a) global war;
b) sliding into the new Middle Ages;
c) depletion of natural resources;
d) the transformation of the planet into a huge trash can.
The old and the ineffective must go, giving way to the new and progressive. The existing monetarist / market / capitalist system should be replaced by a cyber-communist one.
Formulation of the problem
long overdue due to obvious imbalances in the global economic and political system
The dominant today "market / monetarist" model of the economy
a) is not able to provide stable and sufficient provision of benefits to a significant part (in many regions of the world of the prevailing) part of the world's population;
b) does not solve the problems of poverty, hunger, terrorism, and so on;
c) regularly leads to serious systemic crises;
d) inhibits scientific and technical progress;
e) does not work in the way that would correspond to its theoretical base;
e) extremely inefficient use of resources;
g) regularly leads to wars and other disasters.
Causes of Crises
amenable to mathematical and cybernetic analysis, and most are already described by various researchers
1. Free competition inevitably leads to the monopolization of markets (in the intermediate version - to cartel collusion).
2. In competition, according to game theory, not the best win, but the biggest.
3. Stock markets do not behave rationally, but behave emotionally.
4. Stock markets do not regulate the economy as they should according to neoliberal economic theory, but, on the contrary, draw resources from the real sector of the economy to the speculative one, slowing the growth of national and global economies.
5. The primacy of the private over the public leads to multiple manifestations of the “prisoner's dilemma”, which causes great harm to the global economy.
6. The weakening of the dictatorship of states does not lead to the growth of personal freedoms, but leads to the strengthening of the dictatorship of corporations. At the same time, in formally democratic countries, citizens can formally influence the policies of their states (through elections and representative bodies), and in private corporations they are deprived of such an opportunity - there is a pure dictatorship of owners. Therefore, the weakening of the states only leads to the strengthening of the dictatorship (this paradox was formulated by Hegel). That is why "liberals" and "anarchists" are the most vehement supporters of repression.
7. The Poincare voting is more democratic and effective, but that is why it is not implemented anywhere.
8. Almost all corporations make extensive use of elements of a planned economy, but the same is doctrinally (dogmatically) prohibited for most states.
9. Resources, means of production and capital are concentrated in the same hands, which leads to a significant slowdown of the world economy (those who have everything, there is no need to buy something, and those who have nothing have nothing to buy for that).
10. Wellfare, unlike the present welfare state, generates parasitism and parasitism.
11. The imperialist world-system, when countries and peoples are divided into varieties and “first-class” robbing “second-class”, inevitably leads to poverty, war and terrorism. Massive migrations that engender ultra-right nationalism are also a direct consequence of the inequality of countries and regions.
12. The use of borrowed funds for playing on the stock exchange inevitably leads to the appearance of financial bubbles and their subsequent bursting. The efficiency of the use of capital while constantly falling.
13. The dominance of “accelerated obsolescence” leads to excessive spending of resources, impoverishment of the population (people are forced to buy things more often, because they often break) and the problem of exponential growth in the number of landfills and industrial waste in particular.
14. The existence of large capital, which owns large media holdings and sponsors the majority of large parties in the world (and who pays - dictates politics, and not voters), makes real democracy in this system impossible.
15. Virtual money supply is ten times greater than the volume of the global physical (real) economy.
16. The high labor productivity achieved by modern technology should lead to a reduction in working hours (as it was previously reduced from 12-14 to 8 hours), and instead leads to an increase in unemployment - the greed of capitalists who do not want to pay more the number of workers for the same amount of labor.
17. Advertising imposes on people goods and services that they do not need and often contradict their natural needs.
18. When there are significant unemployment, underutilized production facilities and at the same time they tell you about low productivity as a reason for the existence of poverty, then someone simply lies. The problem is clearly not in labor productivity, but in the management of production and the system of distribution of wealth.
Of stories cyber communism
1. The cybernetics experiments of Anthony Stafford Beer in Chile in real-time computer control of the economy showed extremely high efficiency - in some areas the efficiency increased by 4-6 times, both in production and in logistics.
2. In the 1950s, the USSR economy showed record growth rates. Planned economy in combination with the combine principle of production showed the highest results.
At some point, the Soviet mathematician, cybernetics and economist Viktor Mikhailovich Glushkov was invited by the leadership of the USSR to move to a fully automated computerized management of the economy.
But the then party bureaucracy was afraid that after that it would be unnecessary and lose its privileges, so instead, a disastrous decision was made "to strengthen the elements of a market economy in the Soviet national economy." Soon after, the well-established system of Soviet economic activity was unbalanced, and the growth rate declined significantly. It ended with the fall of the Soviet Union. I emphasize that the Soviet economy fell into decay and "stagnated" AFTER the introduction of market elements into it.
3. The famous mathematician, engineer and intellectual Anatoly Wasserman once wrote a theoretical work that showed how using the Gauss matrix it is possible to carry out an exact calculation of the number of all the necessary goods that fully meet the needs of the population and set super-tasks.
After this, the work of Wasserman was thoroughly completed, simplifying and optimizing its matrix, which made it possible to reduce the number of necessary calculations by orders of magnitude.
The main problem for the implementation of all these ideas was the low computing power of the then existing computers. Today, supercomputers have been created, the computing power of which is sufficient to manage the economy not only of a single country, but of the entire planet. Moreover, the presence of the Internet, which already covers almost the entire planet, solves the problems of both collecting the information necessary for calculations and delivering control signals to intermediaries without intermediaries.
Therefore, cyber communism today has become an accessible and feasible opportunity that can be translated into reality.
Principles of cyber communism
1. The code must be open. It can be discussed and approved as laws are being discussed and passed today. Open source, Linux, Wikipedia, and systems with distributed computing can be used as designs during development.
2. Computer decisions are always based on the calculated needs of people on the one hand, and available resources on the other.
3. The economy should be based on meeting the natural needs of people, and not the pursuit of ephemeral profits.
4. Competition vs. Conquer Competition, not competition (conquest, absorption).
5. The solution to any problem is a matter of resources and technology.
6. Information belongs to all.
7. The planet belongs to everyone.
The choice is extremely simple: singularity, planetary humanity, physical immortality and cosmic expansion - or chaos, poverty, war, obscurantism and the darkest Middle Ages.