Military Review

Le Pen - the future president of France?

109
Le Pen - the future president of France?Municipal elections held in France, did not become a sensation and did not turn the political alignment. But they showed the correlation of forces and set the parameters of the struggle for the next few months, and perhaps for several years.


As predicted, the ruling socialist party was defeated. Everyone was waiting for this, but the entourage of President Francois Hollande, until the last moment, hoped that the blow would not be so crushing. In the end, the reluctance of left-wing voters to vote for "their" candidates in the first round is quite typical for France. People dissatisfied with the policies of the socialists - and their helplessness and venality for left-wing voters have been dissatisfied for over three decades - in the first round they stay at home or vote for various small parties. But in the second round, they are still at the polling stations so as not to give the victory to the right.

This time this recurring miracle did not happen. People did not come to vote for the socialists. Not only is Hollande unpopular, in the eyes of many of those who voted for him in the presidential election, he was even worse than right-wing president Nicolas Sarkozy. Moreover, the prime minister Manuel Waltz, who pursues a neoliberal policy with a determination that none of the rightists have shown, has a massive hostility.

As a result, the socialists lost power in more than 30 regions, including some cities that have been bastions of the party for decades. The worst result of the ruling party in France for all history republic.

At the same time, Hollande’s entourage and sympathizers journalists console each other with what could be even worse: in several regions of the Socialist Party, the majority still retained, despite the frank disgust that it causes to its own voters. Already great joy!
The success of the right-wing center, headed by Nicolas Sarkozy, is essentially a logical consequence of the defeat of the socialists. Although there are some nuances here. By the end of his presidency in 2012, he was the most unpopular leader in the entire history of the republic, the whole country laughed at him, and the toilets of provincial bars were decorated with homemade caricatures of the head of state. Sarkozy’s rating was so low that he was advised not to run again. He ignored these tips and lost.

Hollande’s victory in 2012 was impossible to explain except for the general dislike of Sarko. He was a strikingly impersonal and inexpressive candidate, not even a politician, but simply a party functionary who quietly made a hardware career and gradually grew to the post of president of the republic. Literally from the very first day after his election, his rating began to fall, and fell continuously - with the exception of a short moment when the sympathy of the French towards his president rose slightly due to his scandals with women. Finding that the president is cheating on his wife, the citizens of the republic came to the conclusion that the head of their state was at least somewhat human. But when the scandals subsided, and it turned out that neither the ex-wife, nor the new mistress really had anything to say, everyone remembered that the ill-fated Hollande was still a statesman, and his rating quickly collapsed again.

Against this background, there was a triumphant return to politics of Nicolas Sarkozy. All of his anti-records have long been beaten by Hollande. And if at one time “Sarko” was considered the most unpopular politician in France, now Hollande is so firmly entrenched in this rank that it is impossible to compete with him.

Behind the personal unpopularity of the current president, there is, however, something more than his personal qualities, or rather, their complete absence. In the last decades of the twentieth century, the socialist party rose to power in France as an organization expressing the interests and expectations of state employees, teachers, doctors, and other, as we would say, “state employees”, lower levels of management, and the provincial intelligentsia. It was supported by the still strong Communists in those days who relied on the industrial working class, especially in the south of the country. Since then, much has changed. The Communist Party has declined to such an extent that it no longer speaks for the elections on its own, acting within the framework of the “Left Front,” uniting it with several small groups that have broken away from the socialist party. At the same time, the French “Left Front” does not have its own face, figuring, rather, as a coalition of allies of the socialist party, giving it “critical support”. Regardless of whether the leftists join the government with the socialists or remain outside it, their political line can be distinguished from the social party line only in a number of nuances that are very interesting for political scientists, but completely indifferent for most French people. As a result, the presence of LF in parliament and government bodies is steadily declining, despite the fact that in the 2012 presidential election, its leader Jean-Luc Melenchon took fourth place in the first round, receiving 11 percent of the vote. These were the voices of protest within the “left camp” itself: the same dissatisfied voters who tried to hint to the socialists supported Melanchon, which would be a good idea to reckon with the mood of their supporters.

Meanwhile, over the years of being in power, the Socialist Party not only merged with it, but also radically changed its political and social orientation. Its leaders were confident that their voters would not get away from them anyway and would support them no matter what they do in practice. But it was necessary to earn the trust of the financial markets, which in 1981 year reacted extremely negatively to the election of the first socialist president, François Mitterrand. Since then, the concern for gaining the trust of financial capital has grown into a valuable idea, and therefore there is no party in France that is so consistently focused on protecting the interests of bankers than the socialists. In addition, the Socialist Party is very successfully - in the face of its functionaries and experts - integrated into the structures and apparatus of the European Union. It consistently supported all market reforms undertaken from Brussels and provoking a protest by the majority of the French. Finally, this party is completely free from the manifestations of French nationalism, and therefore, unlike the right, is ready to meekly carry out any instructions coming not only from Brussels, but also from Berlin.

If the heirs of General de Gaulle still remember that France was once a great independent power, then similar memories are completely alien to the socialists. They know that real power is in the structures of the European Union, in Berlin and Washington.
And, most importantly, they like it.

The political existence of such socialists was ensured by two factors. On the one hand, for more than two decades, they systematically lured all the other leftists, including well-known intellectuals, popular journalists and leaders of a number of Trotskyist organizations who presented themselves as extreme radicals, but at the time when they needed to make a really important choice, they invariably called for support of socialists. as the "lesser evil." On the other hand, the Socialist Party in every way stimulated cultural differences between the "advanced middle class" and "backward" social groups - such as workers, farmers, or provincial petty bourgeois. Hence the importance that the socialists attached, for example, to same-sex marriages. Homosexual couples themselves are not too interested in such things, but for the Hollande party this had a symbolic meaning: it was possible to mobilize around them supporters of tolerance, if there are no other ideas or other slogans.

In the Russian press, one can often find the assertion that the socialists relied on the voices of more and more numerous immigrants in France. But it is not. The rhetoric on the rights of immigrants was not addressed to Arab guys from the suburbs who never voted for the social party - until recently they did not go to the polls at all - namely, the white liberal elite who cultivated the same idea of ​​tolerance.

The Socialist Party and its left-wing vassals could hold their positions relatively safely until such time as an alternative appeared for their frustrated and disoriented voter. But this alternative, in the end, arose, but not on the left, but on the right - in the face of the “National Front”, headed by Marine Le Pen.

Intellectuals associated with the socialist party, responded to its growing success with a stream of indignant statements about the "rise of the far right", "racism", "anti-Semitism" and even the "fascist threat". But all this had no effect. Firstly, because the elite intellectuals who have used all their talents and knowledge to serve those in power and haves for several decades cause hatred among the lower classes. And the more they attack someone, the more they interest those whom they attack with their curses. And, secondly, the rhetorical attacks on the NF ignored the real processes that led to the rise of this party. And, above all, the radical changes that occurred in the “National Front” itself.

After Marine Le Pen inherited the leadership of the party from her father, Jean-Marie Le Pen, not only the policy and ideology of the French nationalists began to change, but also their social base.
“Dinosaurs” were expelled from the party, they cleaned out the sad racists and the evil anti-Semites who had so entertained the press in previous years. They were replaced by immigrants from the Communist Party and simply worried inhabitants, who believe that in France the authorities think too much about the interests of foreign banks and too little about their own citizens. At first, the NF drew to its side the voices of industrial workers abandoned by the left in the name of the novel with the “creative class”. Then immigrants began to join the ranks of the front. Unexpectedly for many, but quite naturally, in fact, it was Le Pen’s party that turned out to be the first and so far the only political organization that managed to actually mobilize the support of the population of immigrant neighborhoods. She helped Senegalese, Algerians and Moroccans with French passports to feel like real full-fledged citizens of the country who do not need the arrogant indulgence of the "left" intellectuals who shove them into the ghetto of "multiculturalism."

Sociologists were well aware that the growth of immigration is hitting, first of all, not for the “indigenous” population - except for the poorest part of it - and even more so, not for the “white” elite, but for the same immigrants who came a few years earlier. . It was they who unanimously supported the words of Le Pen that, instead of accepting new waves of immigrants in France, it is better to spend money on helping the development of the economy in the Arab countries and create jobs where people traditionally live.

At the same time, Marine Le Pen began not only to reproduce social slogans forgotten by the Communists, but also spoke about the ideals of national dignity and state interest, forgotten by the Gaullists. She turned out to be the only politician who openly spoke out against the European Union and against the subordination of Paris to the instructions of Berlin. The NF’s rhetoric also reflected the traditional dislike of the Gaullists for American domination in Europe.

Finally, in the propaganda of Marine Le Pen, another topic arose, previously traditional both for the Gaullists and for the Communists - the need for friendly relations with Russia.
In fact, the NF not only picks up ideas and topics abandoned by other parties, but also refers to their social base - abandoned and devoted. That is why, for the first time in two decades, the rhetoric and policy of the National Front has created an opportunity for political mobilization of the French lower classes, not divided according to the principle of race, religion or ethnicity.

Against this background, the hysteria of intellectuals about the right threat had the opposite effect. What is this racist party for which the non-white population is massively voting? If “multiculturalism” worked on splitting, splitting up and dividing society - quite in the spirit of the well-known principle of “divide and rule” - now in France we are witnessing a revival of civil nationalism, abolishing racial and religious differences.

Of course, not everyone liked the policies of the new leadership of Le Pen in their own party, many of the “veterans” of French nationalism had to leave the ranks of the NF. But the result of these changes was a radical coup in French politics: in the 2015 elections of the year, the NF took second place in the number of votes, pushing the socialists to third.

The distribution of future presidential elections in 2017 becomes more or less clear. Since they will participate in them, Sarkozy, Hollande and Le Pen, it is immediately clear who will be in the second round. The socialist party is on the path of irreversible decline. Voters have already punished Hollande, and will be punished again. The point is not that the socialists are to blame for the crisis that objectively embraced all capitalist countries, including Russia, but that they betrayed their ideas and their voters. For it will have to pay.

However, it is unlikely that Le Pen, despite all its successes of the previous few years, will be able to win. In the second round, both parties will unite against her, on which Sarkozy is counting, already preparing his return to the Elysee Palace.
Of course, a surprise is not ruled out: if against the background of a mass non-appearance of voters of the socialist party and an equally massive mobilization of "new French" from the immigrant lower classes, who previously simply did not vote, Le Pen will be able to win in the first round. But at the moment such a prospect still seems unlikely.

Only the question of what the French left is waiting against such a background remains open. The paradox is that the policy proposed by Marin Le Pen in France, in Greece or Italy, is promoted by the left parties, SYRIZA and Podemos. However, it is significant that in both cases we are talking about new parties that do not have strong roots in the political establishment - which is also characteristic of Marine Le Pen. Against this background, part of the French left is trying to form new political movements that criticize the European Union and defend French sovereignty. The trouble is that the niche is already occupied by the "National Front". And, trying to enter into serious politics, such groups will have to face a choice: to cooperate with nationalists or remain marginal. In Greece, SYRIZA was able to form an office by joining a coalition with a moderate nationalist party. However, in Athens, the left were in the majority, and did not risk, by and large, neither their reputation, nor their dominant position in the government.

In France, the choice is much more difficult and painful. But if the French left does not break sharply and definitively with the policy aimed at subordinating the country to the European Union and NATO, do not abandon the rhetoric of "multiculturalism" and do not regain the traditions of social struggle, they have no future.
Author:
Originator:
http://www.stoletie.ru/politika/le_pen__budushhij_prezident_francii_784.htm
109 comments
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  1. tasey
    tasey April 4 2015 19: 03
    +10
    They won’t give .... More precisely, they won’t live
    1. Petrof
      Petrof April 4 2015 19: 10
      +14
      Quote: tasey
      More precisely, will not survive


      just count the votes "correctly"
      well, or some compromising evidence - and they will withdraw from the election race, then of course everything will settle down, but time will be lost
      1. jjj
        jjj April 4 2015 23: 44
        +9
        It seems that still Marine Le Pen will not win the presidential election. But the second result will give her party with great success to work with voters and prepare the country in the next election to adopt a new course and a new president. In the meantime, Le Pen can be credited with the fact that France has become a three-party from a bipartisan
      2. DJKoks
        DJKoks April 5 2015 05: 45
        +3
        Technology worked out at the grandfather of Stroskan ... Le Pensha will be accused of raping the night porter, and that's all!
    2. sent-onere
      sent-onere April 4 2015 19: 21
      +30
      The French to us - the Russians - are NOT friends.
      But Marie Le Pen is the enemy of our adversary — that is, our "natural companion".
      1. veteran66
        veteran66 April 4 2015 20: 44
        -29%
        while condemning Ukrainian nationalists, we support the French. This is our son of a bitch
        1. Arberes
          Arberes April 4 2015 21: 15
          +7
          Quote: sent-onere
          But Marie Le Pen is the enemy of our adversary — that is, our "natural companion".

          Quote: veteran66
          while condemning Ukrainian nationalists, we support the French. This is our son of a bitch

          Yes, in statements on Russia, Marie treats us well!
          I am worried about only one question! Many presidential candidates promise one thing, and upon reaching power they begin to say something completely different! God forbid if I am mistaken in my doubts about this woman !?
        2. The comment was deleted.
        3. maxcor1974
          maxcor1974 April 4 2015 22: 27
          +18
          veteran66 RU  Today, 20: 44 ↑
          while condemning Ukrainian nationalists, we support the French. This is our son of a bitch

          Goosey! Marie Le Pen is the only politician in France with "eggs". And her "nationalism" has nothing to do with Nazism, if you meant it (since there are still Nazis in Ukraine).
          And the desire of the French to remain French, and not Europeans, is worthy of respect!
          1. veteran66
            veteran66 April 5 2015 08: 04
            -10%
            Nazism and nationalism are one and the same phenomenon and even the roots of one word, only in the transcription of different languages. It is simply very difficult, pursuing an independent policy, not to cross the line where defending the interests of the titular nation from economic, political and ethnic pressure with the religious pressure passes into notorious nationalism (Nazism), like that, stupid!
        4. hrych
          hrych April 4 2015 22: 56
          +19
          veteran66
          while condemning Ukrainian nationalists, we support the French. This is our son of a bitch

          French nationalists do not kill anyone, but fight for their cultural values ​​by demanding the adoption of laws restricting uncontrolled migration, and also oppose the registration of same-sex marriage. Not killing anyone, not forbidding to speak the native language is just a political party. Ukrainian Banderaites are not even nationalists, but psycho-sick zombie thieves and murderers, are not trying to save their own, but are trying to destroy someone else's. There is no culture of its own, there is no language (a cross between Polish-Austrian-Russian jargon), there is no science, there is nothing but hatred, because nothing to be proud of. The French have a great culture, science, history, language, there is something to be proud of and something to fight for. An equal sign between proud Franks and troglodytes cannot be put in any way.
          1. veteran66
            veteran66 April 5 2015 08: 12
            0
            While fully agreeing on the Ukrainian part of your message, I still want to object to the French part. At one time, Hitler also began with the "correct" slogans in defense of the German nation and until 1939, in fact, was engaged in collecting German lands and Germans under one roof. But everyone knows what it turned into after 39.
            1. hrych
              hrych April 5 2015 10: 37
              +6
              There are great French scientists (Ampère, Lavoisier, Coulomb, Lussac, Louis Pasteur, Pascal, Poincare), there are great writers and poets, painters (Dumas, Jules Verne, Voltaire, Moliere, Delacroix), great engineers (Eiffel, Jacques Cousteau), warriors and emperors (Merovey, Clove, Joan of Arc, Charlemagne, Napoleon). All the ruling courts of Europe from England to Russia spoke French (as an advanced nation of that time). Fundamental science is more indebted to the French, and therefore many (if not most) units of measure come from Frankish surnames. Most of the world uses the Frankish metric system. In general, there is something to be proud of and something to fight for. It’s just that we must not allow such a nation to dissolve in backward migrants. And now we take the other side: Bandera, Shukhevych, Lesya Ukrainka, Music-beaten, that’s the whole contribution to culture, science and history.
        5. NordUral
          NordUral April 5 2015 13: 17
          +5
          Do not tell us that the Nazi and the Conservative are synonyms.
    3. sent-onere
      sent-onere April 4 2015 19: 24
      +4
      Quote: tasey
      They won’t give .... More precisely, they won’t live




      If we survive, find out ...
    4. The comment was deleted.
    5. siberalt
      siberalt April 4 2015 20: 06
      +10
      At least Le Pen does not live in a parallel world like Oland. And Sarkozy will not be forgotten by Gaddafi. Another thing is how acceptable her ideology is for the liberal French and how strong her party is. Le Pen, in the African part of France, is not very fond of "pro-Nazi" rhetoric. They would live on benefits and not work. But this only enhances its popularity among the indigenous population. It seems that the French began to think about their identity. Although, radicalism is not necessarily a revolution. We'll live to see 2017. Now everything in the world is changing as fast as ever.
      1. APASUS
        APASUS April 4 2015 20: 31
        +2
        Quote: siberalt
        At least Le Pen does not live in a parallel world like Oland. And Sarkozy will not be forgotten by Gaddafi. Another thing is how acceptable her ideology is for the liberal French and how strong her party is. Le Pen, in the African part of France, is not very fond of "pro-Nazi" rhetoric. They would live on benefits and not work

        It is worth adding here the support of the USA, the admirer of American values ​​Sarkozy, how the alignment in the elections will be clear. Another de Gaulle in a skirt is unprofitable for the Americans and they will do everything to depopulate her in society. And the process has already begun, the media are already starting to spin up the case of financial fraud at headquarters Le Pen.
      2. Blondy
        Blondy April 4 2015 22: 07
        +7
        we are witnessing a resurgence of civic nationalism that abolishes racial and religious differences. Or maybe it's just ordinary patriotism, so unloved by the liberals. When people love their country, regardless of their nationality, and are ready to defend its (their state) interests.

        Something here is not right with the terminology in relation to the Le Pen party, in other matters as well as with the label of right-wing radicalism.
    6. FREGATENKAPITAN
      FREGATENKAPITAN April 4 2015 20: 15
      +1
      No ... no one will clean it ............ It will be easy to go into the second round, and Sarkozy will lose there ........ They won’t give it yes
    7. SAXA.SHURA
      SAXA.SHURA April 4 2015 20: 29
      +1
      What will not be given and who will not survive, if someone does not survive, is Hollande.
    8. Finches
      Finches April 4 2015 21: 11
      +5
      Not necessary! Throw like a folder! Sarkozy, the same pro-American prostitute, like Hollande! In the second round he sniffs with the socialists and Le Pen is thrown according to the law! But Sarkozy will have to take into account the opinion of voters of Lee Pen and conduct a more independent policy, although this will also be just a bluff!
    9. NordUral
      NordUral April 5 2015 13: 13
      +1
      Even as it outlives all competitors. Success to her in this!
    10. kamikaze
      kamikaze April 5 2015 19: 57
      +1
      let the dream of marin-les-pins come true become a president of france. may the heavenly angels protect her from troubles and tribulations
    11. kamikaze
      kamikaze April 5 2015 19: 57
      0
      let the dream of marin-les-pins come true become a president of france. may the heavenly angels protect her from troubles and tribulations
    12. Private IITR
      Private IITR April 6 2015 11: 51
      0
      Marinka is an adequate woman, unlike these freaks. I want her for the presidency of France!
  2. svp67
    svp67 April 4 2015 19: 03
    +8
    Le Pen - the future president of France?
    Alas, no. This is the tradition of France.
    1. corn
      corn April 4 2015 19: 13
      +11
      Quote: svp67
      This is the tradition of France.

      In the local elections, the party of Le Pen did not win in any constituency. How can she win the presidential election?
      No tradition at all.
      1. svp67
        svp67 April 4 2015 19: 32
        +5
        Quote: corn
        No tradition at all.

        This is the BASIC tradition of France, to make noise, to bawl, and when it comes down to it ... then everything is decorous, quiet ... And so Le Pen is "a valve for releasing steam of popular discontent"
        1. corn
          corn April 4 2015 20: 18
          +2
          Quote: svp67
          This is the BASIC tradition of France, to make noise, to bawl, and when to business ...

          The Great French Revolution, the July Revolution, the Revolution of 1848, the Paris Commune and, in the recent past, "entertainments" for several months with bonfires from cars and other "entertainments", albeit shorter, but with seizure and destruction of police stations.
          Do you want France to be like in Ukraine?
          1. Petrof
            Petrof April 4 2015 20: 25
            0
            Quote: corn
            Do you want France to be like in Ukraine?


            then certainly they will not be up to anti-Russian sanctions
            and it will be karmic revenge for the mistral :-)
            1. corn
              corn April 4 2015 20: 30
              0
              Quote: Petrof
              it will be karmic revenge for the mistral

              A thin world is better than a good quarrel. Not I came up with.
              1. Petrof
                Petrof April 4 2015 20: 41
                0
                Impune pecces in eum, qui peccat prior.
                sin with impunity against the one who sinned first
                (c) the ancient Romans
        2. Lyton
          Lyton April 5 2015 05: 31
          +1
          Quote: svp67
          valve for the release of steam of popular discontent "

          Like our Zhirinovsky chtole?
        3. The comment was deleted.
        4. msm
          msm April 5 2015 19: 49
          0
          This is the BASIC tradition of France, to make noise, to bawl, and when to business ...
          And that Charles de Gaulle was not?
      2. NEXUS
        NEXUS April 4 2015 20: 47
        0
        Quote: corn
        In the local elections, the party of Le Pen did not win in any constituency. How can she win the presidential election?
        No tradition at all.

        Whether Sarkazi, Le Pen, both of these personalities are friendly to Russia. Hollande will be removed and France will not be so obedient to American influence.
        1. Grishka cat
          Grishka cat April 4 2015 23: 11
          0
          This is all fantasy. France can no longer be an obedient pro-American girl.
      3. Ramzaj99
        Ramzaj99 April 4 2015 20: 55
        0
        Quote: corn
        In the local elections, the party of Le Pen did not win in any constituency. How can she win the presidential election?

        Vo-in author dreamer.
        There everything goes to the fact that Sarkozy will return. Hlyupik Oland, already got everyone, both left and right))
        Although there is a considerable chance that Le Pen will win. This can happen if serious problems with immigrants start in France, and this can very well happen, despite European paranoid tolerance, the immigrant degree in France is steadily growing.
      4. The comment was deleted.
    2. sent-onere
      sent-onere April 4 2015 19: 26
      +1
      Quote: svp67
      Le Pen - the future president of France?
      Alas, no. This is the tradition of France.



      This is not even important. The main thing is that Hollande will leave, and with him the French support of Merkel!
    3. Erg
      Erg April 4 2015 21: 41
      +3
      Jeanne d * Ark "passed" in due time. There are chances. I, personally, for Mariska wink
  3. STOP VOINE 2014
    STOP VOINE 2014 April 4 2015 19: 04
    +4
    "Eat or take away", the lice will help, you don't have to go far for examples ...
  4. Barakuda
    Barakuda April 4 2015 19: 05
    +5
    I would like to. But what will she do when she comes to power? God alone knows.
    Sponsors to the studio!
    1. Vladimirets
      Vladimirets April 4 2015 19: 11
      +3
      Quote: Barracuda
      Sponsors to the studio!

      "The French right-wing National Front, led by Marine Le Pen, received a loan of 9 million euros from the First Czech-Russian Bank. This is reported by Agence France-Presse with reference to the treasurer of the Wallerand Saint-Just party." wink
      1. Barakuda
        Barakuda April 4 2015 19: 29
        +2
        It is reported by Agence France-Presse with reference to the treasurer of the party of Vallauren Saint-Just.

        And is he still alive? It is strange, although the amount of 9 lyamov is ridiculous, according to Russian concepts.
    2. Reserve officer
      Reserve officer April 4 2015 19: 22
      +7
      Right, left ... Conventions are all that. There are politicians who uphold the real independence of the country, and there are those who are satisfied with external rule. Marin - from the first.
    3. saag
      saag April 4 2015 20: 30
      0
      Quote: Barracuda
      But what will she do when she comes to power?

      Yes, nothing, Frederica Mogherini, before being elected to her current post, also made all sorts of "correct" speeches, but when she was elected to the post she already makes speeches approved :-)
  5. Vadim237
    Vadim237 April 4 2015 19: 07
    +2
    Most likely, Serkazi will return to the post of president.
  6. andj61
    andj61 April 4 2015 19: 07
    +9
    The author himself gives an answer to his question posed in the title of the article.
    However, it is unlikely that Le Pen, despite all its successes of the previous few years, will be able to win. In the second round, both parties will unite against her, on which Sarkozy is counting, already preparing his return to the Elysee Palace.
    Of course, a surprise cannot be ruled out: if, against the backdrop of the mass absenteeism of the Socialist Party voters and the equally massive mobilization of the "new French" from immigrant lower classes, who simply had not voted before, Le Pen will be able to win in the first round.

    To win in the first round now, when Le Pen and Sarkozy go head to head, and the socialists are lagging behind but not very much - this, of course, is not realistic. But Le Pen will be able to consolidate his influence in the country and take on the first or second roles in the parliament and in local authorities.
    1. corn
      corn April 4 2015 19: 33
      +1
      Quote: andj61
      Le Pen and Sarkozy go nostril to nostril

      How can you confirm? Or believe it?
    2. X Y Z
      X Y Z April 4 2015 20: 19
      +1
      Most likely it will be so. The French have not yet fully realized that this is no longer the party of old Le Pen. And, therefore, they are ready to vote against her in the second round. Many still perceive it in the old way, but the process is underway and the water is sharpening the stone. If Sarko does not live up to the hopes of the French (and most likely it will happen) and everything will be the same as during his first presidency, then Marie’s chances will increase significantly. And then everything can be ...
    3. kashtak
      kashtak April 4 2015 20: 43
      0
      But Le Pen will be able to consolidate his influence in the country and take on the first or second roles both in parliament and in local authorities. [/ Quote]
      it seems like the question is from here so far Le Pen scored points on criticism, but what does she offer herself? what is her program? if anyone knows I will be grateful for the footnote.
    4. The comment was deleted.
  7. jovanni
    jovanni April 4 2015 19: 07
    +6
    Nah, she’s not a bugger ... Who will choose her ?! Oh, and I would vote for her ...
    1. Petrof
      Petrof April 4 2015 19: 14
      +1
      Quote: Jovanni
      she’s not a pederast ... Who will choose her ?!


      do you really think so?
      the sexual preferences of candidates in such a serious matter do not even play the tenth, but in general no role
  8. dr.star75
    dr.star75 April 4 2015 19: 11
    +4
    Onand socialist ??? I always thought that socialists are more literate for their country! Everything was mixed up in Oblonsky! Lee Pen is our president! Moreover we threw her a little
    1. kashtak
      kashtak April 4 2015 20: 56
      +1
      Yes, we live in an interesting time. emigrant suburbs vote for nationalists (if the author did not confuse us), those where Le Pen recently scared. everything in the Oblonsky’s house didn’t mix, but turned upside down. NF slogans could have been expected from the left. and from Holland the socialist is like a bullet from jam.
    2. The comment was deleted.
  9. fomkin
    fomkin April 4 2015 19: 14
    +6
    Le Pen is unlikely to win, but would like to. I can even imagine how they will butt with Merkel. Two witches in the EU are something.
  10. not Russian
    not Russian April 4 2015 19: 14
    +4
    Therefore, it is necessary to try to lower Sarkozy. And let our guys with the FSO (retirees) hang out next to her. It will be a pity if they soak her.
  11. STOP VOINE 2014
    STOP VOINE 2014 April 4 2015 19: 17
    +4
    Quote: Petrof
    or some compromising evidence

    Putin will be recorded as lovers love
    1. Petrof
      Petrof April 4 2015 19: 31
      +5
      I think they will accuse her of receiving money from Moscow
      and accordingly put up about the Moscow candidate, this is at least
      they have a rich imagination


      But I still could not finish my work, because the next morning a terrible and vicious slander appeared in one of the newspapers: they accused me of setting fire to a madhouse with all its inhabitants because it spoiled the view from my windows. Then horror seized me. Then followed a message that I poisoned my uncle in order to take possession of his property. The newspaper persistently demanded an autopsy. I was afraid that I was about to lose my mind. But this is not enough: I was accused of being the trustee of a shelter for foundlings, I attached, with the patronage of my mindless toothless relatives, to the position of lesser-vyvateli food for pets. My head went round. Finally, the shameless bullying that the hostile parties subjected me to the highest point: according to someone’s instigation during the election meeting, nine babies of all skin colors and in a variety of rags climbed onto the podium and. clinging to my legs, began to shout: "Dad!"
      I could not stand it. I lowered the flag and surrendered. Running for the post of governor of the state of New York was beyond my power. I wrote that I am withdrawing my candidacy (c) Mark Twain

      1. STOP VOINE 2014
        STOP VOINE 2014 April 4 2015 19: 40
        0
        As an example, they can recall, turn over and chew on such a fact:
        The French right-wing National Front, led by Marine Le Pen, has received a loan of 9 million euros from the First Czech-Russian Bank. This is reported by Agence France-Presse with reference to the party treasurer of Vallerand Saint-Just.
      2. kashtak
        kashtak April 4 2015 21: 02
        0
        Quote: Petrof
        I think they will accuse her of receiving money from Moscow
        and accordingly put up about the Moscow candidate,

        the loan is open and small. although they won’t forget about him.
      3. The comment was deleted.
  12. KBR109
    KBR109 April 4 2015 19: 19
    +12
    Quote: Petrof
    Quote: tasey
    More precisely, will not survive


    just count the votes "correctly"
    well, or some compromising evidence - and they will withdraw from the election race, then of course everything will settle down, but time will be lost
    It is likely that this is so. But I would like to dream ... love and soon hear a new European duet: Sarah Wagenknekht and Marine le Pen. drinks God grant, God grant.
  13. staryivoin
    staryivoin April 4 2015 19: 26
    +4
    Nothing will come out of this topic Frau Chancellor of the "4th Reich" with the support of the rest of the Geyropa will do everything to prevent this holiday from taking place. Mattress covers will only control the process. But you want something light, for example, "the new European duet: Sarah Wagenknecht and Marine le Pen", and then, look, someone else will catch up ...
    1. Kunar
      Kunar April 4 2015 21: 31
      +1
      Bugoga! Masha Le Pen vs Hollande? Lioness woman vs turd laughing I accept bets 1 to 3, respectively
  14. Major Yurik
    Major Yurik April 4 2015 19: 28
    +3
    Wait for the American ears from around the corner. Dominique Stros-Kann was supposed to be the president of France, but the hotel skin, slipped by the Yankees, determined everything. This came from the French frangip, fed on American hemp. I think Le Pen the Yankees will slip something too. negative
  15. DPN
    DPN April 4 2015 19: 29
    +4
    Beautiful BABA, if the paddlers choose her will live happily ever after. Good luck to her!

    In RUSSIA, there is also THIS - MOTVIENKO, much better than DIMON!
    1. Kunar
      Kunar April 4 2015 21: 33
      +1
      Our women are better than us! S. Trofimov
      1. Kalinov Bridge
        Kalinov Bridge April 4 2015 21: 40
        +1
        Quote: Kunar
        Our women are better than us! S. Trofimov


        Their women are better than them! (I AM)
        Anyway ... "women" are better!
    2. Kalinov Bridge
      Kalinov Bridge April 4 2015 21: 38
      +2
      Quote: DPN
      In RUSSIA, there is also THIS - MOTVIENKO, much better than DIMON!


      Matvienko - nickname "Valya glass"
      Medvedev - nicknames "Aifonchik", "Dimon"
  16. sent-onere
    sent-onere April 4 2015 19: 29
    +4
    Le Pen is our man. KGB Major. Maria Lapina .. smile
    1. Kunar
      Kunar April 4 2015 21: 35
      +4
      Again, shoot the office! Well, what are you doing? So there’s no way to spill any agent! laughing
  17. Egoza
    Egoza April 4 2015 19: 29
    +8
    Don't you think that Le Pen's "right-wing party" is inherently not right, but left? but the "socialists" are the most liberals? Although they were chosen precisely as socialists! And maybe the French will elect Le Pen for president, at least against Germany, England and the United States?
    And then they all have such urodki, and here ... Charming Woman! tongue tongue tongue
    1. Barakuda
      Barakuda April 4 2015 19: 36
      +1
      How charming is she? the taste is clear .. all different. Personally, I would have a sewer manhole on the head. (Sorry, I was married twice). But he voiced the right thoughts, there is no alternative.
      1. Egoza
        Egoza April 4 2015 19: 58
        +6
        Quote: Barracuda
        How charming is she?

        Well, put next to the photo Nuland, Merkel, Psaki, the wives of Obama and Le Pen ... compare ... and who is better? laughing
        1. Barakuda
          Barakuda April 4 2015 20: 13
          +1
          I agree ! Especially from a female point of view. winked Still the Baltic states there ..
          1. Penzyac
            Penzyac April 4 2015 21: 30
            +3
            Quote: Barracuda
            I agree ! Especially from a female point of view. winked Still the Baltic states there ..

            You would have compared with surviving mind hag Pharion ...
            Fu ..., ash twitched ...
        2. Krasmash
          Krasmash April 4 2015 20: 20
          +4
          Quote: Egoza
          Well, put next to the photo Nuland, Merkel, Psaki, the wives of Obama and Le Pen ... compare ... and who is better?

          Poklonskaya !!! love yes good
          1. saag
            saag April 4 2015 20: 35
            +2
            Quote: Krasmash
            Poklonskaya !!!

            Wagenknecht, this at least the passionarian :-)
          2. Kalinov Bridge
            Kalinov Bridge April 4 2015 21: 41
            +1
            Quote: Krasmash
            Poklonskaya !!!

            And Kabaeva ...
          3. Grishka cat
            Grishka cat April 4 2015 23: 15
            +1
            Right! drinks wink The remaining face control does not pass.
        3. alexander 2
          alexander 2 April 4 2015 21: 10
          0
          Add our Novodvorskaya there too.
          1. Kunar
            Kunar April 4 2015 21: 44
            +2
            Do not remember in vain .... Chur me!
        4. Kunar
          Kunar April 4 2015 21: 37
          0
          And next to Masha put me)))
      2. Altona
        Altona April 4 2015 20: 44
        +1
        Quote: Barracuda
        How charming is she? the taste is clear .. all different. Personally, I would have a sewer manhole on the head. (Sorry, I was married twice). But he voiced the right thoughts, there is no alternative.

        --------------------
        So you check or ride? As in the Odessa joke ..
      3. Petrof
        Petrof April 4 2015 20: 49
        +2
        Quote: Barracuda
        How charming is she?


        all who are for us are beautiful by definition
        all who are against us are ugly and ugly, definitely :-)
        1. Kunar
          Kunar April 4 2015 21: 47
          +5
          stopudovo true))))
    2. Inok10
      Inok10 April 4 2015 20: 13
      +9
      Quote: Egoza
      Don't you think that Le Pen's "right-wing party" is inherently not right, but left? but the "socialists" are the most liberals? Although they were chosen precisely as socialists! And maybe the French will elect Le Pen for president, at least against Germany, England and the United States?
      And then they all have such urodki, and here ... Charming Woman! tongue tongue tongue

      .. that's straight from the tongue Dear .. the classical concepts of "left" and "right" parties in France, as well as in many European countries have long been inconsistent with their real positions and deeds .. and the National Front led by Marine Lepin .. all more precisely National, than they are trying to label him a nationalist .. and than not Charles André Joseph Marie de Gaulle in a skirt .. :)
  18. tyzyaga
    tyzyaga April 4 2015 19: 31
    +1
    They won’t give .... More precisely, they won’t live

    Another leader will take his place. Yes, and there will be such a political split that Mama Do not Cry!
  19. STOP VOINE 2014
    STOP VOINE 2014 April 4 2015 19: 34
    +1
    Quote: Barracuda
    Sponsors to the studio!

    The French right-wing National Front, led by Marine Le Pen, has received a loan of 9 million euros from the First Czech-Russian Bank. This is reported by Agence France-Presse with reference to the treasurer of the party, Vallerand Saint-Just.
  20. Mercenary
    Mercenary April 4 2015 19: 42
    +1
    They will crush everyone (brunettes) from the White House and other gay shushara ... In addition, you noticed that former and not held praise and respect Russia and its president, and once in power, everything goes.
    1. alexander 2
      alexander 2 April 4 2015 21: 25
      +1
      So all "former and not held" from Washington do not shut their mouths and do not order what to say. This is happening not only in Europe, but throughout the world, including the United States.
    2. Kunar
      Kunar April 4 2015 21: 49
      +1
      Startled crushing ....
  21. samarin1969
    samarin1969 April 4 2015 19: 44
    +8
    I had to see Le Pen's visit to Crimea ... A very emotional, democratic and modest woman ... the visit was unofficial, ... none of the Crimeans paid attention to her ... I was a little envious of the French that they have a real leader in politics without show-offs and botax "A la Matvienko" ... Good luck to Marine Le Pen!
  22. Mikhail3
    Mikhail3 April 4 2015 19: 45
    +3
    They will not, of course. But no matter what form the combination against Le Pen takes, it will still be the last nail in the coffin of the European Union
  23. Dangasa
    Dangasa April 4 2015 20: 01
    +4
    It's time in France to transfer power into the hands of women, since men are like queers
  24. 16112014nk
    16112014nk April 4 2015 20: 06
    +3
    We must support Marine Le Pen. And establish ties with France. The only country in Western Europe that can go against the United States. Germany is occupied by the USA, England = USA, Italy and Spain are too weak.
  25. Tribuns
    Tribuns April 4 2015 20: 12
    +2
    There is no doubt that in the future presidential race, the leaders - Sarkozy and Le Pen ...

    It is clear to everyone that Hollande will no longer be re-elected for the next presidential term ... France is right in condemning Hollande, who persists in adhering to a policy of tolerance for "freelogging and permissiveness" of immigrants, equalizing them in rights with the indigenous population of the country without taking into account the political worldview, religious beliefs and cultural level ... The second mistake of Hollande was the legislative equalization of the rights of representatives of same-sex marriages with traditional marriages, destroying the institution of the family ... And, the third mistake of Hollande, that he practically became a pawn of the foreign king, who took control of the foreign policy of France ...
    And it is possible that France in foreign policy will return to the policy of Charles de Gaulle, independent of the USA, who passed away in 1970 ...
  26. bannik
    bannik April 4 2015 20: 12
    +4
    If Marina, indeed, defends the interests of her country, then her success and victory in the election. I do not see, alas (with the exception of 2-3 people), worthy candidates in our 2016 elections who would be interested in the problems of Russia, and not their own wallet. I am silent about the 2018 elections.
  27. boroda64
    boroda64 April 4 2015 20: 15
    +1
    .
    woman with "eggs" ..
    / sorry - girls /
    = well, better than a guy with a "working ass" ...
    1. veksha50
      veksha50 April 4 2015 21: 27
      0
      Quote: boroda64
      woman with "eggs".



      Rough ... But - essentially ...
  28. bocsman
    bocsman April 4 2015 20: 16
    +2
    An open look, the presence of intelligence and willpower. And ferret eyes of the Mindowns, Balts, punks and other representatives of the most "progressive" part of the army of Satan. Will they let her win!
    1. veksha50
      veksha50 April 4 2015 21: 25
      +1
      Quote: bocsman
      Will they let her win!


      She denied financial assistance to all banks (not just France).
      Russia gave her the money she needed to support her movement ... And I think it will give it more ... Let's say that this is one of Russia's moves in the now-fashionable "hybrid" war, which will sooner or later give results .. Marie is not forgiving Lord Hollande, who does not know when and where to turn his head ...
      I wish her success today, and tomorrow, and ... well, we will not look into the distant future ...
    2. Grishka cat
      Grishka cat April 4 2015 23: 19
      0
      Especially if you look at the egg, Turchinov and Lyasha-oil painting! wassat
  29. s.melioxin
    s.melioxin April 4 2015 20: 19
    +4
    ... they will not break sharply and definitively with policies oriented towards subordinating the country to the European Union and NATO, they will not abandon the rhetoric of "multiculturalism" and will not regain the traditions of social struggle, they have no future
    What will the elections show. Who is who and who is for whom, and how many will be. The republic is not a dictatorship. In the meantime, for those who respect those who are for us. The parade will be in any weather. Do not invite us, them to us.
    1. Starik72
      Starik72 April 4 2015 21: 26
      +1
      Sergei. I agree with you that: The conscience of Europe and the COURAGE to tell the TRUTH are left only for these two women !!!
  30. alexander 2
    alexander 2 April 4 2015 21: 07
    +2
    Quote: DPN
    In RUSSIA, there is also THIS - MOTVIENKO, much better than DIMON!

    Matvienko is no better than Medvedev. I saw her "affairs" when she was the governor of St. Petersburg. For example: immediately after she was elected all over St. Petersburg there were slot machines "columns" standing literally on every corner, with which Yakovlev successfully fought, a truly good governor defending the interests of the city. For which he was "eaten".
    About the article itself. A little truth, a little lie, unfounded allegations and a complete lack of logic. In general, a full vinaigrette. Even nothing to put, no plus or minus.
  31. atamankko
    atamankko April 4 2015 21: 15
    +1
    Marin, you are smart, we wish you victory.
  32. veksha50
    veksha50 April 4 2015 21: 20
    +3
    "People who are dissatisfied with the policies of the socialists - and the left voters have been dissatisfied with their helplessness and venality for three decades - stay at home in the first round or vote for various small parties. But in the second round they still go to the polls - so as not to give the victory to the right"...

    I sit here and think ... Your miracles are inscrutable, Lord ... Could I have thought earlier that with my hands and feet I would be "FOR" a person preaching right ideas? Of course not ... And this is how everything has perverted in this world - the French are protesting against the socialists, the French, who have gone through the crucible of three (!!!) revolutions !!!
    We got the custodians such as Hollande and his entourage !!!
    And even if Marie le Pen comes to power on the same wavelength as Hitler once (let us remind ourselves that his party was called National Socialist), still at this stage it can become, if not another, then Russia's comrade, and will take into account the mistakes of Hollande and her neighbor Merkel ...
  33. altman
    altman April 4 2015 21: 20
    0
    That's what I was thinking. For many years, the French are ordinary cowards. After the gene pool was knocked out in the war of 1812-1814, the French degenerate. And now nothing is left of the real French. A mixture of half-fools with Arabs.
  34. semirek
    semirek April 4 2015 21: 23
    +1
    Poor, poor France --- she has had no luck for the last decades --- but the French have always had a sharp individualism, their own pride in the country. But there were normal relations between our countries --- 60-70 years, France I remember then: "gendarmes" led by the incomparable Louis de Funes, "recruits" going to war.
    And what can France boast about right now? Where are Your today's Marais and Gobain, Belmondo and Delon, you drowned in your multiculturalization, forgetting your culture.
  35. Starik72
    Starik72 April 4 2015 21: 32
    0
    Thanks to the author of the article for the excellent political review of the election situation in France !!! The time before the election is and there are conditions for the election of Marie as president, and God forbid that this would happen.
  36. Eaero
    Eaero April 4 2015 21: 42
    0
    As soon as de Gaulle initiated France’s withdrawal from the NATO bloc, he immediately began to have problems, which ultimately led to his resignation. And Sarkozy, in the summer of 2007, began the process of France’s return to NATO’s paramilitary structures, which will soon happen .
    So, unfortunately, European leaders with the faces of "supernumerary accountants", but quite experienced bureaucrats and schemers will never allow Le Pen to win. And considering that Uncle Sam will be behind the backs of European officials with a bag of money, control over the press and spent political technologies .. . In short, Marina has little chance.
    But you still have to go aback wassat
  37. Vladimir57
    Vladimir57 April 4 2015 21: 47
    +3
    Marie Le Pen is our hope!
  38. jekasimf
    jekasimf April 4 2015 21: 54
    0
    They won’t give her. Remember how they set up the opponent Sarkozy.
    Dominic Strauss-Kahn, but he was seriously ahead of Sarkozy in terms of rating.
    The United States made a classic setup, and Sarkozy thanked the United States in Libya ....
    But the funny thing is that the French stupidly led.
    And when the case was done, all charges were dropped from Strauss-Kahn. But who now remembers him ?!
    1. NordUral
      NordUral April 4 2015 21: 57
      0
      She is smart, she will not substitute.
  39. NordUral
    NordUral April 4 2015 21: 57
    0
    Good luck with that, Marin! Europe and the world, and it’s time for us to return to a just conservative society. It is time to stop speculating with rotten liberalism, even though each country has its own, but it is equally contraindicated to the peoples of the world.
  40. Khagysh
    Khagysh April 4 2015 21: 58
    0
    They will not let her become president. Before the election, they will arrange some sort of provocation.
  41. Snake AAA
    Snake AAA April 4 2015 22: 04
    0
    Yes, it would not be bad if she became president, Europe and we would have lived differently !!!
  42. semirek
    semirek April 4 2015 22: 18
    +3
    I think France, with Marie Le Pen there is a chance to become the same!
    1. Grishka cat
      Grishka cat April 4 2015 23: 21
      0
      We wait and see, but God help her!
    2. Barakuda
      Barakuda April 5 2015 05: 47
      0
      Slightly mistaken, ON THE RIGHT SIDE OF THE DNIPRA! On the left Donbass and Russia.
      1. Atash
        Atash April 5 2015 19: 08
        0
        Maybe she means Donbass.
  43. RUSIVAN
    RUSIVAN April 4 2015 23: 38
    +2
    I vote for Marie Le Pen !!!
  44. silberwolf88
    silberwolf88 April 5 2015 05: 50
    0
    In my opinion ... for all the complexity and ambiguity of the figure of Mali Le Pen ... the ideology of the renewed National Front ... it would be an interesting politician ... primarily for the formation of France itself ... 2017 is near ... let's see what it turns out ... the aggravation of the struggle for the minds of the French is guaranteed
  45. passing
    passing April 5 2015 10: 38
    0
    Thanks to the author for an excellent political analysis. Despite her intuitive sympathy for Marie Le Pen, she felt some discomfort due to her realistic pro-Russian position, remembering the essence of the organization of her dad’s times. It turned out new content in the old form. Good luck to her. The farther, the harder it will be. The technology of fooling an ordinary person has been perfected to perfection.
  46. 1536
    1536 April 5 2015 14: 14
    +1
    Once, when France was on the verge of death, a woman was found - Jeanne d'Arc, who saved the country. Let's hope that in our days, when the dull American expansion and hegemonism is destroying entire regions of the world, in France there will also be forces capable of resisting the American infection.
  47. Prager
    Prager April 5 2015 14: 36
    +1
    God forbid the French to come to their senses and come to their senses from pan-European insanity and elect Marine Le Pen as new president. She's worth it! God help her!
  48. moncyber
    moncyber April 5 2015 17: 11
    0
    Quote: veteran66
    Nazism and nationalism are one and the same phenomenon and even the roots of one word, only in the transcription of different languages. It is simply very difficult, pursuing an independent policy, not to cross the line where defending the interests of the titular nation from economic, political and ethnic pressure with the religious pressure passes into notorious nationalism (Nazism), like that, stupid!

    If it were the same thing, then there would not be two different words, albeit with the same root. Nationalism, in principle, is not bad, it stems from patriotism, as well as from the desire of the people not to be lost in vain. This is a normal reaction to external aggression, often camouflaged to the aspirations of the people. Remember the traitor Gorbi and the drunkard Yeltsin, how they sawed rockets and boats, and gave the bowels to international corporations. Nazism, this is an ugly manifestation of nationalism, what is happening in Ukraine is an example.
  49. Atash
    Atash April 5 2015 19: 06
    0
    Quote: moncyber
    Nazism and nationalism are one and the same phenomenon and even the roots of one word,

    Nationalism and Nazism are completely different things. Nationalism is at all times a completely legal legal political direction based on the national idea. The term "national idea" is now also often, if not always, misunderstood. The national idea is one quite definite idea, which means that the development of the state goes in the direction of development, the preservation of nationality, its language, history. We now think that the nat. the idea can be this or that. Nationality is not an ethnos, in all languages ​​except modern Russian nationality means citizenship. There is, for example, the nationality "Afghan", within which there are a lot of ethnic groups.
    It comes from Soviet communist times. For the communist ideology of internationalism and world revolution, nationalists within the party were naturally apostates. These are the communists in the national suburbs who believed that they should have their own independent independent communist party. And the Nazis are just fascists.
  50. Atash
    Atash April 5 2015 19: 12
    0
    Quote: hrych
    Fundamental science is more indebted to the French, and therefore many (if not most) units of measure come from Frankish surnames. Most of the world uses the Frankish metric system. In general, there is something to be proud of and something to fight for.

    All this is good, only let Mistral be given. And they also took the child 10 years ago from a Russian actress.