocratic rule. This is not a religious conflict between the Sunnis and the Alawite and Shiite allies in Iran and Lebanon. Presenting it as such strengthens the boundaries of religious differences and makes religious violence more likely. In this case, unfortunately, strong support in the name of protecting the freedom of the Christian faith legitimizes a strong and increasingly illegal regime. It adds fuel to the flames of religious and sectarian conflict, which, according to freedom of religion, it can overcome, because it has unique opportunities for this. ”

The journalist writes: “As in Tunisia, Libya and Egypt, the Syrian uprising is a grassroots, popular uprising against secular autocracy. People from all walks of life, including Alawites, are found among the protesters. This is not a struggle between Alawites and Christians. This is a struggle between the authoritarian regime, which divided the country's resources and suppressed its people, and those who oppose it. Syrian people on both sides are of different backgrounds. One of the most prominent Syrian dissentok, Fadva Suleiman, is a famous actress, an alawite. At the same time, many Alawites have someone in their families, working in the Assad security forces or other government bodies, and many fear dismissal, unemployment, and collective punishment ... ”

Elizabeth Shekman Hurd believes that the idea of ​​a struggle between Sunni terrorists and the ruling regime is just as false as the idea of ​​a struggle in Syria between Muslims and Christians. “That argument,” writes the journalist, “according to which freedom of religion is a decision for everyone, only misleading exhausted Syria.”

Observed and translated by Oleg Chuvakin
- especially for topwar.ru
51 comment
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  1. mib1982
    mib1982 30 March 2012 07: 26 New
    29
    Well done Bashar al-Assad, beat the reptiles.
    1. Dmitriy69
      Dmitriy69 30 March 2012 08: 20 New
      15
      Quote: mib1982
      Well done Bashar al-Assad, beat the reptiles.

      He does this without braking. Sensible man, knows what to do and how to do it.
    2. vadimus
      vadimus 30 March 2012 08: 28 New
      17
      I wouldn’t go to London just because Berezovsky’s there ... I won’t accept the reptiles ...
      1. Sergh
        Sergh 30 March 2012 08: 48 New
        12
        Right Assad, do not listen to all nonsense, hollow enemies barefoot. Do not regret gunpowder, let us throw it.
        1. Jaromir
          Jaromir 30 March 2012 15: 14 New
          13
          In give! The Olympiad has already started! It seems like a little dirty trick, but nice! .. Bashar sits, grieving: "E-mine! .. We must give up, otherwise they won't be allowed to participate in the Olympiad! .. How to live then?!."
        2. Ascetic
          Ascetic 30 March 2012 16: 25 New
          +8
          Quote: Sergh
          Right Assad, do not listen to all nonsense, hollow enemies barefoot. Do not regret gunpowder, let us throw it.


          Hello Sergey! Not otherwise, and so normally they threw the amers out once the amers do not climb to help out their shitty barefoot friends, only diapers are periodically changed, and the tears are wiped away like a caring mother. The Olympics since all the gold will be taken away from the "great" and "invincible"
    3. domokl
      domokl 30 March 2012 09: 05 New
      +9
      It’s a very capacious article .. There is something to ponder and there is something to argue with ... Just a dispute with the Americans is not a serious matter ... Assad wins in the military and in the information confrontation with the naked eye ... Western politicians and journalists they are trying to find an explanation of their position after it became clear that the people, for the most part, support Assad, and Russia and China are not going to sell Syria ... The price is too high ...
      The religious aspect of the problem always comes in second place after the political one .. The easiest way to explain to a simple layman is that they can be killed somewhere from behind a different face, another god, other traditions and customs ... Let us recall how an opinion was created about the Africans, which until now Since then the wild cannibals dominate the world, who can never rise to the heights of a white man ... And people believe that people don’t give a damn that in the USA half of blacks are Americans, and real blacks are savages ...
      Americans will now have to explain to their bankers why investments do not give dividends, and this can shake up the whole world politics ...
      1. Ziksura
        Ziksura 30 March 2012 10: 11 New
        +4
        Quote: domokl
        Americans will now have to explain to their bankers why investments do not give dividends, and this can shake up the whole world politics ...

        In the current state of affairs, this is not so bad. There will be a chance to change everything. I do not think that it will turn out worse than it was.
    4. re321
      re321 30 March 2012 12: 39 New
      -30
      They will simply strangle with economic sanctions, and this is where the sad story of another "king" will end ... Today's Cuba is a very vivid example of pathetic attempts to "pull" with the entire civilized world
      1. Churchill
        Churchill 30 March 2012 14: 08 New
        +9
        If Russia and China do not subscribe to these sanctions, then they are worthless! ..
      2. DEMENTIY
        DEMENTIY 30 March 2012 14: 37 New
        15
        re321
        In vain you are so about Cuba. They deserve at least respect, because they are trying to take the alternative path, and where it has already shown a more civilized time.
        Morally decomposed - with legalized prostitution, homosexuality, drug addiction and fornication of democracy, do not pull on the standard of civilization.
        1. smile
          smile 30 March 2012 16: 24 New
          11
          Dementy
          once read an article by an American outraged by the situation in America. He deduced the formula for the ideal president of the United States - One-legged black lesbian down, single mother, prostitute who goes to the synagogue in burqa!
          1. Reks
            Reks 31 March 2012 02: 51 New
            +1
            Quote: smile
            who goes to the synagogue in a burqa!

            ..the last word is especially interesting. Here I am quoting an excerpt - "and also Democratic Senator Joe Lieberman. They called on the White House to start immediately supplying the Syrian opposition with" weapons and other material "again and again the" most offended "gentlemen from the Promised Land. Always. was neutral towards them, but gradually the attitude is changing for the worse.

            link to the original http://topwar.ru/12917-siriya-bashar-asad-nastupaet-i-za-eto-ego-ne-pustyat-na-o

            limpiadu-v-london.html
      3. smile
        smile 30 March 2012 16: 19 New
        +6
        Answer Re321
        They will be strangled to stifle, as with the above-mentioned 50 years of severe sanctions by Cuba ... and what they could. If the Syrians. as with the Cubans, as a result of sanctions, the average life expectancy will increase by a couple of decades and exceed this indicator of the USA, then Western kings will have to admit that their hands are short.
    5. General
      General 30 March 2012 16: 29 New
      +3
      I can of course be mistaken, but it seems that this is not him in the photo, I saw a couple of photos yesterday, before he was not like that, apparently a double
      1. 755962
        755962 30 March 2012 23: 04 New
        +2
        Information wars can make more noise than artillery cannonade. The main caliber of the West is the media.
  2. YARY
    YARY 30 March 2012 07: 37 New
    +2
    The article is correct! But overall plus!
  3. Landwarrior
    Landwarrior 30 March 2012 08: 03 New
    +8
    Hmm, I think McCain is not a sick person, but simply lobbying for the interests of one of the arms manufacturers. what (although one does not interfere with the other wink )
    But CLINTon really had something wrong with her head, apparently, she would have earned it on vacation or sucked sugar with LSD .. lol
    Well, Assad is well done good
    1. Korzhik_77
      Korzhik_77 30 March 2012 13: 29 New
      +5
      + good And they, it seems, from one incubator - CLINTon, Rise, Nuland ...
      1. Landwarrior
        Landwarrior 30 March 2012 14: 32 New
        +4
        Quote: Korzhik_77
        And they, it seems, from one incubator

        Attack of the clones? belay
        laughing
        1. Korzhik_77
          Korzhik_77 30 March 2012 15: 01 New
          +3
          If everything goes according to the scenario of Lucas, then the victory is for our friends.
          Only, unfortunately, history does not like the subjunctive mood.
          Good luck to Assad
          1. Landwarrior
            Landwarrior 31 March 2012 00: 44 New
            0
            Quote: Korzhik_77
            Good luck to Assad

            Join yes good
        2. Maroder
          Maroder 31 March 2012 02: 09 New
          0
          Quote: Landwarrior
          Attack of the clones?

          Clowns. (missed the letter)
        3. Kamaz
          Kamaz 31 March 2012 12: 34 New
          0
          Attack PSYCHOV wink
  4. Uralm
    Uralm 30 March 2012 08: 15 New
    +7
    Assad clearly wins. So he made some concessions to the Kurds, and they announced their support for Syria that in the event of an attack by Turkey, the whole Kurdistan would take up arms, also concerns the opposition, who are generally afraid there
    turn up
    And many "democrats" began to cool down, for example:
    In his report, the French photographer, who was in the Syrian city of Homs last month, during an intensive operation by government forces, said that some "rebels" faked their footage to make the dire situation even worse.
    In one such scene, "rebel" Omar Telawi asked for help amid thick, black smoke.
    At the same time, the "rebels" set fire to tires in front of the camera to remove smoke, allegedly from shelling by government forces.



    http://anna-news.info/node/5172
  5. Vadim555
    Vadim555 30 March 2012 08: 18 New
    10
    Russian S-300 on the defense of Syria.
    If true, then great.
    Perhaps that’s why the tone in the West has changed wink

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0uApczTJkEI&feature=related
    1. domokl
      domokl 30 March 2012 09: 11 New
      +7
      I don’t understand your joy? С-300, like any weapon, you can calmly eliminate it with the help of other weapons .. Moreover, the Syrian systems are far from the most modern ... The tone has changed simply because Assad enjoys the support of the people and correctly eliminated the possibility of military rebellion ...
      1. Vadim555
        Vadim555 30 March 2012 09: 30 New
        +7
        Quote: domokl
        S-300, like any weapon, can be safely eliminated with the help of other weapons..

        Any weapons can be eliminated with other weapons. If I understand you correctly, then Russia is in vain updating the weapons, will it still be destroyed?

        Quote: domokl
        simply because Assad enjoys the support of the people and correctly eliminated the possibility of a military rebellion

        In this I completely agree with you, he is not only an intelligent, but also a wise politician.
  6. Uralm
    Uralm 30 March 2012 08: 24 New
    +9
    The bandits are running away slowly.

    According to the Lebanese television channel NBN, in the Al-Qaa region of Bekaa province, Lebanese army detained ten armed men trying to enter Lebanese territory from Syria. Among them are five Lebanese citizens, the rest are Syrians.
    The Lebanese military detained two vehicles carrying a large batch of weapons, including heavy ones.
    As confirmed by an official source in the Lebanese army, a large number of weapons and ammunition were confiscated, as well as military uniforms.
    1. Landwarrior
      Landwarrior 30 March 2012 10: 14 New
      +4
      Quote: Uralm
      The bandits are running away slowly.

      I smell Ukrainian smuggling - grease for heels and skis laughing

      PS: Sorry, if something
  7. Joker
    Joker 30 March 2012 08: 51 New
    11
    Well, great, Assad is great, great willpower for which he should be respected. I noticed that all the alleged "tyrants", "tormentors", come to their country, the war behave heroically without retreating and without complaining, unlike the so-called "democratic presidents of patriots", who were a little pressured and they are ready to sell the country with giblets ... This is a lesson for other countries, Gaddafi, Assad, the whole of Europe and the United States throws mud at them, calls them criminals, murderers, and they themselves proved to the whole world what they are and who the real criminals and killers are.
  8. patriot2
    patriot2 30 March 2012 09: 06 New
    +7
    Banderlog rustled when Assad began to "force them to peace." Well done, and the amers will also wash, keep it up. good
  9. vylvyn
    vylvyn 30 March 2012 10: 06 New
    +4
    That grief is so grief. Assad will not get to the Olympics. So poor Syria will remain without medals. Syria will be left without medals, and Assad will remain with his head. Here Gaddafi with Saddam and without medals remained without a head. I think Assad will better give up all the medals in London than with his personal head. If you don’t have a head, how to wear medals, through legs or something?
  10. Vladimir75
    Vladimir75 30 March 2012 10: 18 New
    +4
    Undoubtedly, Basher Assad was a good fellow. Under the difficult conditions of constantly escalating the threat, he proved himself to be a skilled politician, leader of the nation and a staunch patriot of the Motherland! But there was an ambiguous impression about the article. Undoubtedly, the author is plus for the huge work done. But, despite the general optimistic -positive attitude of the article, after reading a heavy precipitate remained in my soul. I re-read it again and again, after reading, it beats in my head -He lost That led to this conclusion I don’t know. It is possible the alternation of good and bad news in the article. The author can comment on this news. Perhaps a ragged style of presentation. And maybe I'm just paranoid. But all the same, I will refrain from any appraisals of this article.
    1. Landwarrior
      Landwarrior 31 March 2012 00: 47 New
      +1
      The main thing is do not panic in advance, but there it will be visible;)
      1. Vladimir75
        Vladimir75 31 March 2012 14: 35 New
        0
        Yes, I’m not violent at all wink there’s nothing to panic so far but damn, as if this situevina with Syria and Iran did not turn out to be a gambit I really would not want this
  11. vezunchik
    vezunchik 30 March 2012 10: 47 New
    +4
    How all this reminds the 30th years! Yes, spit on the Olympics (Syria is not allowed, Belarus is not allowed)
  12. ward
    ward 30 March 2012 10: 48 New
    +3
    Well, I’ll also watch Olempiad on TV, they didn’t give me a visa either ... but in vain ... the guys are gathering here from Tataria .... But they didn’t want me either, what is needed most ... but what’s remarkable ... the west is a hostage of its own legal illusions ... and lately it has been losing to all military companies ... not to be confused with the relatively successful operations of the special services .. why it is relative ... well, why was Gaddafi to be overthrown when he himself would have given everything ... ... it seems they don’t climb, because the money doesn’t work anymore ... there are no people who want to sell the Motherland ...
  13. Kyrgyz
    Kyrgyz 30 March 2012 10: 56 New
    +9
    Nothing, we will look in 2014
    1. vylvyn
      vylvyn 31 March 2012 02: 03 New
      -1
      Sukhov, is that you again? This is me Vereshchagin. Petruha is with you? laughing drinks (shovel)

      PS We apologize for a small departure from the topic.
  14. Very smart
    Very smart 30 March 2012 11: 04 New
    10
    Correct and high-quality article. To the author - respect.
    Smiled: "the head of the Syrian National Council Burkhan Galyun."
    Surname is speaking. And since nothing accidental happens, one can draw the right conclusions.
    1. Pacifist
      Pacifist 30 March 2012 13: 53 New
      +7
      Burhan Galyun
      laughing Tin-plate
  15. serge
    serge 30 March 2012 13: 25 New
    +3
    By killing Hussein and Gaddafi, the Americans rendered themselves a disservice - now the leadership of any country with which the United States has a conflict will stand to the end, knowing that losing is death.
  16. Pacifist
    Pacifist 30 March 2012 13: 51 New
    +3
    I wonder what kind of mess in the head of the Americans. All calculations are entirely on logical contradictions ... some sort of shit storage.
  17. phantom359
    phantom359 30 March 2012 14: 17 New
    +4
    Well done Assad. And they went fucking with their Olympics and London.
  18. vladimir64ss
    vladimir64ss 30 March 2012 15: 37 New
    +3
    It would be nice to stop the Amer wave in Syria. Morder exhales.
    1. OSTAP BENDER
      OSTAP BENDER 30 March 2012 21: 07 New
      +2
      Must stop! And then these ghouls will never stop, they want to drown the whole world in blood! Aspen stake in them .... y!
  19. duchy
    duchy 30 March 2012 16: 23 New
    +3
    Assad is pursuing a flexible and firm policy. The support of the people gives them an undeniable advantage. The faster he squeezes these bastards out of Syria, the stronger the cries of the "democratizers" will be.
    At the present moment, it is advisable for Assad to strengthen counterpropaganda, not only refuting false information, but to work proactively, knocking out the information soil from the liars. Basically, all the "facts" announced in the Western press are either falsified or distorted. I pay tribute to those correspondents and editors of certain editions of editions who, in protest against the lies, in covering the events in Syria, left them. Now everyone is in confusion, "he sees an eye but does not wrinkle a tooth," so they do small dirty tricks on the sly of impotence. They will come up with something new, then mom do not cry.
    Well, as for the rapprochement of the positions of Russia and China with the West with respect to Syria, we must assume that this West has begun to give up its positions, they understood that we will not leave Syria to the mercy. Just do not flatter yourself that the matter will end there, there is a high probability of intervention.
  20. patriot2
    patriot2 30 March 2012 17: 26 New
    +3
    And about the water closet - I couldn’t stop for a long time, neighing for a long time. That's really the truth - Galyun, to nudge him into a swing, the chairman of Zasra-tsev. Tin, I can’t laugh. Thank! yes
  21. io_stalin
    io_stalin 30 March 2012 19: 33 New
    +6
    But something of the trolls is not visible.
    Already, probably not a promising topic.
    Former NATO Secretary General: Russia's position is the key to resolving the Syrian conflict

    A hole for you from a bagel, not Sharapova!

    Elena321 reports from Syria:
    Hmm, divide and rule ... The situation here is different, or rather, those who consider themselves to be the opposition are different, in normal language-NON-HUMAN. You just do not understand what the Salafis are, and this is a robot programmed to kill, destroying all dissent, not It is not possible to have a dialogue, it is like a blind man with a deaf. They recently laughed at the messages from al-Jazeera about 5 tank crews who went over to the side of the militants in Damascus. By the way, there is no heavy military equipment in the city at all. a message that was about 5 months ago - government troops dropped parachutists from MIGs on Homs ... And there were those who believed. There was an incident at the checkpoint in Homs - a man in white walks, even white sneakers, and a saber in his hands. they look in silence and do nothing, but the latter in ecstasy comes up to the APC, hits it with a saber and says, DISAPPEAR !!! The APC naturally does not disappear, the citizen in white hits him again and condemns him. Well, the military got tired and they went to detain him, and he SHOCKED asks, can you see me? sheikh said, if you put on all white, no one will see you, and what you touch will disappear ... Religion has two sides, Alas, not everyone maintains a balance, but what happens when a fool is forced to pray to God, I think everyone knows. Our nephew is working as a teacher in a town near Derizor, he has been forced to sit at home for 3 weeks, he is afraid of returning. His students were warned to leave. He obeyed, but the day before yesterday they kidnapped and killed 3 of his friends, teachers, for being Alawites. The fourth was released, he was from Zabadali, Sunit. If the Saudi sheikh officially called on, let 1/3 of the population die in Syria, but the rest will live ... They do not want dialogue, they want EVERYTHING, they want to dispose of other people's lives. When Katana was cleared out. (this is a suburb of Damascus) they arrested the newly-minted emir (first of all, the most cruel thugs self-appoint themselves and their own kind to power. He even pranced on a white horse after self-appointment), then they arrested the Sharia executioner with him, who also found his gallows instrument. At the very beginning in Hamathey killed the postman, stripped him in front of the crowd to his underpants and hung him PUBLIC on an electric pole, recorded on video and threw him on YouTube. Killed for the fact that a civil servant, despite the fact that he was sucking. And there are THOUSANDS of such cases. Confessions were shown in the news today the militant who killed his brother's son for 6 thousand dollars.
    Those whom America calls the opposition do not want any good to this country, but rather seek to drive everyone into the Stone Age, destroying culture and all faiths with the exception of radical Salafism.

  22. Sandov
    Sandov 30 March 2012 19: 37 New
    +5
    The journalist cites Iraq as a negative example, in which a military solution was implemented. “In this sense, the US invasion inadvertently and tragically sent Iraq back in time. Iraq received a portion of "democracy", but lost social cohesion. " "Democracy" is quoted by the author. - O. Ch.).

    As for the lack of intentions, oh, and I doubt it. Pin-ups unintentionally do nothing.
  23. Marat
    Marat 30 March 2012 21: 28 New
    +3
    The good news is that world aggressors are not omnipotent!

    How much time has passed - and they could neither bomb Syria - nor start the bombing of Iran - and, God forbid, they will not be able to!

    The unity and determination of the peoples of Syria and Iran, support from Russia and China - these factors really stopped (if only for a while) the aggressors - and make them think and weigh their forces - but will there be enough strength to finish what they want to start?
  24. LiRoy
    LiRoy 30 March 2012 21: 46 New
    +2
    Syria: Bashar Assad comes, and for that he will not be allowed to attend the Olympics in London
    To mix politics and sport, this is the most heinous measure any politicians can come up with in general.
    1. Salavat
      Salavat 31 March 2012 07: 27 New
      +1
      London out of spite dirty for nothing. No self esteem
  25. Odinplys
    Odinplys 31 March 2012 01: 47 New
    +2
    Zionists understood ... Lottery ticket ... Assad does not get involved ...
    And he’s not afraid of gas cuts ....
    +++++++ Russian Foreign Ministry
  26. Baemaley99
    Baemaley99 April 1 2012 19: 08 New
    0
    Friends of Syria meeting scheduled for April 1
    And Petrosyan, with a crooked mirror, will be there?
  27. gladiatorakz
    gladiatorakz April 2 2012 16: 42 New
    -1
    Bashar al-Assad - well done !!! He’s a doctor. Heals some who are too greedy for someone else's. (amputation of the enemy head by a professional!)