Military Review

The growth of the ruble on the background of the tax period

42
The ruble against the currency basket continues to grow 7-th consecutive day against the background of the tax period and the stabilization of oil prices to $ 80 per barrel, reports RIA News.

The growth of the ruble on the background of the tax period


From the data of the Moscow Exchange follows: “the dollar rate by calculations“ tomorrow ”to 10.40 Moscow time declined to the previous closing by 15 kopecks and was equal to 44,85 rubles, the euro exchange rate to 25 kopecks, to 55,71 rubles, follows from the Moscow Exchange data. The cost of the dual currency basket (0,55 dollar and 0,45 euro) at the same time decreased by 20 kopeks compared to the level of the previous close and was equal to 49,72 ruble. "

Vladimir Evstifeev from Zenit Bank believes that "tax payments provoke a shortage of ruble liquidity, which forces market participants to get rid of previously formed foreign exchange reserves."

"It is necessary to pay to the NDPI budget and excise taxes on the order of 330 billion rubles," said Aleksey Yegorov, a representative of Promsvyazbank.

“Large tax payments reinforce both sales of export earnings and finally bring down the speculative mood to weaken the ruble. Rates in the local money market are growing, forcing investors to sell currency, both as part of profit taking and amid demand for ruble liquidity, ”he said.

“The potential for further strengthening of the ruble is limited, as oil quotes cannot yet be fixed above 80 dollars per barrel. Tax payments until Wednesday should support the Russian currency. In the second half of the week, the outcome of the OPEC meeting will be decisive. If it is decided to reduce the quota for oil production, the dollar may fall in the range of 43,6-44 ruble. If the quota remains at the same level, the ruble will remain close to current values, ”explained Evstifeev.

"On Tuesday, the planned transfers of mineral extraction tax to the budget, under this expectation of the dollar and the euro and reduced," - said the representative of the company "Alpari".

“However, since Brent crude on Monday turned out to be lower than 80 dollars per barrel, ruble growth will be limited. Market participants are waiting for the OPEC meeting to be held on November 27. If oil resumes its fall, the ruble exchange rates will return to the marks - 45,70 for dollar and 56,70 for euro, ”concluded Antonov.
42 comments
Ad

Subscribe to our Telegram channel, regularly additional information about the special operation in Ukraine, a large amount of information, videos, something that does not fall on the site: https://t.me/topwar_official

Information
Dear reader, to leave comments on the publication, you must sign in.
  1. Djozz
    Djozz 25 November 2014 16: 18
    +6
    Oil is already 80.14 per barrel!
    1. pavel_SPB
      pavel_SPB 25 November 2014 16: 21
      +2
      but not as before 100 + (((although some experts say that it was a very fabulous price
      1. Viktor Kudinov
        Viktor Kudinov 25 November 2014 16: 33
        +4
        Oil is a non-renewable raw material. Once its production begins to fall sharply, demand will quickly exceed supply, and the price of oil will be gold! smile
        1. fzr1000
          fzr1000 25 November 2014 16: 35
          +6
          Once....
          What does this have to do with today's situation?
        2. maxiban
          maxiban 25 November 2014 17: 08
          +1
          At this point, new methods of generating energy will be introduced and oil will again become cheaper.
      2. The comment was deleted.
    2. Zoldat_A
      Zoldat_A 25 November 2014 16: 56
      +13
      Quote: Djozz
      already 80.14 per barrel

      Already an WHOLE 80.14 or TOTAL 80.14? I’m so on the drum, how much is a barrel of oil. I wonder how much a liter of gasoline costs. Or a kilogram of meat. Or a liter of milk. K.Marx, together with A. Smith, sit and nervously smoke bamboo, trying to understand how 2 graphics can exist on the same market in one time period. At the same time, they are trying to guess which one is oil and which is gasoline.
      1. Ivan Petrovich
        Ivan Petrovich 25 November 2014 17: 03
        +1
        and to my oligarchs and I give a fuck about smith and marx
        1. ty60
          ty60 25 November 2014 17: 23
          0
          They react differently to Smit & Wesson
      2. Zoldat_A
        Zoldat_A 26 November 2014 19: 53
        +3
        Following up. Another comparison. Again, incomprehensible. Oil the other way - gasoline moves unchanged. I probably studied poorly. Or a long time ago - at that time they did not teach such a thing.
    3. sub307
      sub307 25 November 2014 17: 23
      0
      Meanwhile: 16:30 USD Price Index of GDP (Quarterly) (Q3) 1,4% 0,1% increase
      and, therefore, at the moment: 25.11.14 17:19:09 GMT + 03: 00
      Last
      45.82 rubles, respectively, for $ 1
      so that the "games" continue.
    4. The comment was deleted.
    5. Phantom Revolution
      Phantom Revolution 25 November 2014 17: 53
      +1
      I think all this is a drop in the ocean, this increase is temporary, because banks need to repay debts in dollars for this year. The crisis is already felt well in the public sector, oil will continue to be lowered. And even so, enterprises lost a lot at this increase, with 2015 there will be a recession in the economy.
  2. Giant thought
    Giant thought 25 November 2014 16: 18
    +5
    God grant that the strengthening of the ruble continued further.
    1. Userpic
      Userpic 25 November 2014 19: 14
      +2
      Quote: Giant thought
      86-FZ "On the Central Bank of the Russian Federation"

      Article 4.
      The Bank of Russia performs the following functions:
      15) sets and publishes official exchange rates of foreign currencies against the ruble;

      So what about -
      Quote: Giant thought
      God grant that the strengthening of the ruble continued further.
      - that way
      1. Zoldat_A
        Zoldat_A 25 November 2014 19: 51
        +3
        Quote: Userpic
        - that way

        Only a very educated person is able to correctly name the name, and most importantly - the patronymic and surname of this "HERE".
  3. P-38
    P-38 25 November 2014 16: 20
    +4
    The ruble has fallen in price so that Putin does not need to impose retaliatory sanctions - the prices of Western goods are rising by leaps and bounds and demand is being killed. In Europe, they think a lot about this. In US cities, mass protests took place, with pogroms, looting, arson. The White House thinks a lot about this. Maybe they will manage to learn it there - to think with their heads, with their brains?
    1. Drew
      Drew 25 November 2014 16: 22
      +2
      unlikely to learn. They have somewhere not there gyrus
    2. saag
      saag 25 November 2014 17: 22
      +3
      Quote: P-38
      In Europe, they think a lot about this.

      And Belarusians smuggle their goods, indicating that they are in transit to Kazakhstan, Lukashenko must be fired
  4. fzr1000
    fzr1000 25 November 2014 16: 23
    +2
    November 27.11 will show, otherwise they will not agree at OPEC, oil will drop to 70, and there the ruble will break through 50.

    While green is growing.
    1. Evil Pole
      Evil Pole 25 November 2014 16: 27
      +10
      Quote: fzr1000
      November 27.11 will show, otherwise they will not agree at OPEC, oil will drop to 70, and there the ruble will break through 50.

      Let's hope for the best.
  5. alien50
    alien50 25 November 2014 16: 23
    +5
    The fall in oil prices was a time bomb, which, with the help of Russia, China and Saudi Arabia with Iraq, would blow up the dollar and lower it below the baseboard. The green would become an ordinary candy wrapper that had not been provided for a long time.
    This is where the PANDO These and the Pendec will come! good
    Py s: Minusvoschiki, think first with your head, and not with the place where your fifth point sits laughing
    1. fzr1000
      fzr1000 25 November 2014 16: 27
      0
      Still need to live.
    2. Genur
      Genur 25 November 2014 16: 47
      +4
      Quote: alien50
      This is where the PANDO These and the Pendec will come!


      Until the Russian Bank becomes the Russian State Bank, until we give up investing Russian funds in the development of any investment and until then, the country will be in a fever.

      I would like to live up to this ...
      1. ty60
        ty60 25 November 2014 17: 42
        0
        There is one point. Taking away our contributions from the Fed, we are picking up demand for greens. Now it is blocked by the demand of the ruble. Everything is pretty clear on oil. I will not chew. Not all players on the field are visible. a new affair with a double bottom, plus the drowning of shales in the mattress with their own hands in fact
      2. Userpic
        Userpic 25 November 2014 19: 18
        +2
        Quote: Genur
        Until the Russian Bank becomes the Russian STATE BANK

        Federal Law of 10 July 2002 year N 86-ФЗ
        "About Central Bank of the Russian Federation (Bank of Russia) "

      3. Joker
        Joker 25 November 2014 23: 52
        +2
        Until the Russian Bank becomes the Russian STATE BANK

        Who is he now? In my opinion, Putin appointed the head there, or am I confusing something?)) Those who are close to the body sit there like Serdyukov, this is just not for you that our bank is poured in, it would not have been ours for a long time because of any sanctions, Crimea we can seize, but there is no bank, utter nonsense and propaganda, in order to cover our weaknesses. We would like to change something, for a long time the Serdyukovs and Vasilievs would sit and have their backs heated with their backs, but this is not our 37 year.
    3. fzr1000
      fzr1000 25 November 2014 16: 47
      +3
      Don’t shout so, I didn’t give you any cons. Such things are not done quickly.
    4. Zoldat_A
      Zoldat_A 25 November 2014 19: 48
      +3
      Quote: alien50
      The fall in oil prices was a time bomb, which with the help of Russia, China and Saudi Arabia with Iraq

      Iraq is not a player, the Saudis are six mattresses. And Russia + China can do without them. There would be a political will, but patriotism at least for 5 cents. And so ... What can we say, if our Prime Minister is talking to the camera that there is a banking crisis in Cyprus, the accounts are frozen and, in connection with this, funding for patriotic youth education programs has been suspended. Budget money for patriotic education of youth in Cyprus offshore. Learn patriotism, youth! Is it possible to fill up with such a raccoon?
    5. Joker
      Joker 25 November 2014 23: 46
      +1
      The fall in oil prices was a time bomb that, with the help of Russia, China and Saudi Arabia and Iraq, would blow up the dollar and lower it below the baseboard.

      1) I advise you to read how the collapse of the Soviet Union began, if briefly the United States with the help of the SA hit the oil price, as now, so do not think that it is all random 2) Look at the percentage of GDP in oil sales in the US economy, they generally spit on her. From it, the oligarchs feed them, and GDP is provided by other industries. 3) In the US, this year the growth of the economy 3% against ours, God forbid, 1. And if you count these percentages of GDP, then the situation will be even worse. Do not wait for the collapse of the US economy, our MUCH will collapse faster.
      4)
      Green will become an ordinary candy wrapper, which has long been provided with nothing.
      Look at the exchange rates and you will see where the candy wrappers, by the way, the government introduces bonds, the last time was in the 98 year, when there was a default, here are the candy wrappers.
      5)
      Minusovschiki, think first head, and not the place where your fifth point sits

      Read and watch less propaganda, immediately understand who thinks with what.
  6. Steel loli
    Steel loli 25 November 2014 16: 26
    +11
    You must be laughing. The ruble fell by 10 rubles against the dollar, and the news that "the ruble won back 15 kopecks in a tax week!" presented as the greatest achievement.
    Make a fool of the people, make a fool of.
    1. fzr1000
      fzr1000 25 November 2014 16: 29
      +1
      Actually, the ruble almost grew by 3 r. But not for long, most likely.
      1. Penelope
        Penelope 25 November 2014 16: 31
        -1
        Things were slowly getting better.
        1. 225chay
          225chay 26 November 2014 06: 08
          0
          Quote: Penelope
          Actually, the ruble almost grew by 3 r. But not for long, most likely.

          Quote: Penelope
          Things were slowly getting better.


          Yeah

          step forward and 3 back ...
      2. The comment was deleted.
  7. ODERVIT
    ODERVIT 25 November 2014 16: 27
    +2
    Something all messed up, anyway for me. It grows well, falls well too. The brain has already turned off the reception of such information. Hurry to the New Year .... smile
    1. DRA-88
      DRA-88 25 November 2014 17: 44
      +1
      Quote: ODERVIT
      The brain has already turned off the reception of such information. Hurry to the New Year ....

      if you start now, NG will come soon. laughing
  8. Major Yurik
    Major Yurik 25 November 2014 16: 31
    +2
    The main thing is not to let our bourgeoisie collapse the purchasing power of the ruble within the state. And the mumblers, the beshammoni and foiegrastradals will not disappear, they will howl and spit poison. hi
    1. Viktor Kudinov
      Viktor Kudinov 25 November 2014 16: 39
      +2
      So what if the ruble appreciated! But prices at the same time overtook its strengthening. Yes, a bunch of payments has grown. For example, state registration of a mortgage - twice! wassat
    2. Userpic
      Userpic 25 November 2014 19: 22
      +1
      Quote: Major Yurik
      The main thing is not to let our bourgeoisie collapse the purchasing power of the ruble within the state
      What ?! belay
      And the depreciation of the ruble against the dollar - what do you think? laughing

  9. sv68
    sv68 25 November 2014 16: 31
    +3
    as well as our government, as it were, adopted a budget with a fantastic price per barrel, which already actually puts an end to possible economic growth and the strengthening of negative facts — increasing unemployment, rising tariffs, lower wages, and so on. maybe the autonius will already resign for it’s enough it’s so shameless to bring down the economy of the country. You won’t be able to take advantage of the growth spells in the economy, we need smart economists who sincerely care about the future of the country. But, in our country, while the government thinks only of itself beloved, such people will simply not be allowed to power.
  10. RUS96
    RUS96 25 November 2014 16: 35
    +1
    Message from I.I. Strelkov
  11. Varyag125
    Varyag125 25 November 2014 16: 44
    0
    It's no secret that Russia holds securities in half a dollar with a euro. Fuck! It turns out that if the dollar and the euro grow, is it profitable for Russia or what ?!
    1. Userpic
      Userpic 25 November 2014 19: 29
      0
      Quote: Varyag125
      It turns out that if the dollar and the euro grow, is it profitable for Russia or what ?!

      Only to the authorities.

  12. Zoldat_A
    Zoldat_A 25 November 2014 16: 45
    +9
    It is interesting to reread your own comment two weeks ago. Am I a wizard?
    1. datur
      datur 25 November 2014 22: 27
      0
      the consequences of a market economy, or rather shovel-and-grabbing !!! the remains of which, we need to destroy !!! wassat in Ukraine, this failed, and the result? !!!! belay oligarchs tear the country apart !!!! wassat
  13. Sailor
    Sailor 25 November 2014 16: 49
    +1
    If we do not help Novorossia now, then we will meet the enemy already on our territory.
  14. tokens2
    tokens2 25 November 2014 16: 51
    0
    A common thing. Before the annual speech of the President. The growth of national currencies.
    Naturally, the main patriots in the "shorts".
    And retail chains will be delighted with the "pre-New Year rush" against the background of some buckwheat falling.
  15. Oldwiser
    Oldwiser 25 November 2014 16: 59
    +1
    It is not worth waiting for a reduction in production quotas at the OPEC meeting - there is a struggle for the oil market - and if OPEC countries begin to reduce their quotas, then other countries that are not part of the cartel are not obliged to do the same. And then the market share of OPEC countries will decrease in favor of countries that are not part of the cartel. And OPEC countries do not need this. Everyone has their own interests and it will not be possible to agree "amicably". Therefore, one should not expect a reduction in supply.
  16. Messiah
    Messiah 25 November 2014 17: 07
    +1
    ! Exchange rates and corridors of their value are actually set by the Central Bank of Russia LLC, on the command of the Central Bank OJSC (not a resident of the Russian Federation!), On the basis of its agreements with its co-owner - the US Federal Reserve, and the Central Bank of Russia LLC (founders: 50% -OAO CBR and 50 % The Government of the Russian Federation) led by Ms. Nabiulina - as, in fact, a liability company, it only implements and controls these agreements. Although there are nuances when the Government urgently needs money, for example, to the Crimea, the “defense industry”, “social network”, “bridges to the Crimea”, catastrophes in the housing and communal services and other unplanned expenses, they turn to the Central Bank of the Russian Federation and the Central Bank “slightly releases the ruble”, and for 1 the dollar (euro), prints and issues, not 30 - 40, but 40 - 50 rubles, that's all, “market and inflation, you understand!”. The layout where 1 $ = 1rub. or as it is now, 45 rubles ... or will be equal to 1000000 rubles., for the Central Bank, no difference, the number of rubles will always be equal to the number of available gold and foreign exchange reserves (gold reserves). The Russian ruble is pegged to the petrodollar, which means fluctuations in the cost of oil / gas, or rather, the entire export component (in which hydrocarbons are the key source of foreign exchange earnings) also lead to exchange rate fluctuations. For example: budget revenues and expenditures of the Russian Federation were planned when the oil price was in 100 $, since the budget is in rubles, suppose that the figure is 3700 rubles (exchange rate 1 $ = 37 rubles) of income and expenses. (Social, defense and etc. etc., and even additionally to Crimea and Novorossia ...) But here, in Washington, they wanted to “spoil the rating” of V. Putin and with the help of US pressure on OPEC, oil began to cost 80 $, which means coming to RF budget 2960 rub. at the same exchange rate, - 37 p \ $, where does the Government take the difference between planned revenues, expenses and reality? (3700 -2960 = 740 rubles?) And nowhere else, the issuer of the ruble is the CBR! So you need to "ask" the Central Bank, somewhere to take them and give (put into circulation) the Government! The Central Bank, in turn, can “print” only as many rubles as it has gold reserves, which means it is necessary to “let go of the rate”, up to 47 p \ $, - 80 $ x 47 rubles. = 3760rub.! Budget expenses are covered and there is a bit left for New Russia, are there any more questions? In addition, the ruble / currency rate, for the Central Bank as a branch of the Fed, is also a political instrument of pressure on the Russian government! And it’s worth remembering that the legislation of the Russian Federation does not at all consider the economic period for more than a year!
  17. GUS
    GUS 25 November 2014 17: 09
    +6
    He was right.
  18. pinecone
    pinecone 25 November 2014 17: 16
    +1
    The capitalist ministers tell us that they say the main reason for the sharp depreciation of the ruble is the fall in world oil prices, but in February 2009 its average price was $ 45 per barrel, while on February 28 of the same year, the CBR set the exchange rate at 35 rubles, 72 kopecks per $ 1.
    1. fzr1000
      fzr1000 25 November 2014 17: 24
      0
      So before that in 2008 there was a failure in oil to $ 36 and the ruble fell from 24 to 36.
  19. Messiah
    Messiah 25 November 2014 17: 30
    +1
    Russia is obliged to urgently, “quietly” withdraw from the WTO, amend, and better accept the new Constitution of the Russian Federation, finish building statehood — demarcating borders, adopting independent legislation, nationalizing the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, its assets and structures, turning it into the State Bank of the Russian Federation and untying the Ruble from basket of currencies, transferring to the RF Treasury the function of issuing the national currency, the Ruble, introducing its weight equivalent, as in the USSR, the Soviet ruble, after the monetary reform of 1 of January 1961 of the year, before 1992 of the year, was formally equal to 0,987412 of gold, the possibility of direct exchange rubles for gold did not exist, but it nevertheless provides an international, foreign exchange rate 0.61-0.63 1-cop for Mr. Dole. USA. This is because it implied the currency value of the weight of gold (0,987412 g.) In one ruble, which is being established now, according to the rules of "gold fixing" in London, and the intrinsic value of 1 g. Gold of 999 test, established by the State Bank of the USSR, and the responsibility for reimbursing this value ruble (solvency of the currency), - was provided by all liquid assets of the state. This was recorded in the international and domestic obligations of the USSR and was written about it on banknotes of the USSR. Such a system makes it unnecessary, the accumulation of tens of thousands of tons of gold, but a decent gold reserve - the government still needs, since a large amount of commodity gold, allows you to adjust the value of your currency, affecting the supply and demand of drag. metal in domestic and foreign markets.
    1. your1970
      your1970 26 November 2014 00: 43
      +1
      you are confusing the state treasury notes of the USSR (1-5 rubles) and the tickets of the state bank of the USSR (10-25-50-100 rubles). These are two big differences. The first ones were provided with the type "All the property of the USSR", but the second - "Gold, precious metals and other assets of the State Bank." And 0,987412 grams of gold was calculated only starting from the notes of 10 rubles for which the State Bank was responsible.
  20. Severomor
    Severomor 25 November 2014 17: 31
    +1
    While playing by the rules of others, it’s not possible to win, or rather you can, but only as much as they allow. France was allowed to take gold, but Germany was given a kick and the answer was that everything is normal, there is nothing to watch. Libya tried to introduce a gold dinar .... no more Libya.
    And we have the same. Who owns the Central Bank? That we don’t have economics and resources at all (I understand that the economy is deeply w ... but not the same) if the market capitalization of Yabloko is greater than all combined enterprises?

    Story - Oligarchic Capitalism
    For the sake of 300% profit, the capitalist is ready for any crime
    USD TOM is already 45,8000
    1. Userpic
      Userpic 25 November 2014 19: 48
      +1
      Quote: Severomor
      France was allowed to take gold, but Germany was kicked
      Documentary (not media) proof of the situation with German gold, please.

      Libya tried to introduce a gold dinar
      Documentary evidence please.

      Who owns the Central Bank?
      Central Bank of the Russian Federation a state institution is a federal government authority.

      That we don’t have an economy at all
      The question is not correct. But "in whose interests is she working?" - the right question.
      And here is the correct answer to it -
      Story - Oligarchic Capitalism
  21. valet_
    valet_ 25 November 2014 18: 05
    0
    We should rather sweep Nabiullin out of the Central Bank with a filthy broom. Send her husband and their liberal friends to the LGBT people on the .. den of the sea-ocean - let them meet their old age!
  22. valet_
    valet_ 25 November 2014 18: 05
    +1
    We should rather sweep Nabiullin out of the Central Bank with a filthy broom. Send her husband and their liberal friends to the LGBT people on the .. den of the sea-ocean - let them meet their old age!
  23. sledge
    sledge 25 November 2014 19: 49
    0
    Brent is currently trading at 78.50-79.68, and WTI 74.47 - 75.78
    USD / RUB - 45.997 - 46.007
    euro / rub - 57.374 - 57.394

  24. 16112014nk
    16112014nk 25 November 2014 20: 13
    +1
    Nabiulina - she is such a Nabeulina!
  25. vovan089
    vovan089 25 November 2014 20: 29
    0
    And what is the face of Ulyukaev !!! Not a gram of intelligence on the physiognomy, but trying to say something about the ruble.
  26. Ze Kot
    Ze Kot 25 November 2014 23: 07
    0
    Quote: Zoldat_A
    Quote: Djozz
    already 80.14 per barrel

    Already an WHOLE 80.14 or TOTAL 80.14? I’m so on the drum, how much is a barrel of oil. I wonder how much a liter of gasoline costs. Or a kilogram of meat. Or a liter of milk. K.Marx, together with A. Smith, sit and nervously smoke bamboo, trying to understand how 2 graphics can exist on the same market in one time period. At the same time, they are trying to guess which one is oil and which is gasoline.


    So they did not live in Russia, where everything is possible. If Marx wrote "Capital" in Russia and tried to publish it in the West, he would have been placed in the "durka".


    What is the strengthening of the ruble? Which country is this?
    USD Central Bank
    44,7852 +0,1906 44,9758
    EUR Central Bank
    55,5336 +0,3443 55,8779