Military Review

In the name of friendship of nations

19
In the name of friendship of nations



Russia and the United States is difficult to make friends. Some analysts even believe that Moscow may refuse to cooperate with the White House, in which Donald Trump currently sits. The declared pretext for friendship is painfully inconvenient: Russia needs to abandon its partnership with Iran and China.

Why Russia may not want a deal with Trump? On this topic, Nicholas K. Gvozdyov argues "The National Interest".

Despite the “panic warnings” about the imminent “one-sided concessions” to the Kremlin, allegedly prepared by the new president of the United States, nothing of the kind has been observed. No binding agreements between Trump and Putin have been concluded. And this beginning does not foreshadow the easy way.

According to Gvozdev, the National Interest editor and senior research associate at the Foreign Policy Research Institute, one of the most “useful frameworks” for understanding foreign policy is making decisions based on the principle of a “two-tier game”. These principles are described by Harvard University professor Robert Putnam (Putnam). He argued that the leaders of the two countries are negotiating with each other and at the same time “bargaining” within their internal political systems: the freedom of their maneuver in the international arena is limited by the actions of certain subjects in their homeland.

Therefore, today, regardless of how Putin’s relations with Trump (even if they are friendly), it may be that no good will come of it: warm relations between leaders will not have even minimal value if Trump fails to convince the American public. in that his approach might work. Similarly, Putin: he has to convince his society of the need to change the course of Russian foreign policy in order to better coordinate with American “preferences”.

Over the past few weeks, a lot of comments have appeared in the US press on “significant bureaucratic resistance” to Trump’s new team about relations with Moscow. There is already a bipartisan consensus in Congress, which sees Russia as a threat, and Putin as an opponent. In the United States, there are no major interest groups lobbying for improved relations between the two states.

What is happening in Russia?

The author suddenly turns to ... a Jewish topic.

He criticizes in the article the scandalous statements made the other day by the Vice-Speaker of the State Duma of the Russian Federation Peter Tolstoy about the activity of citizens protesting against the transfer of St. Isaac’s Cathedral in St. Petersburg (“by the way, this is the church where my great-grandmother and great-grandfather met for the first time,” Gvozdyov) of the Russian Orthodox Church. The aforementioned Tolstoy described the protesters as descendants of those “who destroyed our churches, jumping out there because of their resilience with Nagan in the seventeenth year ...” These words indicate, the journalist explains that the Bolshevik revolution 1917 was supposedly a “Jewish plot”, carried out with the aim of purging ethnic Russians, and that those who gathered for protests are their ideological descendants. P. Tolstoy’s statement, the author believes, directly feeds on “powerful anti-Semitism”, which represents “not only a danger for maintaining the interethnic and interfaith balance of Russia, but also threatens to disrupt Russia's growing strategic partnership with Israel”.

(The latter, we add, is absolutely true. Israeli officials immediately responded to Tolstoy’s statements: the words of the vice-speaker of the State Duma were commented by the Israeli ambassador to Russia Harry Koren. "This, of course, is disappointing, especially in the sense that the level of anti-Semitism in Russia is much lower, than it was in the old days and much lower than in some countries of Western Europe. Therefore, when it comes to speaking about an official of such a rank, it is painful at best and is perceived much worse, ”quotes Koren. Rosbalt.)

More importantly, Gvozdev continues, it’s the creation of "additional problems for any US administration that seeks to improve relations with Russia."

Although Tolstoy’s comments did not become a storm in the American media, because they didn’t pay much attention, many Jewish-born Americans live in the country, whose ancestors left the same Pale in the Russian Empire and then left Russia to avoid persecution and discrimination. Who knows if the descendants of these people will decide that the United States should not maintain relations with Russia! .. In fact, Tolstoy’s comments are a warning: Russian politicians have a number of tools and may well sabotage any efforts by Putin and Trump leading to detente.

The analyst shows other such tools besides anti-Semitism.

Today, Putin has more real power than the chief executive of the United States. That is, Putin personally has more opportunities to shape the Russian foreign policy program than Trump. Nevertheless, in Russia there are powerful "vectors" that are not ready for a rapid shift in relations.

The Trump administration, for example, hinted that it was interested in establishing closer relations with Russia to get help from Moscow in the area of ​​countering China and isolating Iran.

Russia had historical friction with both Tehran and Beijing, including a series of wars over the centuries. In Russian society, there is still a significant distrust of Iran and China. However, there are influential forces in Russia that will resist the “sacrifice” of partnerships that have arisen in recent years in order to improve relations with Washington. In addition, the Russian defense industry has a vital interest, earning income now, which is hardly offset by improved relations with Washington.

American sanctions created problems for Russia, but she already learned to live with them. Today’s Russia is not eager to “make big concessions” in Syria or Ukraine, hearing “vague promises” about lifting the sanctions from the United States. The limited economic recovery and the state’s success in the privatization of part of the state-owned oil company Rosneft strengthened those who oppose any “premature concessions” to the Americans.

In turn, the Trump administration will find it harder to achieve a change in relations if Trump fails to convince many skeptics in the government that working with Moscow will serve the interests of the United States.

Prospects for a “big deal” in the coming months are only if at least one leader, and better both, “resolutely fight” against the trend that exists in both countries that “works against the improvement of relations” between Russia and the United States.

The White House’s hint of a possible closer relationship with Russia to jointly isolate Iran has recently grown into a thesis, we’ll add. If at the time of Obama Russia was considered the number one enemy of the United States, now Iran has been declared the number one terrorist state.

In an interview with Fox News last Sunday, President Trump called Iran "the number one terrorist state." “Iran does not respect us at all. This is the number one terrorist state. They send money everywhere and weapon», - сказал Trump

There was also information about the "wedge", which the White House is ready to drive between Moscow and Tehran.

The Trump administration is looking for opportunities to interfere with the diplomatic and military cooperation between Russia and Iran. This was written by The Wall Street Journal, citing sources in European and Arab countries. “There is a wedge that can be driven between Russia and Iran, and we are ready to consider this option,” сказал Interlocutor publication in the White House.

Then, probably, the Americans will drive a wedge between Moscow and Beijing.

And all these wedges are in the name of "improving relations" between the United States and Russia. In the name of the friendship of nations, to put it old-fashioned.

Observed and commented on Oleg Chuvakin
- especially for topwar.ru
19 comments
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  1. aszzz888
    aszzz888 7 February 2017 06: 17
    +3
    “There is a wedge that can be driven between Russia and Iran, and we are ready to consider this option,” the source told the White House.

    ... then Beijing, etc. That is, the mericatos will NEVER leave their foreign policy course. A "friendship" with Russia is nothing more than a veiled action.
  2. sa-ag
    sa-ag 7 February 2017 07: 00
    0
    "... Russia had historical friction with both Tehran and Beijing"

    Well, then this chain of events - Trump's call - the introduction of a limited contingent to Syria, to participate in the assault on Raqqa - adjoining possible sanctions against Iran (especially since it already happened once) has every chance of being implemented
    1. DMoroz
      DMoroz 7 February 2017 12: 39
      0
      This is the number one terrorist state. They send money and weapons everywhere, ”Trump said.

      the definition of a terrorist state is, in principle, true, although not complete. But maybe this is not about Iran at all? (so Freud’s reservation) ... recourse
  3. Gormenghast
    Gormenghast 7 February 2017 07: 33
    +4
    Judging by the name of this Nicholas - Russophobian emigrant.

    And Trump is already good. Without any agreement, he attacked globalism, which is quite gut.

    Trans-Pacific Partnership slaughtered - excellent! Transatlantic annul - even better. I hope that the WTO will collapse. Or maybe the IMF.
    In 2017, the next guarantee billion to the Nazis from Ukraine will not give.
    And so on.

    This is in every way better than psychopathy and other pathology of clintorasts and orbamophiles.
  4. Olgovich
    Olgovich 7 February 2017 08: 51
    +2
    Tolstoy described the protesters as descendants of those “who destroyed our churches and jumped out there because of the Pale of Settlement with the Nagan in the seventeenth year ...”

    He described only a miserable bunch of people. And where is anti-Semitism? belay

    On the trump and the rest: you do not need to make friends with anyone. Clearly aware of their interests, to cooperate on some issues with some, on others with others, without taking sides.
  5. captain
    captain 7 February 2017 09: 07
    +3
    I agree with the author on many issues, but do not forget that the United States has never done anything to the detriment of itself. And not a single president sat in the White House if he opposed big business (regardless of affiliation with the Rockefeller and Roshild clans). I do not know such a president who could afford to worsen the lives of Americans. America will not recognize, at this stage, the equality of its position with Russia and will never recognize unless we overtake the United States in economic development and technological terms. We would rather have good relations with China and Iran than with the United States to be allies against China and Iran. The US always acts in politics on the principle of "cast and quit" and they will not change this principle, we must always remember this. It is good that we have people. who oppose close rapprochement with the United States.
    1. The comment was deleted.
  6. Altona
    Altona 7 February 2017 11: 36
    0
    Trump has some kind of template regarding foreign policy plus restrictions in the form of the Republican Party and Congress. He did not develop a foreign policy, he operates with some kind of workpiece, and not even his own, but Bush’s. I would like him to do the United States.
  7. krops777
    krops777 7 February 2017 12: 29
    +2
    They send money and weapons everywhere, ”Trump said.


    Is that what he said about his country? lol
  8. Koronik
    Koronik 7 February 2017 16: 43
    +2
    “In an interview with Fox News last Sunday, President Trump called Iran“ the number one terrorist state. ”“ Iran doesn’t respect us at all. It’s the number one terrorist state. They send money and weapons everywhere, ”Trump said. -
    1. fif21
      fif21 7 February 2017 19: 17
      +2
      Quote: Koronik
      “Iran does not respect us at all. This is the number one terrorist state. Everywhere they send money and weapons, "Trump said." -

      It was he who told the truth about the USA wassat And let him ask, who respects mattresses in Russia? The USA is the No. 1 terrorist in the world. They need to be judged as war criminals. hi
      1. Volzhanin
        Volzhanin 7 February 2017 23: 51
        +2
        Something I did not hear this common truth from the lips of the official authorities of Russia!
        Apparently because the pathetic thieves' scum under the big name EP, the honor, independence and prosperity of the State is useless. Only selfish interests and personal buns.
        How got this abomination, the litter of the Westerners who usurped power in Russia!
  9. Astart
    Astart 7 February 2017 19: 00
    +2
    In general, Russia must forget in politics such a concept of "Friendship." Remember all our "friends, brothers, gratuitous help", etc., how did it end each time?
  10. fif21
    fif21 7 February 2017 19: 12
    +2
    That's all imposed - we must be friends with the United States! Do I need this? No! Let politicians powder their brains further. And the military people know that we can’t avoid a war with cowboys. The Borzometer rolls over, their partners need to be lowered. wassat NATO tanks in the Baltic states, ships in the Black Sea, the US military know their business, and our politicians and business thieves are ready to kiss Trump's fifth point. The case of Gorbachev, Yeltsin, Chubais, Gaidar (fat bad man) blossoms and smells. am
    1. Volzhanin
      Volzhanin 7 February 2017 23: 57
      +2
      In any case, it is necessary to lower the degenerates, only the Kremlin rot can only steal, it is not trained in another and is not capable of anything else.
      And about the "bad guy" an interesting comment - Arkady Gaidar perspicaciously described in the tale of his vile geek in this role! Grimace of fate!
  11. SergeBS
    SergeBS 9 February 2017 03: 19
    +1
    Nothing new. “Cool Onaliteg” writes for the “friendship” of the United States with someone. For example, from the Russian Federation. A very simple question: has this "friendship" ever been? And a VERY simple answer: in the last century, Europe fought twice, and one country profited from this, which, it turns out, is capable of making friends. laughing Like, "I'm friends with you, so fight with those. And I will throw a weapon at you and them at a" modest "price until you kill each other half to death (or rather, before the money ends)."
    In short - "be good for the United States - fight among themselves, and as a result, your money will also pass to me, and you will SO weaken that I will again command everyone how to live and what to do for my benefit."
    And therefore, no "friendship" on American terms. Again, from behind the puddles they beat up “friendship” against someone. At the same time, they are “pies and donuts”, and whoever believes in “friendship” will have “bruises and bumps”. With such "friends" and enemies do not.
  12. Nova3054
    Nova3054 9 February 2017 10: 11
    +1
    In my opinion, even when the first Rusich, being Sarmatian, rode from West to East, he clearly understood that in the West he was, to put it mildly, not comfortable, that they did not like him, to put it mildly. And this feeling left the mind of our people only during the period of perestroika and the collapse of the USSR in the early 90s, and then, this did not last a long amount of time.
    They don’t like us beyond the hill and love us, in principle, we don’t have to like us.
    It is necessary to “be friends” in a mutually beneficial manner, defending our own interests and not harbor any unnecessary illusions.
  13. 1536
    1536 9 February 2017 11: 56
    0
    Are we sitting idle or waiting for what Trump will do? If so, then it's time to stock up with stew, at least for the first time, and if not? Perhaps Trump should indicate to us what America must do in order to be in the lead of world progress, and not the cannibalistic gang of a group of Western European states that have joined it?
  14. mmk
    mmk 9 February 2017 14: 26
    +1
    States are unreliable partners and cannot be trusted. Another rotten stuffing of his will into the geopolitical arena.
  15. kunstkammer
    kunstkammer 9 February 2017 17: 47
    0
    many Jewish Americans whose ancestors came out of the same Pale of Settlement in the Russian Empire and then left Russia

    The vast majority of these "Americans" voted for Clinton. Guaranteed not wanting normal relations with Russia.
    And now to pay attention to what they think will be the top of idiocy!