At the meeting of foreign ministers of states that are members of the League of Arab States (LAS), Morocco adopted a new decision against Syria and the regime of Bashar al-Assad. In fact, we see how the Syrian leadership was presented with an ultimatum, which can be compared with the requirements of the Austro-Hungarian Empire in Serbia in 1914 (only Syria does not have a powerful patron in Russia).
Damascus should, within three days, put into its territory practically a whole battalion of foreign observers (five hundred people) who are represented not only by various human rights activists from 16 Arab organizations and journalists, but also by the military, who must control the “cessation of violence by the Bashar al-Assad regime” . Ultimatum is a frank infringement of the sovereignty of the Syrian Arab Republic. It is clear that Damascus is unlikely to agree to this.
Qatari Foreign Minister Hamad Al-Thani made a statement that if this ultimatum was not fulfilled, Damascus would face serious sanctions. He also said that "the countries of the League of Arab States have already reached the end of the road of diplomatic efforts."
It should be noted that Turkey took an active part in the meeting in the Moroccan capital. Ankara set the tone for this meeting in many ways, although it is not part of the League and is not an Arab country, but it is at the very forefront of the enemies of the current Syrian government. Indicative is the fact that the Kingdom of Morocco has begun to play a more active role in the alliance of Sunni countries. Moroccan King Mohammed VI is now more actively involved in the information war against Syria.
League conditions are virtually impossible. If Bashar Asad accepts this ultimatum, it will be the suicide of his regime and the power of the Alawites in Syria. Having taken this ultimatum, Damascus falls into a trap, from which the only way out to the next world. Indeed, in the conditions of the “counter-terrorist operation” it is impossible to give gangs a breathing space and the possibility of legalization through “democratic elections”; it suffices to recall the example of the First War in Chechnya. Any negotiations, concessions in relation to bandits, national separatists, Islamic radicals only lead to a worsening of the situation.
According to Ali Salim Assad, member of the leadership of the Syrian National Unity Committee (his opinion was published on the resource “Pravda. Ru”), “we are talking about the intention to repeat the Libyan scenario,” but now Turkey plays the role of striking force. The situation in the Middle East region is developing towards a big war.
Ali Salim Assad believes that the main role in this process is not Turkey, not Arab monarchies and not even European countries, but the United States, which has its own scenario for each country in the Middle East region. The United States sees the SAR "a weak link, knocking out that, they expect to isolate Iran." After the war is unleashed in Syria, it will be difficult for Tehran to maintain neutrality. Ankara in this game is not limited only to Syria, its plans are much broader - this is actually “an attempt at resuscitation in a new form of the Ottoman Empire”.
The media, hostile to Assad, somehow missed such a moment: none of the Syrian opposition groups accepted the League’s initiative on “fostering a peaceful dialogue”. And for some reason, they are going to exercise control only in relation to the official Damascus and the Syrian security forces, although if you look at the statistics of the victims of the conflict, it is clear that a significant part of the dead are law enforcement officers, the military, who were killed by “peaceful demonstrators”.
Syrian opposition reaction
The Syrian opposition expressed joy at the possible arrival of observers from the Arab League in the country. Luay Hussein, he heads the oppositional democratic “Movement for the construction of the Syrian state” (PRSP), believes that this is the “right decision”. Hussein expressed the hope that the League would be able to put pressure on Damascus and stop the bloodshed in the country.
In addition, according to the leader of the DSSG, the decision of the Arab League to suspend Syria’s membership in the League will have major negative consequences for the country. It deepened the split between supporters of Assad and his opponents. Hussein noted that now Saudi Arabia and Qatar began to use a lot of influence in the Arab League, and the Syrians for the most part do not accept interference in the internal affairs of the country by the monarchies, which they consider less developed politically and culturally. Riyadh and Doha can not act as leaders of the struggle for democracy in Syria, because their countries have "nothing to do with democracy."
It is noted that the decision of the League to suspend the membership of the SAR in this organization and the possible refusal of Damascus to accept observers opens the way for the transfer of the Syrian issue to the UN Security Council and for military intervention. France and the League are already developing a new resolution on Syria. Ali Salim Assad said that there is evidence of the transfer of Saudi armored vehicles to Jordan.
Some conclusions on the latest events around Syria
- Events so-called. "Arab Spring" led to a strong imbalance of the balance of power in the League of Arab States. Egypt, Libya and Syria have ceased to be centers of power. The League becomes an instrument for achieving specific goals by the leaders of Saudi Arabia and Qatar.
- Damascus could not be persuaded to "peaceful Islamization" with the gradual introduction of the Islamists of the Syrian branch of the Muslim Brotherhood into power. This line bent Ankara, Doha and Riyadh. Assad and his associates did not take this step, which is why the League and Turkey began to act by the method of political information pressure and ultimatums.
- Apparently, the powerful figures of the generals could not break away from the Assad regime. The army is still loyal to Damascus and fulfills its role in eliminating gangs.
- The Anglo-Saxons have relied on the Arab monarchies. It takes into account their financial strength, control over energy resources and loyalty to the West. They should help to “clean out” the Islamic world from disloyal regimes and create a “unipolar” Arab world (Sunni Caliphate). That is why they have access to the latest weapons and technology, the monarchies have led and continue to pursue an arms race for almost two decades. Dependence on the West in this respect is almost complete. After the “cleansing” of the Islamic world, the caliphate should become a counterweight to India, China and Russia (if it continues the course of autonomy).
LAS and Turkey put forward an ultimatum to Syria
- Alexander Samsonov