Paul Craig Roberts: Russia may stop supplying energy to NATO nations
Dr. Paul Craig Roberts, whose opinion is regularly voiced on the pages of the Military Review, was interviewed by KWN (not to be confused with the Russian KVN). According to the well-known economist, the West early rejoices at “trampling Russia into mud”, “the end of Russia” and turning it into an American “vassal”. Roberts believes that the West has become completely stupid.
Paul Craig Roberts recently gave an interview to the portal King World News (KWN). According to him, Russia will eventually release its “black swans”. As for the West, it should be wary of the destruction of the financial system. Yes, the West, not Russia.
Dr. Roberts said: "I listened today newsand all these self-satisfied people appeared there - they are just happy because they decided that they finally trampled Russia into mud and that Russia was now over, Russia was broken, and it would soon become a vassal state entirely owned by the United States. And I listened to this nonsense and thought: “How can people be so stupid?” But they really are, and they are just as stupid as those who sit in Washington. ”
Meanwhile, the Russian “black swans” can scatter the western “house of cards,” said Dr. Roberts.
What are these “swans” and why precisely “black”?
According to the suggestion of Comrade Roberts, the Russian government, for example, can declare: the attack on the ruble is a political one; You guys are attacking our ruble, which creates a lot of trouble for us. And if so, we changed our minds to repay part of our debts, which we should pay off at the beginning of 2015. We will not pay, and that's all.
Well, so what of it? And the fact that the European banking system will collapse! Economist Roberts points out that local banks are simply undercapitalized. Some of them live on loans provided to Russia, and these loans issued have devoured almost all of their fixed capital.
Moscow does not even need to talk about some kind of default. The Kremlin will simply say: “We are not going to pay this year. We will do this later. Well, when the ruble stabilizes. ” (Laughter).
And this decision will simply kill the West. Rather, its financial system. Roberts says that all interconnections should be taken into account in the economy and reminds that the noisy bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers had a very negative effect not only on the USA, but also on Europe.
It is difficult to predict what could have come out of such a move by Russia, Roberts thinks further. Too much speculation in the world. “Derivative financial instruments” are many times larger than the global gross domestic product. And no one knows who the counterparties.
If European banks start to plunge into the abyss of collapse, who knows how the market of all these derivatives will behave? After all, the whole Western system is a house of cards, an economist writes. It is based on nothing but market manipulation. So you don't need a very strong push to push such a weak one.
So, the "black swan". That's the point: if the Russians, “says Roberts,“ are completely angry, ”they will make a special message for European governments. This is: "We will no longer sell natural gas or any other energy carriers to NATO members."
Here is a statement. So, what is next? Roberts admits that the result of this decision could be the complete collapse of the North Atlantic alliance. Yes, and the collapse of individual states in Europe, too. Even powerful Germany will end.
But even such a puppet government, like the German one, will not allow citizens to freeze without heating, and the factories shut down, and unemployment would jump to forty percent. No, the German government will take a reasonable decision and refuse to participate in NATO. And here is the biggest “black swan”: NATO will no longer exist. The alliance will fall apart.
Therefore, the economist says, if the Russians want to destroy NATO, all they have to do is turn off the energy resources supplied to the members of the alliance.
A man from the Kremlin just has to call "Puppet Merkel, puppet Hollande, doll Cameron and say:" You guys really like being in NATO, but let me tell you that we will never again supply energy to NATO members. "
That would be the real end of NATO, Roberts believes, and it would also be the finish of American power.
This is how many “black swans” Russia can produce. All the cards in the hands of Putin, says an American economist.
We must also remember, he continues, that Putin is reorienting his country to the east. And we will soon see that Russia, India and China will become world leaders. Not the USA!
Interestingly, we add from ourselves that not only Roberts argues about the opposition of NATO and Russia and those “swans” that Moscow could release.
Journalist Howard Lafranchi ("Christian Science Monitor"), whose opinion led 25 December channel "RT"He gave the West advice: think carefully before taking Ukraine into NATO. If Ukraine is free to be friends with anyone it wants, then Russia has the right to determine who is her friend and who is the enemy.
The Verkhovna Rada voted to abolish the non-aligned status of Ukraine, reminds the journalist. The situation in the east has calmed down a bit, this time, and the Russian economy started having problems, these are two. In such conditions, Howard Lafranci notes, the Ukrainian government felt bolder and decided on a “provocative and inflammatory step”.
According to Lafranci, Ukraine has the right to decide whether or not to join the North Atlantic alliance, just as the countries of the alliance have the right to decide whether to accept Ukraine. But, after all, Russia has the right to decide how to respond to Ukraine’s aspiration to become a member of NATO. (A direct analogy to Roberts's “black swans” suggests itself.)
Further, Lafranci strongly recommends “to all parties to this confrontation” to think: will Europe become more stable and secure if Ukraine joins NATO?
The author seems to have no doubt that Europe will be bad.
And here is the Russian answer. He appeared in our press 25 December.
Russian Foreign Ministry spokesman Alexander Lukashevich said that a further expansion of NATO to the east would force Russia to retaliate. “I would stress that the possible further expansion of the Alliance to the east will inevitably lead to a very serious military-political shift not only in Europe but throughout the world and will directly affect Russia's national security interests and force our country to take the necessary adequate measures,” Lukashevich quotes. tv channel "NTV".
“It is obvious that the Russian side should have long ago reminded Ukraine and the countries of the North Atlantic alliance of the price they will pay for the integration,” Igor Korotchenko, editor-in-chief of National Defense magazine, told IA "REGNUM". - We finally made it clear that Russia will not passively observe how the threat to its security is growing before our eyes. At one time, we actually ignored, escaping sluggish protests, the approach of NATO to our borders. It seems that on the other side, too, they relaxed and decided that even now joining an organization in such a large and resource-rich country as Ukraine would also pass almost imperceptibly. So: it is now clear, regardless of further developments, that Russia will not be silent or passively protest ”.
The expert added: “If before that we did not have a clear military doctrine, and the status of NATO was not clearly defined, now, in the case of continuing aggressive actions towards Russia, we openly begin to regard the alliance as an adversary. Russia is decisively set up and there will be no compromises with the United States and NATO. ”
Recall that the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine 23 December adopted a law on the waiver of non-aligned status of the state. The document provides for the return of Kiev to the course of rapprochement with NATO. The bill submitted to parliament 18 December Mr. Poroshenko himself.
In essence, the candy oligarch continued the implementation of the ideas of President Yushchenko, interrupted by Viktor Yanukovych, who, as is well known, spoke in favor of maintaining the non-aligned status of Ukraine.
Someone very strongly begs for "black swans"!
Paul Craig Roberts recently gave an interview to the portal King World News (KWN). According to him, Russia will eventually release its “black swans”. As for the West, it should be wary of the destruction of the financial system. Yes, the West, not Russia.
Dr. Roberts said: "I listened today newsand all these self-satisfied people appeared there - they are just happy because they decided that they finally trampled Russia into mud and that Russia was now over, Russia was broken, and it would soon become a vassal state entirely owned by the United States. And I listened to this nonsense and thought: “How can people be so stupid?” But they really are, and they are just as stupid as those who sit in Washington. ”
Meanwhile, the Russian “black swans” can scatter the western “house of cards,” said Dr. Roberts.
What are these “swans” and why precisely “black”?
According to the suggestion of Comrade Roberts, the Russian government, for example, can declare: the attack on the ruble is a political one; You guys are attacking our ruble, which creates a lot of trouble for us. And if so, we changed our minds to repay part of our debts, which we should pay off at the beginning of 2015. We will not pay, and that's all.
Well, so what of it? And the fact that the European banking system will collapse! Economist Roberts points out that local banks are simply undercapitalized. Some of them live on loans provided to Russia, and these loans issued have devoured almost all of their fixed capital.
Moscow does not even need to talk about some kind of default. The Kremlin will simply say: “We are not going to pay this year. We will do this later. Well, when the ruble stabilizes. ” (Laughter).
And this decision will simply kill the West. Rather, its financial system. Roberts says that all interconnections should be taken into account in the economy and reminds that the noisy bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers had a very negative effect not only on the USA, but also on Europe.
It is difficult to predict what could have come out of such a move by Russia, Roberts thinks further. Too much speculation in the world. “Derivative financial instruments” are many times larger than the global gross domestic product. And no one knows who the counterparties.
If European banks start to plunge into the abyss of collapse, who knows how the market of all these derivatives will behave? After all, the whole Western system is a house of cards, an economist writes. It is based on nothing but market manipulation. So you don't need a very strong push to push such a weak one.
So, the "black swan". That's the point: if the Russians, “says Roberts,“ are completely angry, ”they will make a special message for European governments. This is: "We will no longer sell natural gas or any other energy carriers to NATO members."
Here is a statement. So, what is next? Roberts admits that the result of this decision could be the complete collapse of the North Atlantic alliance. Yes, and the collapse of individual states in Europe, too. Even powerful Germany will end.
But even such a puppet government, like the German one, will not allow citizens to freeze without heating, and the factories shut down, and unemployment would jump to forty percent. No, the German government will take a reasonable decision and refuse to participate in NATO. And here is the biggest “black swan”: NATO will no longer exist. The alliance will fall apart.
Therefore, the economist says, if the Russians want to destroy NATO, all they have to do is turn off the energy resources supplied to the members of the alliance.
A man from the Kremlin just has to call "Puppet Merkel, puppet Hollande, doll Cameron and say:" You guys really like being in NATO, but let me tell you that we will never again supply energy to NATO members. "
That would be the real end of NATO, Roberts believes, and it would also be the finish of American power.
This is how many “black swans” Russia can produce. All the cards in the hands of Putin, says an American economist.
We must also remember, he continues, that Putin is reorienting his country to the east. And we will soon see that Russia, India and China will become world leaders. Not the USA!
Interestingly, we add from ourselves that not only Roberts argues about the opposition of NATO and Russia and those “swans” that Moscow could release.
Journalist Howard Lafranchi ("Christian Science Monitor"), whose opinion led 25 December channel "RT"He gave the West advice: think carefully before taking Ukraine into NATO. If Ukraine is free to be friends with anyone it wants, then Russia has the right to determine who is her friend and who is the enemy.
The Verkhovna Rada voted to abolish the non-aligned status of Ukraine, reminds the journalist. The situation in the east has calmed down a bit, this time, and the Russian economy started having problems, these are two. In such conditions, Howard Lafranci notes, the Ukrainian government felt bolder and decided on a “provocative and inflammatory step”.
According to Lafranci, Ukraine has the right to decide whether or not to join the North Atlantic alliance, just as the countries of the alliance have the right to decide whether to accept Ukraine. But, after all, Russia has the right to decide how to respond to Ukraine’s aspiration to become a member of NATO. (A direct analogy to Roberts's “black swans” suggests itself.)
Further, Lafranci strongly recommends “to all parties to this confrontation” to think: will Europe become more stable and secure if Ukraine joins NATO?
The author seems to have no doubt that Europe will be bad.
And here is the Russian answer. He appeared in our press 25 December.
Russian Foreign Ministry spokesman Alexander Lukashevich said that a further expansion of NATO to the east would force Russia to retaliate. “I would stress that the possible further expansion of the Alliance to the east will inevitably lead to a very serious military-political shift not only in Europe but throughout the world and will directly affect Russia's national security interests and force our country to take the necessary adequate measures,” Lukashevich quotes. tv channel "NTV".
“It is obvious that the Russian side should have long ago reminded Ukraine and the countries of the North Atlantic alliance of the price they will pay for the integration,” Igor Korotchenko, editor-in-chief of National Defense magazine, told IA "REGNUM". - We finally made it clear that Russia will not passively observe how the threat to its security is growing before our eyes. At one time, we actually ignored, escaping sluggish protests, the approach of NATO to our borders. It seems that on the other side, too, they relaxed and decided that even now joining an organization in such a large and resource-rich country as Ukraine would also pass almost imperceptibly. So: it is now clear, regardless of further developments, that Russia will not be silent or passively protest ”.
The expert added: “If before that we did not have a clear military doctrine, and the status of NATO was not clearly defined, now, in the case of continuing aggressive actions towards Russia, we openly begin to regard the alliance as an adversary. Russia is decisively set up and there will be no compromises with the United States and NATO. ”
Recall that the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine 23 December adopted a law on the waiver of non-aligned status of the state. The document provides for the return of Kiev to the course of rapprochement with NATO. The bill submitted to parliament 18 December Mr. Poroshenko himself.
In essence, the candy oligarch continued the implementation of the ideas of President Yushchenko, interrupted by Viktor Yanukovych, who, as is well known, spoke in favor of maintaining the non-aligned status of Ukraine.
Someone very strongly begs for "black swans"!
Observed and translated by Oleg Chuvakin
- especially for topwar.ru
- especially for topwar.ru
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