Military Review

New big intervention?

14
On the night of 21 on October 22, American special forces, according to media reports, released 70 Kurdish hostages in northern Iraq. In this case, one soldier died - the first loss of the US armed forces in this country since 2011, and the first in the struggle against the IS. Apparently, such actions will become regular, although, of course, they will not be able to change the overall situation on the fronts. Their goal is to strengthen the declining prestige of the President of the United States and especially of the Democratic Party before inexorably oncoming elections. But at the same time, to convince the Kurds and other allies, who were prepared for the role of cannon fodder, that the White House did not abandon them. A kind of PR campaign with guns.




It is clear that the Americans do not intend to completely withdraw from Iraq, especially since the resulting vacuum is filling Iran more and more. Even the purely symbolic influence of Russia also worries the Pentagon. In the American media, not a day goes by without a story about how Obama “surrendered positions” in the Middle East. Apparently, the addressee of the charges was seriously annoying, and he decided to show that he was keeping the situation under control at least partially. In the end, not one Russian to show on TV spectacular images from the Middle East!

Anyway, the most powerful instrument of influence of the United States once again stepped into the game, albeit so far on a limited scale. There is no doubt that with a full-scale intervention, the Americans can, if not completely destroy the IS, then at least drive it deep underground.



If we assume that IS is an instrument of American policy, then he has already partially fulfilled his role. First, Washington received an almost legal excuse to intervene indefinitely in the affairs of the Middle East under the guise of fighting the Caliphate. Secondly, the leaders of the IG began to play their game on the political map, and they were given a black mark, because nobody is allowed to swim against the current in the unipolar world.

Americans tried out their long-standing strategy on the Islamic State: first they grow up some kind of regional force that attacks and occupies its neighbors, then “liberators” sail from overseas, who smash the enemy, but after the war themselves take its place for decades. In Europe, the Germans were used as troublemakers, the Japanese were in Asia, and in the Middle East 25 years ago, this honorable role was supposed to be played by the power of Saddam Hussein, although the invasion of Kuwait was not at all like a world-wide adventure. IG in the role of world evil looks more preferable, although it did not meet expectations. The seizure of Sunni territories of only two states is clearly not the level at which Congress succeeds in convincing to send troops. Perhaps it is for this reason that the United States decided to increase the supply of the "Syrian opposition", and not because of the Russian bombing. So in the foreseeable future we will see an increase in the activity of the IG with all the consequences.

In the near term, the fact that Obama has already vetoed the bill on the military budget for 2016 has already vetoed the year due to too much expenditure spelled out in it plays against intervention. Of course, the Senate and Congress can overcome the veto, but this is not a quick deal. So the invasion will obviously take place already under the next president.

If the White House still decides to intervene, then no doubt it will take part of the territory of Syria, which the Syrian army will not be able to prevent. In the occupied territories, a Sunni state will be created, but already without a pronounced Islamist shade and completely dependent on the United States. How much this state will be capable of without American bayonets is a separate question. So far, Washington has not been very successful in state-building in the occupied territories, judging by the example of Afghanistan and the same Iraq.

And finally, a few words about the position of Saudi Arabia, Qatar and all other sponsors of Islamists. Do the ruling regimes of these countries understand that they put a rope on their money, on which they will hang them? Apparently, yes, understand. But the trouble is that it is no longer possible to turn back - neither local radicals nor the United States, which traditionally try to keep Eastern despots on a short leash, will not understand this. Whatever the monarchs would say about their independence, its real degree is not much more than that of any Angela Merkel. In Saudi Arabia itself, even now militants and agitators of the IG are regularly caught, and it can be expected that their number will only grow. The danger of the ideological base of the “Islamic State” is precisely in the fact that in the modern phase it does not have a clearly defined national and even regional peg, which stimulates expansionism in all directions.

All this is in the hands of the architects of chaos. The more the Islam infection grows old and spreads, the less excuses will have to be invented for the subsequent invasion and total reorganization of the region. They say that the former states did not cope and slipped into the abyss of civil wars, and now they have to be bred for different apartment-countries. Everything is logical.

The liberation of the Kurds captured by the Islamists is a signal to all regional players that America, in the possibilities of which more and more doubts arise, is still strong and capable of doing what it wants. How much these statements are true, and how much bluff, it will become clear very soon.
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  1. maxiban
    maxiban 27 October 2015 08: 50 New
    +3
    Strange release. It looks like a performance.
    1. Air Force captain
      Air Force captain 27 October 2015 11: 02 New
      +3
      It seems to me that the goal of creating a Sunni state on the territory of Syria fits perfectly with the logic .... now they can do nothing with our electronic warfare ... We tied them hand and foot ... but the Kurds and Sunnis of Syria are quite not such a bad joker in this Syrian party. Even so, they chop off the territory of Assad ... where, by the way, oil just lies
      1. viktor_ui
        viktor_ui 28 October 2015 05: 26 New
        0
        maxiban - no, this is not a production ... The hostages are really scared and many of them are in poor condition ... pay attention to the movements of the released people and their hands (I can not say anything about their faces - the quality interferes). I would not want you to be in this "Hollywood extras".
  2. free
    free 27 October 2015 08: 53 New
    +9
    the picture at the beginning, what a competent Amersky soldier hid behind a wall of foam block, oh yes smart!
  3. Angro Magno
    Angro Magno 27 October 2015 09: 03 New
    +6
    Recalls tales of the heroic killing of bin Laden.
  4. Makslehman
    Makslehman 27 October 2015 09: 06 New
    +5
    The American army with its pictures is like TP. It is more important for them how they will look on instagram than real combat effectiveness.
  5. cniza
    cniza 27 October 2015 09: 30 New
    +2
    I want to believe, sorry for the deceased, but something is holding back ...
  6. max702
    max702 27 October 2015 10: 27 New
    +1
    An extremely competent article telling in a simple language the policy of world capital over the past century .. And they did not mention Israel, they also understand that they twisted a rope on which they are hung and are now trying to avoid this fate by all means ..
  7. Alexey RA
    Alexey RA 27 October 2015 11: 12 New
    +3
    One way or another, the most powerful instrument of influence of the United States stepped again into the game, albeit so far on a limited scale.

    Freud Reservation ... laughing
  8. Belousov
    Belousov 27 October 2015 11: 33 New
    0
    The response of the staff to our bombing was expected. But what comes out of this and what other steps will follow is a big question.
  9. knn54
    knn54 27 October 2015 11: 55 New
    0
    ALL Yankees' peacekeeping missions in the Middle East have not yet ended a single war.
  10. Billikid
    Billikid 27 October 2015 22: 48 New
    0
    I liked the article. Sensibly. And then they are already tired of the "shapkozakidatelstvom". Americans are very strong and this is not the time for us to compete with them.
  11. twincam
    twincam 27 October 2015 23: 43 New
    0
    noble decree)))
    kondishki hang on the ceilings, the flag on the entire wall is stretched, well-fed washed and shaved captives)))
    only whores are not enough to complete the picture))))
  12. Wise Kaa
    Wise Kaa 28 October 2015 05: 25 New
    0
    What kind of video in general ??? !!! Filmed again at Hollywood Square laughing laughing laughing