Military Review

The whole world to the ground, and then: The exhaustion of the pleasure-raw models of economies

50
The accumulation of contradictions in the capitalist world system leads to the discharge of instability from developed countries to developing countries. Simply put, problems created by the center of the system are dumped into the periphery in the form of crises, color revolutions, and resources and money from the periphery go to support the center.


The collective West and Washington as the only superpower-subject remaining at the end of the Cold War who stood at the creation of the post-war Yalta world, is now busy with its active destruction, encroaching on what had previously seemed unshakable. Take, for example, the rewriting of the IMF’s crediting rules or the price of oil with the seemingly unbreakable division of labor and the tourist niche of Egypt or the raw material role of energy powers.

Obviously, Russia is a country of peripheral capitalism: most of the exports are natural resources, the proceeds from the sale of which sooner or later overwhelmingly, refuses in the center of the world system either in the form of profits from goods imported by Russia, or in the form of capital derived by the oligarchy. Since the beginning of 90-x only from Russia deduced about 1,5 trillion. dollars and continue to withdraw, albeit with a slowdown.

The redrawing of the world and the war against Russia as one of the world’s rebels is being waged not only on the battlefield with the help of radicals of all countries and nationalities, but also with the help of the same sanctions, provocations leading to economic wars and simply financial manipulations.

When an add-in controls a basis


In the end, it doesn’t matter who / that Erdogan’s move / lo to give the order to bring down the Russian Su-24: a son, a sense of duty caused by the desire to protect the Syrian Turkmen, or Barack Obama. It is important that the key collective beneficiary of the Russian-Turkish economic war was the same collective West, which has consistently sought to sever economic relations between Russia and its neighbors.

Each new military-political aggravation leads to a logical consequence in the form of the construction of a high customs wall at the border and the exchange of trade and economic strikes. The result, as a rule, is a rupture of cooperation and economic ties between the Russian Federation and its neighbors, the loss by Russian producers of sales markets for their products, and the market from which Russia was pushed out as a result of the conflict is fully occupied by the capital of the EU, the USA and China.

Since 2008, Russia has participated in the following military and political conflicts:

5-day war with Georgia, the result of which was the rupture of diplomatic relations, curtailing economic relations;
Exchange of sanctions strikes with the European Union;
The loss of the Moldova market due to the sudden euro-association of Chisinau;
Hybrid war with Ukraine in the territory of the proclaimed independence of Donbass and the subsequent rupture of economic ties;
Turkey's economic response for the downed Sy-24 in Syria.
Naturally, the gap in trade relations beats not only in Russia. Ankara suffered more from breaking ties with Turkey than Russia. In the case of Ukraine, the outcome of the war is painful not only for Kiev, whose share in exports to the Russian Federation in a few years decreased from the order of 30% to 12,9%, but also for Russia, whose exports to Ukraine decreased by 66% in the summer. Only exports of agricultural products from Ukraine to the Russian Federation fell by 70%. At the same time, exports from Ukraine to the EU fell in 2015 by 30%. Georgia has a similar picture: wines, mineral water and tangerines are not strategic products and you can easily manage without them or simply change their supplier.

Disturbs another. The whole point of the creation of the Eurasian Union comes down to a gradual separation from the world market and the erection of a wall in front of import for the sake of developing its economy. However, the capacity of the domestic market of the EEU, even with regard to Armenia and Kyrgyzstan, is far from the more or less self-sufficient 200 million. and, moreover, does not compensate for the loss of Ukraine and Turkey, not only as real, but even as a theoretical sales market for products that could be produced by Russian producers. Thus, the list of potential members of the Eurasian Union is reduced, and the promise of Hillary Clinton in every way to hinder the Eurasian integration is actually being implemented.

The EU’s anti-Russian sanctions, Erdogan’s refusal to build the Turkish Stream, the Akkuyu nuclear power plant’s uncertainty and Ankara’s intention to abandon Russian gas in the future, reorienting to Qatar and Azerbaijan, once again prove that the rupture of the economic ties of politicians in war conditions the political superstructure dictates the will to the base - business and economy.

In addition, the loss of the Russian Federation market of neighboring countries leads to the loss of positions of Russian capital, which will replace the capital from China, the EU and the United States. Actually, the last two years pass under the sign of ousting Russian capital not only from the EU, where it penetrated during the expansion over the period of fat oil years, but also from the post-Soviet republics.

However, this is only one of the directions of the economic blow to Russia and is by no means the most powerful. Where the blow caused by the fall in oil prices will be stronger. And not only Russia, which suddenly turned out to be in the same boat with seemingly backward and distant Mexico, will suffer, but all other oil countries that previously felt more than confident.

The end of oil paradise


The last meeting of the OPEC member countries and the legalization of actual excess oil production, presented as an increase in quotas for 1,5 million barrels per day, led to a logical outcome: oil fell to the 40-dollar baseboard, and then lower. Together with oil, the Russian ruble fell, and the Kazakhstani tenge prepared to fall, good, now nothing will hold it.

Now that oil has once again updated its cost record, the key question is not when it will return to the old, pre-crisis prices (the impossibility of such a return, it seems, everyone has already realized), and not whether OPEC countries will produce for 1,5 million barrels / day more, starting from the new quota volumes and how low the price of oil can fall.

For the time being, the Russian economy has not been torn to shreds, but the power has been significantly undermined, despite the bravado of insignificant sanctions damage. I believe that the key indicator of economic damage will not be the abstract percentage points of GDP and inflation, but more than real statistical data:

The number of poor people in Russia in January-September 2015 amounted to 20,3 million, which is 2,3 million people more than in January-September 2014;
The number of the Russian middle class (this, we recall, the consumer category - ed.) Due to the crisis by the end of 2015, will be reduced by a quarter - to 15 percent of the total population of the country;
In October, real wages of Russians fell by 10,9 percent compared to October 2014 of the year;
At the end of the year, real incomes of the population will decrease by 4-5 percent;
About 20% of Russians of working age remain economically inactive, and a third of the population remains outside the labor market;
With the downsizing in the fall, 2015 was confronted in almost 40% of Russian companies, wages declined every fourth.
And this picture is not only in Russia. In Belarus, for example, the unemployment rate almost doubled in a year, however, as well as forced part-time employment in industry.

In terms of many indicators, Kazakhstan, which seemed to be more prosperous in terms of personnel and management, does not lag behind Russia, which, by the way, has the same economic structure as Russia, and, therefore, will experience similar problems. The only significant difference is that Astana is not cut off from the world capital market, which allows it to borrow, while Moscow has restricted this right, leaving only the domestic loan market and China.

Nevertheless, Kazakhstan:

Since the beginning of the year, the public debt has increased by 37% - from $ 18,3 billion to $ 25,1 billion;
Devalued tenge with 186 tenge / dollar. to 309 tenge / usd. USA. Over the past two years, tenge has more than doubled in price;
Due to the collapse of energy prices in January-September, 2015 significantly reduced the export of its goods to 36,4 billion dollars against 62,7 billions in the same period last year. Kazakhstan reduced imports of goods to 25,7 billion dollars against 32,1 billion in January-September last year.
In management decisions, Kazakhstan and Russia follow the same road. In Kazakhstan, for example, for the first half of this year, the production of gasoline decreased by 8,7%, and its imports amounted to 1,1 million tons, but the government is not going to provide Kazakhstan’s oil-producing gasoline with its own hands, preferring to sell all three state-owned refineries. Actually, the executive power in Kazakhstan is engaged in the same way as its colleagues in Moscow: forcing privatization. December 4 sold 50 mineral deposits in Kazakhstan, and Moscow plans to privatize more than profitable Sovcomflot next year.

Next year, in Kazakhstan, it is planned to reduce the order of 40 thousands of oil workers, the salaries of oil and gas workers will be reduced by 31%, the total income of subsoil users will decrease this year by more than 52%. Taking into account the fact that oil in Kazakhstan is produced in the western regions of the republic (mainly in the Atyrau region), which are traditionally richer, but the profits are redistributed by Astana and Almaty, and the local power belongs to the Aday family, the reduction in 40 of thousands of oil industry workers (the elite of Western Kazakhstan society) may lead to a repetition of Zhanaozen, but on a much larger scale. The reader will forgive me for such a long excursion into Kazakhstan regional studies, but Zhanaozen is exactly the same company town as the Russian Karabash or Votkinsk. And in the Russian Federation there are 75 single-industry towns, and 313 has populated areas with a rapidly deteriorating socio-economic situation.

Thus, in Russia, in Kazakhstan, the crisis will be shifted onto the shoulders of the population, for even the optimistic head of the Ministry of Finance Siluanov sees no prospects for rising oil prices, and the new president of the Russian Federation in 2018 will have to either increase taxes or reduce social spending. However, this process of raising taxes and reducing costs is already underway, as evidenced by the resolute intention to raise the retirement age and not index pensions for working pensioners. Just falling due to cheap oil revenues will have to compensate for the expense of other sources, and at the same time to go on records for the production of hydrocarbons.

As a result, Russia, and even Kazakhstan as a twin brother, has no free resources for development outside of various cups and foundations of a “black day”. The jugs will be depleted: by the middle of 2017, Russia will remain without the Reserve Fund, by the end of 2018 will lose most of the National Welfare Fund. It is worth considering that the more the oil price falls, the sooner the accumulated money runs out. At the same time, the Kazakh counterpart of Russian Gazprom, Kazmunaygas, is up to 2020 of the year, targeting 30 dollars per barrel of oil, while Russia is hoping for 50 dollars per barrel.

In general, people really have to live more modestly, but not for a year or two, but, it seems, much longer. Therefore, the Russian economy will be dilapidated next year, the number of contradictions between the government and the masses, as well as elite groups within the government itself, will increase, as will the problems of economic development that have been previously camouflaged by the arriving petrodollars that continue to multiply.

The end of the tourist paradise


The situation with countries that have built themselves into the global division of labor as amusers is no better. So, the CEO of the British tour operator Thomas Cook Group, working with 1841 of the year, Peter Fankhauser reports about the strongest crisis in the tourism industry in the last 30 years.

And the cause of such a crisis is the destruction of the current world order, and its consequences are:

The reduction of outbound tourism from Russia by more than 40% for the year from the fall in oil prices and the devaluation of the ruble;
Terrorist attacks in Paris, which resulted in hotels and cafes of France losing half of its customers, while Europe's largest air carrier lost over a month 50 million euros;
Undermining the airliner over Sinai led to the fact that hotels in Egypt are filled only 10% .;
Losses of Turkey, which in the future will reach 10 billion dollars due to relations damaged with Russia.
The times of the tourist paradise are coming to an end, and it seems that neither subsidies at 6 thousand dollars for jet fuel, nor the desire to minimize losses, will save them by canceling the all inclusive service.

The world will become less and less safe places, and the middle class will continue to shrink even in the US, where its share has shrunk to a maximum in 40 years.

***

The beginning of the redistribution of the world leaves little chance for the survival of third world countries that do not have real sovereignty, which guarantees the nuclear shield and the development of the manufacturing industry with a focus on the domestic market.

Alas, in the case of Russia, the time for industrialization, which only lazy people did not write about in the past years, and the turn to the East, which remained rather on paper than in reality, is largely lost.

The Russian Federation is flying full steam ahead in perhaps the biggest crisis since its inception in 1991. Yes, cheap oil in our stories it was already there, but there was no cheap oil with wars on two fronts - Syrian and Novorossiysk, as well as the loss of the usual markets, sanctions, and the prospect of destabilization of the Caucasus and Central Asia, and the growth of internal instability.

The answer to the question of whether Russia will be able to survive the redistribution of the world with such an economy and elites is determined solely by the faith of the respondent and the percentage ratio of optimism and pessimism in it.

But the new world seems to be no better than the old one.

PS Viktor Marakhovsky

A colleague should add one consideration. The positions of not only Russia and the “rest of the weak” weaken. They also weaken as it were, “strong” (no matter what growth figures they draw, the decline in the standard of living even in the advanced states of the “center of the system” is noticeable and is the subject of multiple internal discussions). This, among other things, speaks of a simple thing: the Third World War will not be "a war of the strong against the not very strong", but rather a world sabotage war with the deriban of those weak that will "crumble". And the answer to the question of whether Russia will stand in such a war depends mainly on the will to self-preserve its own people.

The trick is that during the period of world war the ideas about "weakness" and "strength" are sharply different from the time when the powers that are more successful in trading on the stock exchanges of their "Internet giants" are strong.
Author:
Originator:
http://www.odnako.org/blogs/ves-mir-do-osnovanya-a-potom-na-ischerpanie-uveselitelno-sirevih-modeley-ekonomik/
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  1. vovanpain
    vovanpain 24 December 2015 05: 57
    +9
    Dear moderators yesterday already read and discussed why to buttonhole something.
    1. Andrey Yuryevich
      Andrey Yuryevich 24 December 2015 06: 27
      +4
      Quote: vovanpain
      Dear moderators yesterday already read and discussed why to buttonhole something.

      "moderators" and what? what
      1. Mahmut
        Mahmut 24 December 2015 10: 57
        +1
        Sobs are understandable, we got involved in wars that are not beneficial to us. The alternatives that the author offers are not clear. Immediately capitulate or want to suffer? For me it’s better to suffer. Because the war begins not just for the redistribution of the realms of profit, but the war for survival. And the winner gets everything. And I don’t need oil for $ 120, if the money earned for it is deposited with Satan. The fight will not be for those who will get the most meaty leftovers. And for who will throw these scraps, and who will catch.
      2. vovanpain
        vovanpain 24 December 2015 16: 21
        +8
        Quote: Andrey Yurievich
        "moderators" and what?

        It's to blame, I apologize to the moderators. I don’t know who is posting, but this article was already posted on VO yesterday.
  2. venaya
    venaya 24 December 2015 06: 02
    +5
    Since the beginning of the 90s, only 1,5 trillion were withdrawn from Russia alone. dollars and continue to withdraw

    Talentedly. The topic is inexpressible, at least the economic war has taken on a real shape, whether the hot phase behind it seems to be no longer very important.
    Indeed - almost all wars have economic reasons, no matter how trite it may sound, but this article recalls this truth once again. The West is striving to get rid of its debts with such an already familiar method, that is, with some form of war.
    1. Bayonet
      Bayonet 24 December 2015 06: 29
      +3
      Quote: venaya
      whether the hot phase is behind it seems no longer very important.

      Cool! Whether in the coffin (although in the hot phase it’s a luxury smile ) whether we still suffer - anyway?
      1. venaya
        venaya 24 December 2015 06: 35
        +8
        "Cool!"- Without any war (I already published it here), we managed to destroy the population of our country by the amount of losses in the 2nd MV. This is really abruptly, and at the same time quite quietly, so much so that almost no one noticed. What is the difference how to destroy the population? A lot of information has already accumulated on this subject.
        1. varov14
          varov14 24 December 2015 11: 40
          0
          If in the west the rams rule the world, then we have at least the roof of these rams, but they both push the world into the abyss. But the rams just need to be cut in a timely manner, and the shepherd should be at the head, but not the ram, even if he imagines himself a leader.
      2. LukaSaraev
        LukaSaraev 24 December 2015 06: 46
        +3
        whether Russia can withstand such a war depends mainly on the will to self-preserve its own people.

        I don’t know why the author made such a conclusion, but this, apparently, is for you ...))) Fasten yourself, my friend!
  3. Barboskin
    Barboskin 24 December 2015 06: 03
    +4
    I agree that the crisis is global in nature and not only we are suffering. Those who can tighten their belts will survive. Well, that the brothers Slavs - With God! We are not used to it! Victory will be ours! And that which is not ready and at the wrong time has begun, as it is, as always, it is time to get used to it already.
    1. varov14
      varov14 24 December 2015 11: 26
      +2
      More stupidity than to tighten their belts was never heard. With whom we start, maybe with sheep, they are intended for this purpose - to grow and cut, and even meat.
  4. apro
    apro 24 December 2015 06: 04
    +5
    The oil painting sailed, indeed there were flowers in the 90s, now that the berries are ripening almost destroyed by the Soviet legacy.
  5. Same lech
    Same lech 24 December 2015 06: 17
    +1
    The only significant difference is that Astana is not cut off from the global capital market, which allows it to borrow, while Moscow has been restricted this right, leaving only the domestic loan market and China.
    It seems to me that you can take cheap loans to Russian business using Kazakhstan banks. The hole on Western banks was preserved through KAZAKHSTAN.
    1. venaya
      venaya 24 December 2015 06: 25
      +2
      "I think you can take cheap loans to Russian business using Kazakhstan banks"- Bankers are too cunning, they will not allow this in any way, their information support is even better than that of state structures. Another thing is to beg all over the world - perhaps this will be the way out, additional knowledge is needed here.
    2. atalef
      atalef 24 December 2015 06: 40
      +3
      Quote: The same LYOKHA
      It seems to me that you can take cheap loans to Russian business using Kazakhstan banks. The hole on Western banks was preserved through KAZAKHSTAN.

      Nobody will do it
    3. PHANTOM-AS
      PHANTOM-AS 24 December 2015 11: 06
      +1
      Quote: The same LYOKHA
      It seems to me that you can take cheap loans to Russian business using Kazakhstan banks. The hole on Western banks was preserved through KAZAKHSTAN

      why take any loans when it is much easier to stop the outflow of capital.
  6. Same lech
    Same lech 24 December 2015 06: 17
    +1


    But in general, the situation is not surprising and predictable was a few years ago ... the question is different and how is always perpetrated in RUSSIA who is to blame and what to do?
    You will have to crawl out of the pit again with incredible efforts

    when the government of RUSSIA learns again and again not to step on its own rake stupidity.
    1. atalef
      atalef 24 December 2015 06: 44
      -2
      Quote: The same LYOKHA
      But in general, the situation is not surprising and predictable was a few years ago.

      Oddly enough, Medvedev spoke about this while still in President
      Quote: The same LYOKHA
      the question is different and as always eternal in RUSSIA who is to blame

      Medvedev
      Quote: The same LYOKHA
      what to do ?

      Putin is pleased with the work of Prospect Medvedev i.e. need to let Medvedev work

      Quote: The same LYOKHA
      when the government of RUSSIA learns again and again not to step on its own rake stupidity.

      When they stop making happy the sex of the world and look for the Russian world in any corner, but remember that inside Russia, the same citizens are
      1. aksakal
        aksakal 24 December 2015 08: 33
        -1
        Quote: atalef
        Putin is pleased with the work of Prospect Medvedev i.e. need to let Medvedev work
        - Atalef, stop again your baidu about "Medvedev and Putin are bad." So far, no one has been found better in Russia, well, maybe to look at Shoigu - both Medvedev and Putin will be in Russia ... Do you need it? Okay, your propaganda had an effect, someone came instead of Putin ... Are you sure that Israel will be good from this? You are sure that whoever, instead of Putin, will turn a blind eye to how Israel is bombing the sovereign territory of Syria because of Hezbollah, which is fighting, among other things, against ISIS. Are you sure that the one who will replace Putin will not ask questions - where is the stolen oil going after Turkey? (I will tell you - to Israel, it has already been proven). Another question - why has ISIS never attacked Israel? Another question - why ISIS, having entered Palestine, immediately shot there the activists most active against Israel? There are many questions, but Putin doesn’t ask you ... Not satisfied with Putin? Believe me, instead of Putin will come not at all pro-Western, quite the opposite ... And there is no need here, but we are not afraid of questions! You can not be afraid of questions from the Arabs, from the Russian side the questions are completely different in weight - and I hope you will not have to prove this. So you would calm down and pray once again so that Putin would stay longer - as if for some reason he does not ask Israel questions - but it should be! am Really needed!
        1. atalef
          atalef 24 December 2015 08: 58
          -4
          Of all your fictional opus sucked from Vatnik’s finger, I still don’t understand. Are you for Putin or against?
          1. aksakal
            aksakal 24 December 2015 09: 56
            0
            Quote: atalef
            Of all your fictional opus sucked from Vatnik’s finger, I still don’t understand. Are you for Putin or against?

            - and you, before throwing quilted jackets, think how I can call you! angry And don't think for me, don't worry about the rulers of Russia, worry about your own! Look into your own eye before you see a speck in the eyes of Russians! In your government, a bandit is chasing a bandit and a bandit, and you are here with your advice on who the Russians should have in presidents ... The second one, already for "wear and tear", was detained from the Israeli government. wassat wassat Will you still teach the Russians what kind of president they have? You’ll advise that - instead of raping, rape your own secretaries laughing And solve the issue with your rulers - do you even drive prostitutes there, or what? Is money, as always, a pity? Well then, then the secretary patiently dial there wassat Yeah, it’s better to be a padded jacket than to have a sexually preoccupied Jew in your bosses wassat Along the way, climb with your advice to the Russians from pressure in Faberge? Poor people wassat
            1. atalef
              atalef 24 December 2015 11: 32
              +1
              Quote: aksakal
              and you, before throwing quilted jackets, think about how I can call you

              Padded jacket is a specific person on the forum
              Quote: aksakal
              And do not think for me, do not worry about the rulers of Russia, worry about yours!

              So are you. you live in Kazakhstan
              Quote: aksakal
              You have a gangster in a government in a gangster and a gangster is chasing, and you are here with your advice about who the Russians should have in the presidents ..

              I, unlike you, the same Russian laughing
              farther blah blah blah, don't even answer
              Be healthy aksakal.
              Remind me again, where do you live?
            2. The comment was deleted.
          2. aksakal
            aksakal 24 December 2015 10: 15
            0
            Quote: atalef
            Of all your fictional opus sucked from Vatnik’s finger, I still don’t understand. Are you for Putin or against?
            - in essence - I am not for Putin and not against him. This is the choice of the Russians, and they should discuss or condemn it. I support the Russians in the framework of their anti-American policy, for I consider the dollar world order that has developed thanks to the activities of Americans and generally the Anglo-Saxons to be the worst that could happen to humanity. Well, it’s worse, if Hitler could conquer the whole world, and that’s the question.
            1. The comment was deleted.
            2. atalef
              atalef 24 December 2015 11: 48
              +1
              Quote: aksakal
              essentially-I am not for Putin and not against him


              And neither fish nor meat, but of course you are for Nazarbayev. as a normal citizen of Kazakhstan and will you still teach me? Did you even live in Russia? Can you have citizenship?
              Quote: aksakal
              I support the Russians as part of their anti-American policy,

              So why neither you nor the troops of the Republic of Kazakhstan in Syria will help in the framework of anti-American rhetoric?
              Well, of course, we will drink aksakals near the yurt. while someone will fight for us (aksakals) (well, we will endorse it) - our fingers are trained and our keyboard is strong, it’s a pity there’s no sofa, we’re sitting on the floor
              Good luck in battle.
              1. aksakal
                aksakal 24 December 2015 13: 12
                0
                Quote: atalef
                Nazarbayev
                - Nazarbayev - is capitalized, dear. I do not allow myself to write either Israel, or Netanyahu, or even that minister of yours who recently raped his secretary with small letters. Follow generally accepted rules, dear.

                Quote: atalef
                So why neither you nor the troops of the Republic of Kazakhstan in Syria will help in the framework of anti-American rhetoric?
                - Russia's actions are not within the framework of anti-American, but within the framework of anti-ISIS rhetoric, but you, the Israelis, support ISIS by treating them in your hospitals. Russia has no "antiamerica" ​​in Syria, if you could catch it. But in the strengthening of the Eurasian Union, it just exists, because in the person of Clinton, America faced panic, and then there was opposition, which is pouring out into everything that we have now. And it is in strengthening cooperation within the BRICS and SCO. And in Syria, Russia will cope on its own, few will challenge it there. And now - if earlier Assad left his country by the back streets, like the last thief, which is humiliating for a LEGITIME ruler, then he will go to Iran as befits a ruler, accompanied by four Russian fighters! So Kazakhstan in Syria is like a fifth leg - why? If the Russians are there above the roof wassat AND NOBODY RISKS to destroy the plane with Assad, NOBODY! So take it easy. And the Russians can respect their president, even if only for this - because he managed to make the whole world respect the ruler of a small and cornered country. Not every ruler can do this. Calm down with your anti-Putin rhetoric - not for you to discuss it.
        2. PHANTOM-AS
          PHANTOM-AS 24 December 2015 11: 10
          +2
          Quote: aksakal
          . While it’s better in Russia they have not found anyone,

          Have you been looking for?
        3. Gardamir
          Gardamir 24 December 2015 19: 11
          0
          While it is better in Russia did not find anyone
          Have you been looking? Gorbachev’s laurels are clearly haunting Putin.
    2. varov14
      varov14 24 December 2015 11: 16
      +2
      "When the government of RUSSIA will learn again and again not to step on its own rake of stupidity." ----- When they cease to be a roof for the rams, but become their shepherds, and all the more, they will cut their wool themselves without entrusting foreign "shepherds". But it looks like this will not happen, since the zabugornyk shepherds, although not with slate, always reinforce the roof with straw - cheap and cheerful.
  7. ImPerts
    ImPerts 24 December 2015 06: 18
    +8
    Quote: Barboskin
    Those who can tighten their belts will survive.

    Not only will those who tighten their belts survive, but also those who can hold the machine soldier
    1. Barboskin
      Barboskin 24 December 2015 06: 21
      +1
      I completely agree with you, but still I hope that it won’t reach automatic machines.
    2. varov14
      varov14 24 December 2015 10: 54
      +1
      An automaton would come in handy, as always, this is the most powerful argument when dividing the national treasure.
      1. Bayonet
        Bayonet 24 December 2015 12: 37
        -1
        Quote: varov14
        the most powerful argument when dividing the national treasure.

        Well well! Here it is - SHARE! And everything else is the words of the word ... smile
    3. PHANTOM-AS
      PHANTOM-AS 24 December 2015 11: 13
      +1
      Quote: ImPerts

      Not only will those who tighten their belts survive, but also those who can keep the machine

      It will be difficult for us, given that not only the Entente and others are fighting against the people, but also their own power.
  8. ML-334
    ML-334 24 December 2015 06: 26
    +3
    The article about our neighbors killing our neighbors and pushing a loaf of bread with a sausage loaf in our hands to eat and keep silent. We don’t really understand, we won’t remake it.
    1. atalef
      atalef 24 December 2015 06: 47
      -2
      Quote: ML-334
      The article is that before our eyes, neighbors are being killed and we are being pushed into the hands of a loaf of bread with a sausage loaf that would be eaten and silent.We want everything to be fair.

      Maybe first you should start inside your own country - in fairness.
      And then, as if from a desire to make the sex of the world happy (often without his consent), we would not stretch our legs ourselves.
      1. woron333444
        woron333444 24 December 2015 09: 04
        +3
        How do you root for Russia, but you can’t cheer for Israel like that? I’m not taking care of him.
      2. aksakal
        aksakal 24 December 2015 10: 01
        +1
        Quote: atalef
        Maybe first you should start inside your own country - in fairness.
        And then, as if from a desire to make the sex of the world happy (often without his consent), we would not stretch our legs ourselves
        - I am writing the same advice to you - take care of your country, take care of your sexually anxious rulers at last, satisfy them at least somehow, otherwise it’s not a problem to force your own secretaries wassat And then to make the Russians happy without their consent by another president instead of Putin who doesn’t like Israel - you can even lose your ugly government.
    2. Bayonet
      Bayonet 24 December 2015 12: 45
      0
      Quote: ML-334
      We want everything to be fair.

      Is that even? wink
  9. Good cat
    Good cat 24 December 2015 06: 36
    -2
    Article minus, sy sy - plus!
  10. samarin1969
    samarin1969 24 December 2015 06: 43
    +4
    An economic WAR is going on against Russia ... It makes no sense to pray for BARREL ... Instead of the pot-bellied "international" WALLETS, Russia should have long been steered by RACES OF THE GENERAL STAFF and "DEGREFICATORS"
  11. Great-grandfather of Zeus
    Great-grandfather of Zeus 24 December 2015 06: 49
    +1
    Polymers todyhayut-those that "vsepropalirolimery". Especially nonsense "Russia took part in a hybrid war against ukroiny"! The author of such articles himself half to death do not intimidate.
  12. 1536
    1536 24 December 2015 06: 57
    +2
    Rus, hello! Ukrainian political scientists rule!
  13. Neophyte
    Neophyte 24 December 2015 07: 53
    0
    The author, like many "analysts", focuses on the raw material component of the Russian economy, and this is only 27%! And even if this is so, the main issue is capital flight, which is still not resolved. Russia's raw materials are in private hands and, in most cases, in the hands of foreign residents who are plundering Russia.
    1. atalef
      atalef 24 December 2015 08: 09
      0
      Quote: Neophyte
      The author, like many "analysts", focuses on the raw material component of the Russian economy, and this is only 27%!

      I do not quite understand Yu how much you can run with the same mantras.
      Say at least 100 times - Halva. sweeter in the mouth will not.
      Firstly, of course, this is not 27% (and much more. If we are talking about budget revenues), and if 27% (as you say), then the picture looms even worse. It is possible to explain the fall in GDP and the depreciation of the ruble only by a systemic crisis.
      Quote: Neophyte
      And even if this is so, then the main issue is the flight of capital, which is still not resolved

      And you can’t solve it.
      maybe the bulk of the money from the stock and exchange has long been withdrawn. the main money falling into the category - capital flight is the return of debts on Western loans
      Quote: Neophyte
      The raw materials of Russia are in private hands and, in most cases, in the hands of foreign residents robbing Russia

      Come on, tell you tales.
      Look in whose hands the main producing companies are Gazprom and Rosneft.
  14. Signaller
    Signaller 24 December 2015 08: 39
    +2
    I’m just wondering, almost every day I read similar articles, analytics. Everyone taverdit - the lid came and it covered us. The stump is clear, it’s bad, but when the one who lifts this lid comes, picks up a sledgehammer and blows, so that our liberals move, start working, and not sharpen the bald ?????? I don’t expect this from the GDP. Three times in a month I spoke and three about nothing (regarding internal reforms).
  15. Alexl
    Alexl 24 December 2015 10: 01
    +4
    There is no crisis. There is only the arrival of the Russian economy by stopping petrodollar injections into their natural (taking into account the economic course chosen 20 years ago) condition.
  16. varov14
    varov14 24 December 2015 10: 38
    +1
    Apparently from a drunken hangover Russia in the beginning of 90 adopted in the economy the rules of the game of the West, where rams rule. And you just need to cut the sheep in a timely manner, not allowing them to go to the board and not even allowing him to guess that he was a sheep, and especially stubborn and ingenious people. Then it will be the capitalism that society needs. And so the sheep will lead and have already led to a global crisis. Wool should be for the benefit of society, and not to the detriment when the ram rot under its weight, by virtue of its ram mind.
    1. atalef
      atalef 24 December 2015 12: 47
      +1
      Quote: varov14
      Apparently from a drunken hangover Russia in the beginning of 90 adopted in the economy the rules of the game of the West, where rams rule

      I didn’t know that sheep have such a high standard of living.
      those. those who have a higher standard of living - in theory at least bison, but if lower - then probably -
      Quote: varov14
      And you just need to cut the sheep in a timely manner, not allowing them to rule, and not even allowing him to guess that the sheep, and especially stubborn and ingenious people, should be allowed to eat meat

      that is, why should shear sheep, and sell wool to bison?
      Quote: varov14
      And so the sheep will lead and have already led to a global crisis. Wool should benefit society

      that is, to ozl pretend to be the wool of sheep, I’ll disappoint, it will get the bison all the same
      Quote: varov14
      when a ram rot under its weight, by virtue of its ram’s mind.

      No, she’ll grow back in a ram.
      This ram can be cut endlessly, but the goat - a couple - three, then probably will die ..
      At the same time, I want to see who can cut the bison.
      Well, something like this (like El Greco, resorting to allegories) we will answer your post.
      1. afdjhbn67
        afdjhbn67 24 December 2015 13: 06
        0
        Quote: atalef
        Well, something like this (like El Greco

        right now Sanya, wait for the answer - in the spirit of the late Kandinsky laughing
  17. BARKHAN
    BARKHAN 24 December 2015 11: 40
    +1
    After the 90s, I’m not afraid of anything! How can I be surprised? I’ll just buy more bullets. Yes, and panic, I don’t watch around. Those who think less and work more do not steam at all. Products made in Russia sold in our stores it is enough for life. Clothing and household appliances even before that, China supplied regularly. I won’t lose heart, life is beautiful. And it is one!
  18. bsk_mna54
    bsk_mna54 24 December 2015 12: 35
    +2
    Hit the point. Waited, lounging and expecting an increase in oil prices, to zero profit. Sometimes you need to look around and draw the right conclusions, and not live in dreams